update on goldmy last take on gold if we get the dollar to buy we can see a drop on gold break of the four hour trend to possibly the 4hr fvg below. now golds been on a uptrend so a break of 2500 and close will be a starting confirmation. we need then to see a retest on the lower time frames of the break of structure to see confirmation on the sale.
this is an updated chart and showit did in fact broken and closed on the four hour trend. an order block was formed and gained at 2500 to see a retractable level to see if it will respect and continue to drop lower. targets to be 2560 and 2448 and finial target of 2441 thats a weekly low.
hopefully i was able to give you guys a more detailed explanation on what I see on gold.
please let me know what you think of my analysis 🙏
Xuausdshort
Go long after XAUUSD pulls back.Today, the price of gold broke a new high, with the highest price rising to $2,482, and has fallen back after the high.
Regarding the Fed's expectations for interest rate cuts, I have recently communicated with some professional investors. Everyone generally believes that the interest rate cut is expected in September, and even believes that the Fed will cut interest rates three times in September, November, and December.
Unlike market expectations, Trump's speech last night shocked the overseas investment market. In an interview with Business Weekly, he revealed heavy information:
First: If Trump is elected this year, he will continue to appoint Powell as chairman of the Federal Reserve until the expiration of his term in 2028.
Second, he also warned Powell to avoid interest rate cuts before the November election to prevent excessive employment rates and economic boosts from Biden's approval rating in the next few months.
The public speech is Trump's campaign for the election, and also a coercion and inducement to Powell. Because Trump's probability of winning this year's election has exceeded 70%, and Powell's position as chairman of the Federal Reserve was given by Biden or the Democratic Party.
So Trump gave Powell a price: no interest rate cuts before September, in order to reduce the possibility of Biden's comeback in the November election. If Powell is obedient, then in the next four years, Powell may still be able to control this important department that can command the world.
Although the gold price has broken through a new high today, if the expectation of interest rate cuts in the short term cannot be fulfilled, I think it will be very difficult to rise again.
Powell must consider his career and the interest groups behind him. Therefore, instead of cutting interest rates in September, the probability of cutting interest rates after the November election is increasing, and it is not ruled out that the Fed's first interest rate cut will reach 50BP.
So how should we deal with the gold market next?
From the trend of gold prices, after breaking through the key pressure of 2450, gold prices rose again this morning, releasing a lot of long momentum in the short term, and more energy is needed to continue to impact upward. So next we should pay more attention to the position of the top and bottom conversion.
In terms of operation, we need to pay attention to today's opening position at 2468-69, pay attention to the pressure of this position, and pay attention to the support of 2450-2442 below, which is the top and bottom conversion position.
Extremely weak and directly emptyIn addition to the Federal Reserve downplaying interest rate hike expectations and improving economic data, the recent rise in the U.S. dollar has also been fueled by the weak declines in the non-U.S. euro and the pound. Raising and lowering interest rates have become the trigger for global currency depreciation. The Federal Reserve still hints at a dilemma. If the authorities want to be re-elected, it cannot just cause inflation to rise and the economy does not improve. So who will elect him? So now inflation will be maintained for you. The hype continues in one area. At the same time, economic data must continue to report, making the economy prosperous under the government, and at the same time building momentum for the election, so the recent rise in the US dollar is also more necessary.
There was no greater expansion of the situation over the weekend, there was no risk aversion, and gold opened lower. Nowadays, the market has become a rollercoaster with wide fluctuations. As long as you don’t chase the rise and fall, there is a high probability that there will be profit opportunities in both the long and short positions, and the fluctuations are 30 to 60 US dollars. In the past, everyone looked forward to the non-agricultural market every month, but now it is almost every day. , with such big fluctuations, the range and space of long and short changes have increased. Even if you talk about technology, the long and short news in the market will magnify the fluctuations at any time, and it is nonsensical. In general, gold bulls are still following the risk and hedging. They repeat the adjustment every morning in the European market, and then the US market turns V to recover in the middle of the night. Even if it falls, it can recover quickly. So today's operation is relatively simple, and talking about technology now is pale. Yes, it's nothing more than controlling the rhythm and position, it's about looking in one direction.
After the opening of this trading day, the market price continued to fall, and 2360 failed to play a supporting role. Pay attention to several aspects for the day's layout. First, we have always emphasized the correction of the current market positioning. Continuous and repeated detours are to respond to the previous rise. The correction of the form has a solid range, suppressing 23600 and supporting 2320. We do not think that the correction rhythm is interrupted until either side is broken.
The next operation is relatively simple. After the unilateral decline in the morning, the gold price did not give any chance to rebound, not even a rebound of 8 US dollars. We can basically judge that the market is extremely weak. In this case, We will not consider any long-order strategies. All long orders should be held down. The operation is mainly high-altitude, and you can even directly pursue short positions. The support below focuses on the 2330 line, and the support above is also suppressed at 2350.
