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Trump's Impact on Interest Rates: Higher Rates Ahead?After Trump’s decisive win on November 6th, Bitcoin, the USD, and yields (or interest rates) moved higher. In fact, these markets began moving upward in September, more than a month before Donald Trump became the 47th President of the United States. We will study the direction of interest rates based on the actual market sentiment as reflected in U.S. bond yields. 10 Year Yield Futures Ticker: 10Y Minimum fluctuation: 0.001 Index points (1/10th basis point per annum) = $1.00 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
CBOT_MINI:10Y1!Long
by konhow
2
Hatom (HTM) - Promising small-cap crypto for yield in DeFiHatom (HTM) shows notable strength in the daily chart after breaking out from the 30-day exponential moving average (1D 30EMA) on August 19. What acted as a strong resistance from March to August (testing twice in the meantime) can now become strong price support moving forward - currently at ~$0.89 (the 30EMA). The daily RSI also displays a strong uptrending momentum, at 62.77 by post time. Fundamentally speaking, Hatom Protocol is one of the most solid and promising DeFi protocols I have found and experienced using in crypto. Hatom Labs, the core developer, is setting solid new standards by the way they do business (multiple tests, plenty of security audits, no rush to launch or make announcements, not trying to induce FOMO with marketing gimmicks, etc.) They have recently made the 9th protocol update after one year of launch and this is another aspect I like about the project: Hatom Lab's communication strategy - clear of noise. They reserve their comms for relevant announcements only, as security is their north star. The recent announcement (which can be found on X @HatomProtocol) revealed some really exciting features ahead for yield farming/generation through liquidity, lending, and booster operations. They are also launching a decentralized overcollateralized stablecoin called USH to compete with Sky's (formerly MakerDAO) DAI. Which, in my opinion, is very much needed and appreciated. We need more of these solid decentralized stablecoins around. I'm invested in HTM for the mid- to long-term, but I also think that, right now, the token offers a good long opportunity, so I'm also longing it for the short-term, eyeing the ATH at a first target. It's important to note that Hatom is a small-cap crypto, so beware of all the risks that come with this kind of asset. It runs on the MultiversX (EGLD) chain, but are also planning to expand to other chains. Can buy via the xExchange DEX and long on AshPerp.
Long
by vinibarbosa
Very close to Yield Curve Inversion, AGAINAfter #InterestRates were cut people were expecting a furious wave of buying, this has not come into fruition. Recent events: 2Yr Yield rallied substantially. 10Yr #Yield bottomed when we called it, has not run as much as it's shorter term counterpart. We're close to inversion again! Colored areas = POTENTIAL Inverse Head & Shoulder = BOTTOM. Worth noting, TVC:TNX has a higher right shoulder. Further analysis: We are seeing a Negative Divergence on $DJI. Volume has been lessening as the days go by. TVC:RUT Small Caps are LOWER and trading in a tightening range.
TVC:US02Y
by ROYAL_OAK_INC
Yield Curve Inversion: A Warning Sign You Can't IgnoreThe yield curve, which shows the difference between short-term and long-term interest rates on government bonds (US10Y-US02Y). In normal market conditions, this number should be positive because the interest that investors require on 10Y bonds is higher than the interest required on 2Y bonds. Interest is a value of risk perception. Higher risk of default means higher required interest on bonds. As seen on the chart, the moment that the yield-curve "un-inverts" (yellow circles) is a critical market indicator that can often predict upcoming recessions. In the last 35 years, the un-inversion has always preceded a dump in stock prices and a recession. Seeing this chart, it's not too far-fetched to assume that the world will go into a recession at some point in the next 1-2 years.
TVC:US10Y
by FieryTrading
4
Lower inflation do not mean things will become cheaperLower inflation and interest rates do not necessarily mean that prices will decrease. If I annualize the inflation numbers instead of focusing on the monthly figures, the overall picture becomes much clearer. 2 and 10 Year Yield Futures Ticker: 2YY, 10Y Minimum fluctuation: 0.001 Index points (1/10th basis point per annum) = $1.00 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
ECONOMICS:USIRYYLong
by konhow
7
Yield CurveThe 2/10 treasury yield spread is quickly flattening and an inversion could happen soon. All of the previous yield curve inversions are associated with memorable market sell-offs and recessions. I believe the ripple effect of the ongoing financial and economic sanctions against Russia will end up being the catalyst for the next meltdown. The market conditions have been favorable to a disaster by many measurements for some time now. Again, there are many unknown cross-currents beginning to work their way into the global economy. On top of that, the FED is raising interest rates in less than two weeks.
