GBPJPY H4 | Rising up to resistanceGBP/JPY is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower towards our take profit target.
Entry: 181.569
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level
Stop Loss: 183.015
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level
Take Profit: 178.621
Why we like it:
There is a multi-swing-low support level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Yen
USDJPY H4 | Overhead resistance at 38.2% Fibo?USD/JPY could rise towards a pullback resistance and potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 143.058 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 144.538 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 140.949 which is a swing-low support level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 67% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 72% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
SELL TRADE SETUP ON GBPJPYHey Traders,
Check out this technical analysis on GBPJPY.
GBPJPY is currently trading with bearish momentum by staying below the broken bullish trend line.
So anticipate a retest of the broken support level and consider entering SELL positions.
Keep a close eye on this; it could play out in either direction.
[EDU]What has happened to USDJPY?More downside ?Here's my PlanHello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post.
In short, here are some key takeaways from the news on Thursday from the BOJ:
asia.nikkei.com
- The JPY strengthened by over 5 yen against the dollar in response to comments by Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda hinting at a potential exit from the bank's negative interest rate policy .
- BOJ Deputy Gov. Ryozo Himino's statement that exiting the negative-rate policy would have limited impact fueled speculation of a policy shift, contributing to yen appreciation.
- Market briefly hit $141 then settled at $143.
- The BOJ is set to hold its final policy meeting of the year on Dec. 18 and Dec. 19. Speculation grows about potential modifications to policy, including ending negative interest rates or adjusting the yield curve control policy.
My thoughts:
From the pointers above, it is obvious what has led to the sudden strong buying of the JPY (USDJPY goes down).
Firstly, ever since Japan's stance on continuing the monetary easing in Japan as compared to other major countries it can be obvious from Chart that JPY has depreciated greatly.
Now that there is hint of removing this easing, JPY spiked up sharply.
From this event, we can also witness that how a 'few words' from key stakeholders in the Forex market can led to huge volatility in the Forex markets. If you have short positions, most likely you got profits, what if you are on LONG and without stoploss ? So, always manage your position, put stoploss!
Moving forward:
I feel this effect will be in play till BOJ's last meeting on 18-19 Dec.
So from now till then, I would be looking to go short on USDJPY.
Looking at the charts (refer to charts):
Weekly = Potential double top forming
Daily and H4 = Trendline broke with Lower Lows and Lower highs. On H4,I am watching the blue zone for turning points.,namely 145 and 146 levels.
Are after 18-19Dec, let's see what speech will be delivered and plan our trade accordingly from there.
Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you!
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AUDJPY H4 | Falling to 61.8% Fibo supportAUD/JPY is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to rise towards our take-profit target.
Entry: 94.672
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level
Stop Loss: 93.746
Why we like it:
There is a swing-low support level
Take Profit: 96.215
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USDJPY H4 | Rising into resistanceUSD/JPY is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower towards our take profit target.
Entry: 146.667
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level
Stop Loss: 148.510
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that lies above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level
Take Profit: 143.274
Why we like it:
There is a swing-low support level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
SHORT CHF/JPYPretty precarious short trade on the Swiss/Yen. The years long uptrend has been exhausted for ages, but with the Yen's across the board weakness, price has steadily climbed. I entered a short on the 28th and added a lot on the 29th. Technically, I did get a signal from my indicators, but they haven't did very well against any Yen pairing as of late. We'll see how this goes.
GBPJPY SELL OVERVIEW (2D TF)📈Expecting 1 more downside correction on GBPJPY, before we see the FINAL impulse move to the upside. Expecting buyers to peak around $190-$194, before downtrend begins.
⭕️3 Sub-Wave Impulse Complete for Wave 5.
⭕️2 Sub-Waves (IV, V) Still Pending.
⭕️Selling Momentum Slowing Down.
GBPJPY: Expecting further strengthPound has been in a long term downtrend, however breaking weekly highs and general sterling strength I believe we will see momentum continue to build an push this pair up to monthly highs.
I think the Yen will start to improve against the dollar due to dollar weakness, this generally means that other crosses perform well against it, and we're seeing this with the likes of the Aussie.
I'm seeing a rising dynamic trendline on the 4HR that I believe will be tested and respected, so I'll likely be going in on a LTF confirmation around the rising trendline.
EURJPY H4 | Falling to pullback supportEURJPY is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to rise towards our take-profit target.
Entry: 161.575
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level
Stop Loss: 160.440
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level
Take Profit: 163.559
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
UsdJpy off to the Races or 1 more Retest 🏎 UsdJpy increases this week despite significant retail imbalances from last week failing to take price lower with notable inlfation data. We may observe a move to go down now after jumping up with news release volatility from last week. Otherwise, UsdJpy is currently testing a Daily Resistance level for the first time. We may anticpate a move down early in the week but consequential upside movement laster in the week. The Monthly candle has confirmed an upside breakout to our next monthly zone at 158. We may observe initial retest of 148.71 once more before seeing more upisde movement.
