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XRPUSDT

XRPUSDT - LONG FROM POI 4HTechnically, XRP looks good for a mid-term trade! The sloping line breaks through, but there is no volume as such due to market uncertainty. Therefore, I plan to wait for a local correction as opposed to retail traders and in the POI range , I will consider a long position If my personal expectations are confirmed, I will consider the position in the format as indicated on the trading chart. Targets: $2.2695 $2.3663 $2.4492 Risk management - 1% on stop order
Long
by PHONKTRADER
1
XRPUSD - Key Support ConfirmationXRPUSD is currently forming a Descending Triangle, a continuation pattern that typically signals bearish momentum. The critical support level at $2.00 serves as a decisive point for price action. A successful defense of this level could trigger a short-term bullish reversal, with the immediate target aligning with the triangle resistance at $2.56. However, a confirmed breakdown below $2.00 would validate an AB=CD bearish continuation pattern, potentially extending the downtrend toward the major support at $0.64. Traders should monitor price action around the $2.00 level, as its reaction will determine the next directional bias.
BITSTAMP:XRPUSDShort
by AzrulAzir
XRP Takes a Hit—Is Another Crypto Crash on the Horizon?The crypto market just suffered its worst-performing period of the year, losing a staggering $260 billion in just 36 hours. Market capitalization has dropped below $2.86 trillion, with an 8.85% overnight crash shaking investors' confidence. XRP hasn’t been spared. In the past 24 hours, its price has plunged 11%, now trading with a volume surge of 192.13% to $14.015 billion. Over the last week, XRP is down nearly 13%, confirming that selling pressure is overpowering demand. What’s Fueling the Bearish Sentiment? 🔹 MACD Showing Strong Bearish Momentum – The red histogram is expanding. 🔹 SMA Indicates Downtrend – A negative slope suggests further weakness ahead. 🔹 Whale Investors on Edge – Institutions are micro-monitoring XRP’s price, waiting for a decisive move. What’s Next for XRP? 📌 Bullish Case – If buyers return, XRP could retest $3.00. 📌 Bearish Case – If market conditions worsen, XRP could drop to its key $2.00 support. Despite the crash, XRP’s high trading volume suggests liquidity remains strong—but whether that leads to a rebound or further losses will depend on broader market sentiment. The big question: Is this just another dip, or the start of a deeper market collapse?
Short
by paul_endeo
Break Below $1.90? Ripple Could Crash 35% to $1.50!Hello and greetings to all the crypto enthusiasts, ✌ In several of my previous analyses, I have accurately identified and hit all of the gain targets. In this analysis, I aim to provide you with a comprehensive overview of the future price potential for Ripple , 📚💡 Ripple is in a clear downtrend, trading within a descending channel and approaching a key resistance level near the psychological $2 mark. A crucial support zone exists around $1.90, making it the first downside target. If this resistance fails and the psychological threshold breaks, a deeper 35% decline toward $1.50—aligned with the next major support—becomes likely. This level, marking the channel’s lower boundary, could serve as a pivotal point for price stabilization or reversal.📚🙌 🧨 Our team's main opinion is: 🧨 Ripple is in a downtrend, facing key resistance at $2, with $1.90 as support—if it breaks, a 35% drop to $1.50 is likely. Give me some energy !! ✨We invest countless hours researching opportunities and crafting valuable ideas. Your support means the world to us! If you have any questions, feel free to drop them in the comment box. Cheers, Mad Whale. 🐋
Short
by MadWhale
20
XRP at Critical Level – Major Move Incoming! Bullish OR BearishCurrent Market Structure: #XRP is in a downtrend and has recently broken a key support level, signaling potential further downside. However, a Bullish Harmonic Pattern is forming on the 4H timeframe, which could indicate a possible trend reversal. Key Technical to Watch: 🔹 Bearish Scenario: If #XRP continues to reject resistance and fails to reclaim lost support, the bearish trend may continue toward the next key levels. 🔹 Bullish Scenario: A bullish divergence on the 1H or 4H timeframe could trigger an upward move, forming new higher highs (HHs) and higher lows (HLs). Trade Setup: 🔹 Short Position: If price stays below resistance & rejection continues. 🔹 Long Position: If bullish divergence confirms & price reclaims lost levels. Big Move Expected – Watch Closely! What’s Your Bias? Bullish or Bearish? Comment Below! #XRP #Crypto #Trading #HarmonicPattern #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoTrading
Short
by mudusir
