GOLD: what if...Hi Guys,
uncertainties over a US China Trade Deal by year end formed a double bottom in divergence with RSI that favoured the pullback from D into descending 200SMA and on upper band of the 100BB. To note that this encounter between BB and SMA occurred when sentiment was overbought.
A similar formation occurred few weeks ago when B was forming. Here the idea posted at the time:
The pullback from B retraced 0,382 Fibo of AB before receiving the push down by the 100SMA to from D. Is the 200SMA pushing the same? Or will price manage to break through towards E(D) into descending trendline?
If the latter was going to happen, and that is a CUP & Handle, a good opportunity may be when handle breakout. But, it may not be that easy to position with adequate stops as a 200SMA keeping price down is very strong.
TO NOTE. NFP will be released today.
For additional infos about Gold please refer to the related ideas linked at the end of this post.
If you have any questions or comment to add please do not hesitate to post it.
Thank you for your support and for sharing your ideas.
Disclaimer:
Please note that I am not a professional trader and these are my personal ideas only. The information contained in this presentation is solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice. The risk of trading in securities markets can be substantial. You should carefully consider if engaging in such activity is suitable to your own financial situation. Cozzamara is not responsible for any liabilities arising from the result of your market involvement or individual trade activities.
IMHO: The point of trading is to make money. To make money you must have money. Depending on the money at your disposal, you can decide what to do and how to do it. By having stops you decide how much you are willing to lose. By having targets you decide how much you want to earn. Be disciplined with your protocol and with your strategies for trading. Sometime you win, sometime you lose. Don't be greedy. Be realistic. Be wary but not afraid. Be curious. Use your brain. As long as your working process make sense and your spirit is calm, everything will be fine. Be patient and be prepared for any circumtances.
Yellowmetal
GOLD: some infosHi Guys,
Just some thoughts.
Please share your view and for additional infos about Gold have a look to the related ideas linked at the end of this post.
If you have any questions or comment to add please do not hesitate to post it.
Thank you for your support and for sharing your ideas.
The GOLD Discussion CHAT is real fun. Join IN.
Disclaimer:
Please note that I am not a professional trader and these are my personal ideas only. The information contained in this presentation is solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice. The risk of trading in securities markets can be substantial. You should carefully consider if engaging in such activity is suitable to your own financial situation. Cozzamara is not responsible for any liabilities arising from the result of your market involvement or individual trade activities.
IMHO: The point of trading is to make money. To make money you must have money. Depending on the money at your disposal, you can decide what to do and how to do it. By having stops you decide how much you are willing to lose. By having targets you decide how much you want to earn. Be disciplined with your protocol and with your strategies for trading. Sometime you win, sometime you lose. Don't be greedy. Be realistic. Be wary but not afraid. Be curious. Use your brain. As long as your working process make sense and your spirit is calm, everything will be fine. Be patient and be prepared for any circumtances.
GOLD vs USD/JPY: inverted correlationsHi Guys,
this is rough structure based on the daily chart. If Gold moves up, USD/JPY move down, If Gold makes a bottom or a top, USD/JPY makes the opposite.
Tops and bottoms are formed but not at the same time. Moves goes in the opposite direction but they have different lenght and magnitude.
Sometime, not always, it is possible to understand which one is moving first and spot opportunities in the other market.
Here below weekly charts:
For additional snapshots please have a look inside previous idea:
Please share your view and for additional infos about Gold have a look to the related ideas linked at the end of this post.
If you have any questions or comment to add please do not hesitate to post it.
Thank you for your support and for sharing your ideas.
Disclaimer:
Please note that I am not a professional trader and these are my personal ideas only. The information contained in this presentation is solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice. The risk of trading in securities markets can be substantial. You should carefully consider if engaging in such activity is suitable to your own financial situation. Cozzamara is not responsible for any liabilities arising from the result of your market involvement or individual trade activities.
IMHO: The point of trading is to make money. To make money you must have money. Depending on the money at your disposal, you can decide what to do and how to do it. By having stops you decide how much you are willing to lose. By having targets you decide how much you want to earn. Be disciplined with your protocol and with your strategies for trading. Sometime you win, sometime you lose. Don't be greedy. Be realistic. Be wary but not afraid. Be curious. Use your brain. As long as your working process make sense and your spirit is calm, everything will be fine. Be patient and be prepared for any circumtances.
