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The opposite Side Of A Wave-5 Rally - Plan BI received a question from someone watching my videos/research. The question was, "what is the downside risk for the markets if my bullish resolution fails". So, I created this video. This explains why the downside risks appear to be less than 35% right now compared to a 65% to 75% upside price resolution. Still, using Elliot Wave, we can't be 100% confident in the true future of price structure or wave structure. All we can rely upon is Fibonacci Price Theory which tells us if price is currently Bullish or Bearish. Right now, on this weekly chart, Fibonacci Price Theory suggests a bullish price trend is in place and recent Unique Low levels are the final defense of support (near $348). Follow along to better understand how I see/use Fibonacci Price Theory in all of my research as a method of letting price tell me what to expect in the future. The one other thing I would like to add is all previous market collapse events have aligned with cataclysmic economic events (9/11, Global Banking Crisis, Foreign Economic Crisis, Isolated Credit Risks). Without some cataclysmic economic event happening, it is very unlikely that US markets would contract extensively without some impulse event. So keep that in mind as we move forward. Follow my research.
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
1
SPY Cycle Patterns: Resolving volatility into March 2023This example video will help you understand how I use my predictive SPY Cycle Patterns in combination with traditional TA (Fibonacci and others) to prepare/plan for GAPS, trends, and opportunities for trading through the week. I'm a strong believer that you don't need to trade every minor trend. Taking 2~4 good trades a week across one or two symbols is all that is required to be able to generate 50% to 100% profit every week (using options). Just last week one of my friends used my SPY Cycle Patterns (and his own skills) to make over 700% ROI. It does happen. Watch this video. Next week will be very volatile in my opinion. Once we clear the upper resistance level, we should continue to trend up to $435 or higher. The burst of volatility will likely make for great trade setups - if you know what you are doing. Follow my research.
AMEX:SPYEducation
by BradMatheny
SPY Example Setup For DaytradersHere is an example dual-chart setup for SPY daytraders. I set this up to help my followers understand how to perceive price action as we attempt to transition through the $405 SPY Support level. If my analysis is correct, we'll see a fairly strong reversion (upside) price trend as long as the $404~405 level holds. This chart includes a number of TradingView PUBLIC SCRIPTS and a dual-chart layout. Both Heiken-Ashi and traditional Candlestick charts are used. Learn to better TIME/ENTER your trades and learn to use price structure/Fibonacci retracements to develop target levels. Follow my research.
AMEX:SPYEducation
by BradMatheny
1
2/16 SPY Cycle Patterns, Fib, Flagging - Volatility into a RALLYAre you following my SPY Cycle Patterns yet? If not, here is a list of the SPY Cycle Patterns for this week and beyond... 2/6/2023 2/7/2023 Inside-Breakaway 2/8/2023 Harami-Inside 2/9/2023 CRUSH 2/10/2023 GAP Potential 2/11/2023 GAP Potential 2/12/2023 GAP-Reversal 2/13/2023 Rotation 2/14/2023 Top/Resistance21 2/15/2023 Consol-210 2/16/2023 Inside-Breakaway 2/17/2023 Break-Away 2/18/2023 Carryover 2/19/2023 CRUSH 2/20/2023 Flat-Down 2/21/2023 POP 2/22/2023 2/23/2023 BaseRally301 2/24/2023 Harami-Inside 2/25/2023 CRUSH 2/26/2023 Bottom-004 Why are these so important? Because these SPY Cycle patterns help you understand how to trade intraday price swings and what to expect every day - going out weeks and months in advance of today's trading activity. See the "BaseRally301" on 2/23 - that means the SPY should attempt to setup a base/bottom within the 48 hours spanning 2/23. See the 2/25 CRUSH leading to the 2/26 BOTTOM - that means the SPY may be extremely volatile while attempting to setup/confirm the 2/23 bottom Today and tomorrow are calling for an Inside-Breakaway & a Breakaway. My research suggests we may see a broader downside price trend establishing a Wave-D Flagging setup (near $405) in the SPY before we move into the Rally/Bottom phase near 2/23. Watch my video and learn how you can use my research to become a better intraday/swing trader.
AMEX:SPY
by BradMatheny
1
Stay cautious of a PEAK/TOP in the markets today.My SPY Cycle Patterns suggest the markets will establish a PEAK/TOP today - then trend downward. I created this video to help my followers stay aware of the short-term nature of price in a reactionary price trend - like today. If you are chasing this rally, stay very cautious of risks related to my SPY cycle patterns. Overall, I expect the markets to peak, stall, then trend downward over the next 48 hours. Take quick trades with targeted profit targets. This is not a friendly market uptrend in my opinion. I believe the $408 level is a likely downside price target for the SPY by Thursday. Follow my research
AMEX:SPYEducation
by BradMatheny
4
Using Fibonacci Price Theory To PROTECT Your TradesProtecting Your Trades With Fibonacci Price Theory. Learn to understand the BELTLINE range (50%) and why it is so important for structuring your trades for profit. Not all trades will be successful - plan for FAILURE. Planning for FAILURE = Long-Term SUCCESS. Follow my research. The rabbit-hole of knowledge I've amassed over the past 25+ years is deep. I could go on and on about different strategies, theories, concepts, and indicators. What I've learned is... KISS - Keep It Simple Stupid! _ The IDIOT SYSTEM is often the best for new traders. _ Use Multi-timeframes to confirm price trend/direction. _ Use PRICE STRUCTURE as the core of all of your research. Hope these help everyone out. Pay Attention.
