Natural Gas Short Term Buy IdeaH1 - Higher highs
Strong bullish momentum
Until the strong support zone holds I expect the price to move higher further after pullbacks
Xngusd
Natural Gas Price Hits Highest Level Since January 2023Natural Gas Price Hits Highest Level Since January 2023
The XNG/USD chart today shows that natural gas prices have surpassed the December 2024 peak, breaking through the key psychological level of $4.000/MMBtu. Since early February, prices have surged by over 20%.
Why Is Natural Gas Price Rising?
According to The Wall Street Journal, the bullish sentiment is driven by:
→ Weather models confirming forecasts of a significant cold spell.
→ LNG exports remaining at record highs.
Additionally, US gas exports may increase further after President Trump lifted the pause imposed by the Biden administration on new LNG export projects. Bloomberg reports that Trump’s administration is close to approving its first LNG export project.
Technical Analysis of XNG/USD
The price movements are forming an upward channel (marked in blue) on the chart:
→ Prices are currently near the upper boundary of this channel.
→ The RSI indicator is in the overbought zone.
→ The price briefly exceeded the $4.000/MMBtu psychological level.
→ Buyers may look to secure profits after the recent sharp gains.
Given these factors, traders may anticipate a potential pullback, which—if it occurs—could bring natural gas prices back towards the channel’s median level.
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This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Natural Gas Short: Testing the $4 Barrier – Opportunity Knocks!Natural Gas (XNG/USD) has spiked to revisit the $4 price zone, activating my short trade. This marks the second time in two years that the price has reached this significant resistance area. The $4 level is pivotal, serving as a key psychological barrier and a historic zone of strong price action. With the position now live, I am leveraging the resistance for a retracement opportunity.
Fundamentals:
• Weather and Seasonal Demand: Short-term spikes in demand are driven by cold weather in the U.S., but with futures traders starting to focus on spring, we may see waning bullish momentum in the coming weeks.
• Russian Gas Supply Constraints: Limited Russian gas flows to the EU continue to add uncertainty to the market, but the current rally seems to be pricing in short-term factors rather than long-term structural changes.
• Historical Levels: The $4 spot price has attracted significant attention as a resistance zone, with $3.40 acting as a key support in recent months. The bounce from this level earlier this year highlights its importance.
• Market Behavior: Futures traders’ sentiment and seasonality are critical drivers. As winter progresses, reduced speculative demand may favor a bearish pullback.
Technicals:
• Entry: $4.00 (Resistance Zone)
• Target: $2.60 - 2.70
• Partials: From $3,19
• Stop Loss: $4.40 (Above Recent Highs)
• Timeframe: 12H
This short trade aligns with technical, fundamental, and seasonal narratives. As the price has shown rejection at this zone, I will actively monitor for a breakdown toward the $3.40 level while managing risk prudently. Stay disciplined, follow your trading plan, and remember to pay yourself as the market unfolds.
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
XNG/USD "Natural Gas" Energy Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XNG/USD "Natural Gas" Energy Metal market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 👀 Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📉 : Traders & Thieves with New Entry A Bear trade can be initiated at any price level.
however I advise placing sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 4h period, the recent / nearest high level
Goal 🎯: 2.950 (or) Before escape in the market
Scalpers, take note : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, Sentimental Outlook:
The XNG/USD "Natural Gas" Energy market is expected to move in a bearish direction, driven by several key factors.
Based on current market conditions, the XNG/USD Natural Gas market is expected to move in a Bearish direction.
🔆Fundamental Factors:
-Supply and Demand Balance: The natural gas market is expected to move into a supply surplus, driven by increasing production and decreasing demand.
-US Natural Gas Production: US natural gas production is expected to increase, putting downward pressure on prices.
-LNG Export Capacity: Increasing LNG export capacity from the US is expected to put downward pressure on natural gas prices.
🔆Macroeconomic Factors:
-Mild Winter Weather: Warmer-than-expected winter weather in the US is expected to decrease demand for natural gas, putting downward pressure on prices.
-Global Economic Slowdown: Slowing global economic growth, particularly in China, is expected to decrease demand for natural gas.
