Bullish trend: XLMUSDTThe United Nations has officially recognized Ripple and Stellar as vital components of the global financial infrastructure. The Decaf payment platform is fostering financial inclusion in Latin America and Africa. SWIFT's Swift Go platform has achieved significant adoption, with over 600 banks and 400 financial institutions on board. Ripple and Stellar Lumens are acknowledged as leading contributors to cross-border payments and regulatory compliance. Stellar Lumens is also expanding its capabilities to include smart contracts, posing a challenge to Ethereum's dominance in this space.
XLMUSD
XLMUSDT Short Idea - Struggling to Maintain Bullish MomentumXLMUSDT has had a strong run up to ~$0.63, as have many other alts, but is now struggling to maintain that bullish momentum.
Looking at a fib retracement view of the bullish push, we can see that the price action has been oscillating between the 0.5 and 0.618 fib levels and has once again been rejected off the bottom of the 0.5 level.
This chart shows a lower timeframe snapshot of that price action rejection off the bottom of the 0.5 fib.
From a bearish push fib retracement view, we can see that there is confluence between the 0.5 bullish fib level and the 0.618 bearish fib retracement region. We can see this level holding well and a potential rejection back down towards another bearish move.
The target for this short idea is a combination of the supply order block level sitting around 0.26, and the -0.618 fib extension level of the bearish fib retracement fib. Stop placement is above the order block flip zone indicated by the yellow box. For lower timeframe traders, a tighter stop could be attempted if you watch the price action closely following a breakdown below the last point of support at 0.38.
XLM - BullishXLM is in consolidation with its sideways movement. The sideways movement seems to play within a symmetrical triangle with the ability to continue its upward trend. The 20ma and 200ma are still in play after its golden cross in early November. According to the Relative Strength Index (RSI), XLM is currently in an oversold condition. However, the On Balance Volume (OBV) shows that XLM has increased buy pressure as it's in price discovery. I believe it's finding new lows at a higher value before the break to new resistance levels. There are many bull signals, which makes me bullish on XLM.
Support - $0.43
Resistance - $0.56
Fear and Greed Index - 79 (80 = Extreme Greed; if the market hits extreme greed, be prepared to watch things moon.)
XLM Ready for Lift-Off? Wait for Breakout of $0.458!Stellar XLM is still trading in the range zone between $0.40 and $0.46 with the sideways price action.
1. If XLM can break through $0.458 with confidence, bulls might take over and aim for the next resistance at $0.525 and, possibly, higher. That’s where momentum could build up nicely, potentially giving traders something to cheer about (Solid Green Projection).
2. The price is pushing higher. However, if the price stumbles here, we’ll need to watch closely. A minor pullback to $0.431 and a bounce higher would signal buyers still have skin in the game (Dashed Green Projection).
3. On the other hand, if sellers step up and push XLM below $0.399, things could take a bearish turn. A drop toward $0.325 would be the next logical stop, and traders may want to brace for a deeper pullback if that level fails (Red Projection).
In short: $0.458 is the decision zone. A breakout or breakdown will set the tone. Bulls have a target at $0.525 and then $0.593, while bears have their eyes on $0.40—let’s see who blinks first!
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XLM's Correction Complete? Targeting $1.10 with Strong MomentumContext and Recent Price Action
XLM has been one of the standout performers in recent months, showcasing impressive bullish momentum:
The November Surge: Starting from $0.084 in early November, XLM skyrocketed to a peak of $0.63 by the end of the month. This remarkable 613% rally highlights intense buying pressure and growing market interest.
The Correction: Following this explosive move, XLM entered a natural consolidation phase, retracing about 40% of its gains. This correction has formed a classic ABC pattern, with the price finding support at $0.35. Such retracements are common after parabolic moves and often set the stage for the next leg higher.
The Bullish Reversal: On Friday, December 13th, XLM has begun to show signs of renewed strength. After revisiting the $0.35 low, the price has rebounded to $0.43, forming a solid bullish engulfing candle on the 6-hour timeframe. This is a strong indication that buyers are regaining control.
Outlook and Target Projection
XLM's structure suggests the corrective phase is nearing its end, paving the way for the next impulse wave. Considering the prior momentum and market conditions, a price target of $1.10 is highly probable within the next 2 weeks.
Key Levels to Monitor
Entry Point:
Current price at $0.43 provides an attractive entry zone for buyers anticipating the next move higher.
Profit Targets:
$0.65 – Retest of the November high.
$1.10 – Extended target based on historical momentum and potential wave projections.
Stop Loss:
Below $0.35 – A breach of this support would invalidate the bullish thesis and could lead to further downside exploration.
Risk-to-Reward Analysis
With the price currently at $0.43:
Downside Risk: Stop loss at $0.35 results in a risk of ~18.6%.
Upside Potential: Targeting $1.10 offers a reward of ~155%.
This gives a compelling risk-to-reward ratio of approximately 8:1.