AMEX:SPYEducation
by BradMatheny
Part 2 - Fibonacci Price Theory on SPY 60 Min (Deeper we go)After 25+ years of research, study, and application of some of the most incredible trading strategies - I'm sharing one of the MOST IMPORTANT structural price theories with all of you... The Fibonacci Price Theory. The primary rule of the Fibonacci Price Theory is: Price is ALWAYS seeking NEW HIGHS or NEW LOWS. Price is never NOT attempting to reach NEW HIGHS or NEW LOWS. Let that sink in for a minute. If you knew price was always attempting to establish a trend, or continue a trend.. how would that change your trading/investing tactics? What if I showed you how I use Fibonacci Price Theory? And how YOU can use it to further your own trading skills? Here you go, A 60 minute SPY chart where I'm applying the basics of Fibonacci Price Theory to the current market price rally. If you've ever wanted to learn the TRUE CONSTRUCT of price - this is it. All other technical analysis techniques (Elliot Wave, Indicators, & others) are constructed from PRICE. Price is the Ultimate Indicator. Pay attention and follow my research.
AMEX:SPYEducation
by BradMatheny
Learning Fibonacci Price Theory - MUST WATCHEven though I got cut off after about 25 minutes, I'm sharing this with all of you to teach you how to use one fo the most important PRICE STRUCTURE features for any chart Fibonacci Price Theory. The consensus of all TA is that PRICE tells us everything. Fibonacci Price Theory is the REAL DEAL. Use it on a 1 minute, 5 minute, 60 minute, or Daily - ANY TIME-FRAME Use it in conjunction with other TA/Indicators. Use it with Elliot Wave analysis. USE IT. My experience is that all indicators/theories/strategies have strengths/weaknesses. If you are not aware of them (yet) - pay attention. Follow my research and I'll continue to try to share tidbits of advanced TA/Fibonacci with you. I created this to help my followers/friends learn one of the most critical price structure components of my own research. I see all price charts in the manner I've illustrated in this video. After more than 15 years of applied Fibonacci Price Theory/Structure - I can't help but NOT see price as "Fibonacci Fractals". Hope this helps.
NASDAQ:NVDAEducation
by BradMatheny
SPY Measure Move (Pause) Video Update - Rally To $421 PendingHere is a video update for my followers. This video is in support of the recent SPY updates I've shared over the past few days. Follow my research. Learn how my analysis skills can help you prepare for the biggest price swings. These are not the same markets as 2008 & 2000. Learn to adapt to price trends and become a better trader. I'm trying to teach you to use the techniques I've learned over the past 25+ years to hone your own decision-making skills. Pay attention.
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
SPY Update (60 Min) - Rally Day Pause ExpectedEven though my SPY Cycle Patterns suggest today is a RALLY day, I see the SPY has extended to an upper resistance channel (near $414.80) and may pause/slide sideways/downward a bit today. I do expect support near $412.30 to act as a floor for any contraction. I would expect the SPY to hold above $412.30 and attempt to rally higher IF this price level is tagged today. Overall, if we see a rally above $415 today - the SPY will likely extend the rally phase. Possibly target $421 to $427. The Fed unleashed a wave of RALLY (Risk-On) for many investors. My advice - play this move safely right now. Although it looks very promising, I still believe 2023 will stay very congested until Q3:2023. Then, we may see a moderate MELT-UP extend to new all-time highs again. Follow my research.
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
If SPY Breaks Above $410 - we could see $420+ very quicklyBreaking above the $410 resistance level could be a very big sign that bullish price trending is building momentum. Ultimately, I don't believe the SPY has enough momentum to get above $440~450 in 2023 - but I could be wrong. I do believe we will move into a bout of sideways congestion after Q1:2023 - and slide into a period of complacency. Near the start of Q3:2023, I believe we will see the bullish price trend resume - likely starting a push towards new all-time-highs again. We are certainly living in interesting times. If you are not following my research - please take a minute to review my posts/comments. Here we go.
