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BOIL ( Natural Gas Futures 3X leveraged) heats up LONGBOIL in the past month fell from a head and shoulders pattern on the 15 minute time frame into a trend down which leveled out into a double bottom. Supply is in a draw down right now as might be expected when gas production is diminished in the middle of winter while demand is rising. The Economics 101 expectation is rising prices on the futures market. The chart shows a Fibonacci retracement would take price from its current level to about 29 or about 20% upside if that level holds and more if prices can make a stronger more or if short positions or puts are forced to closed causing some buying pressure synergy. The RSI indicator confirms the reversal at the double bottom and adds a bit of insurance to the risk. Accordingly, I am expecting a 20% in the next 2-3 weeks. Target for 2/3 of the position is 29 while the other 1/3 ( short squeeze scenario) to run to a target of 33 which is the neckline of the H & S pattern. Taking a look at OTM call options striking $ 30-31 range. Additionally, I will watch the AI algo indicator for a Sell Signal and reassess the position at that time given its 90% accuracy at this given time frame as evidenced by a 2000 candle backtest ( or about 500 hours or 82 trading days). Energy may not be the hottest sector right now but nor is it the coldest.
AMEX:BOILLong
by AwesomeAvani
12
XNGUSD Short BiasXNGUSD on the 30-minute chart is accompanied by drawn-in trendlines, a Fibonacci retracement as well as an anchored VWAP and volume profile. An RSI indicator is also added. Price hit a recent high of 2.81 on May 19th and then trended down to 2.11. While a 50% retracement might have been expected ( to 2.46) price only rose to 2.42. I consider this as showing selling pressure from sellers to be slightly exceeding buying pressure. Short bias for XNGUSD is confirmed since it is trading below the POC line of the long-term volume profile and below the anchored mean WVAP which are acting as confluent resistance. The RSI topped out at 60 during the retracement and has fallen below 50. Overall, the chart supports a short XNGUSD trade with a stop loss just above VWAP / POC and the target the trendline of support ( green line ) making for a Reward: Risk of about 2:1 Any leveraged forex trade would amplify both potential loss and potential profit.
FXOPEN:XNGUSDShort
by AwesomeAvani
XNGUSD- Spot Natural Gas Ascending WedgeAs shown on the 15 minute chart XNGUSD is in an ascending wedge pattern which is generally considered bearish. In the past day, price has fallen slightly below the support trendline. Is this a fake-out or a breakdown? The RSI had turned decidedly weak while the MACD lines crossed above the histogram and are now under the horizontal zero line. These both suggest a breakdown falling out of the pattern. Price was well above the high volume area of the profile where there is little trading to support a further price rise. Overall, XNGUSD may have went up too far and too quickly. I expect a full reversal as suggested by the mass index indicator so I will short-sell this forex pair. with moderate leverage. The stop loss will be inside the pattern just above the support trendline while the target is 2.35 about the value where price started its previous uptrend.
FXOPEN:XNGUSDShort
by AwesomeAvani
BOIL vs KOLD Natural Gas Leveraged ETFs : LONG KOLDThe KOLD / Boil Ratio is shown here on a daily char. A rising ratio level indicates KOLD is rising and BOIL is falling making the ratio rather extreme If KOLD rises 10% in a week and so BOIL falls, in a hypothetical say they start out 140 and 20 respectively and KOLD goes to 154 while KOLD falls to 18 the ratio moves from 7 to 154/18 = 8.55 the ratio moves 22% for the week. What does this all mean ? With triple leveraging and management fees taken out long leveraged ETF shares may experience time decay on a daily basis. Share values are net after expenses. From the chart's visible the only time the ratio fell and BOIL was the long play was September 25,'23 to November 15, '23 and December 14, '23 to January 14, '24. In 2023 prior to late September KOLD was always the long play, In 2024, after January 15 and to the present KOLD is the long play and the ratio is accelerating and getting more volatile as it is potentially getting over-extended. Combined volume in the range of 20 M /day is 2X showing great interest by market participants. I conclude especially since natural gas spot prices are falling as recession fears are not yet in the past, that KOLD is the leveraged gas futures ETF to take long. This trader considers the management fees as a cost of business. The futures are stratified and leveraged obivously the cost brings value. I will take shares of KOLD and take a call or two along the way for an expiration in the fall whenever price rises about an even $5.00 amount to be assured of the lowest price. I will follow KOLD on a 60-90 minute chart looking for topping wicks or a price fall under the EMA 7 as a sign that it should be on watch for a market top. Frankly, I do not expect to see it. This is because on the 2-time frame RSI indicator ( by Chris Moody) with the 4H in green and the 1W in red, both lines are rising and in a healthy 75 +/- range. If they top out and fall, then I again think I might be seeing bullish divergence and put the trade on watch. For those who trade VWAP bands and volume profile, the ratio has been in an obvious breakout since early November with a pullback in mid-December after the ratio rose outside the third upper VWAP band. Using the VWAP bands and the volume profile will make any fades very obvious most especially on lower time frames.
