XLMUSD
Stellar Lumens - A Hidden OpportunityStellar Lumens - A Hidden Opportunity
I cover the chart first and then some positive fundamental's and tokenomics.
The LSE:XLM Chart
I located and plotted trigger points, boundaries and of course a time structure.
There is a clear bull/bear time pattern. Open the chart and see the months and see how they move in similar increments both by month and by number for Bull and Decline periods.
Three positive price action triggers are marked on the chart and are confirmed by the following:
1. Break above 10 Month SMA, combined with
2. Confirmed MACD Cross, combined with
3. Both occurring in the bull pattern time window
All three have just occurred as of July 2023. IN ADDITION
4. This time we have broken above the POC, and
5. We have broken out of the OBV resistance line.
All of the above is extremely bullish for Stellar Lumens XLM for the long term.
The risk/return is ideal as a price just under the bottom of the ascending triangle can act as a stop loss for you and the upper end can act as a first main point to take profit.
Undesirables:
- If we close a weekly candle outside of ascending Triangle, Exit trade.
- If we fall below the POC or 10MSMA, reduce position size or hold off until this happens and increase position size.
This chart is another fine example of how timeframes can help us structure a trade. Please note that this is a long term 12 - 18 month trade minimum. You could be exiting at any stage over those months depending on the trigger events mentioned above, ideally closing the majority of the position at the first trigger point 0.60c (lock in your stake and some profit). Furthermore, you have to be able to withstand the volatility within the ascending triangle without capitulating your position. There is currently some room to the downside but a lot more to the upside, you need to be prepared for both.
Positive XLM fundamentals:
Stellar is already being onboarded as a potentially compliant global payments system:
Stellar (XLM) like Ripple Labs (XRP) is intending to be a layer 2 international global payments remittances provider and enabler, albeit while Ripple Labs is targeting big business and institutional networks/transactions, Stellar has an incredibly varied pipeline from on/off ramps, asset tokenisation, moneygram conversion and access, and much more. Stellar appears to be targeting the developer, the retailer, the consumer, the international payments community in their transfers/remittances, and the unbanked. The Stellar Blockchain is a decentralized consensus protocol making it very quick and very efficient with a distributed ledger updating globally every 2 to 5 seconds.
ISO 20022 is an International Organization for Standardization (ISO) standard for exchanging electronic messages on payments data between financial institutions. They set the international payment standards through the likes of the SWIFT system and for the likes of CITI Bank, HSBC, J.P Morgan and Deutsch Bank.
Currently cryptocurrency’s that are ISO Compliant or in the process of becoming compliant include Ripple CRYPTOCAP:XRP , Xinfin Network TSX:XCD , Algorand EURONEXT:ALGO , IOTA and Stellar Lumens $XLM.
Why is this so important? Well because ISO compliant payment networks will be the most likely to be called upon for the distribution or enablement of Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDC’s) and other secondary payment protocols.
Private Partnership from the likes Ripple & Stellar will likely be called upon to develop, enable and distribute a new CBDC:
We are aware that most governments are in the process of developing CBDC’s and cannot complete this task without private partnerships.
For example as early as 2019 the Official Monetary and Financial Institutions Forum (OMFIF) outlined the following observations:
“Practically, the operation of a CBDC is likely to rely on some sort of public-private partnership. Central banks could outsource the distribution of the CBDC to private financial institutions, which could also be involved in the onboarding of users”
“most central bank respondents suggested they would outsource many of the public facing tasks involved in CBDC management to third parties.”
“Some central banks noted that certain functions – such as ‘onboarding and overlay services’, or the actual distribution of the currency itself – could be ‘outsourced’ to private sector participants.”
“Among respondents, 64% said ‘intermediation’ functions, such as customer onboarding, which could be ‘outsourced’ to private sector participants, would be important in CBDC implementation”
In more recent news the Bank for International Settlements (BIS) AKA the Bank for Central Banks published a report based on surveys and data collection called “Making Headway”, they advised that:
o 86 central banks took part in the survey (including the largest)
o 15 CBDC’s would be up and operational by the end of the decade 👀
o Confirmed that Central Banks can hold up to 2% of their balance sheet in cryptocurrencies from the January 2025.
Considering the BIS is usually very anti crypto this news is significant.
Positive Tokenomics Vs competitor XRP:
XLM is currently 21st largest cryptocurrency in the world with a market cap of €3.4 billion.
XRP by comparison has a market cap of $27.8 billion and is ranked 5th, thus XRP would have a harder time of it in terms of multiplying its larger market cap and price.
