Yeild
Big Head and Shoulder Pattern 10 yearHey all just showing the ten year is looking like it will fall in anticipation of the fed relaxing its polices as we are in recessions and the labor market might weaken with the layoff announced by the big boys (tesla, Apple, google etc.) the distance of the head to neck bring the target to 2% which is less then current interest rates so I don't know if it will go that far with out something breaking in the economy first to cause this sudden shift in fed policy. Although Bull will put this in there case of the bottom is in history does not favor that philosophy. If you actually do research at the old peaks in the 10yr yield you will see markets usually collapse with the yield. Examples are 1999-2000 as the tech crash started, 2007-2008 as the GFC started and even in 2018 yields started to fall and the market bottomed after another +10% fall so watch out dont get FOMO in current rallies.
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ICARUS , known to most as 2Y-10Y Yield ~ I am nicknaming the 2-10 year yield "Icarus".
Pushing back towards to the sun with haste it would seem .
Kind of interesting how this is off the media radar today .
Oh my wings! See my two wings! How I love to fly!
-The final words between: Icarus, and his father~
pinbar in daily chart show up trend on US 10 year yield fibo 61% and ichimoku is buyer 1st target (target2=fibo 161%)
ALERT = if pinbar low break,down trend can strart(powerful sellstop place)
note=be inform effect of yield can ease on gold and naadaq ... if you see yield go up and gold go up too ,dont panic and hang
daily chart Pinbar push bond yield up US 10 year bond yield show inflation to investor
in next days= personaly we think FED pishing yield down to 1.000 (fibo 61%)
if yield can break red trend,can fly up to 2.20 = will crash dax,dow,nasdaq
advice = under red trend looking for sell , if red trend break ,looking for buy , on germany dax , gold looking for buy in deep
as i predict before,FED manipulate yield ,push it down in FED mr powel speak he say we start buy more (30 billion i think per day mr powell say they buy 10 year bond ) bond (to push yield,inflation down)
so no doubt they will push yield to fibo 61% min ,,,if you have buy ,100% put sl under today low
yield crash can start , this will push gold,silver,nasdaq to high
fred.stlouisfed.org
advice= focus on daily EMA200(orange big line) and EMA200 1hour chart(dark green line) best place to sell with sl in high
US Treasury Yield Curve and Inversions.This chart shows three times during the past three decades in which the yield curve inverts. An inversion is when the rate of a shorter term debt security is higher than the rate of a longer term debt security. This is identified on this chart in 2000, 2006, 2019.
Treasury Debt Securities:
Bill; less than one year to maturity at issue.
Note; greater than one year but less than 10 years to maturity at issue.
Bond; greater than 10 years to maturity at issue.
In 2000 the yield of the 3 month US Treasury Bill was about 6.3% while the yields of both the 5 year Note and 30 year Bond were around 5.8%.
In 2006 the yield of the 3 month US Treasury Bill was about 5.1% while the yields of both the 5 year Note and 30 year Bond were around 4.9%.
In 2019 the yield of the 3 month US Treasury Bill was about 2.3% while the yield of the 2 year Note was around 1.8%.
LINA/USDT longFundamentals:
Buy when the market is red, sell when the market is green
You have probably heard heard the rumblings of a "DeFi summer" on the horizon and if the current ETH/BTC bleed holds at this support its worth getting in early on some DeFi goodness. I love bidding on undervalued/underknown projects in current hype areas and LINA fits the bill perfectly. A recently launched stable coin farm is the perfect project launch in this environment of fear around the price of BTC where market participants are looking for safe income streams in uncertain times. LINA is heavily undervalued compared to its peers and has a finished project launched which are all great signs for discovery and a subsequent green chadding.
Technicals:
Although there have been lower lows (which some may say is a bullish falling wedge) I'm happy to see a relatively flat bottom and dropping volume which is a good sign for a far below fair price entry. Dropping price with low volume is bullish in the sense that there is no real big sell off and just accumulation. Either way, when combined with the fundamentals, its going to be explosive moonride when volume enters the picture.
Entry - 0.06 - 0.075
TP - 0.132 , 0.2
SL - 0.05
R - 7
TLT is about to resume the down-trendDown-trend on TLT is about to resume with a target around 122, so I am excepting long side of a yield curve to go event further up and eventually exceed 3%. I like Lacy Hunt's arguments for deflation/not inflation in the long term. But as he also mentioned, it is a norm at the moment to expect a short term inflation pressure.
I believe a 5 wave structure is unwinding since 5th of April, 2020 on TLT chart, with 4th wave potentially just completed. Wave 2 had triangle structure, so wave 4 is expected to form a zig-zag , exactly is it actually happened. So it is ready for the next move down towards 122.
Watch TLT/JNK chart which I found very interesting, it gives an idea about a turning point when market is going to turn from risk to save assets. Most likely it will be in sync with completion of DXY correction (started in 2017), so both $ and bond will go up after then.
4 powerful buylimit place buylimit 1 is on Ema200 4hour chart
100% put SL under last low
www.marketwatch.com
note=trend is powerful + ,we belive us 10 year yield can reach 2.200 and effect on gold will ease(grow yeild and dollar index cant push gold down, both can go up in future )
for next days(april) we advice looking buy on gold , looking sell on germany index DAX FDAX1! (with sl)
technical show 1.9000us 10 year bond yield reflect inflation in economy
if yeild break 1.7000 go up nazdaq stocks ,index like dax dow must start down trend near 1000 point
reach 1.9000 is new bad problem in economy will effect market and dollar hard
keep looking : trend base fibo extention (projection) 161% (orange color)