XRP is Showing Weakness – A Breakdown Incoming?Yello, Paradisers! Is XRP on the verge of a major breakdown, or are the bulls about to step in? Let’s analyze the latest Ripple setup: 💎#XRP is struggling at a key resistance zone around $2.5083, repeatedly failing to break through. Each rejection, with low volume accompanying these attempts, suggests that the bulls are losing steam. If this weakness continues, a bearish reversal is becoming increasingly likely. 💎 The key imbalance zone to watch sits at $2.5210—a drop below this level could trigger a sharp decline, with the next target in the $2.41 - $2.50 range. Additionally, the Change of Character (ChoCh) further confirms a possible trend shift, increasing the probability of a downward move. 💎 On the flip side, the bearish invalidation level lies just above the strong resistance zone. If #XRP manages to close above $2.63 with significant volume, it could enter a markup phase, potentially driving the price higher. However, until that happens, the bias remains bearish, and lower levels seem much more probable. 💎The market is at a crucial tipping point—will XRP break down, or will the bulls reclaim control? Let us know your thoughts in the comments. Are you preparing for a markdown, or do you see a surprise rally coming? Let’s discuss! 🎖 Strive for consistency, not quick profits. The market rewards discipline and patience—trade smart, Paradisers! MyCryptoParadise iFeel the success 🌴
Short
by MyCryptoParadise
5
XRP/USDT 1H: Strong Bearish Momentum – Wait for Reversal ConfirmXRP/USDT 1H: Strong Bearish Momentum – Wait for Reversal Confirmation?" 🚀 Follow me on TradingView if you respect our charts! 📈 Daily updates! Current Market Structure: Price at $2.37 with strong bearish momentum. Clearly defined bearish structure with lower highs and lower lows. Market Maker Activity: Market makers distributed heavily in the $2.70-2.80 zone. Multiple bearish order blocks are visible on the descent. RSI shows oversold conditions but lacks bullish divergence at this time. Key Levels: Major Resistance: $2.60 (previous support turned resistance). Immediate Resistance: $2.45. Current Support: $2.35. Next Support: $2.30. Trade Setup (Confidence 8/10): Recommendation: Wait for reversal confirmation before taking a long position. Look for a double bottom formation or a bullish order block as a signal. Potential long entry may be considered after reclaiming $2.45 with tight stops. Risk Score: 8/10 – High-risk environment, given the strong bearish structure. 🚀 Follow me on TradingView if you respect our charts! 📈 Daily updates!
by Cryptokijker
XRP price at a crucial decision point – massive breakout coming?XRP is currently trading at a critical support level, sitting within a 4-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG) around the $2.50 mark. This zone has proven to be a strong demand area, with price reacting and bouncing from it multiple times. However, XRP is now approaching a major trendline resistance, meaning a huge move is coming whether bullish or bearish depends on what happens next! 🔥 The Key Levels You Need to Watch Right Now 🟢 Bullish Scenario – A Breakout Could Send XRP Soaring! The black descending trendline has been a strong resistance for XRP, capping price movement to the upside. If price breaks above this trendline and successfully retests it as support, this would confirm a bullish breakout, likely leading to a surge in price. A successful breakout could see XRP rally towards $2.70, $2.80, and possibly even higher, as there is less resistance above these levels. 🔴 Bearish Scenario – FVG Breakdown Could Spell Trouble! The 4-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG) around $2.50 is a major support level, and price has already shown significant reactions here. However, if XRP fails to break above the trendline and instead falls below the FVG zone, this could lead to further downside pressure. A clean break below $2.50 could send XRP tumbling toward lower support levels, potentially $2.40 or even lower. 🚀 What’s Next for XRP? A Big Move is Coming! With price consolidating between these key levels, a breakout is inevitable. The bullish momentum will be confirmed if price breaks and retests the descending trendline as support. However, if XRP loses the FVG zone, then we could be looking at a shift in trend toward bearish continuation. Final Thoughts – Get Ready for Volatility! Right now, XRP is at a make-or-break moment. The next move will likely set the tone for the coming days. Keep an eye on how price interacts with these levels—whichever side breaks first will determine XRP’s next big move! __________________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment—I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀 Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈✨
KRAKEN:XRPUSD
by TehThomas
XRP Bullish Setup – AB=CD Pattern on 1H Timeframe!#XRP is in a strong uptrend, showing no bearish signs, and currently forming a classic AB=CD pattern on the 1-hour timeframe. This pattern is a well-known harmonic structure that often leads to a continuation of the trend! Key Technical Insights: 🔹 AB=CD Pattern Completion: Price is approaching the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement zone. 🔹 No Bearish Signs: Momentum remains bullish, with increasing volume. 🔹 Confluence Support: The 0.618 FIB level aligns with previous demand zones, increasing the probability of a bounce. Trading Plan: Entry: Around the 0.618 FIB level, Price is 2.65 🔹 Targets: TP at 2.88 🔹 Stop-Loss: Below structure 0.5 FIB level, Price is 2.6 What do you think? Will #XRP respect the AB=CD pattern and continue higher? Drop your thoughts in the comments! Like & Follow for more high-probability trade setups!
