XMR SHORT PROJECTIONXMR is currently experiencing a sideways price action, with a notable strong resistance capping its price movement, preventing it from surpassing the $170 level on the daily timeframe. In light of this, we anticipate a downside momentum to act as a correction leg for the previous bullish trend. Simultaneously, we are closely observing for a potential bearish breakout to occur on the support within this market structure.
Xmrusd
XMRUSD MONERO Long Bullish can go to 190 USDAccording to our current Monero price prediction, the value of Monero is predicted to drop by -2.32% and reach $ 164.17 by July 6, 2023. According to our technical indicators, the current sentiment is Bullish while the Fear & Greed Index is showing 59 (Greed). Monero recorded 21/30 (70%) green days with 7.04% price volatility over the last 30 days. Based on our Monero forecast, it's now a good time to buy Monero.
Based on data from July 01, 2023 at 20:43, the general Monero price prediction sentiment is bullish with 25 technical analysis indicators signaling bullish signals, and 8 signaling bearish signals.
Technical Analysis Bullish
1 Monero makes 3 weeks Higher Lows and Higher Highs
2 Trend continuation Confirmation RSI
See Circles
10 Nov 2022
9th March 2022
10th June 2022
3 RSI is above 50
4 Rsi confirmation is Bullish
5 Volume is increasing Bullish
6 We have rising POCs
7 Volume Value has been shifting higher
8 Monero is currently trading above the 200-day simple moving average (SMA). The 200-day SMA has been signaling BUY for the last 8 days, since Jun 23, 2023.
The price of Monero is currently above the 50-day SMA and this indicator has been signaling BUY for the last 9 days, since Jun 22, 2023.
The most recent Death Cross in the Bitcoin market happened 30 days ago, on Jun 01, 2023. Meanwhile, a Golden Cross last occurred on Jan 09, 2023, which was 173 days ago.
Based on our technical indicators, Monero's 200-day SMA will rise in the next month and will hit $ 153.22 by Jul 31, 2023. Monero's short-term 50-Day SMA is estimated to hit $ 159.61 by Jul 31, 2023.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) momentum oscillator is a popular indicator that signals whether a cryptocurrency is oversold (below 30) or overbought (above 70). Currently, the RSI value is at 74.32, which indicates that the XMR market is in a overbought position. The RSI indicator suggests that the price of XMR will increase.
Monero reached its highest price on Jan 9, 2018 when it was trading at its all-time high of $ 593.42, while Monero's lowest price was recorded on Jan 14, 2015 when it was trading at its all-time low of $ 0.212967. The lowest price since it's ATH was $ 26.23 (cycle low). The highest XMR price since the last cycle low was $ 514.43 (cycle high). The Monero price prediction sentiment is currently bullish, while Fear & Greed Index is showing 59 (Greed).
Monero's current circulating supply is 18.30M XMR out of max supply of 18.20M XMR. The current yearly supply inflation rate is 0.86% meaning 156,872 XMR were created in the last year. In terms of market cap, Monero is currently ranked #5 in the Proof-of-Work Coins sector, ranked #1 in the Privacy Coins sector and ranked #15 in the Layer 1 sector.
Highlights
Price has increased by 48% in the last 1 year
Outperformed 79% of the top 100 crypto assets in 1 year
Trading above the 200-day simple moving average
21 green days in the last 30 days (70%)
Trading on Binance
Trading with Euro
Yearly inflation rate is 0.86%
Monero price in US Dollar has increased by 13.08% in the last 1 month. XMR is up 10.29% against Ethereum and down -0.47% against Bitcoin in the last 1 month.
The top-performing year for Monero was 2016 when the price of XMR increased by 2,830.22% from $ 0.470402 to $ 13.78. The worst performing year for Monero was 2018 when the price dropped by -86.72% from $ 349.16 to $ 46.38. The average yearly growth of Monero over the last 10 years is 595.55% per year. Usually, Monero performs best in Q3 with an average of 59.43% gain and worst in Q2 with 11.17% gain.
Risk Analysis
Outperformed by Bitcoin and Ethereum
Down -72% from all-time high
Has medium liquidity based on its market cap
How is the price positioned in comparison to the all-time high?