GBPJPY H4 | Potential bearish reversalGBPJPY could rise towards an overlap resistance and potentially reverse off this level to drop lower towards our take profit target.
Entry: 185.671
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level
Stop Loss: 186.790
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level
Take Profit: 184.388
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USDJPY D1 | Falling to 38.2% Fibo support USDJPY is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to rise towards our take-profit target.
Entry: 146.403
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level
Stop Loss: 144.790
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level
Take Profit: 148.806
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USDJPY - Follow The Bulls ⤴️Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 FX:USDJPY has exhibited an overall bullish trend , trading inside the rising channel in red.
At present, USDJPY is undergoing a correction phase and it is currently approaching the lower bound of the channel.
Moreover, it is retesting a previous major high marked in green.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the green zone and lower red trendline acting as a non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #USDJPY approaches the lower red circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
USDJPY D1 | Falling to 38.2% Fibo supportUSD/JPY is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 146.560 which is an overlap support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 144.30 which is a level that sits under an overlap support that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 149.055 which is a pullback resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 67% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 72% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
JPY Declines on Q3 GDP Loss.Japan's GDP for Q3 2023 has absolutely crashed by -2.1%. After a very good Q1 & Q2 growth, the markets & economy caught onto what was really happening.
They unloaded the magical money printer…
They printed out a ton of new money to prop up their economy. This has been exposed by their consumer spending collapsing. With inflation high, consumers have less to spend which is affecting their GDP this quarter. So after the fake ‘demand’ presented in Q1 & Q2, the economy can no longer keep up the facade from money printing.
Soft Landing with Dollar Softening Will Bring Out The BearsHaving been in USDJPY for the past 3 months, the time has come for all bearish confluences to line up and for the Yen to get on the correct side of currency value with help from a dollar that is set to decline. There will be no more rate increases. America is on the edge. JPowell knows it. Not financial advice. I see a fast furious dump coming down to the 1.44 and lower
What Next For The Yen?In Karate, offense is the best form of defence. The BoJ knows it. Japan faces a raft of economic headwinds which shows up in Yen’s performance.
The BoJ intervened strongly last year to support the currency when it skirted around current levels. Yen is hovering at those levels again. BoJ is anticipated to act. Such interventions typically mark the bottom.
This paper explores recent economic data to analyse the potential for monetary policy changes by BOJ.
JAPANESE MACROECONOMIC CONDITIONS HAMPER YEN FROM STRENGTHENING
Starting September, the Yen has trended lower relative to the USD among currency majors.
The Yen has weakened the most. As described previously , BoJ’s aims to kickstart the economy onto a high growth trajectory to exit decades of painful deflation.
Recent macroeconomic data indicates weakness. This reaffirms the need for continued loose monetary policy. However, a frail Yen poses a different type of challenge for the BoJ with higher import costs for fresh food and fuel.
This leaves the BoJ in a predicament between loose monetary policy and intervention to support the Yen. What does recent inflation, GDP, and wage data point to?
Inflation
Inflation declined M-o-M in September. CPI cooled to 2.8% falling below 3% for the first time in a year. Importantly, Japan’s producer prices are now below 2% in a sign that inflation might have peaked.
Consumer prices will fail to prevail above 4% for long with input prices moderating. The BoJ expects inflation to persist until March next year at current levels and to cool towards target rates in the following 12 months.
GDP Growth
The Japanese economy shrank 2.1% YoY in Q3. This is far below expectations of 0.6% decline and a sharp slowdown from +4.5% growth in Q2. Slow economic growth makes economic stimulus essential to sustain it.
Wages
Nominal wage growth continues to decline. Real wages are even more concerning. Wages have declined for the last 18 months when adjusted for inflation.
Next Shunto negotiations are set to complete by mid-Jan 2024 with outcome remaining uncertain. The BoJ highlighted that wage uncertainties and price-setting behaviour pose upside risk to prices.
Meanwhile, high inflation will keep impacting real wages, affecting people's ability to spend.
THE BANK OF JAPAN IS STUCK BETWEEN A ROCK AND A HARD PLACE
At the October monetary policy meeting, the BoJ announced changes to the bond yield cap. The Yield Curve Control (YCC) policy and range were kept unchanged.
However, a small modification was made to change the 1% JGB yield cap from a rigid one to a loose reference. These changes hint at BoJ setting itself up for the eventual roll-back of the YCC policy altogether.
