Platinum Trade Idea: Go Long with a Price Target of $1,100Rationale:
COT sentiment
The last COT report shows that Commercials' net short positions have been decreasing, which could indicate a shift in sentiment towards the bullish side.
The COT report can be used as a tool to gauge the market sentiment of traders. When Commercials' net short positions decrease, it could signal a potential shift in sentiment towards the bullish side. This could be due to factors such as improving economic conditions, increased demand for platinum, or geopolitical events that could impact the price of platinum.
Option Sentiment
There has been a significant increase in insider option activity, with a notable number of calls being purchased at 100$ strike price. This bullish sentiment has been further corroborated by the options open interest, which has also increased.
Technical Analysis
From a technical perspective, Platinum breakthroug range.
XPTUSD
Platinum. Insider activityA curious spread has opened on Platinum with a volume of 1000 contracts. If you are familiar with the subject, you will realize that an Insider has entered the market. Such deals only appear once or twice a year. Don't miss it!
Spread Expiration - Oct 18, 2024.
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Has Platinum Found Temporary Bottom @880?Two daily rejections at 880 is likely what Platinum needed to commence a bullish trend towards the descending trendline above 990. A price close above 917.441 is what is left for the metal now.
N.B!
- XPTUSD price might not follow drawn lines . Actual price movement may likely differ from the forecast.
- Let emotions and sentiments work for you
- ALWAYS Use Proper Risk Management In Your Trades
#xptusd
#platinum
Seasonal Long in PlatinumHey guys, there is an annual seasonal setup in Platinum which begins during the middle of December and extends until February/Early-March timeframe. The meat of the move seems to occur from end-December until mid/end-January though. While last years movement was fairly muted due to the weak capital markets, I am aiming for a $150/oz upside move this year. TP range is $1100-$1125 area. I scale into small longs vs. taking a single large position as the ranges in Platinum, can be quite large. You can also refer to this link for more info on the seasonal setup as well:
auctusmetals.com
Extension of the trend: Definitely a bullish marketHello there,
I hope you're having a great start to the new year. I wish you all the best in your trading ventures and a happy new year with your loved ones.
I'm a fan of the Elliott wave principle, which I find interesting and useful for market analysis. I've developed my analytical approach by combining this principle with my personal experience and considering various scenarios that are likely to occur in the market.
Although I'm going to share my analysis with you, please note that I won't be providing a buy or sell signal. My goal is to share my unbiased analysis so that you can use it as a guide to make an informed decision.
To give you confidence in my analysis, I'll always share my previous analysis from the same market so that you can compare. All the details of my analysis are clearly labeled, making it easy for you to understand.
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I'm waiting to hear from you. Finally, I'd like to remind you that like-mindedness and support, comments, and likes are the most important pillars of progress, like support points in the financial markets. They give me the energy to continue and share more ideas with you.
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XPTUSD About to test the 1D MA200. Strong buy above it.Platinum (XPTUSD) is going quite well since our October 25 buy call (see chart below) as we caught the bottom and the price is now rebounding:
The long term pattern is a Channel Up. At the moment the price is supported by the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) buy restrained below the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) where it got rejected on November 28. Even though the bottom of the Channel Up was made and the 1D RSI patterns between the two sequences are similar, we need confirmation for upward extension by a break above the 1D MA200.
If you didn't buy lower, you can wait until that level breaks, and then target the +28.55% range at $1100.
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Decoding Market Trends: Platinum's Dance with AI-Predicted ShiftDear Esteemed TV Members,
P latinum has been swaying within a bearish trend. However, insights from Support Vector Machines (SVMs) applied to daily candles suggest a potential weakening of this bearish momentum. This predictive analysis, coupled with a possible rising channel pattern on the Relative Strength Index (RSI), indicates that the bearish trend might be approaching its conclusion, paving the way for a potential shift towards a bullish scenario.
S VMs, a formidable machine learning algorithm, serve a dual purpose in classification and regression tasks. In market analysis, SVMs are invaluable for identifying candlestick patterns, forecasting price momentum, and pinpointing crucial support and resistance levels. As per my SVMs, Platinum's price seems to be on the verge of entering a support zone, marked by the blue rectangle on the chart. This support zone could act as a catalyst, drawing in sufficient demand to instigate a reversal of the trend into a bullish trajectory.
