XLE Long DailyAsset Class: Indices
Income Type: Daily
Symbol: XLE
Trade Type: Long
Trends:
Short Term: Up
Long Term: UP
Set-Up Parameters:
Entry: 90.44
Stop: 89.22
TP 93.70 (2.8:1)
Trade idea:
Retest of 1H demand zone formed by a drop-base-rally near the breakout level, SL is a bit lower to cover the deeper RBR structure as the price might test tis liquidity. TP set at the nearest SZ with a 2.8:1 risk-reward ratio. The RSI is oversold.
!!Be aware of pending Economic Reports. If price is within 20 pips of proximal value at time of major impact report, then Confirmation entry.
Trade management:
**When price hits 1:1 or T1, consider moving stop to entry in case of pullback.
**Disclaimer**:
The trading strategies, ideas, and information shared are for educational and informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any securities, currencies, or financial instruments. You should do your own research or consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any trading decisions. The author assumes no responsibility for any losses incurred from following these trading ideas.
Xlelong
XLE: Rising Wave PatternTechnical analysis chart of the Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLE), with Elliott wave analysis overlaid. Let's break down the analysis based on the chart and labels:
Overall Analysis:
The chart suggests a bullish trend for XLE, based on the Elliott wave structure. It indicates that we have completed wave ((4)) of wave V and are now in the unfolding wave ((5)). Within wave ((5)), we have started wave (1), and are currently in wave (3) of (1).
Wave Counts and Labels:
V Red: This represents the fifth and final wave of a larger Elliott wave pattern.
((4)) Black: The fourth corrective wave within V.
((5)) Black: The fifth and final impulsive wave within V.
(1) Blue: The first impulsive wave within ((5)).
1 Red: The first wave within (1).
2 Red: The second corrective wave within (1).
3 Red: The third impulsive wave within (1) (currently unfolding).
Price Projection and Invalidation as per Waves:
Bullish Projection: The chart suggests a potential target of 105 for wave ((5)).
Invalidation Level: A break below 83.02 would invalidate the current bullish analysis.
Educational Notes:
Elliott wave theory is a technical analysis tool that identifies patterns in price movements based on a series of five waves.
Impulsive waves (1, 3, 5) move in the direction of the overall trend, while corrective waves (2, 4) move in the opposite direction.
Wave labels use brackets to indicate different levels of analysis. For example, ((5)) is a larger wave than (1).
Colors are often used to visually differentiate between different waves and patterns.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
SPDR Select Sector Fund looking great for upside to $120Perfect Cup and Handle has formed with XLE.
We just need to wait for the crucial breakout and close above the brim level.
With moving averages, all is looking great with 7>21>200 - Green - Bullish
RSI - Buy divergence >50 - Bullish
Target 1 $120.00
GENERAL INFO:
The SPDR Select Sector Fund is a series of exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that are managed by State Street Global Advisors.
It is designed to track the performance of specific sectors of the S&P 500 index. There are 22 different funds covering sectors like Energy, Financials, Health Care, and Technology.
This is available as it's a cost-efficient way for investors to gain exposure to specific sectors of the market, without buying individual stocks.
This fund also gives an indication on the sentiment in general markets. Which looking at this analysis it's bullish and we can expect the markets to continue up in February. Fantastic!
Energy stocks have topped... For NowFollowing the recent oil selloff the XLE sector is now pulling back. With a clear divergence in the RSI with the 3 recent price tops, it seems like the XLE has completed 5 waves up. Following that is a 3 wave correction as a flat and is now preparing to finish the last leg of it, before exploding higher sometime next year.
XLE BO:bottom@66,Support@76, next stops are 90/98/107BULLISH CASE: XLE held a June low @66 which is a 0.618 retracement. It formed a triangle & has since bounced off the base very strongly with 2 gap-ups. Moving averages 50, 100 & 200 are forming a ribbon & are all pointing up. 76 is a strong support with volume profile.
If this breakout from the triangle sees a follow-thru in the next few days, XLE may double the triangle & target the next 2 Fib levels at 98 & 107 with some consolidation at the recent ATH at 90.
