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Sector Winners and Losers week ending 9/13Materials (XLB) led the sector list for the week, getting a massive boost on Tuesday and Wednesday after the Infrastructure bill passed the Senate. Industrials (XLI) also got a boost from the bill. Financials (XLF) contented for the top spot, gaining from rising Treasury yields that positively impact performance for the sector. However, yields dropped on Friday, and the sector dropped back to third place. The defensive sectors of Consumer Staples (XLP) and Utilities (XLU) also ended the week near the top of the list, signaling caution throughout the week as investors worry about rising cases of COVID in the US and around the world. Energy (XLE) had a few good days but ended the week in the last place.
SP:SPX
by drewby4321
Sector Winners and Losers week ending 8/6Several sectors rallied into the lead throughout the week, but Financials (XLF) came from behind to end the week as the top sector. On Friday, the sector added 2% on top of gains earlier in the week. The rally came as employment data was better than expected, sending Treasury yields higher and brightening the prospects for big bank performance tied to the yields. Utilities (XLU) enjoyed the top spot on Monday and early Tuesday, rallied again on Thursday, but fell to second place on Friday. The defensive sector shows investors were cautious throughout the week as indexes set new records amidst worries the rising Delta variant might pull back the economic recovery. Health Services (XLV) took the lead spot on Wednesday, likely on the view that there will be an increased demand for vaccines and therapies that can handle the resurgence of the pandemic. Consumer Staples (XLP) was the only sector to decline this week, putting it at the bottom of the sector list.
SP:SPX
by drewby4321
Sector Winners and Losers week ending 6/4Energy (XLE) and Real Estate (XLRE) led the sector list for the week, establishing their lead early in the week. Energy got a boost from the rise in oil prices on high demand. Real Estate is gathering momentum from rising housing and rental prices while also being a great hedge against inflation. The focus on employment data released on Friday morning is clear in two pivots. There was a sharp sell-off of most sectors except Consumer Staples (XLP) and Utilities (XLU) on Thursday ahead of the report. The two sectors are good defensive plays when investors get nervous about how the market may react to news or events. After the report was released, Technology (XLK), Consumer Discretionary (XLY), and Communications (XLC) rallied on Friday. It seems the employment data was good enough to keep a positive outlook, while not so good to drive more fears of tapering by the Fed. Health Care (XLV) was the worst-performing sector for the week.
SP:SPX
by drewby4321
Sector Winners and Losers week ending 5/14It was a mix of defensive and cyclical stocks that led the sector list this week. Only three sectors ended the week with gains, while the high growth sectors took the biggest declines. Consumer Staples (XLP) topped the list with Utilities (XLU) in fourth place. Both are defensive sectors for investors. Real Estate (XLRE) was lower in the list but still outperformed the sectors. Financials (XLF) and Materials (XLB) joined Consumer Staples as the only sectors to end the week with gains. Technology (XLK) and Consumer Discretionary (XLY) were at the bottom of the list. Both contain high growth companies that are likely to be impacted by inflation and potential increases in interest rates. They started to recovery on Thursday and Friday after the US Dollar and Treasury interest rates dropped.
SP:SPX
by drewby4321
Risk appetite in the markets? Checking the $XLY / $XLP quotientI have this quotient in my watchlist to monitor the risk appetite of the market. The AMEX:XLY ETF (Consumer Discretionary) is a good indicator of high risk appetite because its holdings are more focus on growth therefore are more volatile. And the AMEX:XLP ETF (Consumer Staples) is more focus in value stocks, therefore less volatile. AMEX:XLY with holdings like NASDAQ:AMZN , NASDAQ:TSLA and NYSE:MCD . And AMEX:XLP with holdings like NYSE:KO , NASDAQ:PEP and NASDAQ:COST . Right now the quotinet XLY/XLP is near a breakout off a base to make an all time high, while its 20 day moving average is croosing the 50 moving average. This are good news to this bull market.