AMEX:KOLDLong
by AwesomeAvani
3
BOIL reverses from a quick downtrend LONGBOIL on may 9th went into hard resistance in the highest VWAP line area, the Hull moving averages did a death cross and it fell 12% into the support of the first upper standard deviation line where it double bottomed with a reversal. The ZL MACD shows lines and trends that are confirmatory. As a result, I have closed my short trade from my prior idea and revested the capital gained into a long position of stock and calls. If you are interested in knowing targets or stop losses, please leave a comment.
AMEX:BOIL
by AwesomeAvani
1
NATGAS LONG TERM TRADE analysHello Traders In This Chart NATGAS HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET today NATGAS analysis 👆 🟢This Chart includes_ (NATGAS market update) 🟢What is The Next Opportunity on NATGAS Market 🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
FXOPEN:XNGUSDLong
by ForexPlanet20
Natural Gas Prices Recover from 3.5-year LowsNatural Gas Prices Recover from 3.5-year Lows As the chart shows, the price of XNG fell below 2.040 on January 31 for the first time since August 2020. This was facilitated by: → seasonal trend, because towards the end of winter the price of natural gas tends to fall; → weather data. Temperatures could remain above average and snowfall amounts will decrease across North America, according to the U.S. Climate Prediction Center and AccuWeather. However, the chart shows signs of increased demand: → the RSI indicator forms divergence; → the bears were unable to reach the lower boundary (shown on the chart) of the downward channel. Signs of increased demand could come from short covering after the XNG price fell by more than 25% this year, as well as sentiment ahead of the release of news on gas reserves (today at 18:30 GMT+3). It is possible that the news release will provoke even greater demand activity, and the XNG price will reach the median line of the shown channel. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:XNGUSD
by FXOpen
2
UNG rising in the cold of winterAS shown on a 4H chart, UNG which tracks natural gas futures has been rising now for three weeks with the typical demand of the winter months and the cold weather impacting new supplies while Russia's war continues. Volumes are relatively high while dual TF ( 4H and 1Week) crossed the 50 line on December 28. Price has now crossed over the Fib -.5 line of the downtrend from October and has that line and the anchored intermediate term VWAP for support and the setting of a stop loss ( strength in confluence) I see this as a setup for a long swing trade of UNG or BOIL or XNGUSD on forex or any of the gas companies ( LNG) to trade commodities while the equity markets get sorted out.
AMEX:UNGLong
by AwesomeAvani
Natural Gas Prices Recover from 6-month LowsSince November 1, the price of natural gas has fallen by more than 30%. This was facilitated by: → relatively mild weather at the beginning of the winter period; → record volumes of liquefied gas production, as reported by Reuters. Analysts estimate there is currently about 7.8% more gas in storage than normal for this time of year. On December 13, the price of natural gas dropped below 2.20 for the first time since the beginning of June. This level may provide support given how price has interacted with it throughout 2023. At the same time, the graph shows that the price of natural gas: → is within a downward trend (shown in red); → On December 11, a surge in demand was noticed on the market (shown by the arrow) — it is possible that it was caused by a low price and the expectation that in the future the price of gas could rise until the end of winter; → the median line still offers resistance; → RSI forms divergence. Thus, there are reasons to believe that the level of 2.20 may be able to stop the downward trend. And even to provide support for a rebound if the weather becomes colder and causes an increase in gas consumption. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:XNGUSD
by FXOpen
Natural Gas Prices Fall to More than 2-month LowsYesterday, XNG/USD quotes dropped below the 2,900 level for the first time since mid-September. This was helped by the fact that the NatGasWeather weather forecasting model late last week showed a cooling trend in December in the US, but this was replaced by warming over the weekend. According to analyst forecasts from Analysts Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co., published on Monday: → natural gas reserves at the end of winter could be 2 trillion cubic feet (previously forecast 1.9 trillion); → price could be USD 2.75 (previous forecast was USD 3 or less). Meanwhile, the US Natural Gas price chart shows that: → the price of natural gas is near the lower border of the channel (shown in blue), which can provide support; → the MACD indicator indicates divergence (a sign of weakening selling pressure). Thus, although the market has been in a bearish trend since the beginning of November (shown in red), the chart shows bullish signs — it is possible that the price in the short term may rise to the upper limit of the red channel. The likelihood of this scenario will increase if the weather forecasting model indicates a cold snap. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:XNGUSD