Long
by mudusir
xrp sell limit midterm"🌟 Welcome to Golden Candle! 🌟 We're a team of 📈 passionate traders 📉 who love sharing our 🔍 technical analysis insights 🔎 with the TradingView community. 🌎 Our goal is to provide 💡 valuable perspectives 💡 on market trends and patterns, but 🚫 please note that our analyses are not intended as buy or sell recommendations. 🚫 Instead, they reflect our own 💭 personal attitudes and thoughts. 💭 Follow along and 📚 learn 📚 from our analyses! 📊💡"
Short
by Golden_candle
XRP - Food For ThougtThe total supply of XRP tokens is capped at 100 billion, ensuring that no more than 100 billion XRP tokens will ever be created. As of now, approximately 52% of the total supply is in circulation, with the remaining tokens held in escrow accounts by Ripple Labs. Currently priced at $2.54 per token, transferring $1 billion via the XRP Ledger (XRPL) would require 393,700,787.4 XRP. However, if XRP were valued at $100,000 per token, only 10,000 tokens would be needed for the same transaction. You might be thinking, "That would mean the XRP ecosystem, if fully distributed, would be worth $100 trillion... IMPOSSIBLE!" But let's delve into some numbers. Every day, approximately $5.7-6 trillion is transacted in the foreign exchange (FOREX) market. Annually, this equates to $2.1 quadrillion. If just 5% of that volume were moved across the XRPL, it would amount to $105 trillion. And this doesn't even account for the tokenization of stocks or real estate, which also see trillions in volume. The Society for Worldwide Interbank Financial Telecommunication (SWIFT) system processes an average of nearly 50 million messages per day. While the exact monetary value of these transactions isn't publicly disclosed, it's estimated to be in the trillions of dollars daily. It's important to note that SWIFT and FOREX serve different functions in the financial world. So, in addition to FOREX moving $2.1 quadrillion annually and SWIFT handling another quadrillion, that's a massive volume of transactions. We now know that the XRPL ledger has recently been connected to SWIFT. So, is a $100,000 XRP a pipe dream? Far from it. Bitcoin has hovered around $100,000 based on user sentiment. XRP represents an infrastructure of value.
KRAKEN:XRPUSD
by MissouriTim
XRP Weekly Summary: February 15–21, 2025Welcome back to my weekly XRP roundup! As of February 21, 2025, the XRP market has been buzzing with activity, reflecting both its resilience and the broader crypto landscape’s volatility. Here’s what’s been happening with Ripple’s flagship cryptocurrency this week. Price Action: A Rollercoaster Ride XRP kicked off the week with a notable surge, climbing over 20% to hit $2.76 by midweek. This rally was a breath of fresh air for holders, fueled by whispers of regulatory clarity and renewed investor confidence. However, as Bitcoin and other major cryptocurrencies faced downward pressure, XRP cooled off slightly, trading around $2.50–$2.60 by Friday morning. Posts on X highlighted this pullback, noting resistance near all-time high volume-weighted average price (VWAP) levels, suggesting the market might be testing a critical ceiling. Despite the dip, XRP’s weekly gains remain impressive, hovering around 15–17% depending on the hour—a solid performance amid a shaky broader market. Or, if 15-17% doesn't impress you much in one week, you always have the alternative to put your money in a CD at your local bank for 4.7% per year. Legal Winds Blow in Ripple’s Favor The big story this week? Legal developments surrounding Ripple’s long-standing battle with the SEC. Sentiment on X and crypto news circles suggests growing optimism that the tides are turning. Speculation is rife that the SEC’s case could weaken further, especially with chatter about the agency acknowledging Grayscale’s XRP ETF filing. While no official resolution has dropped as of Friday morning, the narrative of “SEC overreach” is gaining traction, boosting XRP’s appeal as a “sleeping giant” ready to awaken. If these legal clouds clear, analysts see a path to $3 or higher in the near term—exciting times ahead! ETF Hype Heats Up Speaking of ETFs, the XRP ecosystem is abuzz with ETF-related developments. Multiple firms have been pushing XRP exchange-traded fund applications, and this week, the buzz intensified. The idea of a BlackRock-backed XRP ETF even popped up in some enthusiastic X posts—though it’s still speculative at this stage. The potential for an approved ETF continues to drive bullish sentiment, with analysts suggesting it could unlock a “liquidity cascade” and propel XRP past its previous all-time highs. For now, it’s a waiting game, but the anticipation is palpable. Another Financial Institution Connects to the XRP Ledger On February 19, 2025, Braza Group, an international payment firm with over 15 years in the banking sector, announced the launch of its BBRL stablecoin on the XRP Ledger. Braza Group, while not a traditional bank itself, is a BACEN (Central Bank of Brazil) interbank player, meaning it operates within Brazil’s regulated financial ecosystem and facilitates