The price is currently down -72% from the all-time high.
How is the price positioned in comparison to the cycle high/low?
Monero is currently trading at -67.40% below cycle high and 539.17% above cycle low.
Is the price highly volatile?
The 30-day volatility is above 30% and is currently at null%
Does it have enough liquidity based on market cap to volume ratio?
Has medium liquidity with 0.0282 volume to market cap ratio. The current market cap is $ 3.07B while the 24-hour volume is $ 86.46M
Is the total supply high in comparison with the circulating supply?
Over 101% of the total supply is in circulation.
Is the current inflation below 2% per year?
The yearly inflation rate is 0.86% meaning there were 156,872 coins generated in the last 1 year.
According to our current Monero price prediction, the value of Monero is predicted to drop by -2.32% and reach $ 164.17 by July 6, 2023. According to our technical indicators, the current sentiment is Bullish while the Fear & Greed Index is showing 59 (Greed). Monero recorded 21/30 (70%) green days with 7.04% price volatility over the last 30 days. Based on our Monero forecast, it's now a good time to buy Monero.
Comparing Monero against other important technological innovations and trends is one way of predicting where the Monero price could head over the long term. The table above shows what the Monero price would be by end of year 2024, 2025, and 2026 if its growth trajectory followed the growth of the internet, or large tech companies like Google and Facebook in their growth phase.
In the best case scenario, XMR price prediction for year 2026 is $ 3,836.33 if it follows Facebook growth. In case Monero would follow Internet growth the prediction for 2026 would be $ 440.09.
Monero Key Price Levels
Based on today's classical pivot point (P1) with the value of $ 166.97, Monero has support levels of $ 164.34, $ 160.29, and the strongest at $ 157.66. Similarly, Monero resistance levels are at $ 171.02, $ 173.65, and $ 177.70..
Monero Correlation
Over the past 7 days, Monero price was most positively correlated with the price of TRON (TRX), Stellar (XLM), Bitcoin Cash (BCH), Zcash (ZEC) and Bitcoin SV (BSV) and most negatively correlated with the price of XRP (XRP), OKB (OKB), Cardano (ADA), NEM (XEM) and Binance Coin (BNB).
Monero price is positively correlated with the top 10 coins by marketcap with a value of 0.119, excluding Tether (USDT) and positively correlated with the top 100 coins by marketcap excluding all stablecoins with a value of 0.107.
Currencies that are positively correlated with Monero indicate that the movement of one has a statistically significant weight to lead the other in the same direction. For currencies that are negatively correlated with Monero, a move in one direction for Monero would translate into a move in the opposite direction for the negatively correlated coin.
Monero Price Forecast(Probability 69%) This is just a mathematical methode to trade my own accont, Okease note that it is for educational and informative issue, and you should use stops and proper risk and money mangemnt to protect your capital.
Date Price Change
Jul 2, 2023 $ 168.17 0.06%
Jul 3, 2023 $ 169.11 0.62%
Jul 4, 2023 $ 171.83 2.24%
Jul 5, 2023 $ 170.25 1.30%
Jul 6, 2023 $ 164.17 -2.32%
Jul 7, 2023 $ 170.84 1.65%
Jul 8, 2023 $ 166.89 -0.70%
Jul 9, 2023 $ 165.08 -1.78%
Jul 10, 2023 $ 151.52 -9.85%
Jul 11, 2023 $ 158.89 -5.46%
Jul 12, 2023 $ 157.76 -6.13%
Jul 13, 2023 $ 160.38 -4.57%
Jul 14, 2023 $ 155.57 -7.43%
Jul 15, 2023 $ 151.87 -9.63%
Jul 16, 2023 $ 156.14 -7.10%
Jul 17, 2023 $ 155.08 -7.73%
Jul 18, 2023 $ 155.62 -7.40%
Jul 19, 2023 $ 157.16 -6.49%
Jul 20, 2023 $ 156.53 -6.86%
Jul 21, 2023 $ 164.10 -2.36%
Jul 22, 2023 $ 165.61 -1.46%
Jul 23, 2023 $ 169.10 0.62%
Jul 24, 2023 $ 175.47 4.41%
Jul 25, 2023 $ 176.17 4.83%
Jul 26, 2023 $ 179.92 7.06%
Jul 27, 2023 $ 185.74 10.52%
Jul 28, 2023 $ 190.11 13.12%
Jul 29, 2023 $ 183.07 8.93%
Jul 30, 2023 $ 187.35 11.48%
Jul 31, 2023 $ 187.86 11.78%
XMRUSD ❕ decline after the resistanceXMR repeatedly failed to break resistance.
