Short CADJPY...After false breakout above 111.00 level, Canadian dollar will weak and send CADJPY under 107.00
Trade safe.
Good luck.
Yen
GBP/JPY H4 | Falling to 61.8% Fibonacci supportGBP/JPY is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to rise towards our take-profit target.
Entry: 189.809
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns with a confluence of Fibonacci levels i.e. the 23.6% and the 61.8% retracement levels
Stop Loss: 188.999
Why we like it:
There is a swing-low support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level
Take Profit: 192.391
Why we like it:
There is a resistance that aligns with the 100.0% Fibonacci projection level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USD/JPY H4 | Approaching resistanceUSD/JPY is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop towards our take-profit target.
Entry: 150.805
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level
Stop Loss: 151.421
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level
Take Profit: 149.463
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
CADJPY: Next stop the monthly falling trendline?There's not much in the way of this move from what I can see.
Yen continues to be the weakest currency in the G10 (for now, BoJ look set to intervene at some point this year) and for the short term I expect this to continue to meet the descending long-term trendline that's formed.
I'll be looking for sells around 115 with any LTF confirmation, but until then I'm going to be doing some long scalps not that local resistance has been broken and retested.
GBPJPY H1 | Potential bullish breakoutGBP/JPY could rise towards a potential breakout level and make a bullish continuation towards our take-profit target.
Entry: 189.985
Why we like it:
There is a potential breakout level
Stop Loss: 188.999
Why we like it:
There is a swing-low support level
Take Profit: 190.974
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that aligns close to the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
CADJPY H1 | Potential bearish reversalCAD/JPY is is trading close to a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 110.795 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 111.280 which is a level that sits above a pullback resistance and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 110.134 which is a swing-low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
USD/JPY H1 | Potential bearish reversalUSD/JPY could rise towards an overlap resistance and potentially reverse off this level to drop towards our take-profit target.
Entry: 149.931
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level
Stop Loss: 150.172
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that sits above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level
Take Profit: 149.345
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
CADJPY H4 | Approaching pullback supportCAD/JPY is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 110.747 which is a pullback support that aligns close to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 110.15 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support and the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 111.762 which is a pullback resistance level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
EURJPY H4 | Approaching pullback supportEUR/JPY is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 162.649 which is a pullback support.
Stop loss is at 162.200 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 163.720 which is a pullback resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
CHFJPY NOT YET READY TO SELLCHFJPY have been on an uptrend for a long while, after breaking the resistance zone, price is expected to retest to the support zone and continue it's upward trend, also notice our 50EMA situated at that point ready for retest.
NZDJPY H1 | Potential bearish breakoutNZD/JPY is falling towards a potential breakout level and could drop lower from here.
Sell entry is at 92.699 which is a potential breakout level.
Stop loss is at 93.100 which is a level that sits above an overlap resistance.
Take profit is at 92.369 which is a pullback support that lies above the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
CHFJPY Looking For An ExitFrom around the beginning of January, EASYMARKETS:CHFJPY continues to move sideways, while trading roughly between 169.30 and 171.50 levels. While the pair remains inside that range, the rate could continue moving sideways. That said, given that the prevailing trend is to the upside, there is a greater chance the breakout could occur through the upper side of that range.
If EASYMARKETS:CHFJPY makes a move through the upper side of the range, this will confirm a forthcoming higher high, potentially attracting more buyers into the action. Given that the pair would enter uncharted territory, there are no historic resistance barriers available, hence why we will target hurdles such as 173.00 and 175.00.
Alternatively, a drop below the lower side of the aforementioned range, at 169.30, could spook the remaining bulls from the field for a while. That's when EASYMARKETS:CHFJPY could travel to the 166.78 zone, marked by the current lowest point of this year. If that zone surrenders and breaks, this move will establish a new low for the year, possibly creating an opportunity to send the rate to the 165.65 level. That level marks the low of December 21st.
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USDJPY H1 | Potential bullish bounce of 38.2% Fibonacci supportUSD/JPY is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to rise towards our take-profit target.
Entry: 150.354
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level
Stop Loss: 150.128
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level
Take Profit: 150.751
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
EURJPY: Running out of steam?We're back returning to the ATH, which is around the centreline of the rising channel we've been in since the pandemic.
I'm definitely expecting a reversal soon, we may post another ATH by a whisker, or it may double top before a move back down to the lower boundary.
Any strong JPY fundamentals will break the boundary and signal the reversal imo. Surely the Yen cannot be allowed to remain so weak??
Backing Yen will be on my agenda in the coming months.
NZDJPY Broke New HighsNow that the buying demand has increased to be beyond what it was "last year", we can now lookout for Black Friday Sale, and if the price offered by Sellers suit our targetted discount %, we can look to get hold of some NZDJPY to sell to the Big Boys for a premium sum who like to get their hands on some sweet sweet NZDJPY.
How I would approach this is by either entering on the Hourly or the 15 Minutes, when Sellers give us a discount, we can see if that discount is worth taking or not. If it is a yes, we could buy and then sell at a higher price to those who have not gotten filled.
Hourly Time Frame thoughts are in the link.
EURJPY H1 | Potential bullish bounceEUR/JPY could fall towards a pullback support and potentially bounce off this level to rise towards our take-profit target.
Entry: 162.675
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level
Stop Loss: 162.361
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level
Take Profit: 163.464
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USDJPY H1 | Overlap support belowUSD/JPY could fall towards an overlap support and potentially bounce off this level to rise towards our take-profit target.
Entry: 150.439
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level
Stop Loss: 150.128
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that sits under the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level
Take Profit: 150.870
Why we like it:
There is a swing-high resistance level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USD/JPY looks set to perk up heading into the weekendThe 1-hout chart shows that prices broken above Wednesdays high before retracing back into a support cluster, which includes the 10-day EMA and daily pivot point. Momentum looks like it wants to turn higher from here, although traders should always be on guard for the 'false move' around the UK/European opens before the 'real move' gets underway. Given the bullish trend structure on this timeframe, the bias is for a move back to the week's high with room for a run for 150.80.
NZDJPY H1 | Potential bullish reversalNZD/JPY is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to rise towards our take-profit target.
Entry: 92.989
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level
Stop Loss: 92.646
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level
Take Profit: 93.358
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
AUDJPY H1 | Falling to pullback supportAUD/JPY is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 98.178 which is a pullback support.
Stop loss is at 97.850 which is a level that sits underneath a pullback support and the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 98.615 which is a swing-high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
A stronger yuan could spell trouble for USD/JPYA downtrend has formed on USD/CNH since it failed to retest the 2022 high in September. Since then, a lower high, aggressive selloff and a bearish continuation pattern (rising wedge) has formed on the daily chart. The rising wedge projects a downside target towards the cycle lows ~7.1.
If the yuan continues to depreciated (lower USD/CNH), it could prompt other Asian currencies such as the Japanese yen to also depreciate, in order to remain competitive with trade. And as USD/JPY is approaching 152 - a level it failed to test due to BOJ intervention (and subsequent concerns of another intervention) - there's a reasonable chance that USD/JPY may struggle to break above 152.
For now, USD/CNH looks ripe for a move lower given the double top / rising wedge around the 50% retracement level, and bearish momentum picking up. Bears could have a stop above the cycle highs and target the lows around 7.1. But if the Fed begin to drop dovish clues further out, it could also break below 7.1 and head for 7.0.
AUDJPY H4 | Potential bearish reversalAUD/JPY is rising towards a multi-swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop towards our take-profit target.
Entry: 98.532
Why we like it:
There is a multi-swing-high resistance level
Stop Loss: 99.064
Why we like it:
There is a level that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension level
Take Profit: 97.765
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level
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USDJPY H4 (19th Feb)Could the USDJPY correct further to the downside, with DXY weakness dragging it lower?
Despite potential downside on the USDJPY, i'd still prefer to look for buying opportunities while the BOJ's monetary policy continues to diverge from the FOMC. (who knows how long this will last)
Look for a potential bounce on the USDJPY a the 149.60 (interim support and 23.6% fib retracement) or 148.70 (key support level and 38.2% fib retracement area)