interbank transactions. The BBRL stablecoin, pegged to the Brazilian Real, aims to provide a secure and efficient digital transaction option for individuals and businesses, leveraging XRPL’s capabilities. Making Closer Ties Where Its Important Brad Garlinghouse, the CEO of Ripple has been active in the public sphere recently, but the most notable events occurred earlier in February. On February 14, 2025, he shared on X about engaging with U.S. policymakers in Washington, D.C., including meetings with figures like Senator Tim Scott (Chairman of the Senate Banking Committee) and Representative Ritchie Torres. Photos from these meetings were posted, showing him alongside lawmakers such as Representatives William Timmons, Bill Huizenga, Bryan Steil, Zach Nunn, and French Hill. These discussions focused on advancing crypto regulatory clarity, but they fall just outside this week’s timeframe (February 15–21). Market Sentiment and On-Chain Moves On-chain data paints a picture of accumulation, with significant XRP outflows from exchanges reported earlier in the week—think tens of millions of dollars’ worth. This suggests big players might be stacking their bags, betting on a breakout. Meanwhile, X users are hyping up technical patterns like the “cup and handle,” hinting at a possible 18% jump to $3.30 if XRP clears key resistance around $2.82. The mood? Bullish, but cautious—everyone’s watching Bitcoin’s next move and the Fed’s hawkish stance for cues. What’s Next? As we wrap up this week, XRP stands at a crossroads. Will it smash through resistance and reclaim its glory above $3, or will market headwinds force a deeper correction? With legal clarity on the horizon, ETF speculation simmering, and strong community support, XRP is poised for a potentially historic moment. Stay tuned for next week’s update—we might just see fireworks!
KRAKEN:XRPUSDLong
by MissouriTim
XRP Why A Serious Revaluation Is Imminent And CloseQUESTION: If XRP is only being used as a settlement currency for banks then why would there be these wild price predictions when the market cap is already $150 billion? The wild price predictions for XRP often stem from different interpretations of its utility, demand, and supply dynamics. Let's break it down: Market Cap Misconceptions XRP's market cap is often misunderstood. Market cap = price × circulating supply, but price movements depend more on liquidity and demand rather than market cap alone. Many price predictions assume increased utility will drive higher demand, but market cap alone doesn’t dictate price ceilings. Bank Adoption and Utility Argument If XRP is mainly used as a bridge currency for cross-border settlements, its price would be driven by transaction volume rather than speculation. However, banks and financial institutions don’t need to hold XRP for long periods—it's typically used in seconds. This limits the need for large amounts of XRP to be held, which could cap price growth. Speculative vs. Real Utility Many wild price predictions ($100+, $500+, etc.) are fueled by speculation rather than actual use cases. In reality, even if XRP were widely used for settlement, price appreciation would depend on sustained demand, not just temporary spikes. Liquidity and Scarcity Factors Some argue that as more institutions use XRP, liquidity will tighten, potentially driving price increases. However, the XRP supply is large (100 billion total, with over 50 billion circulating), and large holders (like Ripple itself) could introduce selling pressure. Regulatory and Adoption Uncertainty XRP's legal battles and regulatory clarity impact its adoption. A major victory (like its partial win against the SEC) can fuel hype-driven price predictions. True institutional adoption is still limited, and even if banks use it, they may prefer private ledgers over using the open market. Bottom Line XRP has real utility in cross-border payments, but its role as a settlement currency doesn’t necessarily justify extreme price predictions. The market cap is already large, and unless significant new demand arises, a massive price surge would require much broader institutional adoption beyond just bank settlements. QUESTION: So currently the valuation of XRP is already way higher than many banks and companies will the price eventually come down to a more realistic price to value in the future? XRP’s current valuation is indeed higher than many traditional banks and financial institutions, which raises the question of sustainability. Whether its price comes down to a more “realistic” value depends on a few key factors: 1. Utility vs. Speculation A significant portion of XRP’s price is driven by speculation, not just utility. Many holders are retail investors betting on future institutional adoption. If speculation cools down and usage remains limited to settlement purposes (where XRP is only held for seconds), the price could decline over time to reflect actual utility. 