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XLF

$XLF: Long financials now...We have a tremendous signal to go long financial names now, as the yield curve is set to steepen once again and yields are rising on the back of the last FOMC meeting outcome, and the reopening momentum generated by the evolution of the Delta variant, and news of an antiviral pill from Merck that can cause a 50% reduction of fatalities and hospitalizations that recently surfaced. Charts are very constructive, as the $USB one I pointed out. I'm currently long a variety of value/financials/energy names as well as crude oil futures options for a while now, since AAII readings sunk below 25% recently. Now the broad market chart looks like a bottom is forming, and today a buy signal popped in $XLF, so the time is now! Cheers, Ivan Labrie.
AMEX:XLFLong
by IvanLabrie
5
$USB: Monster setupAll timeframes are setting up for a big move in $USB here, daily is kicking off a fresh uptrend after the recent bottom, weekly and monthly are about to trigger a trend as well, and by EOY the yearly will flash a 10 year uptrend signal which aims for somewhere between $220 and over $1600 per share by the year 2030. I think overall, the return vs risk proposition here is tilted significantly in our favor to buy both speculative swing positions, as well as potential long term positions too. Keep a close eye on this setup, might be extremely rewarding and it is extremely low risk considering the potential upside at hand... Cheers, Ivan Labrie.
NYSE:USBLong
by IvanLabrie
Potential Opportunity - Patience PaysPreviously I wrote a brief note explaining caution for the US Banking industry as illustrated by XLF. This is due to: - market risk of a broader market pullback - as currently being experienced - impact from Covid-19 variants like Delta etc., - the cumulation of record high bank reserves (cash) which serve to stress Bank Capital and Capital adequacy ratios. These reserves have been building up due to the FED's policy of buying Bonds in the market. Once sold, the vendor banks cash at a Bank which severs to increase the Bank's liabilities. The FED has tried to mitigate this effect by using reverse repos - which is ridiculous - it should stop the buying / QE ie the naughty word - Taper!!! :) The opportunity to be long includes: - market risk subsides as debt ceiling is mitigated. - infrastructure bill goes through which is GDP positive. - further recovering of the US and European economies noting n increased travel facilitated by increased vaccination rates. - Bank capital being strong as it is, has seen some Banks start to sell assets which have a lower capital rating (for the purposes of capital measurement) and will eventually open the door to strong lending programmes noting the prior comment. - still good fiscal support - so economy, GDP and the broader market is growing. In other words a decent credit cycle may ensue which will be very positive for Banks and of course XLF. However - Patience Pays!!! Buying in smalls around key support areas and build a position - no 'binary' trading.
AMEX:XLF
by Adam-Cox
XLF Daily TimeframeSNIPER STRATEGY (new version) It works ALMOST ON ANY CHART. It produces Weak, Medium and Strong signals based on consisting elements. NOT ALL TARGETS CAN BE ACHIEVED, let's make that clear. TARGETS OR ENTRY PRICES ARE STRONG SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE LEVELS. ENTRY PRICE BLACK COLOR TARGETS GREEN COLOR STOP LOSS RED COLOR DO NOT USE THIS STROTEGY FOR LEVERAGED TRADING. It will not give you the whole wave like any other strategy out there but it will give you a huge part of the wave. The BEST TIMEFRAMES for this strategy are Daily, Weekly and Monthly however it can work on any timeframe. Consider those points and you will have a huge advantage in the market. There is a lot more about this strategy. It can predict possible target and also give you almost exact buy or sell time on the spot. I am developing it even more so stay tuned and start to follow me for more signals and forecasts. START BELIEVING AND GOOD LUCK HADIMOZAYAN
AMEX:XLFShort
by hadimozayan
3
Triangle- Watching closelyWatching the financials closely in the coming few weeks, JPM closing on Friday sitting right on the 50day EMA and holding a little bull flag as well. will undoubtedly be a long-term play but definitely worth noting that there was a very clear bear flag on the XLF last week that could potentially continue to play out, so something to keep in mind. However, personally am bullish on financials here- Just some support and resistance levels to keep an eye on along with some RSI based supply and demand zones
