XMRBTC 4HRzooming in to the 4HR OHLC chart we can see some more detail in the swing high.
Left circle is resistance, the price point where the last attempt to break out of the beartrend failed.
The right circle shows what we call the break.
Observed a lot in breakups like these, there is a moment of pause in the swing high, usually represented by a few candles closing and opening close to each other as price trades sideways for a short bit before moving up throught the level.
The same area is supporting the price when it comes back down to test support, this is what we call resistance becoming support.
Officially the elephant trade has already happened for this swing up as we already had a nice retracement back to support and a good bounce from our buy levels.
This is why I am already long, I just took half profit at target to secure some profits.
Should you still want a long position you can still use these levels with a stop just below the 0.786 fib.
I would recommend trying to scale into a position between the 0.50 and the 0.618 fib levels.
Safest option is to wait for the next legup and buy the dip on support again.
Stay tuned.
XMRBTC
XMRBTC NEW MARKETCYCLEThe Daily is looking good on XMRBTC, after months of decline all the way back to the 0.883 retracement level ,which we consider a completion of a market cycle, we observe a nice swing high back above the 55 Moving Average.
There is still a lack of volume compared to the previous kickoff observed last November which makes me think we could make a really big move up should the volume pick up here.
Even tho I am already Long (4HR Elephant Wave), I do expect some swings to come in, in a ranging pattern before breaking up.
See next chart for details
Monero / USD dipping target after it's recent pump +27%Monero has been underwater below 100 USD level along with it's price against Bitcoin was around 131-135ish. This moment surely used for accumulating this one and only remarkable privacy coin so far.
As people start taking profit, i suggest to also look into Bitcoin price movement which quite volatile to go north right now and with that being said, there will be any moment that Bitcoin price might go south and affect all of the alt-coins prices including monero.
I'm looking for retracement around 0.5 fib level and below before you start getting new entry, while this view also supported with RSI level that has already overbought.
Monero Giving Us Some Reasons to Feel Bullish Foreword
Given Monero’s bullish price action as of late, it has received a slew of attention around the crypto community for its stellar performance.
Therefore, we’re going to go ahead and cover the coin again to see what’s happened since we last took a look at it.
Monero Price Analysis
The chart above displays the XMR/BTC pairing on the H4.
The second panel shows the Zero_n0ncense BoP RSI Xtreme (unreleased). This indicator takes the Balance of Power and shifts it to an RSI scale in a smoothed manner while infusing a couple of additional elements to dictate signals of impending reversal.
The purpose of this indicator is to allow the trader to anticipate a reversal in the price as early as possible.
As we can see in the picture above, the BoP RSI Xtreme was effective in doing just that.
From this along with past data, we can validate that this indicator is valid. We’ll keep that in our backpocket when assessing additional XMR charts on different time frames and against the USD/USDT pairing.
Monero On the Daily (XMR / BTC )
What should be immediately apparent to those that are looking at the chart for the first time is that the uptrend that’s been in effect since late August has held true.
If the price of Monero holds on the daily, then this would be the third time that the uptrend has been tested successfully without a throwback in the price.
The transparent green boxes in the picture above symbolize the three times that this uptrend line has been tested. According to modern trading theory, the third time’s the charm (i.e., if a line is tested more than three times, it can be considered ‘valid’; only two times is iffy).
This is Coming Off the Double Bottom On the Daily (Significant)
What’s even more important to remember than the ‘target’ that’s established by the double-bottom pattern is the fact that it most often indicates that there is a trend reversal of some sort that has occurred.
Reversal does not mean trend break. Thus, a trend reversal from a downtrend = uptrend.
And indeed, the uptrend did begin on the second dip of the ‘W’.
Looking at the Potential Future Price Action For Monero
So, the takeaway here is that the price is pretty firmly nestled with the uptrend serving as a reliable support (at this point) on the daily with an additional support point that exists right below the current price.
Exponential Moving Averages
On the chart above, we can see the EMA-100 (blue line) and the EMA-200 (purple line).
The current value of both exponential moving averages are marked with a dotted dash line.
From our studies in EMAs, we know that when the price is above the EMA, it serves as support, when it is below, the EMAs serve as resistance points.
Thus, the two EMAs that you can see above are resistance points.
EMA-100 (daily) = .017899
EMA-200 (daily) = .019673
Here is the takeaway from the three EMA indicators that you see in the chart above:
1. EMA 12 > EMA 26 > EMA 50 = positive; Shows there’s been some subtantive bullish momentum.
2. For Heikin Ashi, the EMA-12 appears to be holding. If it continues to hold, then breaking through the overhead support points that have been established by the EMA-100 and EMA-200 should not be difficult.
The support points (per EMA) on the chart are as follows:
EMA-50 = .016823
EMA-26 = .016890
EMA-12 = .017365
The price, at the time of writing is sitting at .017667
To reiterate, the EMA-50 tends to be the most reliable (in crypto at least), when it comes to ‘standing its ground’ as a resistance/support point. This bodes well for Monero bulls.
Relative Strength Index (14)
In the above picture, you’ll spot the RSI(14) for the daily chart. The reason why there are green and red colors are because this is a specialized RSI by the author of the article (like the other one), that is designed to render buy and sell signals.
The indicator is currently unreleased (will be avaialable soon).
As we can see on the chart above, the RSI(14) has shown stepped improvement and is not currently overbought on the daily. The trendline is placed in the photo to help illustrate the trend of the RSI in general.
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD)
While it seems like investors should be wary of the MACD indicator’s reading above (especially since it looks like it just flashed a preliminary sell signal), it should also be noted that there was not a cross in the MACD (that’s the sell/buy signal confirmation). Thus, the trend (uptrend) is still technically confirmed on the daily.
