OIL - WILL THE UPCOMING WW3 CAUSE OIL PRICES TO SKY ROCKET?First we suffer from a crazy economic crash for the next couple years and then wars will break out causing oil prices to go ballistic (ding ding ding).
Just putting this out there - doesn't mean I 100% believe it will do this. As of now, due to crazy events like Coronavirus / OPEC / Saudi influence, things are not moving rationally.
XOM
Intel Corp will full downThere signal that Intel Corp will full down cuz the red candle hit the line with force
**Disclaimer** the content on this analysis is subject to change at any time without notice and is provided for the sole purpose of assisting traders to make independent investment decisions.
Crude/oil going further down"Oil prices plunged to one-year lows, with WTI back below $50 for the first time since Jan 2019 as global demand concerns trumped OPEC+ jawboning that they could do something to stall the decline."
Due to weak oil demand from china with the aftereffect of the corona virus.
We could see oil go down further as this is just the beginning of the outbreak.
Opec said they will try to stop it but if anything, we will use the previous support as the new resistance.
Short position
Entry $50.60
Target $42
Stoploss $51.60
Elliott Wave View: Downside Target for Exxon MobilElliott wave view in Exxon Mobil (ticker: XOM) suggests that the sequence from April 23, 2019 high (not visible in the short term chart below) is incomplete. Medium term downside target for the stock is 100% – 123.6% Fibonacci extension from April 23, 2019 high which comes at 52 – 56.1. XOM thus remains favored to the downside and rally should fail in 3, 7, or 11 swing. Shorter cycle, the decline from January 3, 2020 high is in progress as a 5 waves impulse and the stock is currently within final wave ((v)) of the move lower.
Down from January 3, 2020 high (71.37), wave ((i)) ended at 68.63 and wave ((ii)) bounce ended at 69.96. The stock has resumed lower and ended wave ((iii)) at 63.4 and bounce in wave ((iv)) ended at 64.88. Exxon Mobil is in the final leg wave ((v)) lower thus it is a little risky to chase the weakness in the shorter cycle. Near term, as far as the bounce fails below 64.88, further downside still can’t be ruled out before XOM ends the 5 waves down.
The 5 waves move down should end wave 3 in larger degree and the stock should then bounce in wave 4 to correct the cycle from January 3, 2020 high before the decline resumes again. We don’t like buying the stock.
XOM, a decade low with a bullish gartleyXOM just had a disappointing earning report and Goldman downgraded it,
with such a weak oil price..
There are many facts for this oil giant to drop, showing terrible relative weakness in a bull market like 2019.
Still, I'm willing to look for chances for some position in this name as a buy-low opportunity,
the important spot will be around 56, to see if there are any kind of reversal sign for me to long.
A bullish gartley that took 10 years to form!?
I'll be interested in it carefully yo.
Let's see how it goes!
Who Passed The Gas ?winter coming up, Natural Gas spot has already broken out - NGS appears to be lagging, presents a good long opportunity
low liquidity/ low market cap adds to the risk reward balance
The guys on TIP The Investor's Podcast typically have good calls, look at the BBBY returns (from $9.00)
XOM: Long oil stocks now...I think we have many interesting companies that show big accumulation bases that can rally nicely with oil during and after January 2020.
$XOM is one of them, risk is a $3 drop from here, to make it to the target on chart at least, but could be twice as big of a rally in this timeframe too.
Over time, there's a chance of a monthly basing pattern to confirm a trend, which would align with what I see in $USOIL.
Big speculative trends are about to get in motion during 2020, I think many will be related to $USOIL rallying, like solar names, $TSLA and other EV related stocks (battery tech and materials, etc) and Emerging market stocks like $ARGT, $EEM, $EWZ, Singapore, Vietnam, and individual names in energy with solid charts and valuations.
Best of luck,
Ivan Labrie.
XOM long setupXOM’s innovation outlook is trending up based on a current score of 76 out of 99, outperforming sector average. Jobs growth over the past year has decreased and insiders sentiment is neutral. XOM is an Average Performer in terms of sustainability. It is most exposed to Schneider Electric S.E. as its supplier. Over the past 4 quarters XOM beat earnings estimates 3 times and it pays dividend lower than its peers.
For more analysis and articles visit our website