AMEX:XLYLong
by dpuleo19
1
Sector Winners and Losers week ending 4/1Communications (XLC) did not top the sector list for a single day, but it's steady gains throughout the week put it at the top of the weekly chart. Utilities (XLU) started the week on top. Investors were nervous on Monday about the lasting impact of the Suez Canal blockage and whether a $20b fire sale of Archegos investments would grow or even expand to other firms. Utilities popped back into the story late on Wednesday when a sudden pop and sell-off in big tech occurred in the final hour. Financials (XLF) was also impacted by the Archegos drama on Monday. By Tuesday, the damage was contained and higher treasury bond yields provided a life to the sector, making it the top performer for the day. Technology (XLK) got a boost on Wednesday when Microsoft announced news of an augmented reality deal with the US Army. That spike sold off quickly, but the buyers came back in on Thursday, bringing the Technology sector up to second place for the week. Energy (XLE) spent most of the week at the bottom of the list. Higher-then-expected demand for oil and gas and a generally positive outlook for economic growth brought the sector gains on Thursday that lifted it from the bottom. Consumer Staples (XLP) ended the week as the worst performing sector. The rotation out of staples could continue as investors see consumers return to normal spending habits in a strengthening economic cycle.
SP:SPX
by drewby4321
Sector Winners and Losers week ending 3/26There were several change of winners and losers during a week that ended with the S&P 500 at a record close. Technology (XLK) led for the first two days of the week, was sold off heavily on Wednesday and Thursday, but then ended the week with a huge gain on Friday, putting it in third place. Utilities (XLU) took over the top spot on Thursday as investors became very cautious and fled to the defensive sector. Consumer Staples (XLP) remained steady throughout the volatile week and ended the week at the top. After last week's rout, Energy (XLE) seemed to find a bottom on Tuesday. After a big gain on Wednesday, the sector opened back near the bottom on Thursday, but quickly recovered. But the end of Friday, it was able to end the week with a gain. Communication Services (XLC) and Consumer Discretionary (XLY) were the only two sectors to decline for the week. Communication Services ended the week at the bottom with more than a 4% decline. Although Technology sector fared well, there is still evidence of rotation from growth to value.
SP:SPX
by drewby4321
Sector Winners and Losers week ending 3/5If you kept your eyes only on big tech and growth stocks, you might have missed that many sectors had fairly good advances this week. The sector chart supports the thesis that there is an outsized rotation in progress that is presenting as a correction, but that there is still a level of support in the broader equities market. The top two sectors, Energy (XLE) and Financials (XLF), never dipped into negative territory even with Thursday's broad sell-off. The other cyclical Industrials (XLI) and Materials (XLB) also performed well for the week. Materials was leading for the week at the end of Tuesday, but backed off a bit later in the week. There was caution visible in the sectors as Utilities (XLU) and Consumer Staples (XLP) advanced. Investors moved from sectors that are more exposed to pressures from inflation and higher yields. Consumer Discretionary (XLY) and Technology (XLK) were the hardest hit among the sectors. Real Estate (XLRE) is also at the bottom of the list. At center stage is the bond market sell-off that is driving higher yields. Interest rates that are based on the yields will make borrowing costs higher. Add to that fears of higher inflation would bring interest rate adjustments earlier than initially expected. The higher interest rates benefit big banks that drive the Financials sector higher. But it depresses the net present value that was priced into high growth sectors like Technology.
SP:SPX
by drewby4321
4
Sector Rotation March 2021Recent market sector rotation coming out of the COVID crash has confirmed Sector Rotation theory. I made this video to give viewers a brief introduction to the theory and provide some actionable investing ideas based on what Sector Rotation suggests will be the next stocks to potentially outperform. Sector Rotation theory suggests that from market bottoms the two sectors that should lead are Consumer Discretionary and Technology. These two sectors did in fact lead the market out of the COVID crash. The next sectors to lead as the market matures are Industrials and Materials. These too followed the theory through 2020 as the bull market grew. At the market top Energy is supposed to lead and sure enough we have seen quite the run on Energy related stocks. What that means going forward if the theory holds is that Consumer Staples and Healthcare should outperform the market.
