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Yen Bear Onslaught Tests Resolve at 152, Intervention LoomsThe Japanese Yen finds itself in a precarious position, facing the strongest selling pressure in 17 years. Net yen shorts, a measure of bearish bets, have skyrocketed to their highest level since January 2007 . This relentless shorting comes as the Yen precariously approaches a key psychological barrier: 152 Yen per US Dollar. A Perfect Storm for the Yen Several factors are fueling the Yen's decline: • Central Bank Tug-of-War: The Bank of Japan (BOJ) stubbornly clings to its ultra-loose monetary policy, keeping interest rates near zero. This starkly contrasts with the US Federal Reserve, which is aggressively hiking rates to combat inflation. This disparity makes the US Dollar a far more attractive investment for yield-hungry traders. • Double-Edged Sword: A weaker Yen benefits Japanese exporters by making their products cheaper overseas. However, the boon for exporters translates to pain for consumers, as imports become significantly more expensive. Intervention: A Looming Wildcard The Japanese government has a well-established history of intervening in the currency market to support the Yen. With the currency teetering near 152, a level considered a potential trigger for intervention, all eyes are on the BOJ's next move. Their recent warnings about intervention haven't deterred the bears, adding another layer of intrigue. Will the Bears Breach the 152 Fortress? The record-high short positions suggest investors are firmly convinced the Yen will weaken further. A break below 152 could trigger a domino effect of selling, accelerating the Yen's decline. However, a few factors could offer the Yen some respite: • Intervention by the BOJ: The government might decide to step in and buy Yen to stabilize the currency, especially if the decline becomes disorderly. • Profit-taking: As the Yen weakens, some short-sellers may choose to lock in their profits, potentially alleviating some downward pressure. Trading the Yen: A Delicate Dance The Yen's future trajectory remains shrouded in uncertainty. Here's how traders can navigate this volatile market: • Stay Glued to Geopolitical and Economic News: Monitor US interest rate decisions, BOJ policy announcements, and any signs of intervention by the Japanese government. • Technical Analysis is Your Ally: Utilize TradingView's advanced charting tools to identify potential support and resistance levels for the Yen. • Risk Management is Paramount: The Yen market is highly volatile. Employ stop-loss orders to mitigate potential losses. Disclaimer This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Please consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions.
Long
by bryandowningqln
Long USDJPY as Bank of Japan Raises Rates!The hedge fund industry's short weakness on the yen is creating a fantastic opportunity for us to long USDJPY! As the Bank of Japan prepares to raise rates, now is the perfect time to capitalize on this trend and potentially make some significant profits. The recent weakness in hedge fund shorts on the yen has created a favorable environment for us to take advantage of. With the Bank of Japan signaling a potential rate hike shortly, the USDJPY pair is poised for a strong upward movement. This is a golden opportunity for us to get in on the action and potentially ride the wave of a bullish trend. I urge you all to consider taking a long position on USDJPY and seize this opportunity to potentially profit from the upcoming rate hike. Don't miss out on this chance to make some serious gains in the forex market! Let's make the most of this exciting opportunity and maximize our potential profits together. Get ready to long USDJPY and ride the wave of success as the Bank of Japan raises rates! www.hedgeweek.com
Long
by bryandowningqln
PIMCO Is Buying Yen to Brace for Imminent BOJ Monetary Policy ShPIMCO, one of the world's leading investment management firms, has taken a significant position in buying yen, indicating their preparedness for an imminent tightening of the Bank of Japan's (BOJ) monetary policy. The BOJ has long been known for its accommodative stance, but recent economic indicators and signals from policymakers suggest a potential shift towards a more hawkish approach. PIMCO's move to buy the yen serves as a clear indication that they anticipate the BOJ to take actions that could strengthen the Japanese currency. Given PIMCO's reputation and expertise in navigating global markets, their decision to buy yen should not be taken lightly. It is crucial for us to consider the potential implications of this move and the impact it may have on the USDJPY currency pair. Given these developments, I strongly encourage you to consider a short position on USDJPY. While this decision ultimately rests in your hands, weighing the potential risks and rewards is important. As PIMCO's move suggests, a tighter BOJ monetary policy could lead to yen appreciation, thereby weakening the US dollar against the Japanese yen. Timing is of the essence, and it is essential to act swiftly in the face of this potential shift in the market dynamics. I recommend conducting thorough research, analyzing market trends, and consulting with your trusted advisors before making any investment decisions. As always, it is essential to remain vigilant and adaptable in these uncertain times. The global financial landscape is constantly evolving, and it is our responsibility as traders to stay informed and make informed decisions. If you have any questions or require further assistance, please do not hesitate to reach out. Together, we can navigate these challenging market conditions and seize the opportunities they present. Wishing you success in your trading endeavors.
