Years
ZB1! (10 Year T-bonds ) , H4 Bullish continuation Type: Bullish continuation
Resistance: 163'18
Support: 157'24
Pivot: 159'16
Preferred case: With price moving above the ichimoku cloud, we have a bias that price will rise from our pivot of 127'25 in line with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement to our 1st resistance of 129'00 which is also the graphical swing high resistance.
Alternative Scenario : Price may dip to the support level of 127'00 in line with 61.8% Fibonacci projection level.
Fundamentals: With the uncertainty of the RUSSO-UKRAINE conflict and the implications on the US economy due to increase increase sanctions. Bond prices will continue to increase as increase frequency of rate hikes seems more unlikely. As fundamentals and technicals align, ZB1! might be a good opportunity to look into.
Is US10Y Yield going up?Hi there, as I draw, in my idea the US10Y Yield will rise till the level 1,68, I put the stop as a red line, as you see many levels form that triangle that ends to the resistance of February 2020.
I drawed green lines to support the rising, as you see the week ends, using that line as support, maybe because is slowing down from the 1,5% peak, but well it didn't go far away from that layer.
Using the bottom from March there is a projection that i draw with the blue dashed line, but in my opinion is weaker than "the yellow pattern".
I tried to figure out a trend myself
Let me know your opinion about.
Thank you :)
20200824 FPO (FRA) - Petra DiamondsHello everyone!
Its been a while so, here is a little tip if you are looking where to invest for the next 10 years!
Here's the idea, or what should be logical. Gold and Silver are playing in real high terrain at this point, and you may have seen that all metals (copper included for instance) are rising again, and in the tail of that train you have Diamonds. it takes longer time to go up since its value its not unique. Gems have lot of particularities that gives different value for pieces. Not like gold or silver. A ingot its gonna be the same.
So, this is #PetraDiamond .. right on deep at 6 Months chart..
Again,it is a matter of time.
Hope this helps you out!
Cheers!
-CharterX
OIL Stocks vs Oil PriceOf course there's a correlatión between the stock and oil prices (WTI), but this chart can give us a little more understanding about it.
TSXV:CEP
NYSE:RIG
NASDAQ:CDEV
NYSE:DNR
AMEX:NOG
NYSE:QEP
I set the baseline price at $ 54.00, if you see the chart you can see some years above that price with a good stock performance and of course the opposite, but more important, the momentum where the prices drop and their effect on the stocks, right now we're just recovering the oil prices but the shares still low, so I think this could be a good opportunity for long term (except for those companies about to declare bankrupcy).
The baseline price is not fixed but I found more support and resistance points at the same level
This is not an investment advice.
STRUSD, Multi-year Correction To ComeHi everyone,
Just a potential idea for STRUSDT and potentially all of crypto. I think we are currently in an X-wave and not starting the actual bull run. I've tried to follow as many NEoWave rules as I could, however there is the possibility that I've overlooked something, or a different variation on a correction happens, etc. This is more for a rough timeline of how long I think STR will be in a correction and I also think that it makes reasonable sense for it to take this long. Crypto is still in its infancy - it is growing and maturing, but there still aren't really that many truly functional coins around, and there are still a great deal of people who couldn't name a crypto other than BTC.
The bull run will come, it just needs more time.
If you have any questions feel free to comment below!
Also, due to how I had to make this chart (because TV refuse to fix some bugs that are chart breaking unfortunately), the scale you are looking to read is on the left side.
NZDCAD: Happy New Year 2019Hi everyone !
This is a trade idea on NZDCAD we are looking at currently. But first i want to wish everyone a happy new year. Enjoy the free time with your friends and family.
NZDCAD did a nice bullish run with a top high divergence. We looking for a good entry as stop loss for now is too far away. Will keep you guys updated here.
See you guys in 2019!
EUR/USD: The years-end-analysis - Likely to see PARITY!Hey Tradomaniacs,
welcome to another weekly overview of EUR/USD!
Let`s take a look at the year and what we see is a huge Sell-Off aswell!
EUR/USD started this year @ 1,19873 and found our years high @ 1,25628 in feburary.
After that we`ve just consolidated in a range between the peak and 1,22.
FED`s rate hikes consistently punished the EUR which was affected by many different political circumstances
like Brexit, italy, france and so on.
The European Central Bank decided to quit the QE not as expected - But these might be the first signs of a hawkish policy.
But will we seriously see a rate hike this year? I don`t think so.
What is the consequence of the financial crisis in 2008?
The ECB did nothing else than shifting a problem with financial injections by a ZERO-interest-rate-policy
and the Money-Print-Rage + the QE.
I bet you`ve heared about the quantity equation.
The best way to fight inflation is to increase the interest rate. Since the recession is slowly on its way to destroy
our economy again indicated by a cooling down economy and stockmarket the ECB can not just increase the interest-rate in 2019
as planned and Draghi probably wont even increase them during his term.
Why? Because the only way to suppor the economy is cheap debts/money/credits.
Technical aspects:
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After the break through the Neckline we`ve seen a test of the 61,6% retracement and could show us the first impulse
after the breakout of this S/H/S-Pattern. the next move is a retracement back to the trendline, where we bounced off again
and created a doji aboce the candles body.
Is all this a retracement ala kissback before we continue the journey to the south called "parity"?
The FED`s policy is pretty hawkish because Jerome Powel has officially confirmed that the FED-PUT is gone.
He won`t take a look at the Wallstreet anymore and prefers to take the economy and its climate as his indicator for his monetary policy.
The S/H/S-Pattern target would be @ 1,05 which is between the 1.414 and 1.618 Fibonacci-Extension.
The time-Zones are pretty accurate and should be taken seriously.
Conclusion: I`m more bearish but it`s all up to the political situations around us in Europe plus
the ECB`s upcoming desicions.
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We will see what happens!
I WISH YOU A HAPPY NEW YEARS EVE! Enjoy the time with family and friends! :-)
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LEAVE A LIKE AND A COMMENT - I appreciate every support! =)
Peace and good trades
Irasor
Wanna see more? Don`t forget to follow me.
Any questions? PM me. :-)
DAX: The years end analysis! *WEEKLY UPDATE*Hey tradomaniacs,
wow what a crazy and sad year for all bulls.
I hope you all had some short-certs and made a lot of money.
But yes, it is as we all had to expect! The financial crisis of 2008 got shifted by financial injections
of the FED, ECB and other central banks.
The low interest-rate and QE made it worse and worse and might be time to pop the bubble.
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Technical aspects:
The year started 12.889 and the DIVA found its peek @ 13.600!
(Thank you Trump for your Tax-promises which made that possible! ;-D)
Since then the DAX has created the first double-top and turned out to be a S/H/S or Diamond-Pattern which is the first evidence of a trendchange.
It`s crazy, but after the Break through the NEckline we`ve seen another attempt called the retest or Kissback to get above 11.800 again.
That bounce and S&R-Flip was the confirmation for the market to sell-off the Diva and went down to the years-low of 10.284.
HA but look - we could fight our way back to the 61,8% retracement-level which is obviously a very common level for the bulls.
It`s been a long time since the market has been oversold like these days. When is the time for a correction?
Well - My opinion - I think it`s time to see the DIVA trying to get above 10.829 - 11.100 is possible!
The last weekly candle is a huge Doji, which indicates a lot of Buy-Pressure caused by the U.S. Market.
Overall the chart looks pretty bearish, but the price is very low and I think there might be some bulls in the tank trying to buy this one.
We will see!
I WISH YOU GUYS A HAPPY NEW YEARS EVE! Enjoy the time with friends and family!
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LEAVE A LIKE AND A COMMENT - I appreciate every support! =)
Peace and good trades
Irasor
Wanna see more? Don`t forget to follow me.
Any questions? PM me. :-)
DAX: Weekly Overview! Chance to get back to 12k!Years-End-Rally?Hey tradomaniacs,
we had a very rough time and there are still a lot of political concerning circumstances against my assumption.
It looks like the market trys to grab every chance it can get to buy DAX for such a low price.
The german market was able to prove its sentiment within the last week since the US-market was in "Holiday" and
gave us no impulses to follow during the Wallstreet-Session. The market was just uncertain and didn`t move at all.
What does that mean?
It seems like the german / european market has no own opinion about the current situation.
Are we waiting for actions of Trump and the white house?
Are we waiting for sales numbers after the black friday?
Are we waiting for the Brexit?
There are 5 important upcomig events next week:
1. Trump-Xi Meeting
2. Brexit Developments
3. FED: Powell Speaks
4. U.S. 3Q GDP - Second Estimate5
5. Euro Zone Flash Inflation
Technical situation:
As you can see, we are currently in a situation which looks like a decent correction after the impuls-phase
that started in Feb.2016 and ended in the beginning of this year.
Since we were violating 12.000, the market is still very bearish and could continue the joruney.
Technically it`s pretty likely to see a retracement in order to create the WAVE B of wave (Y)
to retest the golden and psychologically very important mark of 12.000.
The market could prove it`s creed and should give us a clear direction forcing more market-players to react.
We still see a double-bottom @ 11.000 with a neckline @ 11.687! If we trigger that pattern we could
head to the big battlefield at 12.000 and find the path the DAX really wants to go.
Remember: The seasonality is great! The years-end-rally could give us nice chances to buy the market.
And as often, the END-BOSS will activate the "Rage-mode" before he capitulates! ;-D
But yeah, everything CAN HAPPEN.
Have a nice start into the new week!
Peace and good trades
Irasor
Wanna see more? Don`t forgetto follow me.
Any questions? PM me. :-)
BITCOIN: weekly OVERVIEW - Next station at 4.663? *19.11.18*Hey tradomaniacs,
welcome to a weekly overview of Bit-Coin!
I know, everyone is nervous but also scared to miss the chance before we go up to the moon.
But it seems like we could still see some bullish momentums down to 4.663 - 4.000 before
we might continue the primary uptrend in Januar 2019!
Why do I think so?
Because big financial institutions won`t stack big positions at this price.
As always, the market will dump the retail-cryptoheads and cause panic sell-offs before they buy-in
in order to get a BTC as cheap as possible.
If you think BTC could be aa very nice alternative for the falling stock-market, you should
rather wait since the signs for a years-end-rally at the Wallstreet are positiv.
However, we will see what is going to happen.
The market is currently still bearish! Don`t buy just because you "guess" and FOMO.
Chill and wait for clear signals upwards. :-)
Peace and good trades
Irasor
Wanna see more? Don`t forget to follow me!
Any questions? PM me. :-)
S&P500: Weekly overview! That Sell-Off was nothing! *19.11.18*Hey tradomaniacs,
quick another overview of SPX500!
it seems like we could turn upwards again and retest the recent ATH.
Check my recent analysis in addition to this one.
We were talking about Sell-Offs, CRASH-scnearios, recessions and soooo on.
However, this sell-off was and is still a joke and I expect a Years-End-Rally coming.
We will see. :-)
Peace and good trades
Irasor
DAX: Weekly overview! WIll we restest the 12.000? ***19.11.18***Hey tradomaniacs,
since we`ve created the Diamond-Pattern after the high in Mai @ 13.206, we`ve seen a huge Sell-Off down to 11.040,5 this october!
It was as crazy and volatile as expected! But what now?
There were many different fundamental aspects causing this nervous market.
Italy`s budget and it`s bond yields
Failing Brexit
Weak wallstreet which is concerned about the tradewar
Strong US-Dollar
Supply-deficits in the tech-sector (apple) which totally destroyed the Dow&Jones and SPX500,
Saudi-Arabia and so on.
However, we know the market is irrational and won`t give up that quick. The scent of profit is too strong and the market might see good chances to buy during the Years-End causing a rally.
Will we retest 12.000?
The Chart is currently still bearish. But break through the imortant 12.000 could be like a heart-warming hot chocolate during cold winter days giving the market hope to see a rally up to a new ATH.
I expect at least a retest of it. :-)
Peace and good trades
Irasor
BTCUSD - Bubble comparisons, 365day MA, and volume flowBTCUSD - Bubble comparisons, Yearly MA, and volume flow. The current lack of volume isn't saying much for a December moon.
This tightening wedge seems very ominous. Also very unpredictable where it's going to go. Bullish on 2020, but for now, the price changes might not be as interesting as one might hope
DOW Jones Industrials A Beautiful Old Lady Still
The Dow began its history with 12 constituents and grew over time to become the Dow 30 that we know today.
There's those numbers again.
The old lady is now 122 years old and still as beautiful as the day she was born. But beauty is in the eye of the beholder. Maybe she doesn't do it for you...
Dow Futures Update DJIA1!
This index had to stay above the 25702 line during yesterday's ongoing whipsaw through the open and beyond and if it managed to do this it meant a test of the next resistance line at 25782 would be the most likely outcome.
After rallying to within 10 points of the upside target at the open It then managed to hold up through a turbulent session with a subsequent low at 25713, before rallying away to the target and beyond.
As this is finished it's sitting just 4 points above yesterday's upside target line at 25782.
Support here may hold up but It can come back to 25759 when the market opens at lowest but must hold here to stay positive today.
To hold up in the 25782-25759 range through the open will again be very positive for this index up to the 26010-26055 range with lesser resistance at 25887 being the likeliest spot to expect profit taking /consolidation taking during the ascent.
If not long already can look to buy the dip with stops below 25750.
Dow Futures Closer