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USD/JPY Recovers After Dropping Below 150 Yen per DollarUSD/JPY Recovers After Dropping Below 150 Yen per Dollar As the USD/JPY chart shows: → Yesterday, the pair fell below the psychological level of 150 yen per dollar. → However, today it staged a strong recovery, rising back above this level. The yen weakened following the release of Japan's inflation data. According to Forex Factory, the National Core CPI increased by 3.2% year-over-year (forecast: 3.1%, previous: 3.0%). According to Reuters: → The 19-month high in CPI strengthens expectations of further interest rate hikes in Japan. → The yen is weakening as Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda stated that the central bank may step up government bond purchases if long-term interest rates rise. Can USD/JPY Continue to Rise? USD/JPY Technical Analysis On 12th February, we noted that key highs and lows over the past three months formed an ascending channel, with the 154 yen per dollar level acting as a resistance barrier. Indeed, since then, bulls have failed to sustain levels above 154 yen per dollar (as indicated by the arrow), leading to a decline below the lower boundary of the blue channel after a brief rebound on 18th February. As a result, the former support at the lower boundary of the blue channel may now act as resistance around 151.3 yen per dollar, reinforcing the relevance of the descending channel (marked in red). The trajectory of USD/JPY today could be significantly influenced by the release of the US Flash Manufacturing PMI and Flash Services PMI indices at 16:45 GMT+2. Trade on TradingView with FXOpen. Consider opening an account and access over 700 markets with tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50 per lot. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
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Market Analysis: USD/JPY Turns RedMarket Analysis: USD/JPY Turns Red USD/JPY declined below 153.00 and is currently consolidating losses. Important Takeaways for USD/JPY Analysis Today - USD/JPY is trading in a bearish zone below the 153.00 and 152.50 levels. - There is a short-term rising channel forming with support near 151.60 on the hourly chart at FXOpen. USD/JPY Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of USD/JPY at FXOpen, the pair started a steady decline from well above the 154.00 zone. The US Dollar gained bearish momentum below the 153.00 support against the Japanese Yen. The pair even settled below the 152.50 level and the 50-hour simple moving average. There was a spike below 151.50 and the pair traded as low as 151.23. It is now correcting losses and trading above the 50-hour simple moving average. Immediate resistance on the USD/JPY chart is near the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the 154.80 swing high to the 151.23 low at 152.05. The first major resistance is near the 153.00 zone and the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the 154.80 swing high to the 151.23 low. If there is a close above the 153.00 level and the hourly RSI moves above 60, the pair could rise toward 153.95. The next major resistance is near 154.80, above which the pair could test 155.50 in the coming days. On the downside, the first major support is near 151.60. There is also a short-term rising channel forming with support near 151.60. The next major support is near the 151.20 level. If there is a close below 151.20, the pair could decline steadily. In the stated case, the pair might drop toward the 150.00 support. Trade on TradingView with FXOpen. Consider opening an account and access over 700 markets with tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50 per lot. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
Decoding the Yen: Strategies for the Upcoming ExpirationIn the Yen, our 'old friend' has opened a Straddle, just like he’s done several times this year. Notably, he’s picking a 5-day expiration, which is his signature move tha twe can use to track him. So, this time, the range boundaries are as shown on the chart. Keep in mind that this is a futures contract on the Yen, not the USD/JPY forex pair. In other words, the quotes are inverted. To get what’s on the screen, you need to do 1/USDJPY. But it’s way easier to just use the TV options and select '6JZ2024'
CME:6JZ2024
by ClashChartsTeam
FOMC vs BoJ Intervention Today’s FOMC meeting policy was as expected, with a 75-basis-points rate hike to 3.25%. In reaction, the USD/JPY moved towards the upside breaking a daily consolidation level. The JPY, however, may find some support after the Bank of Japan (BoJ) carried out a rate check in preparation for a possible intervention for the currency. Japan is now prepared at any time to intervene in the forex market to support the yen (by selling dollar/ buying yen), if needed. On the technical side, after the rate decision from the FED, the 145.00 price level comes into stronger focus. According to Mean Reversion Channel (Fareid's MRI variant) Indicator, the price is currently hovering at the weak overbought condition zone. As such, there is a suggestion that the USD/JY still has a limited potential to the upside before reaching the strong overbought area. If the price breaks above the 145.00 resistance level, the MRC indicator suggests that a target above 147.00 may be wishful thinking in the very near term. encounter increasingly strong resistance at 147.00 as indicated by the MRC indicator for a conservative target or push towards the 150.000 psychological supply zone with strong momentum otherwise. Long-term targets would be around 150.00, and the 1990 high price point of 160.00. These longer-term targets are contingent on the BoJ remaining neutral and not intervening in the currency markets. If the BoJ does in fact intervene, watch for the price to test 143.00 support area. Without knowing exactly how far the BoJ will go to support the yen, the market may get spooked and a larger sell-off in the USD/JPY than the BoJ is directly responsible for may occur. A break below that zone could potentially retest the 140.353 indicated by the MRC.
by BlackBull_Markets
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