XRP Price Prediction: XRP Struggles At $1.1
XRP price struggles to sustain around $1.1 amid bearish calls that risk another drop to $0.92.
The US SEC maintains that the DPP protects its internal documents, and therefore Ripple has no right to request access.
Ripple is dancing around $1 after plunging from a September high of $1.4 and testing support at $0.92. The international money transfer token has not made significant progress since regaining ground above $1. A barrier at $1.14 proves an uphill battle to the bulls, who seem to have resorted to playing defense at $1.1.
XRP Price Downside Not Exhausted
Ripple price did not bottom following the drop to $0.92. Hence, bulls lack the momentum to take on the hurdles at $1.14 and $1.2, respectively. The general technical picture enhances the bearish outlook in the market, implying that XRP could correct further before a formidable recovery comes into the picture.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator displays a bearish signal on the daily chart. The call to sell XRP first appeared on August 24 and was later reinforced on September 6. With the MACD moving into the negative region, Ripple is bound to explore lower levels at $1 and toward $0.92.
Meanwhile, all is not lost for the bulls when the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) is considered. This moving average played a crucial role in halting the declines last week, allowing buyers to retake control. If it remains in place and unbroken, Ripple will have the chance to fight for gains back to $1.4 without having to drop to $0.92 first.
The SEC Deals Ripple A Blow In The Lawsuit
A lawsuit seeking to categorize XRP as a security token continues to drag on in the US courts. Ripple is currently requesting access to internal documents from the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to develop a wholesome defense.
However, in a letter to Judge Sarah Netburn, the SEC claims that all the documents are privileged and protected by the deliberative process privilege (DPP). The letter states in detail:
“Many are also protected by the attorney-client privilege and the work product doctrine. The compelled release of the SEC’s predecisional deliberations relating to digital assets would discourage meaningful deliberation among SEC officials and staff relating to investigations, potential cases, and other regulatory activities taken or under consideration in a field where regulation carries significant consequences for the financial markets.”
The SEC continued:
“The Court should not pierce the SEC’s DPP and other privileges, particularly when the documents are irrelevant to Defendants’ proffered defense,” the agency continued, adding that “piercing the government’s privilege as a litigant over materials prepared in advance of litigation would be extraordinary and inappropriate.”
With the SEC taking a stand against supplying privileged documents, Ripple will likely file a motion to oppose the regulator’s letter on September 28. Nonetheless, Judge Netburn is expected to conduct an in-camera review of the SEC’s internal documents while considering the defendants and the plaintiff’s arguments on the DPP.
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RIPPLE - Intraday Update - 12/06/20 (Short-term)RIPPLE - Intraday Update - 12/06/20 (Short-term)
Bottom Line: Subdividing higher within wave iii of (iii)
Breaking above $0.7941 is the next upside objective for the bulls.
Outlook: A fifth wave rally is in its early stages.
Note: Prices can vary between exchanges, and consequently there may be differences in our chart prices due to different data sets.
Could XRP about to FLY.XRP on the 4HR - 20, 50 and 200 MA are below price and acting as support. Last time this happened the charts shows we pushed on hugely. Once again this is the case.. Red zones are resistance. We could be about to surge towards $0.55 is this is the case. All 3 MA are pointing to the upside movement.
XRP 100% upward potential, BUT FIRST to finish leg C down
Applying Elliot Wave Theory ( "EWT" to the Ripple (XRP) graph clearly shows us that we are currently forming the C-correction leg, after which a new upward impulse wave should be very likely to start .
--> We clearly see the movement of the five subwaves in the upward impulse wave, followed by the ABC correction, as prescribed by Elliot Wave Theory.
--> The C leg has been drawn for the first part, but can be expected to go lower (according to the wave theory principles), before a new uptrend can start, which is also confirmed by MACD and RSI indicators (see further).
Applying the Elliot Wave Theory rules:
EW Theory can be easily explained and applied looking at this graph. We can see the three rules hold true:
--> Rule ("I") Elliot Wave Theory rule 1: Wave 2 cannot exceed wave 1 in retracement (wave two can not correct to a lower price than wave 1’s starting point) —> OK
--> Rule ("II") EW Theory rule 2: Wave 3 can never be the shortest : a tricky one but subwave 3 is still longer than subwave 1 —> OK
--> Rule ("III") EW theory rule 3: wave 4 can never overlap wave 1 —> OK
Some guidelines are also highlighted and confirmed:
--> (i) Guideline: if wave 2 is steep, then wave 4 is relatively flat : Wave 2 shows a retracement from 0,000052 to 0,00003564 or 46% correction, which is quite steep so 4 will be relatively flat and is actually around 20% —> OK
--> (ii) Guideline: After a "5-wave" impulse advance, corrections ( abc ) usually end in the area of prior Wave 4 low —> we use this as a FIRST ESTIMATE to where the price will retrace BEFORE taking of for the next 5-legged impulse wave upward!
Additional information on the graph confirms our viewpoint:
--> The MACD is still in decline with the red line over the blue + will reach a bullish cross somewhere around end of leg C.
--> RSI is also in a downward trend for the moment.
Conclusion:
--> It is best to sit back some more while leg C is developing, and jump back into XRP when indicators such as MACD and the start of a new first wave leg confirm a bullish reversal (note: price potential at this time to All time high is around 100%, but will be even more from the C leg bottom).
PS: this article is by no means intended as formal investment advice, please do your own due diligence and best of luck!