DAX: The years end analysis! *WEEKLY UPDATE*Hey tradomaniacs,
wow what a crazy and sad year for all bulls.
I hope you all had some short-certs and made a lot of money.
But yes, it is as we all had to expect! The financial crisis of 2008 got shifted by financial injections
of the FED, ECB and other central banks.
The low interest-rate and QE made it worse and worse and might be time to pop the bubble.
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Technical aspects:
The year started 12.889 and the DIVA found its peek @ 13.600!
(Thank you Trump for your Tax-promises which made that possible! ;-D)
Since then the DAX has created the first double-top and turned out to be a S/H/S or Diamond-Pattern which is the first evidence of a trendchange.
It`s crazy, but after the Break through the NEckline we`ve seen another attempt called the retest or Kissback to get above 11.800 again.
That bounce and S&R-Flip was the confirmation for the market to sell-off the Diva and went down to the years-low of 10.284.
HA but look - we could fight our way back to the 61,8% retracement-level which is obviously a very common level for the bulls.
It`s been a long time since the market has been oversold like these days. When is the time for a correction?
Well - My opinion - I think it`s time to see the DIVA trying to get above 10.829 - 11.100 is possible!
The last weekly candle is a huge Doji, which indicates a lot of Buy-Pressure caused by the U.S. Market.
Overall the chart looks pretty bearish, but the price is very low and I think there might be some bulls in the tank trying to buy this one.
We will see!
I WISH YOU GUYS A HAPPY NEW YEARS EVE! Enjoy the time with friends and family!
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LEAVE A LIKE AND A COMMENT - I appreciate every support! =)
Peace and good trades
Irasor
Wanna see more? Don`t forget to follow me.
Any questions? PM me. :-)
Years-end-rally
DAX: Weekly Overview! Chance to get back to 12k!Years-End-Rally?Hey tradomaniacs,
we had a very rough time and there are still a lot of political concerning circumstances against my assumption.
It looks like the market trys to grab every chance it can get to buy DAX for such a low price.
The german market was able to prove its sentiment within the last week since the US-market was in "Holiday" and
gave us no impulses to follow during the Wallstreet-Session. The market was just uncertain and didn`t move at all.
What does that mean?
It seems like the german / european market has no own opinion about the current situation.
Are we waiting for actions of Trump and the white house?
Are we waiting for sales numbers after the black friday?
Are we waiting for the Brexit?
There are 5 important upcomig events next week:
1. Trump-Xi Meeting
2. Brexit Developments
3. FED: Powell Speaks
4. U.S. 3Q GDP - Second Estimate5
5. Euro Zone Flash Inflation
Technical situation:
As you can see, we are currently in a situation which looks like a decent correction after the impuls-phase
that started in Feb.2016 and ended in the beginning of this year.
Since we were violating 12.000, the market is still very bearish and could continue the joruney.
Technically it`s pretty likely to see a retracement in order to create the WAVE B of wave (Y)
to retest the golden and psychologically very important mark of 12.000.
The market could prove it`s creed and should give us a clear direction forcing more market-players to react.
We still see a double-bottom @ 11.000 with a neckline @ 11.687! If we trigger that pattern we could
head to the big battlefield at 12.000 and find the path the DAX really wants to go.
Remember: The seasonality is great! The years-end-rally could give us nice chances to buy the market.
And as often, the END-BOSS will activate the "Rage-mode" before he capitulates! ;-D
But yeah, everything CAN HAPPEN.
Have a nice start into the new week!
Peace and good trades
Irasor
Wanna see more? Don`t forgetto follow me.
Any questions? PM me. :-)
BITCOIN: weekly OVERVIEW - Next station at 4.663? *19.11.18*Hey tradomaniacs,
welcome to a weekly overview of Bit-Coin!
I know, everyone is nervous but also scared to miss the chance before we go up to the moon.
But it seems like we could still see some bullish momentums down to 4.663 - 4.000 before
we might continue the primary uptrend in Januar 2019!
Why do I think so?
Because big financial institutions won`t stack big positions at this price.
As always, the market will dump the retail-cryptoheads and cause panic sell-offs before they buy-in
in order to get a BTC as cheap as possible.
If you think BTC could be aa very nice alternative for the falling stock-market, you should
rather wait since the signs for a years-end-rally at the Wallstreet are positiv.
However, we will see what is going to happen.
The market is currently still bearish! Don`t buy just because you "guess" and FOMO.
Chill and wait for clear signals upwards. :-)
Peace and good trades
Irasor
Wanna see more? Don`t forget to follow me!
Any questions? PM me. :-)
S&P500: Weekly overview! That Sell-Off was nothing! *19.11.18*Hey tradomaniacs,
quick another overview of SPX500!
it seems like we could turn upwards again and retest the recent ATH.
Check my recent analysis in addition to this one.
We were talking about Sell-Offs, CRASH-scnearios, recessions and soooo on.
However, this sell-off was and is still a joke and I expect a Years-End-Rally coming.
We will see. :-)
Peace and good trades
Irasor
DAX: Weekly overview! WIll we restest the 12.000? ***19.11.18***Hey tradomaniacs,
since we`ve created the Diamond-Pattern after the high in Mai @ 13.206, we`ve seen a huge Sell-Off down to 11.040,5 this october!
It was as crazy and volatile as expected! But what now?
There were many different fundamental aspects causing this nervous market.
Italy`s budget and it`s bond yields
Failing Brexit
Weak wallstreet which is concerned about the tradewar
Strong US-Dollar
Supply-deficits in the tech-sector (apple) which totally destroyed the Dow&Jones and SPX500,
Saudi-Arabia and so on.
However, we know the market is irrational and won`t give up that quick. The scent of profit is too strong and the market might see good chances to buy during the Years-End causing a rally.
Will we retest 12.000?
The Chart is currently still bearish. But break through the imortant 12.000 could be like a heart-warming hot chocolate during cold winter days giving the market hope to see a rally up to a new ATH.
I expect at least a retest of it. :-)
Peace and good trades
Irasor