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XLE

Crude Oil giving a heads up onto a massive breakoutI have not seen such bullish candlestick patterns for a very long time now... The weekly chart had an amazing weekly candle where it is a T type doji, with indications of massive upward momentum, pushing with upward pressure. This comes in tow with two or three previous long tail pattern, and the weekly close is highest in the past 6 weeks. Weekly MACD appear to be turning up again, although not yet crossed over. The Daily chart shows how the week developed, with a mid-week bullish engulfing, and a follow through to the end of the week, with a solid bullish marubozu. Just plain bullish indications, if you ask me. Technicals are again turning upwards, supporting the upward march. Simple projections bring Crude to USD124 at the very least, by end May 2022. And... this is just the beginning. Fair warning given previously... now, it is looking that previous expectations are panning out.
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by Auguraltrader
Iron Condor XLE 13 May 2022XLE 13 May 2022 The current implied volatility is at 36.3%/year So that converted into daily is 2.3% Since we are in need of the open price for the highest accuracy, I am going to take the current price which is 79.3(you can also wait for the opening price and take +- 1.8 points from the open candle value) So based on that our channel for today is going to be compressed with a probability chance of 85% within TOP 81.1 BOT 77.5 From fundamental point, today we have no big volatility news that can impact our asset. At the same time the current values are expected to be sidemarket/bullish. At the same the weekly expected channel top and bot values for DIA were TOP 335 BOT 314
AMEX:XLE
by exlux
Weekly Prediction 9-13 May XLEXLE Energy Sector 9 - 13 May The weekly VXXLE> Volatility Index for XLE Energy Sector Implied = 38.6 In this we have to standard it for weekly session 38.6 / sqrt(52-> 52 weeks in a year) = 5.35% My historical product is telling me with 1.2x coficient that the expected movement for this week E Volatility = 38.93 / sqrt(52) = 5.4% With this data, from my calculations, when EV > VIX, there were a 82.7% chance that the market stay within the bottom and top created with the ranged from the E Vol So for next week this range for us is going to be TOP - 87.4 BOT - 78.5
AMEX:XLE
by exlux
S&P is going to get spanked. SPXback on TradingView for a quick update on the S&P 500. This thing is not looking good. We have one awkward-looking, nuclear power plant style, head and shoulders here. The 100day MA is about to cross the 200day MA and also both are becoming resistance. From a technical perspective, this thing has COV_ID. From a fundamental standpoint in this economy, this thing has the black lung. The market is oversold and I am looking for a realistic crash level for the larger stocks to bring this ugly-looking chart back to reality around that 3,400 level. It doesn't mean it can't go back to the 2020 lows though. You would want to see that 3400 as a support level. If that break, this thing just jumped off the cliff, and bye-bye Biden. This election is not going to go their way. I also jump into XLE right for a quick peek.
SP:SPX
by DefyingFinance
Crude spikes... how now, brown cow?And so, Crude spiked, and well above 100 as expected . This defying feat was not quite aligned to the weekly technical indicators, I must say. Nonetheless, the weekly candle itself had bullish lower tails and ended the week near the top. So, appears to continue spiking... perhaps above USD120, at least. The daily chart is rather interesting to me... on Mon, it was resting on a support and did look like it was going to continue the slide, having broken the 55EMA. Then the next three days totally about turned and started spiking. In doing so, it broke out of a trendline (or triangle), and the projections for the upside target is about USD140, at the end of April, or as we turn into May. (green arrow trajectories) Technicals for the daily chart are now turning upwards and bullish in support as well. Technicals aside, this spike and continued bullish momentum correlates to a somewhat expected jolt in global geopolitical tensions that would affect energy supply, and hence prices... especially over the Easter weekend, or just after.
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by Auguraltrader
1
Ascending Triangle in the XLEThe Macro trends of 2022 are no secret to any of us. Sky rocketing inflation and the war in Ukraine have lead to soaring energy costs around the world. As a result, Oil has seen a period of extreme volatility, reaching a high of closing high price of 129.44 on March 8th. As a result, the XLE has followed suit and is up about +30% year to date. Exxon, the largest holding in the XLE, reports earnings on April 29th and has expressed that the anticipate setting record profits. Buy the rumor? The XLE appears to be forming a nice Ascending Triangle, which could be suggesting a bullish continuation. The Ascending Triangle isn't a particularly strong pattern from a statistical perspective with only about a 60% chance of realizing the bullish continuation. Take it with a big grain of salt, but there is also a very slight Hidden Bullish Divergence on the MACD. Nevertheless, it warrants paying attention to as a potential swing trade. A lot will depend on what Oil does, and the fact that XOM and CVX are reporting earnings on the 29th muddies the waters a bit. However, it could offer a nice opportunity for a shot in the dark trade to the upside looking for a pop the upside in advance of the earnings. Maybe something like an OTM Call spread around the .30 delta in XLE 30 days out or so...
AMEX:XLELong
by InnerMotionTrading
2
Growth vs Value. Technology vs Energy.While these two charts aren't the same, they are very similar. The top chart is a ratio chart of ARKK vs Berk.B. The bottom chart is a ratio chart of Tech vs Energy. If the top chart is any indication of the overall trend, then there's plenty of upside in energy still. The downside of ARKK vs BERK.B overshot the minimum downside target. This is a logical area for a bounce. The Tech vs Energy ratio looks to have a ways to go still. These rounded tops are very dependable reversal patterns. Keep your eye open for broken support lines when watching these rounded tops play out.
AMEX:XLKLong
by Breakout_Charts