USDWTI D1 - Short Signal PendingUSDWTI D1 - Finally starting to see a bit of support here on crude oil… 76.50 is still out preferable sell zone, healthy correction from latest swing high to swing low, which ties is nicely with out preciously broken support zone.
Simply looking for the retest of that broken zone to position ourselves short, in aim of fresh lows.
Xtiusd
XTIUSD...SELL (11%)Expecting a barrel of XtiUsd to fall to $71.300 per barrel. As XtiUsd rejected from its two previous highs on Thursday New York opening and todays Pre-new York session. I'm looking for some market to to supply orders and hence which in turn will lead to this drawdown!!!
USOIL 5th DECEMBER 2022Organization of Petroleum Exporters and its Allies (OPEC+) maintained production cuts, keeping production at 2 million barrels per day (bpd) from November to 2023. Oil prices weakened as China's zero-covid policy weighed on demand. However, after the regulation was relaxed in a number of cities including Beijing and Shanghai, oil prices slowly moved up. WTI and Brent oil are significantly bullish, this is partly driven by the easing of China's covid-19 lockdown.
Technically, oil prices are still in a bearish trend, but bullish is possible in the next few days until the resistance area. recommendation to sell in the resistance area marked by the red area. Prices can go higher, pay attention to several points that can make oil prices tend to be bullish: opec policy, easing lockdown in china, and weakening USD.
Gold Price and Crude Oil Price Aim More Upsides, Bulls In ControGold price climbed higher and traded above the $1,780 resistance. Crude oil price is also rising and might climb further higher above $82.50.
Important Takeaways for Gold and Oil
· Gold price found support near the $1,720 level and started a fresh increase against the US Dollar.
· There is a key bullish trend line forming with support near $1,792 on the hourly chart of gold.
· Crude oil price gained bullish momentum above the $80.00 resistance zone.
· There is a major bullish trend line forming with support near $81.00 on the hourly chart of XTI/USD.
Gold Price Technical Analysis
Gold price formed a base above the $1,720 level against the US Dollar. The price started a fresh increase and was able to clear the $1,750 and $1,765 resistance levels.
There was a clear move above the $1,780 resistance and the 50 hourly simple moving average. The price even broke the $1,800 level and traded as high as $1,804 on FXOpen. Recently, there was a downside correction below the $1,800 level.
Gold Price Hourly Chart
An immediate support on the downside is near the $1,792 level. There is also a key bullish trend line forming with support near $1,792 on the hourly chart of gold.
The trend line is close to the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $1,745 swing low to $1,804 high. The next major support is near the $1,775 level or the 50 hourly simple moving average.
The 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $1,745 swing low to $1,804 high is also near $1,775, below which there is a risk of a larger decline.
In the stated case, the price could decline sharply towards the $1,750 support zone. On the upside, the first major resistance is near the $1,800 level.
The main resistance is now forming near the $1,805 level, above which it could even test $1,820. A clear upside break above the $1,820 resistance could send the price towards $1,840.
Oil Price Technical Analysis
Crude oil price also started a fresh increase from the $73.63 support zone against the US Dollar. The price was able to clear the $75.00 and $78.00 resistance levels.
The price even gained pace above the $80.00 level and the 50 hourly simple moving average. Finally, the bears appeared near the $83.30 level. A high was formed near $83.30 and the price is now correcting gains.
Oil Price Hourly Chart
On the downside, an immediate support is near the $81.00 level. There is also a major bullish trend line forming with support near $81.00 on the hourly chart of XTI/USD. The trend line is near the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $73.93 swing low to $83.30 high.
The next major support is near the $80.40 level. If there is a downside break, the price might decline towards $78.50 or the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $73.93 swing low to $83.30 high.
Any more losses may perhaps open the doors for a move towards the $75.00 support zone. On the upside, the price might face resistance near $82.00.
The first major resistance is near the $82.80 level. The main resistance sits near the $83.30 level, above which the price might accelerate higher towards $85.00 or even $86.00.
Disclaimer: This forecast represents FXOpen Companies opinion only, it should not be construed as an offer, invitation or recommendation in respect to FXOpen Companies products and services or as financial advice.
XAUUSD BULISH Traders we have brought a very interesting pair for you all as trial in this pair we has a loss of 40 pips and profit of 250 pips so what we are expecting is that the gold has the opportunity to go up till 1675 for now which makes this trade a buy potential of 250 pips
so hopefully this idea will make you all more profitable please do have the risk management necessory as it is gold we are talking about
USOIL 1st NOVEMBER 2022US President Joe Biden will ask oil and gas companies to invest some of their record profits in lowering the cost of living in the country. Biden will ask Congress to consider requiring oil companies to pay a tax penalty. Biden has previously encouraged oil companies to increase production rather than use profits for share buybacks and dividends. The government is also relying on releasing supplies from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) to ease the supply crisis.
XTIUSD...BUY (3.88%)Entry: 84.900
TP: 88.000
SL: 83.620
Weekly TF: On the weekly TF, XTIUSD needs to bounce back and form a H&S...with Oil moving to $62.5 per barrel. According to my fibo mark; market entry at $89 has been in place...but NB: (market can move to that region for the second time before selling to $70.687 and $63.440 per barrel).
Daily TF: There's a possibility that, if a barrel of Oil breaks above $88.010 and ignores the weekly fibo entry at $89, the $97 dollar price per barrel would be achieved and hence a strong sell to $63 per barrel.
4H TF: Expecting a market correction on the triangle formed between 14th and 19th October. During the NY session on 19th October, there was a breakout on the 4H candle. This guides the market sentiment for a buy clause activaion to fill the spots in the triangle's formation.
2H TF: EMA 8 and 50, guides the 2H candle for a perfect entry at $84.930 for a bull run. XTIUSd is currently in the rejection zone after taking some demand around 483 per barrel (Yellow Box), we see a clear rejection at the demand zone as shown above.
1H TF: my execution on XTIUSD
USOIL 3rd OCTOBER 2022 - COMBINATION STRATEGYUSOIL Combination strategy with a Trendline, Unfilled Order (UFO) and Psychological level.
Trend is a movement that shows where the market is moving. The term "trend" in everyday life is often used to express a situation, where something is in vogue or is gaining public attention.
As you know, a trendline is a tool that can be used to recognize the direction of a trend. Therefore, a trendline can serve as both Support (in an uptrend) and Resistance (in a downtrend). Trend line, Its function as a technical tool does not need to be doubted. Besides being able to help identify trends, this tool can also be used to find entry points. In looking for entry points, you can use bounce and breakout opportunities. remember "the trend is your friend". Believe it or not, in forex trading, the trendline is one of the friends that can help you to follow the direction where the market is moving.
This trend movement forms a series of sequential waves with the following levels:
Peak (High/H),
Higher peak (Higher High / HH)
Lower peak (Lower High / LH )
Valley (Low/L)
higher valley (Higher Low / HL )
Lower valley (Lower Low / LL)
By knowing the support and resistance levels, a trader can minimize risks and maximize profits. During a downtrend, a trendline can serve as resistance. But conversely, during an uptrend, the trendline can function as support. In finance market, a psychological level, is a price level in technical analysis that significantly influences the price of the underlying security, commodity or derivative. Usually, the number is something "easy to remember," like a number that is rounded up.
Meanwhile, Unfilled order is a shipment of orders that have not been fulfilled and inventory reported by domestic manufacturing companies. historically it can be seen that the balance between buyers and sellers is broken due to high volatility.
for example in the case of US30 23rd AUGUST 2022
USOIL 23rd SEPTEMBER 2022Oil prices slipped below the US$85 per barrel level after the US central bank, the Fed, announced an interest rate hike.
U.S. oil demand over the past four weeks fell to 8.5 million barrels per day (bpd), the lowest since February, according to the Energy Information Administration (EIA). On the other hand, there was a 1.1 million barrel increase in crude oil stocks last week.
The European Union is considering restrictions on Russian oil prices, as well as on high-tech exports to Russia, as well as sanctions in the event of an escalation of Moscow's war in Ukraine.
On the other hand, China's crude oil demand is also still pressured by tight restrictions due to Covid-19.
OPEC crude oil exports have been fairly stable, since the high increase in demand earlier this month for an early winter contract.
When Russia refuses to 'restrictions on Russian oil prices', and OPEC starts to 'reduce oil exports', that's we can see prices will tend to be bullish.
XTIUSD, NEXT MOVE ?In light of the continued dominance of the dollar, we expect a gradual decrease in oil prices in addition to the abundance of Russian supply, and according to technical analysis, the price stands at an important resistance in the areas of $70 + RSI "Divregence" + MA200. You can strengthen your trade if the price returns to the entry point.
USOIL Trading IdeaBased on Simple Technical Analysis ( Trendline + Support & Resistance )
Risk Disclaimer:
Please be advised that I am not telling anyone how to spend or invest their money. Take all of my analysis as my own opinion, as entertainment, and at your own risk. I assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this page, and they are for educational purposes only. Any action you take on the information in these analysis is strictly at your own risk. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Good luck :-)
USOIL 5th SEPTEMBER 2022The standoff over Russia's gas and oil exports escalated on Friday after Moscow promised to close its main gas supply pipeline to Germany and G7 countries announced plans for price caps on Russian oil exports aimed at squeezing Russia's war chest in Ukraine. This latest closure of the Nord Stream pipeline, which Russia says will last as long as it takes to make repairs, adds to concerns over winter gas shortages that could pull major economies into recession and lead to energy rationing. Europe accuses Russia of weaponizing energy supplies in what Moscow calls an "economic war" with the West following Russia's invasion of Ukraine. Moscow blames Western sanctions and technical problems for supply disruptions.