-US Dollar Strength: A stronger US dollar is expected to put downward pressure on natural gas prices, making them more expensive in international markets.
🔆Trader/Market Sentimental Analysis:
-Trader Sentiment: The CoT report shows that speculative traders are net short natural gas, indicating a bearish sentiment.
-Market Sentiment: The market sentiment is bearish, with many analysts expecting natural gas prices to decline due to the supply and demand balance.
-Technical Analysis: The technical analysis shows that natural gas is in a downtrend, with a bearish breakdown below the $3.00 level.
🔆Sentimental Outlook:
Bearish Sentiment: 65%
Bullish Sentiment: 20%
Neutral Sentiment: 15%
🔆Overall, the bearish outlook is driven by a combination of macroeconomic and fundamental factors, with a 60% chance of a bearish move, 20% chance of a bullish move, and 20% chance of a neutral move.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
🚨Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
🚨Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
XNG/USD "Natural Gas" Energy Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XNG/USD "Natural Gas" Energy Market market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long & Short entry. 👀 Be wealthy and safe trade 💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The loot's within reach! Wait for the breakout, then grab your share - whether you're a Bullish thief or a Bearish bandit!"
Buy entry above 3.500
Sell Entry below 3.000
Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 1H period, the recent / nearest Pullbacks.
Target 🎯:
-Bullish Robbers TP 4.000 (or) Escape Before the Target
-Bearish Robbers TP 2.600 (or) Escape Before the Target
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook:
The XNG/USD "Natural Gas" Energy Market market is currently experiencing a bullish trend,., driven by several key factors.
🔆 Fundamental Factors
- Supply and Demand Imbalance: The global demand for natural gas is outpacing supply, leading to a surge in prices.
- Weather Patterns: Colder-than-expected winter weather in the Northern Hemisphere is driving up demand for heating fuels, including natural gas.
🔆 Macroeconomic Factors
- Global Economic Trends: The global economy is experiencing a slowdown, but the energy sector remains resilient due to strong demand for natural gas.
- Inflation Rates: Rising inflation rates are driving up the cost of living, but the impact on the XNG/USD pair is currently neutral.
🔆 COT Report
- Speculative Positions: Speculative traders are net long on the XNG/USD pair, indicating a bullish sentiment.
- Commercial Traders: Commercial traders are net short on the pair, indicating a bearish sentiment.
🔆 Market Sentiment and Positioning
- Client Sentiment: 60% of client accounts are long on this market, indicating a bullish sentiment.
- Market Positioning: The XNG/USD pair is currently overbought, with a possibility of a price correction.
🔆 Conclusion:
The sentimental outlook for XNG/USD is mixed, with varying degrees of bullishness and bearishness among institutional investors, large banks, investment companies, and retail traders. While some market participants are optimistic about natural gas prices due to rising demand and supply constraints, others are cautious due to mild winter weather and increased production.
🔆 Prediction and Overall Outlook
- Based on the analysis, the XNG/USD pair is expected to move in a bullish trend, with a 65% probability of reaching $4.50 in the short term. However, there is a 35% chance of a price correction to $3.80 due to overbought conditions.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
XNG/USD Analysis: Bears Pressure Key SupportXNG/USD Analysis: Bears Pressure Key Support
On 5 December, while analysing the natural gas chart, we noted that price movements:
→ were forming an ascending channel (shown in blue);
→ support from the lower boundary of the channel (reinforced by the psychological level of 3.000) was already evident in a nascent price reversal (indicated by an arrow).
As the XNG/USD chart illustrates, since that time (marked by a blue arrow), the price indeed rose, using the support from the lower boundary of the channel to reach its upper boundary on 30 December.
However, we now see supply forces displaying aggression – whenever the natural gas price climbs above 3.700, bears quickly intervene (marked by red arrows), pushing the price back down.
What could happen next?
From a technical analysis perspective of the XNG/USD chart:
→ The price is hovering near the key support, formed by the lower boundary of the ascending channel (which has been in place since last summer).