Crude oil & Natural gas bouncing strongly.
10-yr rate TNX & dollar index DXY turns up & are also bouncing higher.
BEARISH CASE: If this will be a false breakout, then the 2 recent up-gaps will be filled with XLE going back inside the triangle.
Not trading advice
6/12/22 XLESPDR Select Sector Fund - Energy Select Sector ( AMEX:XLE )
Sector: Miscellaneous (Investment Trusts/Mutual Funds)
Market Capitalization: $--
Current Price: $88.71
Breakout price: $90.50
Buy Zone (Top/Bottom Range): $84.30-$74.05
Price Target: $112.00-$114.20
Estimated Duration to Target: 133-140d
Contract of Interest: $XLE 9/16/22 90c
Trade price as of publish date: $5.90/contract
5/25/22 ARAntero Resources Corporation ( NYSE:AR )
Sector: Energy Minerals (Oil & Gas Production)
Market Capitalization: $12.969B
Current Price: $41.69
Breakout price: $42.10
Buy Zone (Top/Bottom Range): $37.35-$30.90
Price Target: $56.30-$58.70
Estimated Duration to Target: 340-351d
Contract of Interest: $AR 1/19/24 50c
Trade price as of publish date: $10.00/contract
The revival of Energy - XLE on the riseXLE has been in a range for quite some time with the fall of Oil price from the first lockdown. But as thing recover and demand for Oil is returning to somewhat normal levels, the ETF is starting to give signs of life as well.
RSI well above 50 and is moving slowly into overbought territory, but this means that there is more room for the price to rise.
MACD has made a crossover and the histogram is turning positive.
Resistance level circa 40 has been breached.
XLE - Energy sector SPDR S/R levelsHello traders,
Description of the analysis:
Everyone sees an opportunity in the oil market. Personally, I would not invest in this commodity. There is a surplus of oil, there is no place to store it and no one wants it. It can't stop mining. But investing in the entire XLE energy sector could be interesting. Here are the main S/R zones where the price could react. Everyone makes their own point of view.
About me:
Hi, my name is Jacob Kovarik and I´m trading on stock exchange since 2008. I started with a capital of 3000 USD. My first strategy was based on OTM options. (American stock index and their ETF ). I´ve learnt on my path that professional trading is based on two main fundaments which have to complement each other, to make a bussiness attitude profitable. I´ve tried a lot of techniques and many manners how to analyze the market. From basic technical analysis to fundamental analysis of single title. My analytics gradually changed into professional attitude. I work with logical advantages of stock exchange (return of value back to average, volume , expected volatility , advantage of high stop-loss, the breakdown of time in options, statistics and cosistent thorough control of risk). At the moment, my main target is ITM on SPM index. Biggest part of my current bussiness activity comes from e mini futures (NQ, ES). I´m trader of positions. I´m from Czech republic and I take care of a private fund (4 000 000 USD). During my career I´ve earned a lot of valuable experience, such as functionality of strategies and what is more important, control of emotions. Professional trading is, in my opinion, certain kind of mental training and if we are able to control our emotions, accomplishment will show up. I will share with you my analysis and trades on my profile. I wish to all of you successul trades.
Jacob
/CL t.a. & set up $USOsimilar pattern detected between figures A & B
potential long set up
potential margin of profit 17%
in general, patterns tend to repeat themselves, but that doesn't mean they have to.
entry signal: buy the bounce if price breaks above SMA200 & confirms SMA200 as new support
exit signal: when RSI becomes overextended @ RSI65-RSI70
stop signal any close below the SMA200, if uptrend confirms, convert to trailing stop @ any close below EMA21
Look for XLE breakout of cup and handle; bullish continuationIn previous research on bullish WTI I overlaid XLE and observed that there is a cup and handle. Cup and handle or ascending triangle or whatever pattern price zigzag combined with rising WTI says XLE is a bullish continuation.
Keep a close eye as that continuation pattern is now pushing against resistance.