Continue to go short after rebounding at 2350, stop loss 56, target 2340-30. The current price has reached the strong support position of 2330 line, 2330 line can be long, stop loss is placed at 2325, target 2350-60. If the 2325 line continues to fall below, Then any long orders will not be considered, and the lower target will be to test 2300.
4.23 gold platform diving tests key support!During the European trading session on Tuesday (April 23), gold continued its downward trend from the previous day. Spot gold remained volatile after falling sharply in the Asian session, falling to an intraday low of $2,295.49 per ounce. As concerns about conflicts in the Middle East have eased, boosting investor risk appetite and reducing safe-haven demand for gold, and as the market turns to expectations that the Federal Reserve may delay interest rate cuts, more bulls are taking profits as gold prices pull back. . U.S. interest rates remain high, reducing the appeal of non-yielding assets such as gold. Today's economic data may influence the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, which may affect gold price trends. A stronger U.S. dollar and expectations of continued high U.S. interest rates are putting additional pressure on gold prices. The Fed's hawkish stance on lingering inflation concerns could keep interest rates higher, which typically reduces the appeal of non-yielding assets like gold.
Today's economic calendar features several important U.S. data releases that could impact spot gold trends. The manufacturing PMI preview value is expected to improve slightly from 51.9 to 52.0. The preview service PMI is also expected to rise from 51.7 to 52.0. The release of U.S. new home sales data, which is expected to rise from 662,000 to 668,000, provides further insight into the economic backdrop. Another indicator, the Richmond Manufacturing Index, is expected to improve to -7 from -11, indicating a possible recovery in manufacturing activity. These data points will provide valuable insights into the broader economic environment, influencing the Federal Reserve’s policy decisions and, therefore, spot gold price forecasts. Recent developments suggest a cooling of rising geopolitical tensions between Iran and Israel, mitigating the immediate threat of escalating tensions. This shift has led to a decline in the risk premium historically associated with gold during times of geopolitical uncertainty. Iran's apparent lack of immediate retaliation for the Israeli attack played a key role in this dynamic, encouraging people to move away from safe-haven assets.
4.23 gold market trend analysis:
Gold technical analysis: Spot gold prices continue to fall. Spot gold fell below the 2,300 mark in the morning for the first time since April 5, falling more than 1% on the day. Looking at gold's daily line, gold previously shot up to around US$2,431 and then fell sharply back to nearly US$100. Although it subsequently rebounded, it was blocked near 2,400 until it was affected by Israel's attack on Iran last Friday and once opened to around 2,417. , and finally closed at the 2390 line. Gold failed to reach a new historical high. It continued to fall at the opening of this Monday, with a sharp drop of 60 US dollars, and closed a big negative line. The moving average and MACD simultaneously formed a dead cross state. Gold 2331 and 2417 have already formed. The top shape shows a stepwise decline in the 4-hour chart. The high point is constantly moving downwards. The Bollinger Bands are opening downwards. The moving averages continue to cross downwards and diverge. The short trend is obvious. Overall, the trend is still bearish. It is expected to test the 2300 mark first. support, followed by support near 2265.
At the opening today, there were two more market crashes, falling below the early support of 2319 and even reaching below 2300. This unilateral market has gone nearly a hundred points. Now looking at the four-hour level, on the 4-hour chart, the price of gold has been showing a downward trend under pressure since it fell back from the high of 2417. Gold prices further extended their losses. The MACD indicator's double-line dead cross operation process has crossed the 0 axis and entered the weak area, which further verifies that the current trend is dominated by the short side. In this situation, investors should pay close attention to the pressure effect of the two moving averages MA5 and MA10. These two moving averages may become an obstacle to the rebound of gold prices.
During the correction of the gold market, investors should remain calm and should not blindly chase short positions. In early trading today, gold fell below the short-term long-short conversion point of the 2318 line, which means that the key short-term bull support for gold has been broken, and gold is expected to further deepen its correction. Therefore, 2318 has now become the pressure level for gold, while the next support level will move down to the 2250-2265 area. On the whole, today's short-term operation of gold, I suggest shorting mainly on rebounds, supplemented by longs on callbacks. The top short-term focus is on the 2318-2324 first-line resistance, and the bottom short-term focus is on the 2260-2250 first-line support.
Gold price real-time trading analysis
On Monday (March 19), spot gold bottomed out and rebounded, with the price rising at $2,150. According to the latest analysis, gold is supported at $2,145.35.
The price of gold is now $2,150.
According to the current gold trend, gold prices will continue to fluctuate within a narrow range. It is particularly important to grasp the rhythm at this time.
Always pay attention to my signals to make the right choice from them.
It is recommended to go short in the short term: go long around $2150.
I will share trading strategies and trading ideas every day. Follow me in the channel at the bottom of the article to get detailed trading signals. I hope that with my help, everyone can make huge profits!
Gold rebounds close to pressure level 2158, how to trade
Through the analysis of the golden hour chart, we know that gold first fell and then rose in the early trading, stopping the fall and rebounding at the 2146 line below.
The overall short force is a bit more dominant. In the short term, we will focus on the pressure level above and the effectiveness of the support below. Once the level is broken, the market will continue to accelerate. In the short term, we will continue to focus on short selling on rallies. The idea remains unchanged.
Trading strategy: You can go short near 2158
The decline continued at the beginning of the Golden WeekLast Friday, it was prompted to short gold at 2149, which is getting closer and closer to the target level of 2145. The position is making a huge profit. If there is a rebound, you can continue to short, but you cannot go short directly. For those who have made huge profits, they can wait until the 2145 target level is reached and then exit the market with profits.
If you are not confident in your trading, you can refer to my advice. You can also follow me and enter my channel
Gold is recovering, and bulls are full of hope.Today, gold was affected by the sharp short-term decline of USD/JPY and the US dollar index DXY, resulting in a short-term rise of 8 US dollars. At present, it has pulled back to around 1822. However, USD/JPY and the US dollar index DXY did not pull back.
Therefore, there is a strong premonition of gold recovery.
Short-term recommendation Buy1822 TP1830
Short-term growth is not something to worry about.Hello everyone, I don't like too much nonsense. At present, gold has risen slightly, and now you can look for opportunities to short gold at a high level.
Currently around 1928-1929 is a good choice.
The profit stop position is 1923-1925.
Defensive bit 1932.
XAU/USD (GOLD) Correct downtrendXAU/USD (GOLD) Correct downtrend.
Having reached an all-time high at the beginning of May, gold failed to consolidate at this level and we saw a strong downtrend formation all month long.
The trend is so beautiful that it can be published for beginners in technical analysis books
Apart from the trend, we can see how accurately the price pushes back from the moving average (100) and this is exactly the moment.
I suggest you use this moment for a short trade.
Entry point: 1960.50
Stop Loss: 1968.50
Take Profit 1: 1950.00
Take Profit 2: 1933.00
Remember gold can often be very volatile, do not trade in a hurry and do not forget about risk management.
Good luck my fellow traders!
Gold Selling Zone 23~ May2023Gold Selling Zone 1973. 1980. 1992. 2017. 2037. 2055.
Technical Overview
From a technical perspective, some follow-through selling below the $1,950 region will be seen as a fresh trigger for bearish traders and expose the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), currently pegged near the $1,931 zone. Failure to defend the said support will make the Gold price vulnerable to accelerate the slide further towards testing the $1,900 round-figure mark.
On the flip side, the ongoing recovery back above the $1,970 horizontal support breakpoint is more likely to attract fresh sellers near the $1,982-$1,984 region. This, in turn, should cap Gold price near the $2,000 psychological mark. That said, a sustained strength beyond could lift the XAU/USD towards the next relevant hurdle near the $2,011-$2,012 region.
Fundamental Overview
Gold price remains under some selling pressure for the second successive day on Tuesday and drops back closer to its lowest level since early April during the early European session. The XAU/USD currently trades around the $1,960 area, down over 0.60% for the day, and is pressured by a modest US Dollar (USD) strength.
POTENTIAL SELL OPPORTUNITY ON GOLDTrading can be really fun when there is clarity and confidence.
So here is my "Potential" trade idea on Gold (XUAUSD.)
We have been on a Bull run for a long time, we have also been playing around (Accumulation Phase) for some time and we have created what I love to call Flip Zone, i.e, Resistance turn Support, same Support got broken and now turns Resistance. You copy? Great!
Oh, it is great to also note that we've got some trendline break too. Not bad as an additional confluence.
Looking closely from the H4 and H1 Time Frames respectively, we can see a (Potential) sell opportunity waiting for us here.,
Let me know what you all think about this analysis.
Feel free to comment your perspective too.
In this business of trading, " Learning Never Ends."
XAUUSD (GOLD) BREAKS HIGHS !!!XAUUSD (GOLD) hows now broken a key-level 18.25 and touches 18.30, looking recent patterns we can see when gold breaks highs it tends to consolidate, so now seems the time be patience and allow XAUUSD(GOLD) to go east for 1-3 days. We could see gold retest 18-18.15 if it doesn't want to become bearish and remain bullish we could see it test 18.5 .
XAUUSD (GOLD) 2023 BEAR RALLY?Gold showing weak buy presence around 1820.62 - 1824.65 could lead to possible bear rally, on the monthly chart frame it shows that in January on previous years its starts the year with a bear rally.
Furthermore gold has had a strong bull rally for a while with no significant pullback could we see this at the start of 2023?
Continious down trend on Gold Leaving every thing same GOLD still looks forward down to 1680 as it formed reverse cup and handle pattern. As i'm new to TV and novice in chart pattern and analysis as i do mostly Price action only. I would really appreiciate all the comments and feedbacks
: Not a financial advice to anyone to use it as a trade advice/.
XAUUSD Swing Long and then potential ShortXAUUSD is in its correction part completed its A and B part and is in its C part ,
i has also followed wolf wave in which it will still go down a little and then will move upward minimum toward tendline resistance or maximum daily resistance and will short potentially..
fingers crossed , keep enjoying , happy trading