ORBEX: Gold Up Despite Trade Flows, WTI Muted on API OffsetIn today’s market insights I talk about how the latest trade war and API developments affected the prices of gold and oil.
Gold appreciated while trade optimism increased! That was owed to poor US data, however! But I do expect the upside to be limited!
Crude, although supported by positive trade ware narratives, ended the session muted as bullish flows were seen offset by a build in the weekly API report!
Stavros Tousios
Head of Investment Research
Orbex
This analysis is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice.
Gold: narrative of the pullback from BHi Guys,
here below technical structures:
Here the post iro pullback of AB:
More infos:
Please share your view and for additional infos about Gold have a look to the related ideas linked at the end of this post.
If you have any questions or comment to add please do not hesitate to post it.
Thank you for your support and for sharing your ideas.
Disclaimer:
Please note that I am not a professional trader and these are my personal ideas only. The information contained in this presentation is solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice. The risk of trading in securities markets can be substantial. You should carefully consider if engaging in such activity is suitable to your own financial situation. Cozzamara is not responsible for any liabilities arising from the result of your market involvement or individual trade activities.
IMHO: The point of trading is to make money. To make money you must have money. Depending on the money at your disposal, you can decide what to do and how to do it. By having stops you decide how much you are willing to lose. By having targets you decide how much you want to earn. Be disciplined with your protocol and with your strategies for trading. Sometime you win, sometime you lose. Don't be greedy. Be realistic. Be wary but not afraid. Be curious. Use your brain. As long as your working process make sense and your spirit is calm, everything will be fine. Be patient and be prepared for any circumtances.
Gold: where are the opportunities?Hi Guys,
it was on Aug.12 when I posted the following chart and Gold was at 1495 running into 1560:
Fear of tariffs and worries over deterioration of US-China negotiations drove that run.
Today those worries are creeping in again at 1445, and this is what stopped Gold at B.
As far as the main Daily Chart of this post is concerned, to note that from 2 price commenced a correction inside a TR with the shape of a flag with lower point at B (1445), retracing 0.382 fibo of the Bull Run (1->2).
Click & Play the followings to watch how price moves compared to structures:
Questions:
1) Can the retracement of bull run (1-2) be extended into 200SMA?
2) If yes, how why and when?
3) Can the pullback from B be extended?
4) If yes, how why and when?
3) Disregarding directions, where are the opportunities?
Please share your view and for additional infos about Gold have a look to the related ideas linked at the end of this post.
If you have any questions or comment to add please do not hesitate to post it.
Thank you for your support and for sharing your ideas.
Disclaimer:
Please note that I am not a professional trader and these are my personal ideas only. The information contained in this presentation is solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice. The risk of trading in securities markets can be substantial. You should carefully consider if engaging in such activity is suitable to your own financial situation. Cozzamara is not responsible for any liabilities arising from the result of your market involvement or individual trade activities.
IMHO: The point of trading is to make money. To make money you must have money. Depending on the money at your disposal, you can decide what to do and how to do it. By having stops you decide how much you are willing to lose. By having targets you decide how much you want to earn. Be disciplined with your protocol and with your strategies for trading. Sometime you win, sometime you lose. Don't be greedy. Be realistic. Be wary but not afraid. Be curious. Use your brain. As long as your working process make sense and your spirit is calm, everything will be fine. Be patient and be prepared for any circumtances.
Gold: some infosHi Guys,
the top made when price hit 200SMA diverge a little with RSI.
Lower band of light blue area may be last line for support for the distribution period B to C to continue.
Need to consider that retracement of AB may be completed.
Price is forming 3-3-3 moves inside violet TR.
B was formed due to uncertanties iro US-China negotiations and possibly deteriorations affecting World economies.
But how USD/JPY is reacting? What are DXY and other inter-connected markets doing? Will the Yuan be subject to manipulation? What's their structure and what can they tell us?
Please share your view and for additional infos about Gold have a look to the related ideas linked at the end of this post.
If you have any questions or comment to add please do not hesitate to post it.
Thank you for your support and for sharing your ideas.
