Monero Hard Fork: Don’t Panic, Don’t Fall for Scamswww.investinblockchain.com
Hard forks have something of a bad reputation. On the surface they’re little more than blockchain project updates, the equivalent of a new version release. But because of events like the Bitcoin/Bitcoin Cash split, whenever uninformed crypto investors see a hard fork ahead, they enter panic mode.
Hard forks are normal, healthy events in a blockchain project’s life cycle. Ethereum has regular hard forks as part of its roadmap, as do other cryptocurrencies. No matter how much planning or education goes into them, though, it’s not uncommon to see price fluctuations or other drama when an altcoin goes through a hard fork.
Monero has a hard fork scheduled for the end of March 2018. This scheduled hard fork has seen a handful of fake coins and scam airdrops, all ready to take advantage of Monero holders who don’t do their research. Below, we take a look at the Monero fork and some of the unfortunate buzz that surrounds it.
Cryptocurrency Forks
Forks in the cryptocurrency world represent a point in the development cycle when the blockchain splits in two. From a user’s perspective, you can think of them as a planned upgrade, one that can include backward compatibility (soft forks) or represent an irreversible shift in the underlying structure of the blockchain (hard forks).
Hard forks are a bigger deal than soft forks, mainly because transactions made after the fork are not compatible with the old blockchain. This means that miners and wallet holders will need to update their software to keep using the currency.
When a hard fork occurs, the coin usually continues forward without showing obvious signs of internal changes. Transactions are carried out, hodlers sit atop their hoards, no big deal. Other times significant shifts are introduced, including new coins based on the old blockchain’s code.
The classic example of this is Bitcoin spawning Bitcoin Cash, a move that still sparks hot debate across the web.
What You Need to Know About the Monero Hard Fork
Monero’s development team has hard forks scheduled approximately every six months. The March 2018 fork isn’t out of the ordinary, and no drastic changes are being introduced, especially not a new coin. In fact, some of the Monero community wants to call these hard forks “network upgrades” to help keep hysteria to a minimum.
In general, Monero’s hard forks introduce new security features and protocol changes. This one adds some important proof-of-work changes to help maintain ASIC resistance, which has been part of the development team’s roadmap all along.
One reason this Monero fork has gotten extra attention is due to coin scams when a few hard fork projects appeared. Through a combination of sloppy journalism and copy/paste social media sharing, these projects have became synonymous with the original Monero, prompting a lot of users to falsely believe their beloved cryptocurrency was splitting like Bitcoin and Bitcoin Cash did.
Monero and Not Monero
The biggest bit of drama surrounding the March 2018 hard fork didn’t come from the Monero community or the Monero developers. It has come from MoneroV. This project appeared just as talk of the actual Monero fork started to pick up, promising a finite coin cap and a 10x airdrop to Monero holders.
Here’s the thing about MoneroV, though: it has nothing to do with Monero or the Monero team.
In an interview with BTCManager, Monero’s Justin Ehrenhofer stated quite clearly:
The people behind MoneroV are likely scammers or attackers.
The official Monero Twitter account also released a statement reiterating they have nothing to do with MoneroV. As far as anyone can tell, the project exists simply to get Monero holders’ private keys.
There’s also a lighter side to the hard fork drama. WOWNERO isn’t actually an altcoin, it didn’t try to scam anyone, and it’s not even a real project. It’s just a joke.
XMRBTC
Monero Building A Six Month Rising WedgeMonero is a great coin, but from a TA perspective it has had 5 months of strong moves upwards and I feel that it's almost time for the inevitable correction. We are building a large, 6 month rising wedge, which is of course a strong bearish pattern. This combined with the fact that the MoneroV fork has been delayed by a month (which confirms to me what a trashy, moneygrabbing scheme it is) will mean that many traders who were in it for some free coins will not want to have their funds locked up for 7 weeks.
In terms of hard TA there are many positive signals. Stoch is oversold, RSI is decent, the ichimoku cloud is giving 3/3 bullish signals. BUT, as I've learned in the past, market cycle overrides everything else. If the price closes beneath the wedge then we will have a break down. If it closes beneath the trigger we will have the break down confirmed.
The golden line is a key support line that I have identified as the most important in Monero's history. If it crosses below that we could be going to 0.02 or under.
