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Yenpairs

USDJPY Breaks Short-Term Resistance, But Short Trade OvercrowdedWe've seen a huge risk-off shift in sentiment over the past few trading days stemming back from last Friday that saw many safe haven assets like the Japanese yen strengthen. There's many reasons why this is including ongoing concerns of a global growth slowdown, signals of recession such as the yield curve inversion, and thematic concerns lurking in the background such as the ongoing trade war between the United States and primarily the Chines but really with the rest of the world. Short-term support was broken with the yen on Friday and no rebound occurred yesterday or as of yet today in trading to get back above that line. Moreover, our bull/bear market indicator suggests the yen is now trending bearish while price action continues to fluctuate below the 200 day moving average. However, there are signs that a short-term uptrend could occur. This evidence mainly lies in two oscillators and a bit in sentiment. First, CCI asserts that we are fairly close to oversold territory. However, this signal was stronger on Monday morning and has since receded. More convincingly, the sentiment indicator from Madrid suggests we are in an overcrowded sold environment. Contradicting this is data from IG via DailyFX also suggests that traders are net long and that the contrarian trade is already a bit overdone with signals that sentiment is mixed. Here's that data: www.dailyfx.com Overall, this is difficult trading territory fundamentally and technially. While a good amount of evidence suggests we are a bit overdone in shorting dollar/yen technically, the fundamentals and the potential continued trend of global growth slowdown suggest that in the medium- to long-term that price action will flirt with much lower price levels than what investors are currently witnessing. For price targets, 105 remains a psychological barrier to overcome that the flash crash of January tested. Movement to this level is clearly not in the cards in the short- or medium-term as fluctuations between 108.50 and 111.90 are much more realistic. For more analysis on the yen and other related issue, check out www.anthonylaurence.wordpress.com
by WhiskeyTangoFoxtrot3
GBP/JPY Samurai master plan unveiled, short swing opportunityWhat we have here on the daily chart: - Those highs sitting right below the daily block - The daily breaker which should now act as temporary support So I'm thinking the Samurai will initiate a fake breakout of that inverse head and shoulders we're making, take those highs (loads of stops resting there by now), and proceed to sell off. Maybe aim for the red weekly level below in a few months. This could be a few weeks worth of trade but 1000 pips sure sounds nice. Of course, it's possible this theory gets invalidated, which would happen if we really get a breakout and then find support around the thick green level. Trade carefully, the Samurai are watching.
Short
by UnknownUnicorn3664665
Nikkei 225 set for Long moveIts been a while since I published. Ive been checking Nikkei 225 for a while. The market has moved to a long standing Bull Trend line, where its developed Bull reversal this trading week over the last two days. With Asia session about to begin, watch for strong continuation. Yall know how JPY react. Very solid movers once a move is in play. This current level is perfect to catch the wave, with previous High being high probability TP. Price Action Pmlani thePeoplesTrader
TVC:NI225Long
by PriceActionPmlani