Conclusion
XLM's recent surge, healthy correction, and current bullish signals create an excellent opportunity for traders. With clear profit targets at $0.65 and $1.10, and a well-defined stop loss at $0.35, this setup offers a strong blend of technical reliability and favorable risk-to-reward dynamics. As XLM completes its consolidation, it seems poised to resume its upward momentum.
Let me know if you’d like further refinements!
XLM's Correction Complete? Targeting $1.10 with Strong MomentumContext and Recent Price Action
XLM has been one of the standout performers in recent months, showcasing impressive bullish momentum:
The November Surge: Starting from $0.084 in early November, XLM skyrocketed to a peak of $0.63 by the end of the month. This remarkable 613% rally highlights intense buying pressure and growing market interest.
The Correction: Following this explosive move, XLM entered a natural consolidation phase, retracing about 40% of its gains. This correction has formed a classic ABC pattern, with the price finding support at $0.35. Such retracements are common after parabolic moves and often set the stage for the next leg higher.
The Bullish Reversal: On Friday, December 13th, XLM has begun to show signs of renewed strength. After revisiting the $0.35 low, the price has rebounded to $0.43, forming a solid bullish engulfing candle on the 6-hour timeframe. This is a strong indication that buyers are regaining control.
Outlook and Target Projection
XLM's structure suggests the corrective phase is nearing its end, paving the way for the next impulse wave. Considering the prior momentum and market conditions, a price target of $1.10 is highly probable within the next 2 weeks.
Key Levels to Monitor
Entry Point:
Current price at $0.43 provides an attractive entry zone for buyers anticipating the next move higher.
Profit Targets:
$0.65 – Retest of the November high.
$1.10 – Extended target based on historical momentum and potential wave projections.
Stop Loss:
Below $0.35 – A breach of this support would invalidate the bullish thesis and could lead to further downside exploration.
Risk-to-Reward Analysis
With the price currently at $0.43:
Downside Risk: Stop loss at $0.35 results in a risk of ~18.6%.
Upside Potential: Targeting $1.10 offers a reward of ~155%.
This gives a compelling risk-to-reward ratio of approximately 8:1.
Conclusion
XLM's recent surge, healthy correction, and current bullish signals create an excellent opportunity for traders. With clear profit targets at $0.65 and $1.10, and a well-defined stop loss at $0.35, this setup offers a strong blend of technical reliability and favorable risk-to-reward dynamics. As XLM completes its consolidation, it seems poised to resume its upward momentum.
Let me know if you’d like further refinements!
XLM's Bullish Cross History: What Returns Could Look Like This T
XLM: Potential Returns from the Third Bullish Weekly Cross
Historical Analysis of XLM's Bullish Weekly Crosses:
After the first bullish weekly cross in April 2017, XLM surged +32,700% from $0.0027 to $0.98. 🚀
After the second bullish weekly cross, XLM rallied +825% . 📈
Now, with the third bullish weekly cross at $0.115:
+825% = $1
+10,000% = $10
+32,700% = $39
Why achieving +32,700% is harder now:
When XLM was $0.0027, its market cap was small, making massive returns easier. At $0.115, a 32,700% rally would require XLM’s market cap to grow to ~$1.06 trillion—a monumental task requiring unprecedented capital inflow.
Key Takeaway: While massive gains are possible, the economy of scale means percentage returns diminish as prices and market caps grow.
XLMUSD - Still No New All Time High... And There Won't Be... YetIn this video, I revisit my AriasWave-specific analysis, which indicates that XLM, XRP, and Litecoin are unlikely to reach new all-time highs this year or the next.
If you’re anticipating such a breakthrough, I encourage you to stick around to understand why a significant decline is likely on the horizon.
The initial pattern is still taking shape, so we’ll need to allow more time for a clearer setup to emerge.
See those previous related ideas below...
XLM MID-TERM AND LONG TERM ANALISYSThere is significant demand for analyzing Stellar.
Upon examining the chart, it seems that Stellar is currently within a triangle.
Wave D will likely end around previous highs.
Afterward, we could see a correction for wave E, followed by Stellar's post-pattern movement targeting a level above $14.
Some might question whether Stellar can sustain such a market cap. We should emphasize that we rely on chart analysis and do not focus on fundamental issues, as fundamentals are reflected in the chart itself.