Short
by bryandowningqln
Celebrate the Yen's Historic Low Against Euro and Dollar Picture this: the yen, once a mighty force in the currency market, is now presenting us with an incredible chance to capitalize on its current weakness. It's time to put on your trading hats and consider going long on the yen! Now, you might be wondering, "Why should I care about the yen's historic low?" Well, my fellow traders, let me break it down for you. A weaker yen means that it takes more yen to purchase the same amount of euros or dollars. This situation can lead to potentially lucrative opportunities for those who are willing to take action. Here's where the excitement builds up: by going long on the yen, you have the chance to profit from its potential recovery against the euro and the dollar. As the yen gradually strengthens, you can ride the wave and watch your profits grow. It's like catching a rising star in the currency sky! So, how can you seize this golden opportunity? Here are a few steps to get you started: 1. Conduct thorough research: Dive into the current market trends, analyze historical data, and keep an eye on any relevant news or economic indicators that may impact the yen's future performance. 2. Develop a trading strategy: Craft a well-thought-out plan that aligns with your risk appetite and trading goals. Consider factors such as entry and exit points, stop-loss orders, and profit targets to maximize your potential gains. 3. Stay informed: Continuously monitor the market and stay updated on any developments that may affect the yen's trajectory. Being aware of market sentiment and adapting your strategy accordingly will help you stay ahead of the game. 4. Utilize risk management tools: Remember, trading involves risks. Implement risk management techniques such as setting appropriate position sizes, using stop-loss orders, and diversifying your portfolio to protect your investments. 5. Seize the moment: When you feel confident in your analysis and strategy, take action! Execute your trades and keep a close eye on the yen's performance to make timely adjustments if needed. Remember, my fellow traders, fortune favors the bold! The yen's historic low against the euro and the dollar presents a unique opportunity for those who are willing to take action and ride the potential wave of yen appreciation. So, let's embrace this exciting moment and make the most of it!
by bryandowningqln
Alert: Yen's Weakening Against Dollar Raises Intervention Risk Over the past few weeks, we have observed a steady decline in the value of the yen against the dollar. This trend has raised serious concerns about the possibility of intervention by the Japanese government or central bank. As traders, it is essential that we consider the potential implications of such intervention and take appropriate action to safeguard our positions. Given the current state of affairs, I strongly urge you to consider going long on the yen. However, it is equally important to remain cautious and closely monitor any signs of intervention by Japanese authorities. The intervention risk is real and could significantly impact the yen's value in the market. To ensure you make informed decisions, I encourage you to keep a close eye on key economic indicators, news releases, and any statements from Japanese policymakers. Additionally, staying updated on market sentiment and expert analysis will be invaluable in navigating this uncertain landscape. As we move forward, let us remember that risk management is of utmost importance. While there may be opportunities to profit from the yen's weakening, it is crucial to have a well-defined risk management strategy in place. This will help protect your investments and mitigate potential losses in case of unexpected market movements. In conclusion, I want to emphasize the importance of being proactive and prepared in these challenging times. By going long on the yen while remaining vigilant for potential intervention, we can position ourselves strategically to take advantage of market opportunities while minimizing risks. Should you have any questions or concerns, please do not hesitate to comment below. Let us support each other and collectively navigate through this period of uncertainty.
Long
by bryandowningqln
USD/JPY Breaks Records with Over 60 Trillion Traded Between Jan The USD/JPY has been making waves in the market, soaring to unprecedented heights, with over 60 trillion dollar traded between January and September. Can you believe it? This is a monumental achievement! As a seasoned trader, you understand the significance of such a phenomenal trading volume. The yen's remarkable performance is a testament to its strength and stability in these uncertain times. I can't help but feel a sense of optimism and enthusiasm, once again reminding me why I love being a part of this dynamic trading community. Given the yen's incredible performance, I encourage you to consider taking advantage of this exciting opportunity and going long on the yen. With a robust trading volume supporting it, the yen proves to be a promising investment choice for both experienced traders and newcomers alike. Ride the wave of success and embrace the potential it brings! Remember, success favors the brave, and with the yen's impressive trading volume, now is the perfect time to dive into the market and long USD/JPY. Embrace the joy of trading, make your moves wisely, and harness the power of this extraordinary market development. www.asia.nikkei.com
Long
by bryandowningqln
CHFJPY I Potential Short from Resistance Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments! ** CHFJPY Analysis - Listen to video! We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met. Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support!