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
DOW 1 HOUR : UPPER TARGET IS 35300 AND DOWN TARGET IS 31111we have 3 angeel on dow and look like want go to fibo161%(nasdaq too,,have buy ) dont pick sell more ,,,for sell we need dow break RED TREND LINE buystop on high + buy above green arrow near EMA200 1hour is best action for now if you have old sells, 100% put hedge buystop on last high and never never close it (main trend is up) , break 3angel will flyup dow ,,,,, then in next low close your sells frist,then in high close hedge buy ALERT = INDEX LIKE NASDAQ,DOW,DAX ARE VERY COMPLEX,HARD NEED MINIMUM 5 YEAR PRACTICE ON DEMO ,if you dont have 5 year practice dont trade it in real money good luck
CBOT_MINI:YM1!Long
by ramin_trader2006
SPY COVID Correlation - 119pt BOTTOMI just noticed this (should have seen it earlier). In the midst of a GLOBAL ECONOMIC COLLAPSE, the SPY fell a little over 119 points before bottoming. My interpretation of this move is that traders/investors suddenly realized the US/Global markets would continue to function - even in the midst of a global lockdown. Now, fast-forward to 2022. Hey, guess what. The range from the peak in early 2022 to the bottom in October 2022 was just a little over 119 pts. Correlation or coincidence? Can we try to equate this -119pt contraction to a global crisis event (like COVID) - where the entire globe moved into LOCKDOWN?... Um. NO. Are we seeing global financial conditions tighten as central banks raise rates? You bet. If this the end of the move? I'm not sure, but it would appear to be lacking any global crisis event - we could have already seen the low/bottom in October 2022. I have a funny feeling the -119 price contraction will come into play in the near future. Are you following my research yet?
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
SPY New High - likely headed higher.Are you following my research yet? Check out my SPY Cycle Patterns and decide for yourself if my predictions are accurate: SPY Cycle Patterns for this week: 1/15/2023 GAP Potential 1/16/2023 GAP-Reversal 1/17/2023 Breakdown201 1/18/2023 POP 1/19/2023 1/20/2023 BaseRally301 1/21/2023 Break-Away 1/22/2023 Rally-111 1/23/2023 Carryover 1/24/2023 Inside-Breakaway 1/25/2023 Harami-Inside 1/26/2023 CRUSH 1/27/2023 Rev-Rally Now, using traditional Fibonacci price modeling, we can see the recent support level held and a New High was reached. This indicates the SPY will likely attempt a bit of consolidation/rotation over the next 4+ days, but will likely rally even higher in early Feb. Follow my research. It's simple and easy to follow.
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
Dow Futures (YM) Looking for 5 Waves Elliott Wave Move LowerCycle from 12.13.2022 high in Dow Futures (YM) is unfolding as a zigzag Elliott Wave structure. Down from 12.13.2022 high, wave A ended at 32686. Wave B rally ended at 34487 as the 90 minutes chart below shows. Internal subdivision of wave B unfolded as a zigzag structure in lesser degree. Up from wave A, wave ((a)) ended at 33663 and dips in wave ((b)) ended at 32750. Index then extended higher in wave ((c)) as a 5 waves diagonal. Up from wave ((b)), wave (i) ended at 33613 and dips in wave (ii) ended at 32943. Wave (iii) ended at 34080, wave (iv) ended at 33489, and final leg higher wave (v) ended at 34487 which completed wave ((c)) and B in higher degree. Wave C lower is currently in progress as an impulse structure. The Index still needs to break below wave A at 32686 to confirm this view. Down from wave B, wave (i) ended at 33916 and rally in wave (ii) ended at 34131. Wave (iii) ended at 33318 and expect rally in wave (iv) to fail and Index to extend lower in wave (v) to complete wave ((i)). Afterwards, it should rally in wave ((ii)) to correct cycle from 1.16.2023 high before the decline resumes. Near term, as far as pivot at 34487 high stays intact, expect rally to fail in 3, 7, or 11 swing for further downside. Potential target lower is 100% – 161.8% Fibonacci extension of wave A. This area comes at 30385 – 31952 from where buyers can appear and Index can start to resume higher.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!
by Elliottwave-Forecast
3
ES Looking For Support Near 3920 - Then LIFTOFFPay attention. Today will likely be a large range bar - possibly with a deep low near 3920. My SPY cycle patterns call today a "Major CRUSH". That means we could see a very large price range today. Combined with other SPY Cycle patterns, I believe the ES will attempt to establish a base/bottom - retesting recent lows. As we move into 2023, be aware that cycle trends have shifted. We are entering a Wave-5 bullish price trend. This Wave-5 trend may not result in new all-time highs this year, but we should see a solid recovery/reversion back to the upside. There are still risks related to the global banking/credit system, so stay cautious of crisis events. Follow my research. Pay attention to the clear market data - not the perma-bears that continue to tell you a "major crash" is about to happen. After today, we move into more bullish consolidation as Earnings start to hit.
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by BradMatheny
SPY Fibonacci & TA. Bullish Target Above $410.For everyone interested: Expect volatility to be king over the next few weeks (earnings and economic data). SPY reaching a major APEX in price trend. It is very likely to resolve to the upside, but that means we have to be prepared for "false breakouts". Fibonacci price trends suggest current trend is BULLISH (closing GAPS). The upper GAP may be the next target on a strong rally phase. Don't play around with this trend. If you are SHORT - PROTECT YOUR CAPITAL. Economic data continues to suggest the US markets will resolve to the upside if inflation trends continue to weaken. Follow my research & videos. I've been trying to warn you about the start of a Wave-5 rally for more than 5+ months.
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny