XPTUSD
Platinum: Time to Buy?I think no.
Price is currently consolidating around the $1017 level after breaking the $998 strong resistance.
$1017 is now a stronger resistance. Platinum broke it in June 2016 and tried to recover it at least four times with no success.
My view is a retracement to the EMA 50 level.
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Platinum (XPTUSD): Quick Update. Getting closer to our Target.Platinum is approaching our medium term Target Zone of 1,020 - 1,040 as we posted on this idea in late October:
As the moment, the current 1D Channel Up (RSI = 66.576, MACD = 14.780, ADX = 30.519, Highs/Lows = 23.68000) has just broken above the Higher High trend line again in a move that strongly resembles the late July/ early August break out. That Channel Up was supported by the 1D MA50 (blue trend line) and on a similar RSI action as today's broke to the upside aggressively to form a market top near 1,000.
We assume that as long as the 1D MA50 supports the uptrend, XPTUSD will aggressively break into our Target Zone.
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XPTUSD 1D ASCENDING TRIANGLE BREAKOUT LONG TRADEPlatinum Ascending Triangle Breakout Long Trade
Ascending Triangles are repeatable trading chart patterns.
Ascending chart patterns will have a directional bias depending on the previous incoming trend.
Each chart pattern will have defining trendlines of the support/resistance levels creating the pattern.
What ever time frame you are trading this chart pattern, wait for a candle close outside of the trendline in the direction of the breakout candle. (Our time frame preference is the Daily chart).
Add volume indicator - Volume is the amount of $ that went into a particular candle or in Forex the # of trades that took place.
Add ATR indicator - Volatility is the amount of price movement that occurred. Use the ATR to measure the price movement.
When you see descending Volume bars and descending ATR line (which indicates volatility) this shows
a dis-interest in traders to invest in this pair creating consolidation which creates the chart pattern.
Trade Management after there is a breakout candle close.
1 - Position size (compare volume bar to volume ma line).
a - Breakout candle must be 100% of average volume for a full position size.
b - If 75% of average volume then ½ position size. (To find 75% of Volume
look at the charts volume settings – divide smaller # into larger # = 75%+)
2 - Enter two trades.
3 - SL for both trades will be 1.5 x ATR.
4 - 1st trade TP will be 1 x ATR.
5 - No TP on 2nd trade – letting profit run and adjusting SL to follow price.
6 - When 1st TP hit – move 2nd trade SL to breakeven.
7 - Adjust the 2nd trade SL to follow price.
*8 – After Breakout candle – if price closes back into chart pattern close trade
*9 - When breakout candle is more than 1 ATR from breakout candle open.
a - Enter 1st trade at candle close with ½ position size.
b - Enter 2nd trade with a pending limit order that is 1 ATR of breakout candle open.
c – Price should pullback to that pending limit order for 2nd trade.
d – If Price returns back into chart pattern close trade before SL is hit.
Platinum bullish breakout 2020Based on the price action, this could be one of the best years for platinum since 2007. A break of the confirmed downtrend line and close above it and 200SMA. For extra confirmation, waiting for the close above the $1000 level.
This could be a great long term trade for 2020, targeting $1700 at 61.8% fib level.
Commodities are very bullish at the moment due to brewing conflict between USA and Iran and there seems to be a real threat of war in the air. Investors will seek commodities as safe havens in case of full military action. Not the best start of the new decade...
Good Luck!
Platinum Top on the Way..Commercial producers in Platinum have been heavy sellers in the NYMEX contract lately. This action typically bodes poorly for Platinum prices shortly thereafter. Once the commercials get down to -50k contracts, this can be a good signal to short. Using this weeks "Eskom Power Shortage" news to open a new short position on the NYMEX PL contract.
In times passed, any news relating to a South African miner's strike or a Eskom Power issue typically results in a 2-3 day price jump which is short lived as the producers come in to sell it back down. Will add additional contracts every $10 higher. Profit target is when the commercials have covered contracts (or have delivered metal) back into the -20k range which likely means the $780 to $800 range.
We hit XPT with 944. What's next?After our successful plan last time and hit even more than we anticipated. So what now? Our short term plan is to have a small correction as low as 915. Then we go up again for the midterm. As Platinum is quite volatile, short term against the main trend is very risky so we refrain from entering it.
With low leverage, it can be tried like this:
Entry: 935
Stop: 944
Final target: 919.
Remember that the bigger time-frames signal us that it will surge but the likelihood of correction before moving up is pretty high.
PLATINUM PLAY WITH PENGUINS TOO ;) XPTUSD 14/12/2019
Hello Traders!
We would like to show you a game...
While Penguins are on the hunt, you can easily join them as well!
It is easy, all you need to do is to collect the hearts and watch for the pig and thunder signs.
Targets are marked on the chart as a crosshair.
Heart in the box - a place to jump in/out
Sign with exclamation mark - places to be aware of a few different types of reactions from this level
Target sign - the first target to focus on
Thunder sign - spot to react - possible jump to push into reversal
Penguin - expected direction
Have fun with it, and remember - this game is about the patience. Keep yourself cool, whilst not being greedy.
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Thank you for your attention,
GOD BLESS U ALL!
XPT long entryWith the issues in South Africa ongoing, and the generally bullishness in the wider PM market (even if gold and silver are taking a breather here) this may be a good entry.
There has been a habit of lower highs and lower los since September when the initial PM bull run backed off a bit so a conservative target for XPT is around $950, more aggressively the $982 figure is also a possibility.
A stop at $860 or so is generous, but a tighter stop just under the 200 day moving average around $871 is also reasonable.