by FXOpen
1
Natural Gas - Elliott Wave CountNatural Gas - Elliott Wave Count this is an update to the previous view. Yesterday, the market completed the 4th wave of its price movement cycle and has since entered the 5th wave. This represents a continuation of the current trend, and we can anticipate a positive recovery in the upward direction once the 5th wave is completed. This signals a potential opportunity for investors to consider taking advantage of the market's recovery trend. In light of this, we recommend refraining from taking short positions in a bull market. Instead, it would be prudent to wait for a reversal and take a long position. Please note that this information is solely for educational purposes, and it is essential to exercise caution when trading. CAPITALCOM:NATURALGAS FOREXCOM:NATURALGASCFD MCX:NATURALGAS1! CITYINDEX:NATURALGASCFD PEPPERSTONE:NATGAS SKILLING:NATGAS
MCX:NATURALGAS2!Long
by Treda_pro
4
Natural Gas - Elliott Wave Count UpdateNatural Gas - Elliott Wave Count this is an update to the previous view. Today, the market reached a new low after a few consecutive days of decline. The current reversal appears to be the start of wave C of 4. However, it is best not to rush into buying at this moment. We can anticipate another low after the completion of wave 4, which will be an excellent opportunity to buy for a significant gain. Please note that this information is solely for educational purposes, and it is essential to exercise caution when trading. CAPITALCOM:NATURALGAS MCX:NATURALGAS1! FOREXCOM:NATURALGASCFD PEPPERSTONE:NATGAS CITYINDEX:NATURALGASCFD MOEX:NG1! NYMEX:NG1! VANTAGE:NG
FXOPEN:XNGUSDLong
by Treda_pro
Natural Gas Price Reaches 8-month HighAs the chart shows, yesterday, the price of gas rose above USD 3.60 for the first time since January of this year. It can be assumed that events in Israel contributed to the price increase, since the Middle East is an important supplier of gas. However, note that the bullish momentum started much earlier — gas prices have risen approximately 20% since the October 3 low. This confirms our assumptions about the bullish trend, which we published in the review on August 25th. Perhaps the price of gas is influenced by seasonal factors and fears that weather conditions in the coming winter will be difficult. Should we count on the continuation of the bullish trend? If forecasters’ predictions worsen and the conflict in the Middle East flares up, this will certainly increase the likelihood of further price increases. But in the short term, there are prerequisites for the formation of a rollback, since: → RSI indicates severe overbought; → the price has reached the upper limit of the parallel channel; → the tapering candles of the last days and the beginning of Tuesday demonstrate the presence of sellers — it is permissible to assume that buyers are taking profits. Please note that on Thursday at 17:30 GMT+3, gas reserves data will be published — this may affect the current balance of supply and demand. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:XNGUSD
by FXOpen
1
NATGAS LONG TERM TRADE BUYINGHello Traders In This Chart NATGAS HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET today NATGAS analysis 👆 🟢This Chart includes_ (NATGAS market update) 🟢What is The Next Opportunity on NATGAS Market 🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
PEPPERSTONE:NATGASLong
by ForexPlanet20
NATGAS LONG TERM TRADEBUYINGHello Traders In This Chart NATGAS HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET today NATGAS analysis 👆 🟢This Chart includes_ (NATGAS market update) 🟢What is The Next Opportunity on NATGAS Market 🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
PEPPERSTONE:NATGASLong
by ForexPlanet20
BOIL ( 3x Nat Gas ETF) Reverses to UpsideOn shown on the 15 minute chart with a VWAP band/line setup anchored to the July 1st pivot high. BOIL is in a VWAP breakout since bottoming mid-day July 17th. Confirming the reversal are the Price Volume Trend Oscillator printing a green histogram and an upgoing signal line as well as the zero-lag MACD with upgoing parallel lines crossing the zero-horizontal line. Price has crossed over the mean VWAP. On the dual time frame RSI indicator both the lower and higher RS lines ( blue and black) are above the 50 level and the lower time frame is higher highlighting bullish momentum. I will take a long trade targeting based on the VWAP lines first $65 and then $68. I will open equal amounts of call options striking the targets with expirations on July 28th. I seek a 100% ROI in the next 6-8 trading days. On an intraday basis, I may enter a low DTE call option at the low of day ( typically mid-morning) and exit at the high of day the same or next day.