2. Market Cycles & Sentiment Crypto markets go through bull and bear cycles. In bear markets, assets that lack strong organic demand (beyond speculation) tend to lose value. If hype around XRP fades and institutions don’t adopt it at scale, its price may correct to better reflect real-world usage. 3. Inflation & Supply Dynamics XRP has a fixed max supply of 100 billion, but a large portion is still held by Ripple and periodically released. If Ripple continues selling XRP from its reserves, it could create sell pressure, gradually pushing prices down. However, XRP is also deflationary, as transaction fees burn small amounts over time—but this effect is minimal in the grand scheme. 4. Institutional Adoption If banks and financial institutions fully integrate XRP and hold it as a reserve asset, it could justify a high valuation. But most banks prefer private ledgers and stablecoins over holding volatile assets like XRP, limiting potential demand. 5. Competitive Landscape XRP was originally designed for fast, cheap payments, but other solutions like stablecoins (USDC, USDT) and CBDCs are gaining traction. If banks prefer these alternatives, XRP’s price could drop to align with lower demand. Realistic Price Outlook? If XRP remains primarily a settlement tool, a valuation correction could bring it closer to its real utility value (which may be much lower than today’s levels). However, if a new narrative or significant adoption shift occurs, speculative cycles could keep it elevated. Long-term, unless real demand matches its high valuation, the price may deflate to more sustainable levels. QUESTION: Is the value of XRP currently way higher than it should be compared to its usage Yes, based on its current real-world usage, XRP’s valuation appears to be significantly higher than what its actual adoption justifies. Why? Usage Doesn’t Match Market Cap XRP is mainly used for cross-border settlements, but banks don’t need to hold large amounts for long. Most transactions are instant, meaning there’s no long-term demand pressure. If XRP were widely used by banks, we’d expect daily transaction volume (not just speculative trading volume) to be massive—yet it's relatively low. Speculative Premium A large portion of XRP’s price is driven by speculation rather than real institutional demand. Many investors believe in a future where XRP will be used at scale, but that adoption hasn’t fully materialized. Its past bull run prices were based on hype, and prices could drop as reality sets in. Supply & Sell Pressure Ripple holds a significant portion of XRP and periodically sells into the market. This constant release of XRP into circulation creates downward pressure. Competition from Stablecoins & CBDCs Many banks and financial institutions are leaning toward stablecoins (USDC, USDT) and CBDCs rather than volatile assets like XRP. Stablecoins provide instant settlements without the volatility risk of XRP, making them more appealing for payments and cross-border transfers. Conclusion Unless XRP gains widespread institutional adoption beyond just being a settlement tool, its valuation is inflated relative to its current use case. If hype dies down and utility doesn’t significantly increase, a correction would make sense in the long run. QUESTION: The current price is 2.75 is that overvalued? Yes, if XRP is currently trading at $2.75, then it is extremely overvalued relative to its actual real-world usage. That price is almost entirely speculation-driven rather than being backed by fundamental demand from banks and institutions. Why is XRP Overvalued? Speculation Dominates The price is likely inflated due to retail and institutional traders betting on future adoption, not actual usage today. Many holders believe XRP will be widely used by banks in the future, but that hasn’t fully materialized. Utility-Driven Valuation is Much Lower As calculated earlier, based on actual transaction volume and settlement needs, a more realistic price for XRP without speculation could be anywhere from $0.05 to $0.50. At $2.75, XRP’s market cap is massively inflated compared to its real-world demand. Ripple’s XRP Holdings & Selling Pressure Ripple still holds a significant amount of XRP and regularly sells into the market. If real demand doesn’t increase, but more XRP enters circulation, it could create downward price pressure over time. Banks Prefer Stablecoins & CBDCs Financial institutions are increasingly looking at stablecoins (USDC, USDT) and central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) for payments instead of XRP. Unlike XRP, stablecoins don’t have volatility issues, making them more attractive for settlements. What Could Happen Next? If speculation dies down and investors realize XRP’s real use case is limited, a significant price correction could happen. XRP could still maintain some premium due to speculation, but long-term, it needs actual adoption to justify a multi-dollar price. Conclusion At $2.75, XRP is massively overvalued based on its current utility. If speculation fades, a more reasonable price could be well under $1—or even below $0.50—unless it gains widespread, real-world adoption beyond what it has today. None of this is financial advice, just satire!