Short
by BKTradingAcademy
1
IRRJPY LONG Iranian Rial getting stronger vs Japanease YenIran’s currency hits record low amid tensions with the West Depreciation of the rial comes amid boiling tensions with the West and continuing protests in Iran. On Sunday, the United States dollar went past the 450,000-rial mark for the first time on the open market. On Sunday, the central bank said it will soon raise the maximum amount of currency that can be sold to an individual annually from 2,000 euros ($2,176) to 5,000 euros ($5,439) in an apparent effort to show it has no shortage of currency. The cap was introduced after the US unilaterally abandoned the 2015 Iran nuclear deal with world powers in 2018 and imposed harsh sanctions, triggering a new currency crisis in Iran. To combat currency devaluation, Iran’s police force has periodically announced the arrest of dozens of currency speculators in recent months. Japan's Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki kept up verbal warnings on Tuesday against the yen's depreciation, saying he would respond appropriately if currency moves became excessive. At the end the interest rates differential between 2 countries are important. Which country offers more interest rates for your money? That currency is the winner
Long
by DaveBrascoFX
6
Yen traders look for opportunity as BOJ gains new leader The new governor of the Bank of Japan, Kazuo Ueda, is currently in the spotlight as traders attempt to determine how closely he will adhere to his predecessor's ultra-loose monetary policies. Despite inflation in Japan reaching a 40-year high, Japanese interest rates have remained unchanged, causing the yen to weaken considerably over the past year. In his confirmation hearings, Ueda has offered some mild criticism of the current ultra-loose policy, but has not been explicit or specific, in order to avoid limiting his options when he takes full control of the Bank. However, Ueda has also noted that "It is appropriate for the Bank of Japan to continue monetary easing while continuing to devise ways to respond to the current situation," and that his predecessor's policies were "unavoidable". Due to the ambiguity in Ueda's speeches, trading opportunities may arise in JPY pairs that could be unleashed once the situation becomes clearer. Many market watchers believe that Ueda will be more "flexible" and plans to enact some "policy lurches" in the future after settling into his role. This was the initial thought among traders when Ueda's surprise nomination made headlines in early February, causing a slight spike in the yen. However, the impact on currency markets was short-lived, and the US dollar has continued to climb, notching greater and greater yearly highs. The next two significant hurdles for the pair to overcome are 136.500 and 137.500. Upon parliamentary approval this week, Ueda will assume the position on April 8, 2023, but his public addresses will be closely monitored leading up to this time. Furthermore, investors will examine past comments, including those from his 2005 memoir, "Fighting Zero Interest Rates," regarding his previous seven-year tenure on the Bank of Japan's policy board.
by BlackBull_Markets
This week could set long-term trend of USD/JPY The USD/JPY has been one of the most interesting pairs to trade in 2022. The pair has had it all, including hitting record highs and central bank intervention. But the year is not over, and some more market events are primed to possibly inject a little more volatility into the pair. Tomorrow will be the Bank of Japan’s interest rate decision. While markets expect the bank to maintain its negative interest rate, it will be interesting to see if the bank starts to prepare the market for a potential tightening in the future in its post-decision address, now that the annual inflation rate in Japan reached 3.7% in October 2022. On Thursday we get to see how much higher inflation reached in November, with markets expecting a reading of 3.9%. In the lead up to these two major market events, it is appropriate to look at the technical perspective of the USD/JPY. The solid uptrend trend in the pair peaked after reaching 152.000 in October, after which the USD/JPY reversed, creating a series of lower lows in the daily chart. Subsequently, it broke below the upward trend channel. The price also retested the trend line at 142.200, a former strong demand zone. Looking at the current price action on the daily timeframe, we can see that the USD/JPY is currently in a consolidation period between 138.000, which is the resistance area, and 134.000, which is the support area. Technically, since the short-term bias for the USD/JPY is currently downtrend according to the mini trend channel drawn above, we might expect a possible breakout to the downside once the 134.000 support area has been broken. If it happens, targets include 133.000, 131.000, and 127.000 if fundamentals support the momentum. However, countering this outlook is the Know Sure Thing or KST, a momentum-based oscillator. The indicator is currently showing a bullish crossover. This crossover might suggest that there is also a possibility that a breakout to the upside might occur. Suppose the price for USD/JPY breaks above the 138.000 resistance area and closes above the mini trend channel. In that case, this might indicate that the downtrend since October might be another pullback, and the long-term bias for USD/JPY is an uptrend.
by BlackBull_Markets
1 week after Japanese yen interventionLast Thursday was an incredibly volatile trading session for the USD/JPY. This volatility was largely caused by the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) intervention in the currency markets to defend its depreciating currency, the Japanese Yen. Last week’s move was the first time since 1998 that the BoJ had intervened. There are some parallels between 1998’s intervention and 2022’s. For one, the price level in 1998 was cracking 146.00 when the BoJ stepped in. Before last week’s intervention, the pair was trying to sustain a break above the 145.00 key resistance, almost reaching the 146.00 price level. Where the most recent intervention might diverge is the sustainability of the pair’s downside potential. While last week’s intervention did cause a huge fall in the USD/JPY from 145.90 to 140.35 in one session, it has since found its way back to ~144.00 over the ensuing days. This is because the BoJ’s temporary currency intervention is no match for its unwavering commitment to ultra-low interest rates. Bear in mind that the BoJ may jump back into the currency market at any time to help the yen, and as we have seen, 145.00 is a critical level for the BoJ. Currently, the price for the USDJPY is back on track towards the upside. However, the price is currently contenting with 145.00, a monthly key psychological resistance and an RSI in the 60s. On the other hand, the daily timeframe has a minor candle closure above the 144.50 daily resistance. This closure might indicate a possible continuation of the upside. The current daily candle, however, should have a strong bullish candle close to support this idea. The current candle closing below 144.50 might indicate a consolidation between 144.50 and 142.00 and needs to make an empathic break before we see price make a sustained move in either direction.
by BlackBull_Markets