V isualizing this potential scenario, I've outlined it with blue arrows and proposed a long position in the chart. However, a word of caution: Should Platinum experience a downturn below the outlined demand zone (as indicated by the purple forecast), it would be prudent to steer clear of the long position. In such a scenario, an alternative bullish outlook may emerge, capitalizing on Platinum's oversold conditions—a phenomenon observed previously on March 19, 2020, and a possibility hinted at in the alternative blue forecast.
Happy Trading!
A crucial disclaimer accompanies this insight: This is not investment advice, and the responsibility for trading decisions rests solely with the individual. It's imperative to conduct thorough research, exercise caution, and embrace effective risk management strategies.
Best regards,
Ely
For sell or On sale??Looking for an entry within the next couple of days, considering that this is a metal, my stop is fairly tight 200 pips stop lol. However, after carefully taking steps to understand how markets fluctuate, at premium zones, I've decided to make my potential last trade of the year on xpt/usd.
There are no fundamentals behind this...this is pure technical, lately I've shyed away from technical trading however I couldn't pass up how beautific this pair looked from a monthly stand point, price has retraced to my POI returning back to a monthly demand zone after a ChofC. I will set an buy limit for this zone on my metatrader 4.
I'm not a financial advisor, don't not overleverage protect your account fool!!! Good luck!
The rising market of metals is probableGreetings, dear friends. I hope you are having a productive week.
I am happy to assist you in ensuring that all previous analyses are attached to each corresponding analysis. This will provide a comprehensive overview and help you make well-informed decisions. Please do not hesitate to let me know if there is anything else I can do to assist you further.
I want to share my market analysis ideas based on the Elliott Wave Principle with you.
I am a fan of this principle and follow all the rules and guidelines for analyzing the market.
However, please note that my ideas are based on my personal experience and may change over time.
If there is an error in my analysis, I am open to re-analyzing it from the beginning and learning from my mistakes.
It's important to understand that making an error in analysis is not a fault, but evading responsibility is.
No one can analyze financial markets with 100% accuracy, but it's remarkable how close we can get.
We analyze from multiple perspectives to consider all possibilities.
Let's mention a few opinions and ideas!
Based on mathematics.
I am still practicing to understand the Elliott Wave Principle better and hope to provide an even better analysis in the future.
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Mr. Nobody
Keep trying and never give up.
Good luck!
XPTUSD bottomed and has almost +30% upside potential.Platinum (XPTUSD) is testing (and so far failing to break) the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) after a rebound on the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the long-term Channel Up structure. A break above the 1D MA50 but mostly the Lower Highs trend-line, would confirm the bullish bias on such a low price action, with considerable upside potential.
As you can see the current bottom formation is very similar to the one that led to the September 01 2022 Low. The 1D RSI fractals are identical and will be confirmed if it continues on Higher Lows.
As a result we do have a low risk buy signal on the current level but it is not confirmed yet and needs to break above the Lower Highs to do so. Our long-term target is the 1100, which represents a +28.55% rise from the bottom, similar to the November 11 2022 peak.
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XPTUSD Solid buy entry but not confirmed yet.Platinum (XPTUSD) is trading around the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) after a rebound on the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of a potential long-term Channel Up structure. This is the 2nd time it bounces off the Higher Lows and the 4th within the 7-month Support Zone.
The 1D MACD made a Bullish Cross last week and is on Higher Lows since June 30. The very same Triple Bottom formation on a Higher Lows MACD can be seen on the previous bottom. The Lower Highs trend-line break-out didn't confirm the bullish signal, it had to be a break above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) to give the confirmation. As you can see on both fractals the price got rejected on the 1D MA200 (August 11 2022 and July 18 2023) before it bottomed.
As a result we may have a low risk buy signal on the current level but it is not confirmed yet and needs to break above the 1D MA200 to do so. Our long-term target is the Top of the Resistance Zone at 1130.
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Platinum- New test of 1k zone?Since the beginning of July, Platinum has been trading in a 100 USD range, between 900 and 1000 USD per ounce (more or less).
The start of September found the price at the bottom of this range and the price has started to rise again.
A first leg up followed and after XptUsd reached 950, a correction started.
Yesterday we had a reversal in price from interim support around 927 and a new leg up could be next.
Bulls are favored as long as the price is above yesterday's low in terms of daily close and, swing traders who target the upper boundary of the race could achieve an impressive 1:3 risk: reward.
As in the case of Silver and Gold, I'm also bullish on Platinum.