Disclaimer:
Please note that I am not a professional trader and these are my personal ideas only. The information contained in this presentation is solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice. The risk of trading in securities markets can be substantial. You should carefully consider if engaging in such activity is suitable to your own financial situation. Cozzamara is not responsible for any liabilities arising from the result of your market involvement or individual trade activities.
IMHO: The point of trading is to make money. To make money you must have money. Depending on the money at your disposal, you can decide what to do and how to do it. By having stops you decide how much you are willing to lose. By having targets you decide how much you want to earn. Be disciplined with your protocol and with your strategies for trading. Sometime you win, sometime you lose. Don't be greedy. Be realistic. Be wary but not afraid. Be curious. Use your brain. As long as your working process make sense and your spirit is calm, everything will be fine. Be patient and be prepared for any circumtances.
GOLD: potential Cup & Handle formation to end ABHi Guys,
This is my view on Gold for a short term pullback into 0,382 Fibonacci retracing AB at 1472.
Below how AB looks in the daily chart and where 1472 is.
Please also click & play the following chart prior of making B (above)
And this is the 1hr chart with more or less the same infos.
For additional infos about Gold please refer to the related ideas linked at the end of this post.
If you have any questions or comment to add please do not hesitate to post it.
Thank you for your support and for sharing your ideas.
Disclaimer:
Please note that I am not a professional trader and these are my personal ideas only. The information contained in this presentation is solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice. The risk of trading in securities markets can be substantial. You should carefully consider if engaging in such activity is suitable to your own financial situation. Cozzamara is not responsible for any liabilities arising from the result of your market involvement or individual trade activities.
IMHO: The point of trading is to make money. To make money you must have money. Depending on the money at your disposal, you can decide what to do and how to do it. By having stops you decide how much you are willing to lose. By having targets you decide how much you want to earn. Be disciplined with your protocol and with your strategies for trading. Sometime you win, sometime you lose. Don't be greedy. Be realistic. Be wary but not afraid. Be curious. Use your brain. As long as your working process make sense and your spirit is calm, everything will be fine. Be patient and be prepared for any circumtances.
Gold: there is a divergenceHi Guys,
the above chart is providing a structure within the context of SPX and US-China trade deal.
Gold pulling back following Reuters' news
Following what happened in the last few days based on growing optimism iro US-China trade deal, here is the link to an article published by Reuters today on the subject. (www.reuters.com)
The vertical grey line is when I posted the same chart yesterday morning. If you click & play the following, you will end up looking at the same structure.
To note: RSI lows are in divergence with 3 to b. RSI makes a low higher then b right when Trump tells to journalist that he had not agreed to roll back tariffs.
Technically the short term structure may suggest a pullback into descending SMA but in order for it to happen, optimism must fade away otherwise please note that Friday closed below 3, which, IMHO is very bearish.
IMHO the question is: the RISK-ON mood that was triggered last Thursday is still ON or is already feading?
If you have any questions or comment to add please do not hesitate to post it.
Thank you for your support and for sharing your ideas.
Disclaimer:
Please note that I am not a professional trader and these are my personal ideas only. The information contained in this presentation is solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice. The risk of trading in securities markets can be substantial. You should carefully consider if engaging in such activity is suitable to your own financial situation. Cozzamara is not responsible for any liabilities arising from the result of your market involvement or individual trade activities.
IMHO: The point of trading is to make money. To make money you must have money. Depending on the money at your disposal, you can decide what to do and how to do it. By having stops you decide how much you are willing to lose. By having targets you decide how much you want to earn. Be disciplined with your protocol and with your strategies for trading. Sometime you win, sometime you lose. Don't be greedy. Be realistic. Be wary but not afraid. Be curious. Use your brain. As long as your working process make sense and your spirit is calm, everything will be fine. Be patient and be prepared for any circumtances.
Gold: some infosHi Guys,
following the idea posted yesterday, Gold broke out the distribution period to make a low at n.3 lower then n.2 and complete the Zig-Zag.
Yesterday's bullish opening of the stock market prompted Gold bearish move into n.3.
Growing optimism in respect of US-China Trade Deal is favouring a Risk-On mood despite lot's of issues are still pending. However, the rolling back of tariffs is the latest sign of progress.
