Xlkshort
XLK Tech sector ETF, broke the 200 day moving Average downtrend,XLK Tech sector ETF, broke the 200 day moving Average downtrend, does this marks the end of the downtrend, and start of a new Bull run?
To answer this question we will have to see how this trends in weeks ahead
Tech growth is still slowing
Higher multiples are difficult to justify
ROTATION FROM 'GROWTH' TO 'DEFENSIVE' OVER LAST 10 DAYSCHART DISPLAYS LAST 30 DAYS
Utilities ($XLU) outperforming the broader market as represented by ($SPY) and growth oriented, tech based, sub-sector ($XLK) over the last 30 days.
This has a correlation with an increased 'potential' for instances of heightened, near term (2 to 4 weeks) market volatility.
During the recent selloff we can see that the 'bids' did not push the broader market as represented by ($SPY) or the S&P 500 tech sector ($XLK) back over its pre-selloff top. On the other hand, the market did buy the utilities (XLU) back up over its respective, pre-selloff top. (see yellow horizontal lines)
So utilities stay bid while tech and the broader market begin to falter. In my opinion this is what a rotation out of 'growth' ($XLK) from the last 6 weeks and into 'defensives'($XLU) looks like from a price structure perspective. I would interpret this as an expression of 'risk off' market sentiment going into 2023. (NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE)