XMR/USDT bearish signs — XMR DOWNMonero is up +36% from last swing low, now making correction to previous swing and I am expecting price to reach zone of 240 before breaking down towards 210-s
Best regards
Artem Shevelev
XMRUSDSHORTS
XMRUSD-monero coin head and shoulder+rising channelXMRUSD
After reaching the 100.00 level the price got rejected and formed a head and shoulder pattern has formed. 98.415 is a major resistance level for the bull
Right shoulder was formed on September 01 and felled up to 74.400 level which is a low volume area and bounced back. And formed series of HH HL HH HL in rising channel. As we see the bull has losing its strength.
Currently the price is trading above 50,100,200 exponential moving average. And Ichimoku cloud is acting as support for the minor bullish run. At the time of writing this idea minor bearish engulfing candle is forming at 4 hr timeframe
It has reached the minor trend line which will support the minor upward moment until 98.400.From this level we can sell this crypto and the subsequent targets will be 90.000 comes with 50% Fibonacci and 81.000 comes with 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level. And the swing target will be 74.00. Stop lose may placed above the 100.00 level
This will give as a 1:12 risk reward ratio
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Monero (XMR) the next destination can be $380The formation of Wedge:
On the long term weekly chart the Monero has started the formation of a wedge pattern. Since then it has been nicely hitting the support and resistance levels of this wedge pattern. At this time it can be easily observed that after the drop of March 2020 even though the price action has hit the spike beyond the support but finally it is retraced back and re-gained the value upto 161%.
But there are some certain bearish signals appeared therefore I am not expecting very soon break out from this pattern. If we take a closer look at the Bollinger bands indicator then it can be easily noticed that the upper bands of the bollinger bands is below the resistance of this wedge. If the price action will be reached at this level then the Bollinger bands won’t let the priceline of XMR to break out. And it will play a role of a strong hurdle, moreover after placing the volume profile on the complete price action moving within this wedge pattern if can be also found that the trader’s interest is up to $89. That is at the resistance level and above that level we have very weak interest of the traders. Therefore in order to break out we need to have the trader’s interest developed above the resistance of this wedge pattern.
Here we have one more indicator that is very much important that is the point of control of the volume profile. This POC is at $48 therefore this point of control can pull back the priceline towards itself at any time but once the traders interest will be developed above the resistance of this wedge pattern then the point of control of this volume profile will be also moved up. And if that will happen then XMR will have more strong chances to have a powerful breakout.
The combination of these indicators is showing weak bearish signals:
If we place the stochastic and the moving average convergence divergence (MACD) and the momentum indicators then we can notice that this time the movement of the price action of XMR is different from the previous moves that the Monero has been making withing this wedge pattern. For example if we see in the month of December then it can be easily observed that 1st MACD turned weak bearish from strong bearish then we received the bull cross from stochastic indicator and then momentum also turned weak bearish and the price action turned strong bullish and reached at the resistance of the pattern. After that we can see that in the month of Jun 2019 the stochastic gave bear cross and the MACD turned weak bullish and the momentum also turned weak bullish then priceline of XMR moved down again and reached the support of this pattern. Then in the month of December 2019 we can again observe that that MACD turned weak bearish and the momentum was already weak bearish and in the month of January finally we received a clear bull cross by the stochastic indicator then again the priceline started strong bullish rally and reached up to the resistance of this wedge. Then again in the month of Feb 2020 the stochastic gave the bear cross and the MACD also turned weak bullish and at the end of March 2020 the momentum also turned weak bullish then priceline drpped down and reached at the support. So these moves are showing that the movement of the XMR within this wedge is very much synchronized with the signals of these 3 indicators. But time if we take a closer look at the movement and these indicators then we can notice that 1st the MACD turned weak bearish and the stochastic also gave the bull cross but so far the momentum indicator is ignoring these bullish signals of stochastic and MACD. And it is still giving the strong bearish signals. Therefore we cannot expect that the priceline will be reached at the resistance of this pattern to make an attempt for the breakout unless the momentum indicator will also be turned bullish.
The support and resistance level:
If we switch daily chart then it can be easily seen that after 17th March when the price acton turned bullish first it broke out the resistance level at $44 and then re-tested this resistance as support and after successful re-test the price action took another powerful bullish divergence. Then it faced some resistance at $58.42 but finally the priceline broke out this resistance. Now currenty the Monero is re-testing the previous resistance as a support at $58.42. After successful re-test of this resistance as support we will be confirmed that the priceline of XLM has finally broke out this resistance. Because this level has been working as a strong support and resistance level for the priceline of XMR since December 2018.
Moving averages:
If we watch the movement of the simple moving averages on the daily chart then after the strong bearish trend in the month of March the price action started the bullish rally. Then it has broken out all the simple moving averages with the time period of 50, 25,200 and 100. And after breaking out every moving average it has been re-testing the previous resistance of moving average as support and after every successful re-test the priceline moved up to break out the next simple moving average. At this time we can see that the priceline has broken out the 200 and 100 simple moving averages on one go. And now the priceline is retesting the 100 and 200 simple moving averages at the same time. Today a very strong bearish candle stick is appeared. And the 100 simple moving average is likely to be broken down and if the priceline will be closed below the 100 simple moving average then there will be more chances that it will break down the 200 SMA as well. If the 200 SMA will be broken down then the priceline can very easily breakdown the 25 and 50 simple moving averages. Therefore in order to continue the rally the 200 simple moving average shouldn’t be broken down.
A very big bullish BAT pattern:
Now I woud like to recall a very big bullish BAT pattern that is formed on the monthly chart. And we can see that since October 2018 the priceline has entered in the potential reversal zone of this pattern. We can also observe a very small spinning candlestick that was appeared in the month of March 2019 that was completely opened and closed below this potential reversal zone level. But in very next candlestick it was retraced back in this PRZ level. Recently again in the month of March 2020 have witnessed a very long bearish spike beyond the potential reversal zone. But in the very next candlestick the priceline has been retraced back in this PRZ level.
The XMR’s final resistance level is $380 that is also in the Fibonacci projection area or the selll zone of this BAT patter. This is the Fibonacci projection of A to D leg. Therefore the price action once the price action will be entered in the potential sell zone then it can also make an attempt to break out the $380 resistance. So this bit bullish BAT pattern can produce upto 560% big gains.
The Crab pattern saved the BAT pattern to be invalidated:
In the meanwhile I would like to recall another harmonic bullish Crab pattern that was formed in the month of March 2020 by the price action of XMR. I have published this harmonic move in my post of 17th of March. And as per Fibonacci sequence of bullish Crab the priceline started a powerful bullish rally and produced more than 133% gains. This Crab pattern was the main reason that pushed back the priceline in the potential reversal zone of the big bullish BAT pattern that has been formed on the monthly chart.
Conclusion:
If the supports on the daily chart will be broken down then the Monero can start bearish rally on short term and mid-term. But on the long term the XMR can turn strong bullish at any time for up to 560% big gains and can hit the $380 long term resistance.
Note: This idea is education purpose only and not intended to be investment advise, please seek a duly licensed professional and do you own research before any investment.
XMRUSD formed bullish Shark | A good buying opportunity21 minutes ago
Priceline of Monero / US Dollar cryptocurrency has formed bullish Shark pattern and entered the potential reversal zone.
This PRZ area should be used as stop loss point in case of complete candle stick closes below this zone.
I have used Fibonacci sequence to set the targets:
Buy between: 62.106 to 61.143
Sell between: 63.099 to 65.151
Regards,
Atif Akbar (moon333)
Why I bought XMR, update (XMRBTC,XMRUSD,XMRSHORTS)Hello everyone
A lot of interesting stuff is going on for XMR, I think that the technical are ideal, this is a perfect opportunity to trade XMR (if you ask me), this is why!
XMRUSD
-So I was looking at this downwards trendline for quite some time (yellow), finally yesterday we’ve broke that very strong resistance line. This was resistance for over 5 months, the fact that we’ve broken that line is huge!
-we’ve also broke an important resistance line at 121, the next resistance we’ve to look at is at 150. I think that we’re going to find some resistance there if volume stays like this. I expect XMR to balance between 121 and 150 before breaking to the upside or downside. In the mean time we’ve got a margin of 30USD to trade with. If we confirm to break 121, than that will be a huge support-line.
-rsi is favourable. We’re going to the oversold area but there is still a big margin. RSI is now at 64, we could easily see this rally up to higher levels ( 75-80).
-the stochastic RSI has broken again at the upside which means that there is still enough momentum for XMR to go up.
XMRBTC
-very interesting chart, we can see that we’ve found support at the same support-line for 6 times now. The only way is up here! There is still a lot of margin to outperform BTC for the upcoming days. if we go back down again, then I think that the lowest point we could potentially go is down to the support line.(upwards support-line)
XMRUSDSHORTS
We can see that there are a lot of people still sceptical about XMR, that’s okay! This is a very good technology and one of the best privacy coins out there! If XMR goes up and the shorters panic, that could give a snowball effect and a lot of people that could cover their losses with buying in! there is plenty enough margin to go here!
this is a long-term trade, i don't expect XMR going to the moon today or tommorow, just think this is a very solid technology and i see a lot of potential for this coin!
(i'm a long term investor and no financial advisor, do your own research)
Love to hear your opinion on this!
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XMRUSD to increase by >20% if BTC remains stableMonero is on a downwards trend for the moment, however a reversal is just around the corner based on TA. Also, Fibonacci retracement shows a perfect match in the past, showing that the swings between the 2 support and resistance lines were indeed a valid trend.
For the moment, XMR is testing the support, if it breaks it, it might continue to go down, but it wont be an aggressive move. On the other hand, bouncing back up will show that the lower support has a lot of strength and the price can shift to higher grounds for some weeks on.
Let me know if you think Monero's technology is bettar than BTC's?
Selling XMR/USD, 4H, second attemptThe trade setup that I suggested yesterday, didn't work out exactly as I expected, but that's just the part of trading.
I am suggesting to have another go to short XMR now and target 350, 320 and even 300 USD mark.
If this doesn't happen then I would stay off this pair for a while.
Monero bears-November 27, 2017Daily and 4HR chart stochastics bearish with a clear double tops on both time frames.
20 period MA key and if there is a break below the 20 Period MA, then immediate bear target is at $137.