Next BoJ policy meeting is set for December 19th. The BoJ will likely maintain stimulus and hold rates low amid feeble consumer & business spending.
The policy change will be through YCC dismantling, impacting the JGB market. It will require careful planning and deft timing.
Meanwhile, the BoJ may intervene to stem continued Yen weakness. The officials have expressed this sentiment over the last two weeks via warnings for participants shorting the Yen over the past two weeks.
Japan’s Ministry of Finance (MoF) intervened three times last year, injecting USD 68 billion to support the Yen when it was trading near 150/USD. These interventions, unannounced, led to sharp and unexpected currency moves.
Unlike previous exchange rate-based interventions, the BoJ’s current predicament revolves around volatility and public perception.
Reuters reports that if Japan aims to prevent yen appreciation, the MoF will issue short-term bills to raise Yen, which is then sold in the market to weaken the currency. Alternatively, to curb Yen depreciation, authorities will tap into Japan's FX reserves, exchanging dollars for the Yen.
In recent weeks, Japanese authorities have issued warnings and expressed readiness to intervene as the Yen continues to weaken, despite a moderating USD.
Masato Kanda, Japan's top currency official, emphasized the urgency of their judgments and the potential for intervention, resonating with rhetorics used a year ago.
MIXED SIGNALS FROM CURRENCY DERIVATIVES MARKETS
Although asset managers are not positioned as net short as they were in late-September, they increased their net short positioning (weakening Yen) last Tuesday. Similarly, leveraged funds also increased net short positioning sharply last week.
Options markets contrarily signal strength in the Yen. P/C ratio for CME Japanese Yen Options (JPU) is 0.42 implying two puts for every five calls. JPUs are quoted with the Yen as the base currency so call options express a view of the Yen strengthening.
Moreover, bullish bets have increased heavily over the past week. Specifically, nearest monthly and weekly contracts (JPZ3 and WJ4X3) show Yen strengthening in the near term. Bullish bets in December options outnumber bearish bets by three times.
Although put open interest (OI) is concentrated near current levels with the highest OI at 0.0066 (151 in USD/JPY), call OI is more spread across with a large OI at strike of 0.0069 (145 in USD/JPY) which has ballooned over the last week. This signals that options market expects Yen strengthening by next month.
Finally, implied volatility on JPU is near its lowest level since March 2022.
Source: CME CVOL
Options skew on JPU is close to one, indicating that premiums on calls and puts are equally priced. Convexity remains elevated signalling investor interest in OTM options suggesting likelihood of sharp moves ahead.
HYPOTHETICAL TRADE SETUP
Given 12-month low implied volatility, a position in JPU can yield cost-effective protection against sharp Yen moves.
Alternatively, with the anticipated stability in Japanese interest rates, a short futures position in CME Japanese Yen futures, as previously discussed in a paper , is a viable approach to capitalizing on Yen's expected weakening. We can tap into JPU to safeguard this position against unforeseen risks of yen strengthening from BoJ intervention.
Furthermore, CME offers weekly options for Japanese Yen futures, expiring from Monday through Friday of the week. This enables investors to attain short-term exposure on a more focused scale, accompanied by lower premiums compared to monthly options.
A long call option position in JPUZ3 (expiring on December 8) would benefit from a BoJ intervention.
The trade setup consists of an entry at a strike of 0.0068 (JPY 147.0588) in JPUZ3 call options. These options are at a delta of 25 and expire in 30 days providing a good trade-off between low premium and adequate exposure to the underlying.
As of settlement on November 17th, premium for these options stood at USD 245 at an implied volatility of 8.26%.
Source: CME Options Calculator
The position breaks even at 0.00682 (JPY 146.6275) and turns profitable when (a) underlying futures price increases above strike price, and/or (b) implied volatility increases.
Source: CME QuikStrike
MARKET DATA
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USDJPY: Thoughts and Analysis Today's focus: USDJPY
Pattern – HL Continuation
Support – 149 - 149.15
Resistance – 151.80 - 149.65
Hi, and thanks for checking out today's update. Today, we are looking at USDJPY on the daily chart.
Today's video asks if USDJPY has further to fall or if we will see buyers continue to find some support from 149- 149.15. For now, price continues to trade below the last fast trend, but we haven't seen a new move back to the next trendline.
Traders will watch this week's FOMC meeting minutes to see if it continues to guide the USD lower as previous data and Fed comments have done.
Good trading.
USDJPY H4 | Approaching swing-high resistanceUSD/JPY is rising towards a multi-swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 151.794 which is a multi-swing-high resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection level.
Stop loss is at 152.570 which is a level that sits above the 78.6% Fibonacci projection and the 127.2% Fibonacci extension levels.
Take profit is at 150.375 which is a swing-low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 67% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 72% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.