The asset broke down through the 50EMA on the 4H TF.
RSI fell below 50 points.
I think the chart will continue lower after fixing under the support level.
XMR Appears to be in a Cup and Handle Continuation patternThere is a lot of bullishness in the XMR chart despite everything that is going along globally with politics and economics. For a long time I have watched XMR with the assumption that it may be forming a massive double top but so far that has not materialized
A zoom in onto the handle shows a clear falling wedge which has a bullish bias. There is a double bottom that has been forming late since late January and it seems that the inverse head and shoulders is beginning to perform. I hope for this to proceed rather impulsively in short order and I have my entry at the neckline of the pattern. Price action can squirt right out of the wedge or price may flip the wedge resistance to support with a retest.
The main chart shows some of the other targets in red on the fib or at the full flag pole performance. There is chance that we get a throwback to the height of the cup at about $515 once we reach some intermittent targets.
Price action has found support on both the 200SMA and the 200EMA as shown below. Candle bodies on the EMA and wicks to the SMA. Finding support on such long term moving averages is bullish but also opens price action to test it repeatedly as support before really taking off.
The moving averages are under a weekly death cross so I expect to see some activity at the 50 SMA. Hopefully a nice flag continuation pattern but I can address that in due time.
The main noise in my head about this trade is my intense long term bearishness on equities and how crypto has generally moved in sync with with equities. We don't have the same data with crypto and equities running in opposite directions that we do with say equities and gold or silver. But bullish chart patterns are bullish chart patterns and I am going to trade this bullishly.
XMRUSD ❕ held the uptrend lineXMR exited the downward channel, formed an uptrend line and formed a bullish takeover.
Price has fixed above 50EMA (4H TF)
50EMA has broken up 200EMA (1H TF)
The RSI chart is moving in a buy zone (4H, 1H and 30m TFs)
I believe the asset may continue to rise after fixing above the resistance level.
Downward Trend and Key Support LevelsOver the past month, XMR has been trending downwards, experiencing a moderate level of selling pressure. This led to the breach of its initial support level around $147, and the price subsequently hit the second support level at approximately $136. As anticipated, there was a positive reaction at the second support level, resulting in a 6% increase in XMR's price. However, the buying power was not sufficient to break through the resistance at the $147 range, indicating a pullback in the ongoing downward trend.
The RSI level for XMR is currently at 37, indicating a moderate level of downward momentum. This suggests that there is still some selling pressure on XMR, but it is not yet in an oversold condition. The RSI level of 37 aligns with the overall analysis, confirming the presence of bearish sentiment in the market.
As the selling pressure persists, XMR lost support at the $136 range and is now testing an important support level situated between $122 and $128. This support level corresponds to the starting range of the last upward movement observed on a weekly basis. It is crucial for XMR to hold above this support range to avoid further downward movement.
Taking a broader perspective, on longer time frames, XMR is currently in a range-bound trend, while on a daily time frame, a clear downward trend is evident. To change the trend and reverse the downward movement, XMR would need to break the downtrend line and rise above the resistance level of $150.
Considering the combined analysis of the price action, support and resistance levels, and the RSI, it suggests that the market sentiment for XMR remains bearish, with selling pressure continuing to influence the cryptocurrency's price. Traders and investors should closely monitor the support level around $122 to $128, as a significant break below that range could potentially lead to further downside movement for XMR.
XMR Potential Ban of anonymous crypto projects !If you haven`t sold XMR here:
Then i will remind you that Monero (XMR) has gained popularity for its capacity to enhance user anonymity, making transactions challenging to trace through the utilization of stealth addresses. However, this aligns with a goal that regulators do not necessarily support in the cryptocurrency space.