The MACD mostly reflects the price action anyway, from the author’s standpoint. The MACD would more than likely signal a sell if there were sideways movement for another day or so, which would be indicative of a technical ‘break’ uptrend that the price is trading against, which would mean that the support point we plotted that’s directly below where the price is now would become the next target.
Conclusion
In Conclusion, there are a fair amount of reasons for why one should be very bullish for Monero currently.
1. We’re reviewing the XMR / BTC pairing and not the XMR /USD(T) pairing. This is important because our earlier prediction with Bitcoin anticipated another rise on the price of Bitcoin. Therefore, the price of Monero (USD-wise), may accelerate even further. This opens up the trading strategy of investing in a long position on Monero to enhance one’s fiat profit gains, then consolidating the gains by exiting the position then entering a position in Bitcoin after its next consolidation phase or until another coin is found that shows prolonged appreciation against the price of Bitcoin.
2. The majority of the signals and patterns that we identified on the chart appear to be largely bullish in nature. This is yet another good sign.
3. The sentiment toward Monero has been positive in general. This is something that’s underrated and often overlooked, but it can become a great catalyst for the price action of certain assets/currencies.
R/R Recommendation:
(Please note, this isn’t financial advice; any trades that you make are your own responsibility)
XMR/BTCXmr have 2 event in this month prnt.sc listing dan bulletproof release
Buy
174-168
Area buy back
154-148
Sell
210
233
260
There is a possibility for the beginning of an uptrend in XMRBTCTechnical analysis:
. MONERO/BITCOIN is in a range bound and the beginning of uptrend is expected.
. The price is above the 21-Day WEMA which acts as a dynamic support.
. The RSI is at 62.
. The RSI downtrend & The price downtrend in the daily chart are broken, so the probability of the resumption of an uptrend is increased.
Trading suggestion:
. There is a possibility of temporary retracement to suggested support zone (0.0153 to 0.0141). if so, traders can set orders based on Price Action and expect to reach short-term targets.
Beginning of entry zone (0.0153)
Ending of entry zone (0.0141)
Entry signal:
Signal to enter the market occurs when the price comes to "Buy zone" then forms one of the reversal patterns, whether "Bullish Engulfing" , "Hammer" or "Valley" in other words,
NO entry signal when the price comes to the zone BUT after any of the reversal patterns is formed in the zone.
To learn more about "Entry signal" and the special version of our "Price Action" strategy FOLLOW our lessons:
Take Profits:
TP1= @ 0.0167
TP2= @ 0.0180
TP3= @ 0.0191
TP4= @ 0.0200
TP5= @ 0.0211
TP6= @ 0.0220
TP7= @ 0.0232
TP8= @ 0.0249
TP9= @ 0.0262
TP10= @ 0.0273
TP11= @ 0.0304
TP12= @ 0.0320
TP13= Free
There is a possibility for the beginning of an uptrend in XMRBTCTechnical analysis:
. MONERO/BITCOIN is in a range bound and the beginning of uptrend is expected.
. The price is above the 21-Day WEMA which acts as a dynamic support.
. The RSI is at 62.
. The RSI downtrend & The price downtrend in the daily chart are broken, so the probability of the resumption of an uptrend is increased.
Trading suggestion:
. There is a possibility of temporary retracement to suggested support zone (0.0153 to 0.0141). if so, traders can set orders based on Price Action and expect to reach short-term targets.
Beginning of entry zone (0.0153)
Ending of entry zone (0.0141)
Entry signal:
Signal to enter the market occurs when the price comes to "Buy zone" then forms one of the reversal patterns, whether "Bullish Engulfing" , "Hammer" or "Valley" in other words,
NO entry signal when the price comes to the zone BUT after any of the reversal patterns is formed in the zone.
To learn more about "Entry signal" and the special version of our "Price Action" strategy FOLLOW our lessons:
Take Profits:
TP1= @ 0.0167
TP2= @ 0.0180
TP3= @ 0.0191
TP4= @ 0.0200
TP5= @ 0.0211
TP6= @ 0.0220
TP7= @ 0.0232
TP8= @ 0.0249
TP9= @ 0.0262
TP10= @ 0.0273
TP11= @ 0.0304
TP12= @ 0.0320
TP13= Free
Monero's correction is finishedAs correctly analyzed, Monero broke above the trend line resistance and corrected higher. We wrote on Aug 27 that "...the 100 DMA is approaching the horizontal resistance and IF Monero gets eventually there, we may have a confluence of two huge resistance players - horizontal line and 100 DMA, around 0.01770". As a result, the coin did exactly the same, moreover, it pushed even higher to 0.01930 and got almost to the second zone of resistance - 38.2% Fibonacci support. The coin created a shooting star candlestick formation which is a bearish sign. This formation prompted a retracement and the coin is now trading back below the 100 DMA and a horizontal resistance, which ultimately means that correction is finished and we are again looking to test the major support zone between 0.01300 - 0.014000. We are looking for a test of that zone once again, with a higher probability now to make a break. If this happens, look for a quick trip to the next support zone around 0.01100.
Monero Battling With Strong Resistance: A Big Test For The BullsLook at the 1D XMR/BTC we can see that the current uptrending asset has met a strong resistance (white dotted line) which is preventing it from breaking cleanly through the resisting Kumo, on the Ichimoku indicator.
CMF is showing increased buying pressure but now the asset has spilled into the overbought region on the RSI.
Bulls will need to drive beyond this resistance and potentially find support on top of it, to refuel before attempting another impulse move.
For now there is speculation that this pump is being orchestrated by an old Silk Road wallet trading out of BTC into XMR. If this is true then it's likely that Monero will P&D back to lower support regions, in the absence of genuine sentiment.