→ Bearish aggression, as mentioned above, sets the stage for a potential bearish breakout of this critical support, evidenced by the bearish gap at Monday’s market open.
From a fundamental analysis standpoint:
→ Meteorological reports of colder weather drove the price up to 3.570, but this appears to be a temporary rebound.
→ Bearish sentiment in the natural gas market may be amplified by statements from the Trump administration expressing a determination to lower oil prices.
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This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Natural Gas Prices Rebound from 2.5-Month LowNatural Gas Prices Rebound from 2.5-Month Low
On 19 November, we analysed the natural gas price chart, noting:
→ the formation of an upward channel (marked in blue);
→ a potential bullish attempt to break the key $3.200 level, which had acted as resistance (highlighted with arrows).
As seen on the XNG/USD chart, the price did rise above $3.200 but failed to hold. After fluctuating in the upper half of the channel, it dropped below $3.200 to the channel's lower boundary, driven by:
→ a bearish report from the Energy Information Administration, showing US gas inventories above the five-year average;
→ a report from financial firm LSEG noting increased average gas production across 48 US states.
This decline pushed natural gas prices to a 2.5-month low around the $2.935 level.
What Could Happen Next?
From a technical perspective on the XNG/USD chart:
→ support from the channel's lower boundary (reinforced by the psychological $3.000 mark) is already evident in an emerging price reversal (indicated by an arrow);
→ on the other hand, the $3.200 level may resume acting as resistance.
It’s likely that natural gas prices will fluctuate between $3.000 and $3.200, with weather forecasts playing a decisive role in shaping consumption expectations for the winter season.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Natural Gas Prices Reach Yearly HighsNatural Gas Prices Reach Yearly Highs
According to the XNG/USD chart, natural gas prices have risen by approximately 13% since early November and this week hit a new 2024 high.
Factors Driving Bullish Sentiment (as reported by Reuters):
→ A sharp increase in global gas prices.
→ Forecasts of colder weather and higher heating demand in the United States.
Will Natural Gas Prices Continue to Rise?
From a fundamental perspective, the Energy Information Administration (EIA) forecast on 13 November predicts natural gas prices could peak in January 2025.
From a technical analysis standpoint of the XNG/USD chart, the $3.200 level is a critical resistance, having previously triggered price reversals in October (B) and June (not shown on the chart). Price movements since early August have formed a trend channel (shown in blue).
Bullish Arguments:
→ The $2.7 level serves as support, aligned with Fibonacci retracement levels, as the B→C pullback is at 50% of the A→B rise.
→ The $2.93 level has flipped from resistance to support (indicated by arrows).
Bearish Arguments:
→ Prices reversed sharply downward earlier this week from the $3.200 level, showing seller activity.
→ Reports indicate utilities are injecting gas into storage at faster-than-expected rates, suggesting stockpiles could meet increased cold-weather demand.
Bulls may attempt to keep prices within the blue channel and make further attempts to breach the $3.200 level. However, XNG/USD signals show that bears are ready to push back.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Natural Gas Price Drops Over 8% Since the Start of the MonthNatural Gas Price Drops Over 8% Since the Start of the Month
On 26 September, when analysing the XNG/USD natural gas price chart, we noted that:
→ Bulls might be "gathering strength" for a potential attempt to break the psychological level of 3.00.
→ If successful, this would pave the way towards the yearly high around 3.20.
Since then, the price of natural gas:
→ Broke above the 3.00 level on 27 September;
→ Reached 3.20 on 4 October, after which it reversed downward.
Bearish sentiment was driven by:
→ News that Hurricane Helen had minimal impact on natural gas processing facilities along the U.S. Gulf Coast;
→ Adequate gas reserves ensuring sufficient supply;
→ Weather forecasts indicating short-term gas demand at the end of September.
Technical analysis of the XNG/USD chart shows the upward channel (marked in blue) has lost relevance. It’s evident that:
→ The bounce from the median line (shown by the first arrow) was weak;
→ The attempt to re-enter the channel from its lower boundary (as shown by the second arrow) led to a test of the 3.00 psychological level, which acted as resistance.
There are no signs yet of bulls trying to regain control on the XNG/USD chart. If the supply and demand balance remains unchanged, the natural gas price may continue its decline within the red downward channel, possibly towards its lower boundary, reinforced by the former resistance at 2.65.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
XNGUSD Spot Natural Gas to Reverse SHORTXNGUSD ( Spot Natural Gas ) on the 15 minute chart shows that it has risen to a supply and
resistance zone while the dual time from RSI indicator shows a bearish divergence in the
faster green RSI line. The predictive algo of Luxalgo for the regression line forecasts price
action to be downside. These are enough analytical aspects for me to take short positions on
equities and forex markets for natural gas correcting downside.
Natural Gas Price Hits 3-Month HighNatural Gas Price Hits 3-Month High
According to today's XNG/USD chart, the price of natural gas:
→ has risen by approximately 30% since the beginning of September;
→ is currently around the 2.95 level – the last time the price was at this level was at the end of June this year.
Bullish sentiment is supported by:
→ forecasts of a warmer autumn, which is increasing demand for natural gas to power air conditioning systems;
→ concerns related to Hurricane Helen in the US Gulf of Mexico. According to the EIA, 5% of total US dry natural gas production comes from the Gulf of Mexico, and 51% of the total capacity of US natural gas processing plants is located along the US Gulf Coast.
Technical analysis of the XNG/USD chart shows that in September, the price has been moving within an ascending channel (marked in blue).
It is noticeable that from the 20th onwards, demand forces have intensified, leading to the following:
→ the price broke through the 2.64 resistance level;
→ the price moved to the upper half of the ascending channel, after which its median line began to show signs of support;
→ the RSI indicator reached overbought territory.
Currently, there are no signs on the XNG/USD chart of bears attempting to seize control, while the bulls may be "gathering strength" for a possible attempt to break through the psychological level of 3.00. If this happens and is successful, it could pave the way towards the yearly high in the 3.20 region.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
XNG/USD "NATURAL GAS" Robbery plan in Long SideHola ola My Dear,
Robbers / Money Makers & Losers,
This is our master plan to Heist XNG/USD "NATURAL GAS" Mines based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Long entry. Our target is Red Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is overbought / Consolidation / Trend Reversal at the level Bearish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich.
Note: If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money.
Entry : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Buy Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe Recent / Nearest Swing Low
Stop Loss : Recent Swing Low using 2h timeframe
Warning : Fundamental Analysis comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss. Don't Enter the market at the news update.
Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target.
Support our Robbery plan we can easily make money & take money 💰💵 Follow, Like & Share with your friends and Lovers. Make our Robbery Team Very Strong Join Ur hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday make money easily with Thief Trading Style.
XNG/USD: Natural Gas Price Hits 2.5-Week LowXNG/USD: Natural Gas Price Hits 2.5-Week Low
As shown on the XNG/USD chart, today, the price of natural gas fell below $2.16 for the first time since 8 August.
Bearish sentiment is being driven by the fact that: → This is the last week of summer. Gas consumption typically decreases in mid-September as the use of air conditioning declines; → Gas storage levels are abundant. According to Reuters, current stock levels exceed the seasonal average by 12%.
A technical analysis of the XNG/USD chart provides several arguments suggesting that bears hold the upper hand in the market:
→ Price action is forming a descending channel, shown in red. The upper boundary of the channel acted as resistance, with the price forming a bearish rounding reversal pattern (as indicated in blue).
→ After a large bearish candle on 22 August, the resistance level at $2.24 became more significant.
→ Support lines, forming a fan shape, are being broken one by one, with increasingly shallow angles indicating weakening demand.
Nevertheless, bulls have an opportunity to turn the situation around by using support from the trendline (shown in yellow) at least in the short term.
However, in the longer term, if the supply-demand balance remains unchanged, there is reason to believe that the price of natural gas on the XNG/USD chart may continue its downward trend within the red channel.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Natural Gas Robbery Plan To Make and take MoneyMy Dear Robbers / Traders,
This is our master plan to Heist Natural gas based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Short entry. Our target is Green Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is oversold / Consolidation / Trend Reversal at the level Bullish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich.