NYSE:JPMLong
by jacobosiason7
Stocks - XLF Elliot Wave ForecastIdea for XLF: - For summer-EOY, will likely need to look at Finance sector as one of the leaders in indices. Technicals: - Price losing momentum (falling into lower channels), bounces appear corrective in nature. - Distribution pattern formed. - Ending diagonal broke down. - Price very likely to sell-off to bottom of the megaphone pattern, 9M SMA, 20W SMA, 200D SMA. - Usually the distributive sell-offs in indices form the W shaped harmonic structures, so a secondary sell-off is very likely. - Then a corrective rally into mid July, before selling off in earnest into Q4. Fundamentals: - June 30, G-SIB banks begin stock buybacks, should save XLF. - However, this is extremely bearish after an initial relief rally, see: It remains to be seen if the buyback rally will fuel another bullish cycle, leading into earnings season, or will indeed be corrective in nature, so watching out for the nature of the bounce, should it come. GLHF - DPT
AMEX:XLF
by UnknownUnicorn1043646
3
Sector Winners and Losers week ending 9/3Defensive sectors led the sector list during a week where employment data kept investors guessing on the Fed's timeline for bond tapering. Real Estate (XLRE) led the list throughout the week. The sector is benefiting from low interest rates while it also remains a good hedge against inflation. The Fed continues to put full employment ahead of inflation as the priority for interest rate hikes, so the sector will continue to perform if labor recovery slows. Health Care (XLV) was the second best sector, following by Consumer Staples (XLP) and Utilities (XLU). The cyclical sectors ended the week lower with Financials (XLF) and Energy (XLE) sitting at the bottom of the sector list. The slowing labor market and missed PMI numbers this week showed some weakness in the economy.
SP:SPX
by drewby4321
XLF - Dead CatfishNew banking regulations in EU and elsewhere combined with QE punch bowl drying up is taking wind out of the sails of the Financials. XLF appears to be struggling at the mid-line of the regression channel again! Potential 4th failed attempt to cross midline unfolding. Similar chart pattern last July into Sept, which resulted in a ~10% sell off. Bearish Engulfing candlestick pattern at recent top. Several nearer and longer term price gaps to fill to the downside: Nearer-term gaps @ $37.75 @ $37.20 and near 50-day MA @ $36.01 small but there Several more gaps a bit farther south. Most indicators rolling over/sick on the daily. XLF near ATHs but the ADX looking like a dead catfish that cant swim anymore...just floating with the current...and the current is taking it down off the regression channel mid-line sooner than most expect. Target = gap fill near 50-day MA and then a kiss off the 200-day if we get some action to the downside. Short Oct 15th Puts with $35 dollar strike. Not financial advice.
AMEX:XLFShort
by Akksujean
2
Sector Winners and Losers week ending 8/27A mix of growth and cyclical sectors topped the list this week. Defensive s all sectors declined for the week after topping the sector list last week. Energy (XLE) held the lead among sectors for the entire week, despite a pullback on Thursday. The sector completely recovered from last week's decline and marked a higher high this week. All of the cyclical and growth sectors had solid gains, with Financials (XLF) ending the week in second place. Technology (XLK) trailed the other gaining sectors, underperforming the overall S&P 500 but still finished with a +1.45% gain. Utilities (XLU) was the worst-performing sector for the week as investors rotated out of defensive positions and back into bullish cyclical and growth positions.
SP:SPX
by drewby4321
1
Sector Winners and Losers week ending 9/13Materials (XLB) led the sector list for the week, getting a massive boost on Tuesday and Wednesday after the Infrastructure bill passed the Senate. Industrials (XLI) also got a boost from the bill. Financials (XLF) contented for the top spot, gaining from rising Treasury yields that positively impact performance for the sector. However, yields dropped on Friday, and the sector dropped back to third place. The defensive sectors of Consumer Staples (XLP) and Utilities (XLU) also ended the week near the top of the list, signaling caution throughout the week as investors worry about rising cases of COVID in the US and around the world. Energy (XLE) had a few good days but ended the week in the last place.
SP:SPX
by drewby4321