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XLI

Sector Winners and Losers week ending 10/30It was a long painful week for all the sectors with the overall S&P 500 index losing -5.64%, worst since March of this year. Utilities (XLU) topped the list of sectors "only" losing -3.66% and remained as the safe place for investors to go to stay into equities instead of the alternatives. There were certainly days that each sector had to shine, but as far as the week-to-date performance, there was not a lot of back and forth as the days progressed in the weekly list of sector winners/losers. Most sectors beat the overall S&P 500 index. The exception is Technology (XLK), Consumer Discretionary (XLY) and Industrials (XLI). Consumer Discretionary just barely beat out Industrials to be the week's loser at a -6.55% loss.
SP:SPX
by drewby4321
Sector Winners and Losers week ending 10/16It was a back and forth week with Technology (XLK), Utilities (XLU) and Energy (XLE) all fighting for the top spot. Even Industrials (XLI) made a late effort to end the week at the top. In the end, the safe haven of Utilities (XLU) won the week as investors fled more volatile stocks for something that everyone needs going into the winter. Heat! Communication Services (XLC) and Technology (XLK) drove the early week gains in the market. But they could not hold on to the lead, nor could they keep the market in it's upward rally. Both faded throughout the week as did the major indexes. Energy (XLE) had a couple good runs through out the week as crude oil prices rose on news that the national supply was lower than expected. Low supply means demand is returning and higher prices. That's good news for the big energy companies, but ultimately investors took profits at the end of the week. Consumer Discretionary (XLY) was doing well early in the week thanks to Apple's (AAPL) breakout on rumors of a new phone. "Buy the rumor, sell the news" is exactly what happened as Apple and XLY pulled back after the new phone was confirmed. Nothing like the soft comforting warmth of having your money in Utilities (XLU). Maybe I should try that.
SP:SPX
by drewby4321
Institutional Sneak Attack on XLII spotted some very high volumes coming in right at the end of market close and during after hours trading on XLI. Massive volumes = institutional traffic. However, price levels didn't actually move much until late into AH trading, when a tiny amount of volume (orders totaling 102 only) did a gap up in price to $63.88. This suggests a gap up breakout could occur, but this also feels heavily manipulated, so be careful here. I wanted to raise awareness of this movement and will be closely monitoring XLI on Monday.
AMEX:XLILong
by MisterBurkes
1
Short $MYEThesis: With growth and inflation decelerating (Quad4) and our leading indicators slowing as well that means we want to be short Industrials. Within the Industrials sector the Rubber & Plastics industry was reporting contraction via ISM data. After screening for P/E and style factors like High Beta coupled with a strong long term price trend we added $MYE to our watchlist. $MYE (Myers Industries, Inc.) manufactures a diverse range of polymer products for industrial, agricultural, automotive, commercial, and consumer markets. Myers Industries is a leader in the manufacturing of plastic reusable material handling containers and pallets, and plastic fuel tanks. Other principal product lines include plastic storage and organization containers, rubber tire repair products and custom plastic and rubber products. $MYE is also the largest distributor of tools, equipment and supplies for the tire, wheel and under vehicle service industry in the United States. The distribution products range from tire balancers and alignment systems to valve caps, tire repair tools and other consumable service supplies.
NYSE:MYEShort
by UnknownUnicorn5712754
EPISODE 5/11: US INDUSTRIALS-BULLISH CHANNEL + STRUCTURAL XLI TAEpisode 5/11: US (SPX) Sectors Technical Analysis Series - 17th of July 2019 Brief Explanation of the chart: Squares represent past and future structural supports . Since 2009, the bulls have used Monthly MA 50(Weekly 200) support , labelled as the purple line . The latest bullish channel leading to wave 5 can have 3 potential targets : 85$, 94.5$ and least likely 100$. This is just a brief "free" and very detailed analysis. Perhaps in the future I might form a premium group, to whose members I will provide all the details of my research. >> I do not share my ideas for the likes or the views. This channel is only dedicated to well informed research and other noteworthy and interesting market stories .>> However, if you'd like to support me and learn more in the greatest of details, every thumbs up or follow is greatly appreciated ! -Step_Ahead_ofthemarket- Check my Previous episodes on the US Sectors: EPISODE 4 : Health Care (XLV) EPISODE 3: TECH (XLK) Full Disclosure: This is just an opinion, you decide what to do with your own money. For any further references- contact me.
AMEX:XLI
by step_ahead_ofthemarket
Sector rotation Cyclical to Defensive I heard some interesting commentary this week from the pros about watching for signs in the cyclical:defensive sector ratio. I put together this chart using (XLK+XLI+XLB)/(XLP+XLU+XLV). It is a composite of tech, industrials and materials indexes as a ratio to staples, utils and health sector indexes. The chart ratio is about 1:1 right now. In a late stage economy if earnings expectations plunge in the cyclicals the chart ratio should show the capital rotation into the defensive sectors. Worth watching for a signal!