Note: If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money.
Stop Loss : Recent Swing High using 1h timeframe
Warning : Fundamental Analysis comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss. Don't Enter the market at the news update.
Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target.
Support our Robbery plan we can easily make money & take money 💰💵 Follow, Like & Share with your friends and Lovers. Make our Robbery Team Very Strong Join Ur hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday make money easily with Thief Trading Style.
The Price of Natural Gas Finds Support. But for How Long?The Price of Natural Gas Finds Support. But for How Long?
On 21 June, we wrote that the trend in the market was weakening, noting that:
→ Forecasts of a hotter summer, published during April-May, led to a sustained bullish trend in the natural gas market.
→ According to the technical analysis of the 4-hour XNG/USD chart and the signs of weakness that have formed on it, the level of 3.160 appears to sufficiently account for the risks of an extremely hot summer.
→ Bears might push the price to the lower boundary of the ascending trend channel.
Since then, the price of natural gas has:
→ tested the median of the ascending channel (shown by an arrow), which acted as resistance;
→ broken the lower boundary of the channel;
→ dropped to the level of 2.06 amid news of sufficient natural gas reserves in storage.
And, as the XNG/USD chart shows today, it is this level that is now forming signs of support for the market:
→ the lows A-B appear to be elements of an incomplete double bottom pattern;
→ the level of 2.06 acted as resistance in March-April, so support here is anticipated by technical analysts.
But can the bulls reverse the trend?
In the near future, the price of natural gas may consolidate within a narrowing triangle, formed by the support at 2.06 and the descending trend line (shown in red). It is possible that failures in any attempts to break through the red line will lead to a resumption of the downward trend and a subsequent decline in price towards the support at 1.875.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
XNGUSD / NATURAL GAS Robbery plan on Long SideMy Dear Robbers / Traders,
This is our master plan to Heist Natural Gas market based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Long entry. Our target is Red Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is overbought / Consolidation / Trend Reversal at the level Bearish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich.
Note: If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money.
Stop Loss : Recent Swing Low using 1h timeframe
Warning : Fundamental Analysis comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss. Don't Enter the market at the news update.
Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target.
Support our Robbery plan we can easily make money & take money 💰💵 Follow, Like & Share with your friends and Lovers. Make our Robbery Team Very Strong Join Ur hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday make money easily with Thief Trading Style.
Natural Gas Price: Bullish Trend WeakensNatural Gas Price: Bullish Trend Weakens
Forecasts of a hotter summer, published during April and May, led to a sustained bullish trend in the natural gas market, as this commodity is heavily used for air conditioning.
Specifically:
→ The XNG/USD chart indicates that from 1st April to today, the price of natural gas has increased by more than 55%.
→ According to Bloomberg, there is a 61% chance that 2024 will be the hottest year on record, surpassing 2023.
→ Natural gas supplies may be unstable due to an unforeseen maintenance shutdown at the Freeport plant.
According to the technical analysis of the 4-hour XNG/USD chart:
→ The price of natural gas has formed an ascending channel (shown in blue).
→ On 23rd May, the price reached a 2024 high around the 3.160 level, breaking the upper boundary and entering the overbought zone on the RSI indicator.
→ On 11th June, this high was marginally exceeded, but the price then turned down, forming a false bullish breakout pattern.
Thus, the 3.160 level appears to adequately factor in the risks of an extremely hot summer. Therefore, the bullish trend weakens as it approaches this level.
Meanwhile, bears are becoming more active, indicated by:
→ The price of natural gas twice breaking below the green lines of intermediate upward trends.
→ The price broke below the median line of the blue channel (shown by the arrow).
→ This week, the psychological level of 3.000 acted as resistance.
It is possible that the bears could drive the price down to the lower boundary of the blue channel.
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This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
UNG can it rally from another monthly low ? LONGUNG on the daily chart has put in another monthly low similar to that of December after
falling from a double top in early January. Gas production may be low. Storages may be
depleting as demand is steady even in mild winters. The indicators show mild bullish
divergence on the zero-lag MACD and volatility compression on the Fibonacci levels with low
volumes overall and selling predominating. RSI levels are in the upper 40s and staady.