In November 2019, the overall XLM supply was reduced. Now there are about 50 billion lumens, total, in existence, and no more lumens will be created.
So XLM has a max token supply of 50 billion whilst XRP has a max supply of 100 billion making it a more price dilutable token than XLM. At present XLM have released 51% of their 50 billion max token supply to the market whilst XRP have released 50% of their 100 billion tokens - 52.9 billion tokens (equating to number greater than the full supply available in XLM). XLM’s price will be greater impacted by demand than XRP due to the lower max token supply, smaller market cap and the fact no more new Lumens can be created, it is a fixed supply.
The more participants that join the network and use the network the less Stellar Lumens are available thus creating a demand. From Jan 2020 to present Stellar Lumen accounts have increased from about 4.2 million to 6.7 million. In the same period total transactions increased from <250,000 to almost 1 million.
All in this 12 – 18 month trade comes with a lot of positive upside and limited downside. XLM has a reasonable fundamental narrative backing it that could make it central to future payment networks and the XLM tokenomics provide a lot more upside potential than those of its close competitor Ripple (XRP). I am a fan of both offerings however it seems reasonable to have an XLM position if you have an XRP one. Maybe we can be the X-Army and support one another…. Maybe “X” will use both for its payment platform. One can dream. Please have a look at my XPR chart which is similar to the this XLM one, you may find that beneficial too.
Hope all of the above helps frame XLM in your minds eye and also provides you with a structure for an XLM trade.
PUKA
XLM\XRP - I Told You This Was A Fake Out... Who Listened?Back once again to highlight some key points about what most herders have been thinking over the last couple of months. Nothing new, just some hard facts about how ridiculous these sheep like creatures appear to me when they speak nonsense garbage.
A lot of these people that doubted my predictions are just useless nobodies that never invested 2 seconds of their time to learn anything about how markets operate.
I spent over 8 years creating the AriasWave methodology and have become an expert at reading these waves as a result. I no longer need to bother wasting my time preaching my views to people. I do however like to go against these fools every now and then to rub salt in their wounds.
Most importantly there are still some good followers out there that still appreciate my work and those people are these reason why I decide to come back and post. So if you are one of those people and want me to start producing more content then start showing your support by doing the needful.
We all use social media these days, so you know what to do.
Currently there is not enough of a clear pattern for me to label the start of the third-of-a-third wave down but it's coming, so perhaps stay tuned and I may post something sooner rather then later.
Long Grayscale Crypto Altcoin Products GXLM Stellar Lumens ZcashXLM Price Live Data
The live Stellar price today is $0.107277 USD with a 24-hour trading volume of $104,424,569 USD. We update our XLM to USD price in real-time. Stellar is down 3.56% in the last 24 hours. The current CoinMarketCap ranking is #28, with a live market cap of $2,709,539,393 USD. It has a circulating supply of 25,257,395,966 XLM coins and a max. supply of 50,001,806,812 XLM coins.
The Zcash trust is the other top opportunity. Both Stellar and Zcash have good setup to provide near 100% moves in a fast manner
XRP + XLM Local trend. Wedge + triangle (pennants).Logarithm. Time frame 1 day. Local trend.
Two cryptocurrencies are shown at the same time, as it should be understood that it is one and the same. Pumps (exit from accumulation) similarly began almost simultaneously July 13 on day 273 (code). XRP a little earlier by a few hours. I think it will be something similar this time.
Pullbacks after pumping up about +100% on both assets (exiting the long term accumulation zone). The reversal zones as well as the percentages to local significant resistance levels in case of breakout are shown on the chart.
This is how it looks on the linear without squeezes (market noise), although it is not necessary for local work.
The ideas of secondary trends (accumulation) to understand this local zone attached to this idea.
XLM/USD 1DAY UPDATE BY CRYPTO SANDERS !!hello, welcome to this XLM/USDT update by CRYPTO SANDERS.
CHART ANALYSIS:- Additionally, Stellar (XLM) was another token in the green on Monday, as it continued to move away from a floor of 0.1345.
Following a low at 0.1380 on Sunday, XLM/USD rallied to an intraday high of 0.1431 earlier in the day.
This is the third straight session that Stellar has traded higher and comes despite a recent downward crossover of moving averages (MA).
the 10-day (red) MA moved below its 25-day (blue) counterpart, which is typically a bearish signal.
Even though momentum has shown signs of weakness, XLM bulls will likely continue to target exits at a ceiling of 0.1600.