AMEX:XLK
by dime
4
The Most Important Stock in U.S. Equity Markets - BoeingThe market's are being influenced by a single stock. How? Well there are linkages and arbitrage opportunities between the big Indices --> SPY, DIA, QQQ What does this mean? This means that if you can make the Dow go up, you can make the S&P go up. If you can make the S&P go up, you can make the Q's go up and vice versa. Can you give me an example? Sure, the fact that there are high frequency shops that capitalize on this is enough for me, but I'll do better; How about the fact that you never see a day where the S&P is up 1% and the QQQ or Dow is down 1%? Next: Structure of how the Dow is priced. It's different than the S&P and QQQ, these are both market-cap weighted. DIA is Price weighted. Boeing is a monstrosity inside of the Dow. It's a $425 stock. The next biggest is UNH @$267, MMM @$209, GS @$196 It's all about Boeing. Why Boeing? (I have to give credit to DataTrek for coming up with this research and all of the tremendous data they come out with:) - Boeing is up 31% YTD and 45% from it's lows. It's low in December was 58 days ago. 45% in 58 Days - Boeing is 11% of the Dow - Boeing is 2.4x more influential than AAPL and 3.9x that of MSFT, AMZN and GOOG aren't even close > Point: Move Boeing and you can move the entire marketplace - Boeing's 10.9% weight has contributed 776 points to the Dow in 2019 - That contribution is more than the next 4 names combined - GS (225 points), IBM (177 points), UTX (157 points), HD (133 points) = 692 points - These 5 names are responsible for 56% of the Dow's gains YTD. > Point: Boeing is directly responsible for 30% of the Dow's gains YTD. > Bigger Point: BA is the most influential stock in the marketplace. If you can move the Dow you can move the S&P's. SPY is up 8% YTD. It's up 19.11% from it's low on Dec 24th @ $234.34 + $44.8 (in 58 days) Why does this concern me? Well there's net outflows in the SPY YTD. I think smart money is potentially selling into this move and covering it up by driving order flow into one stock. ETF Fund Flows; www.etf.com My max upside on Boeing is $454. Have a wonderful weekend everyone and best of luck to ya next week gentlemen - RH
NYSE:BA
by RHTrading
7
Don't Be A (High) Beta, Brah! $XLI $XLUI have been a huge component of growth slowing, and the cyclical/defensive proxy of XLI/XLU is a clear indicator that the growth outlook is mixed at best. Not only that, you might be a beta (probably the bad kind). When you see both growth and inflation slowing on a rate of change basis on the back drop of higher volatility, you must always look to long low beta, short high beta (see Don't Be A MoMo ). From today's Parallax Weekly: Cyclical v Defensive (XLI/XLU) is hovering around a 11-month low. This is another indicator of slowing growth as cyclical revenue and earnings are heavily reliant on economic activity. This is also a high v low beta trade. The 3-year monthly beta 1.05 v .05. Since October 1, XLI is down 11.58 percent opposed to a 3.59 percent gain for XLU over the same period. On a relative basis, XLU has outperformed XLI by 15.17 percent. And those long Bitcoin are missing that.
AMEX:XLI
by TheMacroStrategist
Industrial Production Leading Silver LowerThe industrial proxy peaked in early 2018 along with silver prices. It has ebbed and flowed, but the trend is obvious. Much of this has to due with China's economy rapidly slowing down. Even the state-run manufacturing PMI is about to dip below 50 into contraction while data from SpaceKnow suggests China's manufacturing sector is already below that 50 threshold. U.S. industrial production peaked last October. The 20-day correlation between silver and the industrial proxy is .56; the 20-week is .77. The intermediate TACVOL range for silver is 17.41/13.30 and currently trading at $14.02. The score is -1.33 indicating in bearishness but not poised for a major inflection point. There is a slight caveat: silver's volatility has slammed traders since mid-October. The VXSLV (SLV volatility) is currently 22.30 with a TACVOL range of 22.11/16.00.
TVC:SILVER
by TheMacroStrategist
1
MMM - Discount Buy or No?Find the commentary from the chart below: In general, the stock paints a bullish picture but there are also things that could indicate that it would rather trend downwards at least for some time. Bullish points -Stock is currently above the 120 moving average which has served as a support level since 2011 on weekly chart -Stock is currently In an uptrend and hence current downward move may be a correction and oportunity to buy in the larger trend -The 188 support level is intact, and has held since it was formed & the short term resistance level at 212 just got broken last week and so there is some bullish interest in the stock -Dividends have experienced increase by 15% this year (from 1.11 -> 1.18 last year -> 1.36 now this year for each quarter) -Quarterly actual earnings and earnings estimates have all been growing along with stock price and hence it can be inferred that the company is expanding and may continue to be profitable for at least the next few years (longterm outlook idea) Bearish points -The price behavior with 120 moving average this time around has been sharper, larger and more aggressive this time around without truly breaking and testing 120 moving average; this could mean the moving average break is rather yet to come and so more patience should be had (if so an entry with a smaller position can be made, and then more size added as trade begins to work) -Stock has a long way to break out of 255 in order to confirm uptrend, but waiting for price to reach there from its current price at ~212 would mean you would miss the uptrend move in this case; this could be a good idea to exercise patience, but the aggressive correction I already mentioned could mean the very early stage of a shortterm downtrend at least with 255 being the peak price (simply put, because of the price behavior, you would be safer buying from support and deciding to add or close trade after stock reaches 255 rather than waiting for move to 255 and then buying into breakout). -The 188 support level has been intact since it was formed, but it can break with pressure of earnings & a true test of 120 moving average; if these price tests occur and are strong enough, it could set the stock up for a downtrend. -Dividends and earnings growth may indicate future longer term growth and NOT shorter term price action; even though the "numbers" of the company may look nice, it may be moving upward now as a sympathy play since sector (XLI') is also doing well right now. (This stock will not be traded as part of paper portfolio challenge) Let's follow MMM' to see how it plays out! Thanks!
NYSE:MMMLong
by themdtrader