As fas as the above chart is concerned please refer to yesterday's post to appreciate the 200SMA pushing down into n.2 for the breach of 1480 level (violed dotted line).
Gold stopped at 3 to pullback during night time (after US markets closed). However it fell again this morning just after 9:00 (European Time) o'clock.
Another period of distribution into descending 116SMA may be a possibility like it happened after n.2 was made.
However it could still keep falling from A (red) towards n.3 or below if stock markets increase their gains.
Please note that RSI is adjusted at 47 in order to follow below 116SMA.
AToW sentiment remains into bearish territory below 50line.
Latest candlesticks on Daily and Weekly structures looks bearish to me:
If you have any questions or comment to add please do not hesitate to post it.
Thank you for your support and for sharing your ideas.
Disclaimer:
Please note that I am not a professional trader and these are my personal ideas only. The information contained in this presentation is solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice. The risk of trading in securities markets can be substantial. You should carefully consider if engaging in such activity is suitable to your own financial situation. Cozzamara is not responsible for any liabilities arising from the result of your market involvement or individual trade activities.
IMHO: The point of trading is to make money. To make money you must have money. Depending on the money at your disposal, you can decide what to do and how to do it. By having stops you decide how much you are willing to lose. By having targets you decide how much you want to earn. Be disciplined with your protocol and with your strategies for trading. Sometime you win, sometime you lose. Don't be greedy. Be realistic. Be wary but not afraid. Be curious. Use your brain. As long as your working process make sense and your spirit is calm, everything will be fine. Be patient and be prepared for any circumtances.
GOLD: pushed down despite US-China trade deal delayedHi Guys,
hope you are all well and doing good with your businesses.
The above chart shows how Gold has been swinging for the last two weeks.
Please note that I modified the RSI to 88 in order to follow price action above and below 200 SMA.
Violet line are just levels.
Despite the news published yesteraday by Reuters at 17:30 that the US-China trade deal was delayed (such news initially scared the market), Gold has been pushed down by 200SMA because, IMHO, positive news of a forthcoming happy ending are prevailing anyhow.
Despite the delay, comments from both US and Chinese representatives remained very optimistic.
In order to put in evidence where this swing is happening, please find below a screenshot of the 1H chart with parameters unchanged compared to the previous ones used in the 15m chart.
The area inside the circle is the move considered in this post.
Below some questions I am asking myself in this moment:
1) is this chart usefull? what does it say?
2) the swings are self evident imho but where should its center of gravity be placed?
3) will the 200SMA keep pushing down?
4) where are the opportunities?
5) is the period xy a distribution period just ended?
6) could it be unfolding a Zig-Zag?
If you have any questions or comment to add please do not hesitate to post it.
Thank you for your support and for sharing your ideas.
Disclaimer:
Please note that I am not a professional trader and these are my personal ideas only. The information contained in this presentation is solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice. The risk of trading in securities markets can be substantial. You should carefully consider if engaging in such activity is suitable to your own financial situation. Cozzamara is not responsible for any liabilities arising from the result of your market involvement or individual trade activities.
IMHO: The point of trading is to make money. To make money you must have money. Depending on the money at your disposal, you can decide what to do and how to do it. By having stops you decide how much you are willing to lose. By having targets you decide how much you want to earn. Be disciplined with your protocol and with your strategies for trading. Sometime you win, sometime you lose. Don't be greedy. Be realistic. Be wary but not afraid. Be curious. Use your brain. As long as your working process make sense and your spirit is calm, everything will be fine. Be patient and be prepared for any circumtances.
SAFEHAVEN Demand Would Likely Propel YELLOW METAL To $1750.00!Last year it was highly anticipated that the yellow metal would break the years long held trading range and make a new high. Well all that is unraveling pretty quickly to say the least, as the trade war enters its second year with no end in sight. The two year long and ongoing trade war between the worlds two largest economies has led to fear of recession in the U.S as the yield curve inversion getting deeper and deeper. In EUROPE (germany) a technical recession has already happened with the manufacturing activity declining two consecutive times.
Trump is hell bent on reducing imports from china and making the USD weak for more competitiveness in regards to exports. The FED is already feeling the pressure of the tradewar but they keep insisting that they would keeping use\ing ''wait and see approach'' for interest rate cut or hold. TRUMP wants the FED to cut rates so as to make the USD weak. Major central banks have already started easing around the globe so as to combat the effects of the trade war with exception of the FED. Markets are pricing in the FED would reduce the rates by 120BP by end of 2020 but as of the moment the U.S economy seems to be in a pretty good state and FED are pleased with the current interest rates. However with the trade war's no end in sight, the U.S economy might start to loose steam and print negative/declining data in the coming months. If this happens the FED will start easing making the USD plunge against the SAFEHAVEN pairs.
Many like to BUY and HOLD the USD because of its SAFEHAVEN status, therefore even if the FED cuts the interest rate to boost the economy in the future, the USD would not fall that much unless the economic data keeps on declining or a recession happens! Other SAFEHAVENS include the JPY &CHF currencies. These two FX currencies are the go to when RISK OFF mood dominates the market . However there is a catch behind buying and holding these two currencies. The central banks of both these countries (SNB & BOJ) prefer their currency to remain weak so as to keep their exports cheap and competitive. For this reason the central banks of both these FX currencies observe and act if needed to keep the currency from sliding or appreciating too much. All in all the go to SAFEHAVEN currencies have limited gain as their central banks tends to intervene.
Talking about the YELLOW METAL, Who has the power to intervene here? practically no one,as its purely based on supply and demand characteristics and due to this there is a high potential of appreciation for yellow metal in RISK OFF environment. Since the beginning of the year, the price has sky rocketed and there is still a very likely high chance that it would keep climbing upwards. A better and safer way to trade this precious metal is step by step based on breach of certain resistance levels and the fundamental outlook of the health of global economy.
Here in the main chart we see can the green horizontal lines which represent resistance levels and red horizontal lines which represent support, drawn from the monthly charts. Currently the price is stopped climbing at 1550.00 which is a concrete resistance yet to be broken on monthly TF. Should 1550.00 break (the monthly candle close above 1550.00) the next target would be 1750.00. Its looking highly likely that this level would be broken, at the moment the price is in consolidative phase as there is a hope of a trade deal looming. But markets are too smart to believe TRUMP and CHINA! Because just like before,this period represents the CALM before the STORM. In the coming weeks we would be able to see how are the negotiations proceeding and is a disagreement likely to happen again or not?
unless a complete trade deal is struck and held by each side, we could see the yellow metal ascend pretty fast to 1750.00 and potentially beyond. For this particular scenario, we need to wait for the monthly candle to close above 1550.00 and then its safe and suggested to go LONG to target 1750.00
This just represents my outlook and analysis on this pair. shall a trade opportunity appear i will post it in a new thread. Cheers
Monthly TF Perspective Of Yellow Metal. Door Open to Test 1550!This is a monthly TF analysis of the yellow metal. The main chart shows numerous horizontal lines, these are concrete support and resistance levels taken from monthly charts. This year many people predicted the yellow metal to break out of its long term held range and it happened! After 1370 level was broken, the next hurdle was present at 1430 which held against a very bullish pressure from the yellow metal. So in short 1430 is not a new resistance just formed! it has been held on numerous occasions and broken too.
Therefore from a technical perspective GOLD is still indeed bullish however just to be safe, it is advisable for the monthly candle to close above 1430.00 before going LONG to target 1550 where the next resistance is present
Any trade deal between US and China if agreed it could take the yellow metal down where another long term held ascending trendline is present. Until this trendline is not broken we are still bullish on gold! Another thing to consider is that at the moment the price is confined in a triangle practically preventing the price from further climbing. Should a strong bullish candle close above 1430 this would not only confirm resistance break but also the triangle/trendline break too.
Fundamentally, the factors are in favour of yellow metal appreciation! First of all the tradewar is having effects on the economy and many central banks have started to cut rates with the FED thinking of cutting rates too and turning dovish in a surprising manner in the last couple of FOMC meeting. Fear of recession are also alive and well as the US yield curve has inverted again. In this classic scenario the safe haven currencies such as CHF and JPY appreciate but so does GOLD
Therefore it remains to be seen what develops in the coming months but a test of 1550 level is very much on the cards!
YELLOW METAL Aiming For 1310 After Trendline Break. LONG TRADE!Have a look at the link below for full trade analysis behind this trade set up
INSTANT ENTRY: AT AROUND 1287.00 LEVEL
TAKE PROFIT: 1310.00
STOP LOSS: 1264.00
POSITION: BUY/LONG
RR: 1:1
The trendline was broken and now the price will likely aim at 1310.00 level where an established high is present. should the price breach that level we could opt to take this pair further LONG to next HIGHER HIGH. But for now lets just aim towards 1310 level. shall there be any updates i will provide in them below. cheers
Gold: mid week11 updateHi Guys,
Gold is pulling back from 1.310 once again but is still above 400SMA and supported by 200SMA.
The double top may present an opportunity for a breakout of the 200SMA towards 1.294. However, in view of forthcoming FOMC meeting due today, intraday positioning is highly risky therefore not reccomended.
On March 10, I posted a H4 chart presenting an H&S formation with a RS at approx.1.320/1.310. Price stopped at 1.310 before pulling back twice.
Click & Play the following chart to watch the H&S pattern unfold:
So, IMHO, if support is confirmed on those crossing SMAs Gold may still run for a RS higher than 1.310 to extend and complete the RS. If it falls below 1.300 though I will probably try to position myself to make profits towards 1.294.
Good Luck & Carpe Diem!...if you can. Lol
Thank you for your support and for sharing your ideas.
Don't forget to put a like if you appreciate the post and to follow me if you want to receive notifications on new and updated ideas.
Disclaimer:
Please note that I am not a professional trader and these are my personal ideas only. The information contained in this presentation is solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice. The risk of trading in securities markets can be substantial. You should carefully consider if engaging in such activity is suitable to your own financial situation. Cozzamara is not responsible for any liabilities arising from the result of your market involvement or individual trade activities.
Bulls & Bears Fighting To Take Control Of Yellow Metal's Trend! Finally the H&S PATTERN has been completed on the daily charts and price has HIT the ascending trendline support that had been in the region of 1270.00! Therefore now the question remains, WHERE WILL THE YELLOW METAL HEAD NEXT?
Be noted that the price has already HIT the ascending trendline where a lot of BUYERS AND SELLERS will fight to take control of the trend. Have a look at the main chart here, the red horizontal lines represent the concrete support and resistance levels drawn from the monthly TIMEFRAME and they represent where the price might be heading next if a breakout occurs.
Currently the price is supported by an ascending trendline and beneath this trendline there is another long term trendline, what this means if a break of the current held trendline occurs the price might head towards the 1235.00 region where the next ascending trendline is present. On the flip side, should the bulls gain enough momentum, the descending trendline (have a look at the main chart) will have to be broken and the price will probably skyrocket to 1270.00 level.
Fundamentally, the risk aversion is taking all the headlines at the moment, but the many central bank expecting to cut rates this year and eurozone slowdown will probably take the yellow metal higher. All in all the price is at a crucial level and we may see a lot of volatility, but as a precaution we should probably enter once the price has broken the structures (see the chart) before making an entry.
This just represents the current outlook on this pair and its not a trade signal. shall the criteria meet in the near future i will post the trade details in a new post. Hope you found this helpful cheers
YELLOW METAL Has already Broken the Neckline of H&S!Price on daily charts has already broken the crucial neckline of the H&S pattern and to add to that the price has also retested the neckline!
Now we should see the momentum gathering up towards the ascending trendline beneath this pattern which lies in the region of 1262.00 level.
For those of you who would prefer to take this pair SHORT please be advised that the risk to reward ratio is no longer 1:1 in other words the risk may exceed as the stop loss needs to be present above the right shoulder. in this case its not favorable to enter at the moment.
i am already SHORT on GOLD since the price was at around 1295.00 level back around 1.5 months ago. For now we should see the pace to the downside gather traction as the RISK ON mood dominates the markets.
This is just an update regarding this pair and by no means is a trade setup as the risk to reward ratio for the new bears are not in your favor. always manage your risks well when trading. If you like my analysis please drop it a LIKE and FOLLOW me if you want to receive further SWING trading analysis and setups in the future. cheers
GOLD: Totally InsaneHi Guys,
as the two red cups are, IMHO, supportive patterns,I'd like to know who is supporting gold.
a) itself?
b) gold industry?
c) China, Russia, India?
d) dollar system haters?
e) fear of another Financial Crisis?
Why should gold resume the negative impulse provided by the Financial Crisis 10 years ago?
Soon the correction will be over and gold will exit its most recent bounderies made of abcde. Up or Down I don't know. It could continue to be squeezed across the SMA making pre-positioning very risky. I would be inclined to wait until the move unfolds before entering the market due to high probabilities of multiple shakeouts.
Please also have a look at this:
Thank you for your support and for sharing your ideas.
Don't forget to put a like if you appreciate the post and to follow me if you want to receive notifications on new and updated ideas.
Disclaimer:
Please note that I am not a professional trader and these are my personal ideas only. The information contained in this presentation is solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice. The risk of trading in securities markets can be substantial. You should carefully consider if engaging in such activity is suitable to your own financial situation. Cozzamara is not responsible for any liabilities arising from the result of your market involvement or individual trade activities.
YELLOW METAL Might Break The Neckline Of H&S Amid RISK ON MarketMarkets are in the RISK ON mood which usually puts pressure on safe assets and currencies including the yellow metal. Here we see a HEAD AND SHOULDER pattern on the verge of completion!
The neckline will likely be broken soon enough as the risk ON markets dominates the appetite of the investors. Once the neckline gets broken we should see the selling pressure building up towards the next ascending trendline support that lies in the region of 1260.00 level.
I am already short on this pair with my entry being at 1295.000 level , TP at 1267 & SL at 1321.00
My trade that is short has been active since one month and once the neckline breaks we can expect the TP levels to be reaching soon enough.
This is just an outlook behind the current yellow metal state and where its heading, if you want to enter i suggest you do that at your own risk as the price has drifted away from our entry level and the RISK TO REWARD RATIO will NOT be 1:1 in this case. Nonetheless its a very high probability setup both technically and fundamentally. If you like my analysis please drop me a LIKE and FOLLOW me if you would like to receive more future analysis. cheers and thanks
YELLOW METAL Looking TO Complete H & S Pattern On DAILY Chart!
The above snapshot represents the daily chart of the yellow metal. it can be clearly seen that the head and shoulder formation might just be about to completed soon!
The main chart (4hr) shows the channel has been breached with EMA 50 adding further confluence to downward move which could target the potential neckline of the overall H & S formation.
Once the overall pattern is complete, its safe to say that this pair can potentially drop towards to 1267.000 level where the long term weekly ascending trendline lies!.
Looking at the big picture, i am overall LONG on GOLD, however i would only enter LONG once the price hits the 1270.000 area so the better risk to reward ratio is by my side. At the moment i am short on this metal. If you would to take short this yellow metal based on your own comfort and analysis i suggest the following trade entries:
ENTRY LEVEL: CURRENT PRICE 1300.000-1307.000
STOP LOSS: 1330.000 (ABOVE THE RIGHT SHOULDER)
TAKE PROFIT: 1267-1270 LEVELS
PLEASE FOLLOW THE ATTACHED LINK IF YOU WOULD LIKE TO TAKE THIS TRADE. I WILL BE UPDATING ANY CHANGES IN THE LINK ABOVE. cheers
XAU/USD daily overviewDuring Friday’s trading session, the yellow metal was supported by the 55-hour simple moving average to end the day at 1,310.00. On Monday morning, the rate was retraced by the upper boundary of the medium pattern to allocate the rate at the 1,317.28 mark.
In regards to the near-term future, most likely, the rate will break the resistance of the medium pattern line at the 1,318.00 mark to surge towards the monthly pivot point at the 1,321.03 mark.
On the other hand, the upper boundary of the medium pattern line at the 1,318.00 mark might retrace gold to push it to the 1,314.00 level.
YELLOW METAL FORMING BEARISH RSI DIVERGENCE 4HR CHARTS!Have a look at the related links for indepth analysis for XAUUSD pair.
the pair seems to be headed towards the ascending weekly trendline which lies at around 1270.00 level. Tonight's FOMC meeting results will probably decide the fate of this pair and we will wait to see if the H&S pattern will be completed or not. i am already SHORT on GOLD will my TP target lying at 1267.00 level. have a look at the related links for trade entries details. cheers