I see this as a long trade setup targeting first 22 near to the midline of the Fib bands and
then 24 at the Fib retracement level for the trend down from October into late December.
The stop loss is about 2% at 19. R:r 2.6 : 0.4 or about 6.
UNG Natural Gas ETF now rising from its reversal LONG (XNGUSD )UNG on a 120-minute chart has reversed from a long trend down which started in mid -January.
This was a steep trend down from the start into mid- March where the trend angle lessened in
a period of relative consolidation until May 1st where the reversal occurred. This is a falling
wedge breakout with the trendlines of the wedge in thick red and thick green for resistance
and support respectively. The VWAP band lines have been downsloping. Price is breaking through
the lower band lines and heading toward the mean anchored VWAP line. Price is now above
a EMA 100 Keltner Channel which is now trending up.
I will take long trades here of both shares and call options. The targets are marked with
black horizontal lines from pivots in Jnauary. The are in the levels of 21 and 26 for now.
I would not be surprised if UNG moves up and targets the highs of last October at 30 in the
upcoming months. Many utility companies this summer will be burning gas to generate
electricity needed for air conditioning and demand should be rising.
XNGUSD SPOT NATURAL GAS Slowly getting ready to reverse LONGXNGUSD is here on a 120 minute chart. I can see that it is trying to turn the corner and head up.
The RSI is turning up in bullish divergence. While price is below its moving averages, the SMA20
is soon to be in reach. The anchored VWAP lines are approaching a slope decreasing to zero,
while price is getting closer to the mean VWAP as those lines go flat. Overall, volumes are
on the rise while price is sideways, so there is bullish divergence in the volume trend.
Overall, I see XNGUSD setting up for an uptrend. It could be a big one. Time to buckle up before
turning the key. there may be some horsepower involved.
XNGUSD- Bollinger / TTM Squeeze for Breakout LONGThis 30 minute chart of spot natural gas demostrates the indicators triggering / signaling a big
move as it gets underway. I missed the big move catching the two smaller scalpes earlier in the
day. For me, this demonstrates the value of one or more of these indicators armed with an alert
or notification to catch the move once it gets started. It also shows the value of detecting a
Bollinger band width and volatility contraction before the release. Price action is showing
a high tight flag pattern which could forecast a similar leg higher after sufficient consolidation
to ti reach the consensus equilibrium of buyers and short sellers as to what the price should be.
I will be one of those buyers adding again to my position which I expect to swing trade
at least the rest of this week. For those already with good-sized positions, some may elect
to sell some to take a partial profit. I am considering being more watchful of such a situation
also realizing that a short squeeze could get underway since XNGUSD as been falling for
sometime. Long-time shorts might decide this is the exit point to avoid further loss of
unrealized profits. If they do so they play into the hand of new buyers and those holding.
Buckle up, this could get interesting.
XNGUSD Looking for Bullish continuation LONGXNGUSD is still in oversold and undervalued territory as demand may be mitigated
by anticipation of milder weather and supplies seem to be more than adequate. XNGUSD
may move higher if either of those factors changes. The chart shows price about 15% above
support and about 60% below heavy resistance. The RSI indicator shows the faster RSI line
above the 50 level and so I think the bullish move is supported by buying volume. I will take
a long trade on forex and in UNG / UNL on the equities market.
BOIL trends up continuation expected LONGBOIL is here on a 30 minute chart. It has reversed this week and ascended 13% with a double
bottom at 13 and 13.25 forming a resing support trendline. Volumes changed from selling
to buying. Price bounced off the ATR- stop loss in its pullback and now appears poised to
break through the moving average channel and get support after that cross-over.
I will take a long trade here with a stop loss of the pivot low of 14 while targeting the
upper boundary of the Keltner channel at 15.25 for two-thirds the position with the remainder
to run to try to reach 37 , the pivot high of January. As a leveraged instrument, BOIL is very
volatile and needs extra care in the trade.