BITSTAMP:XRPUSDShort
by Bitgolder
43
XRP Even Chat GPT Knows XRP Is About To Get Revalued .10 CentsMAKE SURE YOU READ TO THE END THE END IS THE BEST! If XRP is only being used as a settlement currency for bank then why would there be these wild price predictions when the market cap is already $150 billion? ChatGPT said: Great question! The wild price predictions for XRP often stem from different interpretations of its utility, demand, and supply dynamics. Let's break it down: Market Cap Misconceptions XRP's market cap is often misunderstood. Market cap = price × circulating supply, but price movements depend more on liquidity and demand rather than market cap alone. Many price predictions assume increased utility will drive higher demand, but market cap alone doesn’t dictate price ceilings. Bank Adoption and Utility Argument If XRP is mainly used as a bridge currency for cross-border settlements, its price would be driven by transaction volume rather than speculation. However, banks and financial institutions don’t need to hold XRP for long periods—it's typically used in seconds. This limits the need for large amounts of XRP to be held, which could cap price growth. Speculative vs. Real Utility Many wild price predictions ($100+, $500+, etc.) are fueled by speculation rather than actual use cases. In reality, even if XRP were widely used for settlement, price appreciation would depend on sustained demand, not just temporary spikes. Liquidity and Scarcity Factors Some argue that as more institutions use XRP, liquidity will tighten, potentially driving price increases. However, the XRP supply is large (100 billion total, with over 50 billion circulating), and large holders (like Ripple itself) could introduce selling pressure. Regulatory and Adoption Uncertainty XRP's legal battles and regulatory clarity impact its adoption. A major victory (like its partial win against the SEC) can fuel hype-driven price predictions. True institutional adoption is still limited, and even if banks use it, they may prefer private ledgers over using the open market. Bottom Line XRP has real utility in cross-border payments, but its role as a settlement currency doesn’t necessarily justify extreme price predictions. The market cap is already large, and unless significant new demand arises, a massive price surge would require much broader institutional adoption beyond just bank settlements. You said: So currently the valuation of XRP is already way higher than many banks and companies will the price eventually come down to a more realistic price to value in the future? ChatGPT said: That’s a solid perspective. XRP’s current valuation is indeed higher than many traditional banks and financial institutions, which raises the question of sustainability. Whether its price comes down to a more “realistic” value depends on a few key factors: 1. Utility vs. Speculation A significant portion of XRP’s price is driven by speculation, not just utility. Many holders are retail investors betting on future institutional adoption. If speculation cools down and usage remains limited to settlement purposes (where XRP is only held for seconds), the price could decline over time to reflect actual utility. 2. Market Cycles & Sentiment Crypto markets go through bull and bear cycles. In bear markets, assets that lack strong organic demand (beyond speculation) tend to lose value. If hype around XRP fades and institutions don’t adopt it at scale, its price may correct to better reflect real-world usage. 3. Inflation & Supply Dynamics XRP has a fixed max supply of 100 billion, but a large portion is still held by Ripple and periodically released. If Ripple continues selling XRP from its reserves, it could create sell pressure, gradually pushing prices down. However, XRP is also deflationary, as transaction fees burn small amounts over time—but this effect is minimal in the grand scheme. 4. Institutional Adoption If banks and financial institutions fully integrate XRP and hold it as a reserve asset, it could justify a high valuation. But most banks prefer private ledgers and stablecoins over holding volatile assets like XRP, limiting potential demand. 5. Competitive Landscape XRP was originally designed for fast, cheap payments, but other solutions like stablecoins (USDC, USDT) and CBDCs are gaining traction. If banks prefer these alternatives, XRP’s price could drop to align with lower demand. Realistic Price Outlook? If XRP remains primarily a settlement tool, a valuation correction could bring it closer to its real utility value (which may be much lower than today’s levels). However, if a new narrative or significant adoption shift occurs, speculative cycles could keep it elevated. Long-term, unless real demand matches its high valuation, the price may deflate to more sustainable levels. You said: So in your opinion the value of XRP currently is way higher than it should be compared to its usage ChatGPT said: Yes, based on its current real-world usage, XRP’s valuation appears to be significantly higher than what its actual adoption justifies. Why? Usage Doesn’t Match Market Cap XRP is mainly used for cross-border settlements, but banks don’t need to hold large amounts for long. Most transactions are instant, meaning there’s no long-term demand pressure. If XRP were widely used by banks, we’d expect daily transaction volume (not just speculative trading volume) to be massive—yet it's relatively low. Speculative Premium A large portion of XRP’s price is driven by speculation rather than real institutional demand. Many investors believe in a future where XRP will be used at scale, but that adoption hasn’t fully materialized. Its past bull run prices were based on hype, and prices could drop as reality sets in. Supply & Sell Pressure Ripple holds a significant portion of XRP and periodically sells into the market. This constant release of XRP into circulation creates downward pressure. Competition from Stablecoins & CBDCs Many banks and financial institutions are leaning toward stablecoins (USDC, USDT) and CBDCs rather than volatile assets like XRP. Stablecoins provide instant settlements without the volatility risk of XRP, making them more appealing for payments and cross-border transfers. Conclusion Unless XRP gains widespread institutional adoption beyond just being a settlement tool, its valuation is inflated relative to its current use case. If hype dies down and utility doesn’t significantly increase, a correction would make sense in the long run. You said: What is a reasonable valuation for XRP removing all the speculation and only considering the current usage of it? ChatGPT said: A reasonable valuation for XRP, based purely on current real-world usage and removing speculation, would likely be significantly lower than its current market cap. Here's how we can approach estimating a fair value based on utility alone: 1. On-Demand Liquidity (ODL) & Settlement Usage XRP's primary use case is cross-border payments through RippleNet and On-Demand Liquidity (ODL). While Ripple claims growing adoption, the actual daily transactional volume from banks and institutions using XRP is small compared to its total market cap. A large portion of XRP trading volume still comes from speculation on exchanges, not institutional settlement use. Estimating Utility-Based Price Let’s assume banks & financial institutions only need a fraction of XRP's supply at any given time for real transactions. For context, SWIFT (the dominant global payment network) settles $5 trillion per day, but that doesn’t mean XRP will replace it or capture all of that volume. Even if XRP were used for 1% of SWIFT’s volume, that would be around $50 billion in daily transactions. Given that XRP is designed for rapid settlement (held for seconds, not days), the actual liquidity needed in the system would be far smaller—likely a few billion dollars at most. 2. Supply & Circulating Coins Current circulating supply: ~55 billion XRP If XRP’s real usage demand is only a few billion dollars at any given time, then its price per coin would be much lower than today’s level. A conservative model: If XRP needed a total market cap of $5 billion to serve its actual transactional volume, the price per XRP would be: $5,000,000,00055,000,000,000=$0.09 55,000,000,000$5,000,000,000​=$0.09 If XRP needed a $10 billion market cap, the price per XRP would be $0.18. These numbers assume zero speculation and only reflect practical usage. 3. Competitive Alternatives Banks may prefer stablecoins (USDC, USDT) or CBDCs for settlements instead of XRP. If that happens, XRP’s utility-based value could drop even further. Final Thought Pure utility price range (removing speculation): $0.05 - $0.50 per XRP (depending on actual adoption). Current price (~$0.60 - $0.70 as of early 2024) is mostly speculation rather than true demand from banks. If XRP’s adoption expands beyond just settlements (e.g., DeFi, smart contracts), its valuation could be higher, but based on current use, a fair price is likely far lower than today's market cap suggests. You said: The current price is 2.75 though so that means that its extremely overvalued? ChatGPT said: Yes, if XRP is currently trading at $2.75, then it is extremely overvalued relative to its actual real-world usage. That price is almost entirely speculation-driven rather than being backed by fundamental demand from banks and institutions. Why is XRP Overvalued? Speculation Dominates The price is likely inflated due to retail and institutional traders betting on future adoption, not actual usage today. Many holders believe XRP will be widely used by banks in the future, but that hasn’t fully materialized. Utility-Driven Valuation is Much Lower As calculated earlier, based on actual transaction volume and settlement needs, a more realistic price for XRP without speculation could be anywhere from $0.05 to $0.50. At $2.75, XRP’s market cap is massively inflated compared to its real-world demand. Ripple’s XRP Holdings & Selling Pressure Ripple still holds a significant amount of XRP and regularly sells into the market. If real demand doesn’t increase, but more XRP enters circulation, it could create downward price pressure over time. Banks Prefer Stablecoins & CBDCs Financial institutions are increasingly looking at stablecoins (USDC, USDT) and central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) for payments instead of XRP. Unlike XRP, stablecoins don’t have volatility issues, making them more attractive for settlements. What Could Happen Next? If speculation dies down and investors realize XRP’s real use case is limited, a significant price correction could happen. XRP could still maintain some premium due to speculation, but long-term, it needs actual adoption to justify a multi-dollar price. Conclusion At $2.75, XRP is massively overvalued based on its current utility. If speculation fades, a more reasonable price could be well under $1—or even below $0.50—unless it gains widespread, real-world adoption beyond what it has today. Good luck, this is going to destroy so many people, its so sad. None of this is financial advice its just my opinion.