WTI Crude: Potential 40$ Oil Next YearOPEC recently met this week to discuss whether or not to decrease crude oil production in October after initially deciding to increase production for September, increasing supply. Last month OPEC agreed to increase production in September by 100,000 barrels per day during their last meeting in August as the US strained to fight inflation and high energy prices. OPEC stated that the production increase was only meant for September, coming into agreement that in October they will cut production by 100,000 barrels per day.
Demand for crude oil has been falling and supply has been increasing OPEC stated, OPEC warned that a global economic slowdown is coming, and demand for crude oil has fallen 300,000 barrels per day in 2022, and will also fall by the same amount in 2023. OPEC further sees a possible increase in crude supply if Iran is able to agree on a new nuclear deal with the United States and Europe, which would ease sanctions on its exports
From a technical perspective USOIL has been trading below the 200 day simple moving average since July 14, crossing back above a few times in the summer in August, but recently this week has seen a sharp decline below the 200 day sma indicating strong selling pressure. Banks and investors will be gearing towards staying short oil. The default monthly 12 26 9 period MACD has recently shown strong bearishness as the fast line has fallen below the slow line, the last time this happened was September 2018, 4 years ago. The 1 month default RSI currently sits at a value of 52.28, above neutral with lots of room to become oversold and fall below 30. Crude could potentially see 40 dollars a barrel in 2023 until any change in bullish momentum is shown, momentum stands strongly bearish right now as the bears have taken control. Tomorrow the US IEA will release WTI crude inventory count numbers, and Kushing Oklahoma inventory numbers, (Crude Oil Inventories
Forecasted: -0.250M Previous -3.326M), and have forecasted an increase in supply from the previous week's count. $WTI Crude Oil $Brent Crude Oil
Ilyas Khan Top1 Markets
USOIL 8th SEPTEMBER 2022Oil prices fell sharply on Wednesday (September 7th), slipping below levels seen before Russia's invasion of Ukraine as dismal Chinese trade data and growing fears of a global economic recession hurt fuel demand.
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil futures for October delivery plunged US$4.94 or 5.7 percent.
With lower prices this time it is a good opportunity to supply companies that are optimistic about surviving the recession and tightening monetary policy.
This week, OPEC+ is scheduled to discuss oil production cuts as part of their future strategy.
OPEC+ revised the market balance this year and expects demand to lag supply by 400,000 barrels per day (bpd) compared to the previous estimate of 900,000 bpd.
However, the group of major oil producers expects the oil market to be in deficit by 300,000 bpd by 2023.
USOIL Trading IdeaBased on Simple Technical Analysis ( Trendline + Support & Resistance )
Risk Disclaimer:
Please be advised that I am not telling anyone how to spend or invest their money. Take all of my analysis as my own opinion, as entertainment, and at your own risk. I assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this page, and they are for educational purposes only. Any action you take on the information in these analysis is strictly at your own risk. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Good luck :-)
XTIUSD: Long Trading Opportunity
XTIUSD
- Classic bullish pattern
- Our team expects growth
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long XTIUSD
Entry - 93.67
Stop - 87.22
Take - 103.36
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels.
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XTIUSD trade will be in new waveXTIUSD trade will be in new wave to hit new high level. Trade will be in the range of 88-73 level back towards $150 level.
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" USOIL " Buy Trade ( With 1000 Pips Target )Good Morning Trader's ,, How Are You Today ?
Let's Explain Together "USOIL" Chart And Reasons To BUY From This Area !
1- What Is The Trend For USOIL ? Now ,, It's In Down Trend ,, We Have Break Out Trend Line And Channel And Wait To Break Out Resistance Area To Enter Buy
2- Why We Will BUY From This Area ? Trend Line Break Out - Channel Break Out - Gann Direction
3- When We Close The Target As Stop Lose ? When USOIL Close Down 90.00 With Daily Candle
Any Questions Please Write me On Comments !
USOIL 23rd AUGUST 2022Oil prices briefly surged in mid-trade due to a push to raise the Fed's benchmark interest rate. However, prices eased back after investors believed that the US central bank's policy this month was to maintain interest rates.
Another factor, the US dollar strengthened again to its highest level in five weeks, which limited the increase in crude oil prices. This is because oil becomes more expensive for buyers with non-US dollar currencies.
US Dollar Index
Oil prices will not be too bearish, this is due to the prospect of higher demand entering the winter season.
XTIUSD....BUY (7.10%)after a long sell on oil, XTI formed a double bottom between 5th and 17th August.....finally i'm expecting a bull run on XTIISD...int0 $96 per barrel!!!
There's a possibility for a price rejection at $94.2
NB: red box: rejection zone
blue box: breakout zone