When we reach wave E of the triangle, if we observe a clear and identifiable pattern, we can position ourselves on Stellar for the main move.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
More proof Goldencross works immediately in this phase of bullJust like the char I posted before this one, I’m posting this simply to lllustrate how the golden cross (orange line crossing above the blue line) immediately resulted in a very pivotal bullish pump that coincided with a major fulcrum point on the chart recently on multiple different charts. More times than not in the other market cycles, when a golden cross occurs it usually takes a few weeks afterwards to know whether that cross will have its desired outcome or instead end up being a fakeout but lately I’ve noticed multiple charts have seen an instantaneous pump on the exact day of the golden cross, which is making me think that once we enter the 2nd parabolic phase of a bull market that that is when you can anticipate a golden cross to have its immediate intended effect its suppose to have with much much higher probability than all the other market phases including even the 1st half of the bull market. Anyways I wanted to illustrate that hypothesis here with the XLM chart as you can clearly see it’s a text book example, and I will try to put a link below to the previous example where this occurred as wel a link to the total2 chart which will have its golden cross in the next 102 daily candles.l One major reason I want to illustrate this is because within the next 1-2 daily candle closes the Total2 (aka altcoin market) chart is going to have its golden cross and it is currently trying to confirm the breakout upward from a cp and handle pattern which is a huge fulcrum point for it. So should the trend of instantaneous golden cross pump effects occurring the same daily candle as the cross itself, this could clue us into exactly when the real full on alt season will be about to kick off (which if correct, will be ignited by a big confirmation breakout pump within the next 1-3 daily candles). *not financial advice*
XLM/USD: Signs of Overextension and Impending CorrectionStellar (XLM) experienced a dramatic surge, skyrocketing from $0.09 on November 7 to a local high of $0.63 on November 24. This rapid rise of over 600% in just a few weeks indicates clear overextension in the market. Such sharp upward movements are often unsustainable without periods of consolidation or correction.
Current Market Context:
Current Price: $0.48
Recent High: $0.63
Key Support Levels: $0.36, $0.25
After hitting $0.63, XLM has pulled back to $0.48, a strong signal that the market may need a correction to stabilize. This retracement reflects profit-taking and waning momentum, both common after such parabolic moves.
Possible Correction Scenarios:
Moderate Pullback to $0.36:
The first likely scenario involves a pullback to $0.36, a key support level that aligns with previous consolidation zones. This would allow for healthy price action and create a foundation for future bullish attempts.
Deeper Correction to $0.25:
If selling pressure intensifies, XLM could retreat to $0.25, representing a more substantial correction. This level is critical for maintaining a broader bullish structure and could attract buyers looking for value.
Market Indicators:
The RSI (Relative Strength Index) shows signs of overbought conditions, suggesting further downside pressure.
Volume has also declined since the peak, indicating weakening buying interest.
In summary, the overextension from $0.09 to $0.63 signals a market that may need to cool down. The current decline to $0.48 underscores the likelihood of a correction, with key support levels at $0.36 and $0.25 in focus. A healthy pullback could reset the market for a more sustainable rally in the future.
XLM | STELLAR | Can XLM go HIGHER?All the bottom feeders are pumping - XRP, XLM and ADA. This goes to show to that if it can be traded, it will be traded.
I have some thoughts on this (the unpredictability of these coins) . As they do not follow traditional market patterns, it makes them very hard to read and harder to predict - this significantly increases the risks associated in trading these coins.
I will admit I did have some XRP this cycle - but not ADA or XLM. Looking at the char prior to the pump, it was a dead coin - and there was no reason to anticipate such a huge increase.
Yesterday's update on XRP here:
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BINANCE:XLMUSDT
XLM more exponential doubling price growth expected!XLM, after registering a whopping 500% rise from the start of November from 0.10 range and tapping an impressive highs of 0.50, this is creating another slow roll accumulation phase curve en route to a stronger rise ahead.
Ideal seeding zone is at the current price range of 0.50
Interim target is set at 1.0
Mid/long term target at 5.0
This will just double up with so much pace as metrics multiply as well.
Happy profit hunting.
TAYOR.
Stellar (XLM) - Key Levels! Nov, 2024Key Support & Resistance Levels:
🟢Support Zone= $0.41 - $0.44
🔴Resistance Level= $0.537
⚠️Major Resistance= $0.637
If resistance levels are met and a candle close fails to break through them, there could be a short-term pullback or consolidation. Furthermore, if not, price action holds above the current support zone. Expect a further continuation to the downside in the short term.
‼️Next Line of Support if bulls fail to hold pressure against bears:
= $0.332
XLMUSD - 15 JAN 2023 pump?
the photo is taken from the stellar tweeter, I did a little analysis and a little attentiveness.
This does not mean that it is after this time stamp that there will be a pump, but considering what tips are left and where we have the main POS dialing area. There will be a reversal with a high degree of probability, squeezes are not excluded. Set zone 0.69 and 0.6699
XLMUSD - Wave E of Wave (B) Looks Complete - Time To Go Short...In this video, I break down how the wave patterns, as interpreted through AriasWave, suggest that it's time to short this market.
When I notice over-the-top predictions and media hype, it only reinforces my belief that we've reached a short-term top in this cryptocurrency.
Here I provide a detailed wave analysis to support my bearish outlook, making it easy for you to follow along.
If prices begin to decline from here, you can expect to see continued corrections along the way that play out in a similar manner.