AMEX:BOILLong
by AwesomeAvani
XNGUSD BUY Long Trade Active, Time to Buy NAT-GASMy Trade Setup Buy on current price (2.6000) Take Profit Targets Target 1: 3.5 Target 2: 5.0 Target 3: 6.0 Greetings, fellow traders! I would like to share a long trade setup on NAT-Gas that has the potential for high profitability, an opportunity not to be overlooked. NAT-GAS prices have been steadily declining over the past nine months, indicating a strong bearish trend. However, it appears that this downward trend is coming to an end, and we can expect prices to rise in the months of July, August, and September. Both technical analysis and fundamental factors support a long buy setup for NAT-Gas. Technical Analysis: From a technical perspective, XNGUSD has found support in the 2.1000 area, leading to a rebound that is reinforcing the bullish momentum in prices. Indicators in the monthly timeframe have become highly oversold, further supporting a bullish price action. Additionally, NAT-Gas prices are currently trading above the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), suggesting a change in trend from downward to upward. The first major hurdle to overcome is the resistance area of 3-3.5. If the price manages to stay above 3.5 and a weekly candle closes above that level, it will indicate further upward movement, potentially driving prices towards the psychological mark of 5.00. Fundamental Analysis: In terms of fundamental analysis, there are several factors at play. NAT-Gas inventories are expected to decrease by 4 BCF, a figure larger than the five-year average. Moreover, maintenance activities at key LNG plants have resulted in a 10% decrease in US LNG exports for the month of June. European gas demand has also experienced a decline in the final week of June due to scheduled maintenance at plants. However, analysts anticipate an increase in LNG exports this quarter as maintenance activities conclude. The shift in gas supply from Russia to the United States in Europe is expected to stimulate prices, leading to the opening of many long trades. Additionally, the 50-day EMA indicates growing support, and traders are expected to become more active this month in order to secure substantial profits within a short period of time. The increase in gas flow to LNG export plants, coupled with a positive demand outlook, is boosting NAT-GAS prices. In Texas, power usage has remained high and even reached record levels during the recent heatwave, consequently driving up gas consumption for electricity generation. The forecast predicts hot weather in the southern, western, and eastern parts of the US from 3-9 July. As temperatures rise, analysts anticipate an increase in US gas demand, including exports. In June, US exports to Mexico saw an average increase of 6.6 Bcf/d. All these factors combined contribute to the bullish price momentum of NAT-Gas. Best wishes, and may you be rewarded with significant profits!
FXOPEN:XNGUSDLong
by AhsanTufail
BOIL- Go Long SetupBOIL has had a busy month with the resurgence of natural gas prices and the reverse split six trading days ago. I analyze it as having further upside. On the 30-minute chart I have added two anchored VWAPs to the left on separate pivot points. This serves to make out dynamic support and resistance. Price has crossed over the mean VWAP zone which is between the heavy black lines. In confluence with that, it has crossed over the POC line of the volume profile represents the price point with the highest total trading volume over the visible time interval. Above price are the two targets being one and two standard deviations above the mean aVWAP. The volume indicator shows increasing relative volume overall as a sign of accumulation which generally results in price appreciation from the demand trend. I will set the stop loss at $.10 below the POC line and take a long position. One third of the position will come off upon each target advancing the stop loss to above the entry and making the trade risk-free. Another third with TP2 and finally the The remaining third will run on a trailing stop so I do not spend time micromanaging a smaller position. I believe that my overall bullish bias will be rewarded yet again over the near term.
AMEX:BOILLong
by AwesomeAvani
NATURAL GAS ( XNGUSD ) Long Term Trading IdeaHello Traders In This Chart XNGUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By Forex Planet today XNGUSD analysis 👆 🟢This Chart includes_ (XNGUSD market update) 🟢What is The Next Opportunity on NZDCHF Market 🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit This Chart is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGASLong
by ForexPlanet20
NATURAL GAS ( XNGUSD ) Long Term Trading IdeaHello Traders In This Chart XNGUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By World of Forex today XNGUSD analysis 👆 🟢This Chart includes_ (XNGUSD market update) 🟢What is The Next Opportunity on NZDCHF Market 🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit This Video is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts.
FXOPEN:XNGUSDShort
by forexplanet797