PLATINUM: Excellent buy signal at the bottom of a Rectangle.Platinum (XPTUSD) is rebounding after entering the S1 Zone, which is the bottom part of the Rectangle pattern that has been keeping the price action sideways for the past three months. The 1D technical outlook is neutral (RSI = 45.406, MACD = -7.150, ADX = 37.615) as a result, which justifies this ranged price action. The 1D RSI is rising on a HL trendline, thus we use this low price level to go long and target the 1D MA200 and the R1 Zone (TP = 983.00).
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Platinum(XPTUSD)is heading toward 1010$Hello Traders
Our technical view has been shown in the chart.
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(Disclaimer: Published ideas and other Contents on this page are for educational purposes and do not include a financial recommendation. Trading is Risky, so before any action do your research.)
XPTUSD Long-term buy opportunity near 1 year Support.Platinum (XPTUSD) is having a strong start to the week following a streak of 2 red 1W candles rejected on both the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1W MA200 (orange trend-line). Regardless of the obvious 1W Golden Cross pattern that those two are aiming to complete, the price got again near the 895 - 903 Support Zone, which has been closing all 1W candles above since September 2022.
With the 1W RSI on a bottom sequence similar to the February 2023, December 2021 and September 2021 fractals, we consider this an excellent long-term buy opportunity. Our target is the bottom of the Resistance Zone at 1100.
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XPTUSD ( Platinum / USD ) Commodity Analysis 18/07/2021Technical Analysis:
As you can see, there exist a Hidden Bullish Divergence with MACD and it is the very sign of bullish trend continuation as the Price is Bullish Bounding in an ascending channel.
We draw Fibonacci retracement from the low to the top of previous impulsive wave for specifying the Bullish Cycles and the Possible Pivot Points and Reaccumulation levels in the correction wave condition, which are defined as the Fibonacci and Support and Resistance levels on the chart.
Currently The commodity is consolidating and Reaccumulating on Fibonacci Golden Zone.
naturally XPTUSD is moving in ascending channel presently.
we believe that the commodity is getting ready in order to shoot to the defined targets by Fibonacci Projection of the Past impulsive wave
Platinum- Inverted head and shouldersPlatinum has started the month with a local low shy under 1k psychological figure, a reversal followed which also led to a break above the descending trend line started in May.
At this moment the price is exactly in the horizontal 1040 resistance and a break above this zone would also confirm an inverted H&S pattern.
Buy trades considering this setup would have a perfect 1:2 R: R
Platinum, could this be a new swing higher?Today's focus: Platinum
Pattern – Support hold, trend break
Possible targets – 1070
Support – 993
Resistance – 1035, 1070
Today’s update is on Platinum. We have run over our thoughts and levels we are watching. Yesterday’s solid rally has held support and has started to test support after breaking the current downtrend. Will we see buyers clear resistance and confirm the trend break?
Thanks for stopping by. Good trading, and have a great day.
XPTUSD Buy opportunity with High expected in June.Platinum (XPTUSD) is trading on a Triangle pattern which is within a larger Channel Up. Last time we had this sequence on patterns was last November-December. Once the price hit the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), it rebounded to the 1.5 Fibonacci extension. The current 1.5 Fib is at 1180 but we set a Target slightly lower at 1170. Notice how even the 1D MACD sequences between the two fractals are identical.
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Will Platinum price explode to the upside?Since the Platinum Bobble burst back in 2008, the price was unable to recover, regardless of the all-time high on other PMs.
However, looking at the weekly posted chart we can see that the low after the burst held extremely strong, and after January's higher low, XptUsd also has broken above the falling trend line.
At this moment the road to 1350 resistance is cleared (medium term) and, a break above this level could lead to further gains to 2k in the long term.
Platinum Bullish Flag Set to Become a 5-wave CorrectionThe bearish price action in TVC:PLATINUM that started since Feb 2021 has the hallmarks of a bullish flag:
Overlapping waves WXYXZ
No significant price movement compared to the bullish impulse from Mar 2020 to Feb 2021.
It has taken more than 2x the time to retrace 61.8% of the previous impulse move.
Forecast:
Platinum breaking below the previous low ($825), potentially hitting the $700 area near the bottom trendline of the channel
Platinum bottoming at the Z wave
The price bouncing back targeting the upper trendline as the first target and the previous high ($1336) as the second target.