AMEX:SPYEducation
by norok
19
Sector Winners and Losers week ending 2/12Energy (XLE) led for a second week in a row as crude oil prices continue to rise and optimism for economic recovery to bring demand back to oil and gas as transportation, travel and leisure sectors bounce back. Technology (XLK) and Health (XLV) led for Thursday as Energy pulled back for a day. However, Energy bounced back up to the week's highs on Friday. Consumer Staples (XLP) and Consumer Discretionary (XLY) both lost for the week. Core CPI numbers showed lower than expected inflation and weighed down on the two sectors. Utilities (XLU) was the bottom sector for the week. There was not much interest in this defensive play for equities this week.
SP:SPX
by drewby4321
4
Sector Winners and Losers week ending 1/29Real Estate (XLRE) and Utilities (XLU) are the top sectors for the week. Ouch! None of the sectors ended the week with gains as the S&P 500 pulled back -3.31%. Utilities led as the market opened on Monday morning. Communications (XLC) took a very brief lead on Tuesday, but the Real Estate took the top spot. Consumer Staples (XLP) attempted to take the lead on Wednesday, but couldn't hold the lead and ended in third place. Energy (XLE) was the worst performing sector of the week. The chart clearly shows the wild ride for the sectors on the last three days of the week. Wednesday had all sectors losing for the day. On Thursday, all sectors advanced. On Friday all sectors declined again. The relatively smooth ride for Real Estate, Utilities and Consumer Staples represents their position as defense moves for investors. All three sectors represent parts of the economy that must continue, even if other parts are recovering slowly or even failing.
SP:SPX
by drewby4321
ridethepig | Consumer Staples🛒 Consumer staples is dealing with a remarkable situation on the macro front which we have discussed at earlier opportunities (see ALPHA PROTOCOL: SEEKING IMMEDIATE EXTRACTION). One should be wary of the immediate risk for a waterfall as consumer staples hang onto the highs by a fingernail. After completing the 5 wave sequence to the topside, clearly the end of the road is approaching for this economic cycle and we must decline into 2021/2022 in order to untangle the flows for 2022 -> 2030. Time to start paying close attention for early signs of a turn. Risk is threatening to breakdown in an impulsive fashion, our opponents are attempting to prevent the breakdown, but with stimulus delayed till after the elections the protective move is out of the question this week. Strong support from a technical perspective is found at 53/52 and 48/47.
AMEX:XLPShort
by ridethepig
Is This Bullish or Bearish? Remember that narratives will be constructed every day in financial media based on emotions. The problem with this strategy is that they have already happened! It has already shown up on the chart. So today, we are going to look at one of the most important intermarket relationships. That is Consumer Discretionary vs Consumer Staples, or XLY/XLP. Let’s hop onto the chart. So what are we seeing here? Well the first thing that should catch your eye is the all time high. We love all time highs! They are bullish. When XLY is outperforming XLP on a relative basis, this is a “risk on” environment. The other thing we see is the overall bullish trend of higher highs and higher lows. Then we see the bearish divergence. Some people tend to think that a bearish divergence will cause a trend change, but when the overall trend is bullish, we have to remember that these usually just produce pullbacks and then the trend continues. So while this chart is bullish, we can wait and watch while the higher low forms. When the higher low forms, that is confirmation the "risk on" environment is alive and well. Keep this relationship in you back pocket. It is a great one to help you navigate the narratives of “the consumer is in bad shape”. If XLY is outperforming, the market is telling you otherwise. We would rather listen to the market than someone on CNBC. Happy Trading!
AMEX:XLYLong
by derzzycharts
ridethepig | Banks vs Utilities It ought to be known by everyone that it is necessary in certain recessions for dead cat bounces and over a typical 5 quarter economic cycle down, it is not uncommon for 1 or 2 of those quarters to be bullish. I suspect that the strength around all the discounted earnings from August is mostly baked in now. The concern, in the MT and LT, is the 2's 5's screaming recession is not over. Such a devastating blow that will have appeared too simple for many participants as Central Banks did not allow the manoeuvre to unfold yet. Here sellers should try to seize the lows; no matter how risk free the current environment may seem; confidence is damaged and civil unrest is in the game. I do hope my judgement of this is not over will be proven wrong, and that it really is different this time. As usual thanks for keeping the feedback coming 👍 or 👎
AMEX:KBEShort
by ridethepig