XMRBTC - Longs are trapped.Breaking down from the ascending triangle, the longs who believed on the break of the ATH are essentially trapped.
All bounce will be taken as a sell opportunity by the bulls to cover their long positions.
Bearish in the short term.
XMRBTC XABCD and double bottomXMR grew significantly yesterday and started a correction. Double (triple) bottom was formed which completed XABCD pattern. We expect a reverse of the trend and mid - long term growth of this coin. Moreover a great fundamentals and growing dark net demand will skyrocket the price of XMR. Furthermore there is an upcoming fork XMV.
XMR/BTC (Volume Analysis Prediction 2/23/2018)
Price in the triangle.
Enter in the lower border of the triangle
We have good risk / reward ratio
XMRBTC Ascending triangle Going to wait for the breakout first. This bipolar coin does what it wants.
Transaction fees add up. Smallest fees on the market: www.binance.com
XMR AB=CD Traders,
Here we have XMR/USD 4H chart.
By looking at this chart we have a complete AB=CD pattern that will short this chart for awhile before the determined hard fork.
C-D bull trend breaking down will be confirmed next few hours and we will dive for few days to recover the bull trend again before the airdrop snap
Regards,
Mohsen
Monero's growth channel ; XMV fork and All time HighHi people!
MONERO NEVER CEASED TO GROW in relation to Bitcoin.
In long term - it always growths in average speed characterised by a growth channel.
If I would zoom out, You would see that the channel is even more prominent than visible here (However it would be harder to discern the other important - present action)
I always follow this trend to adjust my price expectations. It is easy to follow, and it always paid of to me (especially in mid scale terms)
Or if I express it better - the price fluctuates very predictably around the mid trend-line (blue dots) - already from the year 2016.
By reasons not described here more in detail (analysis of growth in log scale) .. I may expect, that the growth will not cease - at least not till August (and price of 0.045). And maybe, maybe in this August we may see some change in this pattern. (Maybe I could make a chart about my thoughts on that subject?)... So for now, just watch it, whether I am right :-).
So my prediction here in short term?
The All time high (ATH) - if it is breached the previous ATH we may shoot up to the second target, it is one scenario. .... I am not sure about that, though.
No idea now how strong will be defence of that price and how attractive will be the fork coming on 14th March.... and also an action on the bitcoin front.
Before that, NOW WE ARE in well published - small ascending triangle (hardly visible on my chart, I know, yet it is there if you zoom in), so I expect that - all combined together
- the attack on the price level of ATH is pretty much secured as a given thing and that should be our target one.
After that, whether we breach ATH price or not, we may see some mid term dip ... however, you know Monero, it will be not for very long :-).
So second scenario is - we secure the first target below ATH, we will fight the bears for a while, and limp down for a while. (depression from this fall should be smaller)
Monero upward momentumXMRBTC had a dip below the Trend Line last few days but bounced off from the 0.0275 support line and returned to the bullish bias.
Today the pair showed sustained upward momentum (stands out among most of coins) accompanied by high volumes, which is a positive sign for bulls.
So, the bullish tendency of bounces from the Trend Line remains. From the upside, the 23.6% Fibonacci zone, which contains 0.03 psychological level, will act as a resistance.
From the downside, Trend lines will play as a support.
While everyone falls Monero growthMonero is one of the unique coins on the market today. A unique feature of the Monero, to grow when all the others fall, brightly highlights on the market's window.
The main reason for such behavior is the main feature of Monero, which makes irreplaceable for the ones who need anonymity from the possible government regulations of the crypto markets.
On the eve of the reports and conferences planned for the G20 summit, at which the heads of European countries are going to negotiate about bitcoin and other cryptos regulations the Monero looks like a safe haven for many.
So, while everyone was falling - XMRBTC broke the 0.03 resistance and turned it tot he support. Now XMR is getting close to the 0.0355 peak (2017.08.27), an overcoming of this hight will highlight Monero among others even more.
Nonetheless, overcoming of the 0.03 - 0.035 zone will not pass easily. The coin is in an overbought pattern, so corrections to the 0.03 support look logical.
Trading levels for today are 0.032 from the downside, 0.033 from above and Trend Line of the latest uptrend.