Short-Term Sentiment Bearish, Needs to Retest $38.I will be shorting $NIO for the next 2-3 weeks starting Monday morning. Current momentum and sentiment are very bearish in the short term, so a retest to $38 seems inevitable. If $NIO cannot hold $38, we can start to see the low 30s, but hopefully not much lower than that as I do like this company for the long term. In terms of technicals, there is a head and shoulders pattern forming + daily and especially weekly RSI is oversold.
However, whatever happens in the next few weeks I believe it will simply be a continuation of a healthy pullback. The stock has run up over 1650% in the past year alone, aided by China-US tensions, and rumors of delisting of many Chinese companies from NYSE. A sell-off was to be expected.
The one thing that I am mainly concerned with is that NIO is getting audited by PWC's Chinese sector. Also, the majority of analysts covering $NIO is from every big bank's Chinese sector. This can be very deceptive to retail investors. So all I ask is for everyone to be extremely cautious.
Long term, my gut tells me this will all pass, however, I will be extremely cautious and be on the constant lookout for any potential fraud in the company.