A leaked version of a US draft bill has surfaced, suggesting the elimination of anonymous crypto projects. The proposal also mandates that DAOs, DeFi platforms, and exchanges register legally in the United States. This development indicates a potential shift towards greater regulation and oversight within the industry.
My price target for XMR is $96.50.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it!
Monero (XMRUSDT) an 80% rise I won't be talking too much about how bullish XMR is currently. But we just went along quite aggressively considering multiple technical aspects of the current price action. The most important is obviously the weekly break and close above the long-term downtrend trendline. Secondly, we have the price hoovering above the 61.8% Fibonacci level for quite some time now. It is either to go big now or....
We are going in now!
XMRUSD ❕ upper limit of the channelTrading volumes are expressing interest in price growth.
The RSI chart is moving in the bullish zone on the 4H Timeframe.
Price has fixed above the 200EMA on the 4H Timeframe.
I believe that the asset will continue to grow after fixing above the channel.
XMRUSDT- pushing the level to 150Hello everyone. Today we will analyze XMRUSDT in general terms. This coin has recently had very low volatility, as the price is squeezed by levels from above and below. Therefore, we should expect some kind of movement in the near future. And judging by the fact that we have been knocking on the 150 level for the umpteenth time, there is every chance to finally break through it and reach 138. We will put a stop behind the trend line at 153.9.
XMRUSD ❕ downtrend channelMonero has consolidated under 200EMA on 4H Timeframe.
The RSI chart is moving in the bearish zone on 4H, 1H and 30m Timeframes.
50EMA has broken down 200EMA (1H TF)
TD Sequential indicator has formed a reversal signal down (1H TF)
I believe that the asset will continue to decline after fixing under the support level.
W10-2 XMR BULLISH IDEA (DOUBLE BOTTOM)
The price has pulled back from the double bottom, and it is expected that it will break out the neckline at 156.05.
The double bottom pattern and bullish divergence are formed simultaneously.
potential bullish entry at the breakout of the neckline at 156.05SL and TP levels are defined.
XMR Big Upside - Caution Waiting For Back TestXMRBTC - If you are waiting for the backtest of that massive breakout, you may not get the chance for it.
Last cycle it ran 1500% against BTC before officially backtesting the break.
Cheers,
XMR IS BEARISHHi, dear traders. how are you ? Today we have a viewpoint to SELL/SHORT the XMR symbol.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
XMR - Potential reversal in priceMonero has been heavily underperforming BTC for a long time, this means you are taking more risk holding XMR than if you are holding BTC
however, I see XMR is beginning to enter a super bullish state, with a maximum TPI value of 1:
This could mean that we could see a nice trend to the upside:
Monero Road AheadMonero has been trading in a downtrend for a while, and almost strictly within the red shaded (fib .236 - .382) area for 11 months straight. It has a date with destiny soon though, and will either breakout within the shaded triangle area or collapse down to the $145 range. If Monero clears the .382 fib line at $172.60, I really need to see a firm retest. To confirm both the breakout of the downtrend, and the flippening of .382 from strong resistance to support.
The .5 fib at $195 will not be as strong as what .382 has been. If Mordinals or larger macro factors hit quickly, $195 will be taken over with little resistance.
Entering now at $160 and exit upon passing $195. Targeting $205 for a 28% gain sometime in late April/early May. NFA
Moreno technical analysis. The huge ascending triangle.There is very slowly forming giant ascending triangle which could potentially peak during2025-2026.
Example of an ascending triangle. Notice the flat iupper line and the rising lower line. This is a generally bullish line. (Figure 6.1b "Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets" Page 131)
The measurement. The breakout (C) should see a sharp increase in volume, That upper resistance line should act as as support on subsequent dips after the breakout. The minimum price objective is obtained by measuring the height of the triangle (AB) and projecting that distance upward from the breakout point at C. (Figure 6.3a "Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets" Page 136)
HIGHER VOLUME TREND SHOWING FOR XMRHIGHER VOLUME TREND SHOWING FOR XMR
XMR shows higher volume on MFL level
XMRUSD ❕ lower boundary of the channelRSI chart moves in sellers area (4H, 1H and 30m TFs)
Trading volumes are down.
Price has broken down 200EMA (1H TF)
I expect a decline after fixing under the channel.