I have tried to bring the best possible outcome to this chart.
Hit the like button if you like it and share your charts in the comments section.
Thank you
STELLAR LUMENS (XLM) new volume 🚀Hello 🐋
based on the chart
the price is close to daily and fib supports and new volume again for the price 📖💡
we expect to see more gain for the price in log term targets 🚀💣
before
more gain, we can see even correction to the downside ❌🧨
and
range market is logical too 💡
👌 Notice: pay attention to the price on shortcut chart (located above the main chart with black colour) 📖💡
Please, feel free to share your point of view, write it in the comments below, thanks 🐋
XLMUSD: Closing over the 1W MA200 can lead to 0.3200XLMUSD is on the third straight green 1W candle after the massive one that broke over the 1W MA200 for the first time in more than a year. However it closed the 1W candle under it, and so did last week's. Naturally, the uptrend needs a 1W candle to close over the 1W MA200 in order to confirm more upside.
The 1D timeframe is on healthy 1D technicals but 1W is overbought (RSI = 73.412, MACD = 0.010, ADX = 20.860) so failure to close above it, can deliver a pullback towards the 1D MA50 for one final buy entry.
Based on the price as well as the RSI pattern, the current trading sequence is comparable to the July-August 2020 1W MA200 tests. That gave the pullback but after it crossed over, the first target was the 0.618 Fibonacci level. That's now at 0.3200.
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Stellar XLM price entered the procurement zoneIf you believe in the bright future of the Stellar project and want to buy XLM, then we have good news for you.
The XLMUSDT price came to the liquidity zone of $0.65-0.85 in which it is justified to place "buy orders with a grid".
It seems that in general, the XLMUSD price is approaching the end of the falling trend
And purely theoretically, a good potential for growth will open
Here is 3 months ago, we painted and showed the trade history of Stellar for 8 years, who is interested, welcome:
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XLMUSD has started a parabolic rally to the former HighXLMUSD crossed last week over the 0.382 Fibonacci level and despited the subsequent pull back, it is again rising aggressively today.
The price action is very similar to the previous Cycle. When the price crossed above the 0.382 Fibonacci, it pulled back to the 0.236 and then started a parabolic rally that reached the 0.786 Fibonacci in 6 months.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current market price.
Targets:
1. 0.48000 (Fibonacci 0.786).
Tips:
1. The price just formed a Golden Cross (1d), which is on the previous Cycle was formed right at the start of the Parabolic Rally.
Please like, follow and comment!!
AW XLM ANALYSIS - The End Of Corrections Suck People In...Welcome to this video where I analyze the waves and discuss the potential conclusion of a brief correction, indicating a possible end to the current bullish market trend. The alignment of waves suggests that the bullish alternative is unlikely. Although the timeline for the end of the bull run may vary, I anticipate it to be towards the end of next year. This weekend, I will thoroughly review and refine my analysis to strengthen my views and perspectives, emphasizing the crucial points of interest. Join me as we delve into this topic in depth.
Inv h&s on XLMUSD points to a .147 - .15 targetYou can see here on the 1 day chart xlmusd has formed an inverse head and shoulder pattern with it only just recently rounding out the 2nd shoulder and returning now back to the neckline. As always I must wait for a breakout confirmation above the neckline and some confirmation from volume before basing my buys off of this but I anticipate it will likely confirm in the not so distant future considering the recent move by coinbase to use stellar for USDC. I’m hoping to get a retracement too before a full breakout above the neckline in which case I will try to wisely piece meal buys on the dip. I have placed an arbitrary dotted measured move line where I think a potential breakout could occur in which case the target is somewhere aroun 14-15 cents. *not financial advice*
XLMUSD Above the 1W MA200 for the first time in more than 1 yearStellar (XLMUSD) hit and broke today above the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time since the week of May 02 2022. That's more than 1 year of trading below a key long-term Resistance that is now broken. The 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) has supported this price action for the past 2 weeks.
The time XLM hit the 1W MA200 during the previous Cycle, it failed to close the week above it and had a medium-term pull-back to the safety of the 1W MA50 before it started the final part of the parabolic rally from October 2020 to May 2021. Notice that the 1W RSI then was on the exact same (overbought) level it is today.
As a result, if it fails to close above the 1W MA200, we will wait for a pull-back to buy, preferably as close to the 1W MA50 as possible. If it closes above the 1W MA200 though, we will buy on the market price. In either case, we will target the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the multi-cycle Triangle pattern at 0.7000.
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