BITSTAMP:XRPUSDShort
by Bitgolder
7
Why Is XRP Surging? Here’s What’s Fueling the RallyAfter a period of uncertainty, XRP has made a strong comeback, reclaiming the $2.70 level and reigniting bullish sentiment across the market. With the SEC’s pending decision on an XRP ETF, speculation is growing that this could be the catalyst for a major price breakout. XRP has gained 6.84% in the past 24 hours, trading with a volume of $5.33 billion. Over the past week, it’s up 9.59%, and its YTD performance stands at +29.95%, signaling strong long-term momentum. What’s Driving the XRP Rally? 📌 SEC ETF Decision – Growing optimism that approval could push XRP to new highs. 📊 RSI Remains Above Neutral – Increased buying pressure signals market confidence. 📈 SMA Support Holding Strong – The trend remains bullish, supporting further upside. What’s Next for XRP? If the rally holds, XRP could test $3.00 next, with a successful breakout targeting $3.50. However, if momentum fades, key support levels lie at $2.50 and $2.00. With XRP holding a top 3 spot in the crypto rankings, its next move could set the tone for the broader market. Will ETF speculation fuel a breakout, or will resistance hold?
Long
by paul_endeo
I Am Not Convinced: Is XRP Bullish Now Or...Technically speaking, we have quite a few bullish signals. In fact, the whole chart structure is bullish, long-term. Good morning my fellow XRP trader, here it is 2:35 AM. I am not fully convinced as I don't see anything coming from this chart. Are you expecting a strong move in the coming days? Well, things can easily change. Sometimes, when a pair moves very strong within a phase, the next phase it can become quite quiet. For example, many of the pairs that failed to grow strongly in late 2024 and early 2025 can start to move strongly now. And those pairs that did really good can continue to consolidate, sideways, with a downward bent. While we are not bearish because we would never SHORT nor recommend SHORT until the end of the bull-market, for a rise we would look for hotter, more active pairs. Those pairs have a very different chart. The way XRPUSDT looks like now it is as if it would like to continue sideways. That's the feeling I am getting from this chart. This feeling is supported by the chart signals as well as experience. Now, sideways doesn't mean down, it can rise but only to stop at resistance, then move lower but only to stop at support and continue with this sideways action for as long as... I think XRP is going down. Namaste.
by MasterAnanda
3
XRP/USDT 1H: Bullish Recovery in Play – Next Resistance $2.75??!XRP/USDT 1H: Bullish Recovery in Play – Next Key Resistance $2.75? 🚀 Follow me on TradingView if you respect our charts! 📈 Daily updates! Current Market Condition: Price at $2.67 showing bullish momentum with a strong recovery from $2.50 support. Market structure indicates the accumulation phase is complete, entering a markup phase. Smart Money Analysis: MM accumulation visible in the $2.50-2.55 zone. Hidden bullish divergence on RSI confirms underlying strength. Volume increasing on recent green candles. Institutional buying pressure evident from OB fills. Trade Setup (Confidence 8/10): Entry: $2.67-2.70 zone. Targets: T1: $2.80 T2: $2.85 Stop Loss: $2.58 (below recent swing low). Risk Score: 7/10 – Favorable risk-to-reward with a clear stop loss level. Recommendation: Long positions are recommended with tight stops. Watch $2.75 as key resistance. 🚀 Follow me on TradingView if you respect our charts! 📈 Daily updates!
Long
by Cryptokijker