TVC:US10Y
by The_Arena_Trader
11
#AAVEUSDT #1h (OKX Futures) Rising wedge breakdown and retestAave just printed a gravestone doji followed by a shooting star, seems likely to retrace down to 200MA support. ⚡️⚡️ #AAVE/USDT ⚡️⚡️ Exchanges: OKX Futures Signal Type: Regular (Short) Leverage: Isolated (5.0X) Amount: 4.5% Current Price: 95.44 Entry Targets: 1) 95.87 Take-Profit Targets: 1) 87.43 Stop Targets: 1) 100.10 Published By: @Zblaba CRYPTOCAP:AAVE OKX:AAVEUSDT.P #1h #DeFi #DAO aave.com Risk/Reward= 1:2.0 Expected Profit= +44.0% Possible Loss= -22.1% Estimated Gaintime= 3 days
Short
by TradingOn
#YFIUSDT #2h (OKX Futures) Descending trendline break and retestYearn Finance printed a morning star then regained 50MA support, seems about to make another impulse on Low TF. ⚡️⚡️ #YFI/USDT ⚡️⚡️ Exchanges: OKX Futures Signal Type: Regular (Long) Leverage: Isolated (6.0X) Amount: 5.0% Current Price: 5841 Entry Targets: 1) 5802 Take-Profit Targets: 1) 6188 Stop Targets: 1) 5609 Published By: @Zblaba CRYPTOCAP:YFI OKX:YFIUSDT.P #YearnFinance #DeFi #Yield yearn.fi Risk/Reward= 1:2.0 Expected Profit= +39.9% Possible Loss= -20.0% Estimated Gaintime= 4 days
Long
by TradingOn
Yields are in a do or die situationYields are pulling back a bit from the run they had yesterday. It was expected to have a bounce at the support levels. The 2Yr & 10Yr #Yield both look as if they want to settle a bit but time till tell . We will see how Yield reacts over the next few days. It is important as a crashing yield can mean higher prices all across the board in many assets. We've stated before that they CANNOT lower rates but at the same time CANNOT raise them. Seems as if they are playing around a bit providing liquidity to keep markets propped up a bit AND they may keep rates steady or just have 1 rate drop, before election. TVC:TNX
TVC:US10Y
by ROYAL_OAK_INC
Yields are still selling off after yesterday's dropLet's see how the TVC:VIX does over the next few days/weeks. Still think it eventually breaks its major support level, at least temporarily. The 2Yr and 10Yr are crashing and following yesterdays drop. TVC:TNX #interestrates, as we said, will likely be cut, even if a little. They will most likely be raised again next year. Not political... Anyway, since we have stated COUNTLESS times. They CANNOT lower rates but MUST lower them.
TVC:US02YShort
by ROYAL_OAK_INC
#YFIUSDT #4h (OKX Futures) Falling wedge breakoutYearn Finance regained 100EMA support then pulled back to it after forming a dragonfly doji, looks like bullish continuation is in play. ⚡️⚡️ #YFI/USDT ⚡️⚡️ Exchanges: OKX Futures Signal Type: Regular (Long) Leverage: Isolated (9.0X) Amount: 4.9% Current Price: 7065 Entry Targets: 1) 7056 Take-Profit Targets: 1) 7374 Stop Targets: 1) 6897 Published By: @Zblaba CRYPTOCAP:YFI OKX:YFIUSDT.P #YearnFinance #DeFi yearn.fi Risk/Reward= 1:2.0 Expected Profit= +40.6% Possible Loss= -20.3% Estimated Gaintime= 1 week
Long
by TradingOn
The Magic $Spell decision line. MAKE OR BREAK?COINBASE:SPELLUSD token has been what I can call the gem hidden in plain sight, they are non-US based liquidity platform. They battle through so much including the war in Ukraine, which is obviously still on going. At one point they have over SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:1B in TVL, the team has never waived the white flag and pressed on to deliver everything they can to the community that has instilled so much trust, Romi is a master of his craft. If you believe in the founders of something, you better invest with them. I love $spell and its future. Looking at the chart here, you see that anytime it has hung around this line, it's made a decision to go up or down. Based on its recent bullish signal and reversal based on the bottom arrow, I see Spell headed back up to where it belongs, respected with the rest of the crypto community for what they provide.
COINBASE:SPELLUSDLong
by JohnnyPS
#YFI/BTC 1W (Binance) Descending wedge breakout and retestYearn Finance has been down-trending for years in sats but is sitting on historical demand zone once again. It has recently printed a bullish hammer on weekly, a decent bounce towards 100EMA resistance would make sense. ⚡️⚡️ #YFI/BTC ⚡️⚡️ Exchanges: Binance Signal Type: Regular (Long) Amount: 3.0% Current Price: 0.1437 Entry Targets: 1) 0.1432 Take-Profit Targets: 1) 0.2879 Stop Targets: 1) 0.0949 Published By: @Zblaba CRYPTOCAP:YFI BINANCE:YFIBTC #YearnFinance #DeFi yearn.fi Risk/Reward= 1:3.0 Expected Profit= +101.0% Possible Loss= -33.7% Estimated Gaintime= 3-6 months
Long
by TradingOn
Looking at short & long term yieldsGood Morning Update Looking at the short & long term Bond Yields. Short term (3M & 6M) yields are trading above bank crisis levels. The 1Yr & 2Yr #yield are underneath the crisis levels. The 10Yr is currently at those levels & 30Yr is above said levels. Makes one think....... How much longer can #banks support these levels? CRYPTOCAP:BTC AMEX:GLD AMEX:SLV ------------------------------------ Digesting longer term data = 10 & 30Yr #yield. Higher lows Bullish moving average crossover > circles Moving avgs trending higher Forming small uptrend 2nd pic = WEEKLY Back above previous uptrend Trading under moving avgs TVC:TNX #Gold #silver #BTC
TVC:US30Y
by ROYAL_OAK_INC