Metals & Miners Are About To EXPLODE HIGHER (50%-100%+)Please don't miss this opportunity.
I've been studying the metals charts, and last weekend, the SILJ chart caught my attention.
I started looking at longer intervals (Weekly and Monthly) to see what I could find.
XME and SILJ are showing excellent Inverted Excess Phase Peak patterns that may resolve as a breakaway upward price trend over the next 8 to 24+ months - sending both XME and SILJ over 40-50% higher at a minimum.
This sounds crazy, but Metals and Miners are probably the best opportunities for swing position trading right now as hedge investments and/or very long-term options play.
There is nothing else out there that has a 100-200% rally potential and the ability to hedge against global risk factors.
I believe SILJ, XME, Gold, Silver, & Platinum will likely be HUGE WINNERS over the next 12-24+ months.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
XME
Silver is gearing for a move up, but is it ready?Silver had a huge move up in 2020, but that was all it managed to do back then. Since its first significant peak in August 2020, it went sideways and started declining. Silver was in a big bear market since 2011, then entered an accumulation range, and then had its capitulation move in March 2020. Then with all the fiscal stimulus, it skyrocketed, but most capital flowed into crypto and stocks, not precious metals. As inflation remains high and interest rates could be near their peak, and investment in metal miners has gone down a lot over the last decade, this precious metal that seems to have lost its shine might be ready to shine again.
It looks like silver had a very healthy pullback into the top band of its accumulation range. Now resistance seems to have turned into support, and the market could head toward 24$ in the next few months. The truth is that I don't believe that the market has fully bottomed yet, although it could very well have, and that eventually, it will have on final leg down towards 16$ and bottom there. The main reason I think that has to do with how the market bottom is that there are two double bottoms around 17-18, and there is a little 'gap' at 16. Essentially I would like to see the market test 16$ because I want to see it thoroughly test that untested breakout, the Yearly S3 Pivot, and the Volume Profile Point of Control.
Another reason that I think the market will go down there again is that I expect a major deflationary episode to take place in 2023, one that has the potential to create a liquidity squeeze (risk asset collapse) that would affect precious metals too. In my opinion, the current move up in Gold, Copper, Silver, etc., mostly has to do with low production/inventories of metals, while demand seems to have bottomed in the short term. Eventually, the market will get crushed again, but I think the bounce has legs for now.
Therefore it would make sense to look for longs in the 16-20$ zone and take profits in the 21.7-24$ area. Shorting 24$ might be a good idea, but I would prefer to watch how the price action develops before I step in.
Update on my previous copper ideasDespite Copper falling 38% from its ATHs, we still haven't seen deflation, even though inflation seems to have peaked for now. The inflation story doesn't seem to be over; even inflation moderates and goes close to or below 2%. The big problem right now is that the Copper inventories are extremely low and that the demand for Copper seems to be increasing because of all the green technologies that are being developed. Therefore despite the high-interest rates and the drop in the money supply globally (reduction in overall liquidity, along with a strong dollar), it is possible to see Copper rally higher from here. With the recent drop in the dollar and the potential peak in the USD and short-term interest rates, the market may have bottomed.
Of course, this isn't the only reason the market has bottomed. Copper fell a lot, and it hit critical support. They seem to have bottomed at their previous significant highs along with Silver and reversed the upside. I don't think the final bottom is in, although it could be. In my opinion, the market is heading towards 4$ in the short term. Still, in a long time, it is directed towards 2.7$, and maybe even towards 1.6-1.9$ if we get the short-term deflationary collapse, I expect. After the failure, I think new ATHs will come, as Central Banks and Governments globally will print insane amounts of money to save their economies from collapsing.
Portfolio Selected Visuals (PSV) vol IThis is a list of my personal portfolio selected ETFs with the simplest visuals, using MACD as the only technical indicator and the trend lines with breaks or breakdowns to give us a new series of PSV charts. ;-)
Note that these are using Weekly charts, and a break out is qualified when there is a trendline break out accompanied by a MACD crossover (within a week or two).
From left to right...
GDX (Gold Miners ETF) qualified a break out on 31 Oct, after a higher low, but sees to have met resistance (red ellipse)
ILF (LatAm ETF) is still within a trapped range.
XLK (Technology ETF) qualified a break out on 14 Nov, after a higher low, but seems to have met resistance (red ellipse) soon after.
GXC (China ETF) qualified a break out on 28 Nov, after a higher low. Appears to have another break out above a resistance line.
XLE (Energy ETF) qualified a break out on 17 Oct, after a higher low, but seems to have broke down of support/resistance (red ellipse).
INDY (India ETF) qualified a break out on 31 Oct, after a higher low, but seems to have met resistance (red ellipse).
XME (Metal Mining ETF) qualified a break out on 24 Oct, after a higher low, but seems to have met resistance (red ellipse).
EWS (Singapore ETF) qualified a break out on 14 Nov, without a higher low, and further qualified a better stronger break out pattern on 28 Nov.
From this set of visuals, GXC and EWS are the front runners. GDX appears a close third.
Crude Oil Continues To Slide Downward - $55~65 on target.Did you follow my research from late October/early November?
So many people thought Crude Oil would climb higher on supply concerns (related to Winter/Europe). But here we are sliding below $75 (soon) and targeting the mid-$60s.
My call from October was that we may see $64 to $67 as a base. Now, I'm thinking we may see $54 to $57 as a base.
What is going to prompt demand for Oil when the world is struggling with post-COVID inflation and the US is in the early stages of a moderate recession?
The post COVID commodities recovery phase pushed Crude well above $110 for a while, but now we are starting to transition back to "normal" in terms of true supply/demand.
In my opinion, Crude will settle between $55 ~ $65, then attempt to find some support.
Follow my research.
9/11/22 NUENucor Corporation ( NYSE:NUE )
Sector: Non-Energy Minerals (Steel)
Market Capitalization: 37.582B
Current Price: $143.56
Breakout price: $144.60
Buy Zone (Top/Bottom Range): $142.30-$134.95
Price Target: $152.50-$154.60
Estimated Duration to Target: 18-20d
Contract of Interest: $NUE 10/21/22 145c
Trade price as of publish date: $7.65/contract
$GLD Gold looks good for a bounceI went long debit spreads this morning on GLD, looking for mean reversion to 21DMA at the least
Technically bulls have stepped in right where they needed to prevented further breakdown and defending the 157 zone support line that's played as a major pivot zone for 2+ years now.
Quick move to $162 is first PT
XME metals & mining BO falling wedge, targets 82 measured flagXME is one of the few etfs that still have a large upside in an environment of high inflation & supply chain issues especially those related to EVs, batteries, semiconductors & renewable energy.
82 will be the measured move of a bull flag BO. 82 is also a confluence of FIB 1.618 & 3.0 & 0.786.
39 is a very strong support so this support will hold & therefore gives a very good risk-to-reward ratio.
Not trading advice
Buying opportunity for XME?XME tracks an equal-weighted index of US metals and mining companies. The listed name for XME is SPDR S&P Metals & Mining ETF.
As you know, making massive gains from investing is easier said than done.
Like so many of our readers, you see the “investment experts” talking about their huge wins and successes…
You see the “legendary” stock picks that got 1000% returns in one day, and “The One Device” that’s going to “change everything.”
So, like some of our readers, you may have paid for those products…
And then you may have received something that doesn’t fulfill the promises they made to you...
Every investor in the world loses money sometimes. No matter how famous. No matter how successful…
And if someone isn’t transparent with you about their losses, they’re basically not helping you learn from their mistakes.
So if an “expert” isn’t willing to show you their losses… and therefore protect you from making the same mistakes they did… how and why are they going to help you?
It’s common sense. We believe you should demand transparency when it comes to something as important as your investments.
We believe in a free exchange of ideas for investing, trading, income, asset ownership, and wealth preservation.
Our publication was created to help the average investor identify the best opportunities for building wealth. We provide information and ideas about investing, asset ownership and wealth preservation so you can make smart decisions with your money.
Everyday, our teams curates the most relevant and timely investing information...
XME metals & mining targets 81.83 thru bullish flag.XME targets 81.83 if this bullish flag pattern plays out.
XLE energy & XME metal & mining are very sentive to geopolitical events happening now. They belong to a class of their own unlike XLF, XLI, XLY & XLK which are more cyclical depending on economic conditions.
Energy & commodities crisis are not going away soon.
Not trading advice
$AMRK Bullish breakoutBullish breakout and good volume on A-Mark precious metals today up over 8%
Projected move is to $95 zone in next few weeks.
Really like the set up here with this stock consolidating nicely before each leg up and continuously grinding higher.
Bullish on anything coming out of the ground right now :)
Options chain was a little dry for me, I'm long shares.
3/20/22 RSReliance Steel & Aluminum Co. ( NYSE:RS )
Sector: Non-Energy Minerals (Steel)
Market Capitalization: $11.816B
Current Price: $191.50
Breakout price: $192.00
Buy Zone (Top/Bottom Range): $187.50-$181.50
Price Target: $209.20-$210.90
Estimated Duration to Target: 68-70d
Contract of Interest: $RS 6/17/22 195c
Trade price as of publish date: $11.30/contract
XME Metals and Mining Weekly Long IdeaWeekly chart on XME looks bullish IMO.
I went long commons with price targets above 53.5 and 59 , stop around 48.
Nice breakout retest bounce and the volume leads me to be bias to more upside.
Swinging this with shares, but the April 54C also looks active with 3K OI
AA - Long SqueezeAA cleared the earnings hurdle today and maintained prices levels despite another market down day.
1. Strong daily and weekly trend.
2. 4 bar squeeze.
3. Visible price levels and sitting at volume profile levels.
4. Commodity cycle with inflation to help with tailwind.
5. XME is at the top of channel and AA is strong within the ETF.
Entry: 59.50, 58.05 and 56.65
Stop Loss - 53.45
Profit Target - 61.50.
Good Luck!
XMR - MONERO Long TradeMONERO looks ready for a next long trade setup. RRR is decent depending on your TP , more short or long term.
Price came down approx 65% from ATH. Market info and trade template included as always
I really like such setups
Elliott Wave View: XME Should See Further UpsideShort Term Elliott Wave structure for XME (S&P Metals & Mining ETF) suggests the rally from March 25, 2021 low is unfolding as a 5 waves impulse Elliott Wave structure. Wave 3 of this impulse ended at 47.27 and pullback in wave 4 ended at 43. Internal subdivision of wave 4 unfolded as a zigzag. Down from wave 3, wave ((a)) ended at 44, and bounce in wave ((b)) ended at 46.70. The ETF then extended lower in wave ((c)) towards 43.
Wave 4 ended at the 100% – 161.8% Fibonacci extension from wave 3 at 41.38 – 43.41 and the ETF rallied nicely from there. It has broken above wave 3 high suggesting the next leg higher in wave 5 has started. Up from wave 4, wave ((i)) ended at 45.56, and pullback in wave ((ii)) ended at 43.74. Wave ((iii)) remains in progress and can see 3 more highs before ending. Afterwards, a pullback in wave ((iv)) is expected to correct cycle from wave ((ii)) low on May 14 before the rally resumes. Near term, as far as pivot at 43 low on May 13 stays intact, expect the ETF to extend higher.
OPENING: XME JUNE 19TH 24/30 SHORT STRANGLE... for a .94 credit.
Notes: Selling a delta neutral short strangle in the first expiry in which the at-the-money short straddle is paying greater than 10% of the underlying. Given the smallness of the instrument, will do additive adjustments if necessary to delta under hedge.