YM - DOW INDU Buzz LightyearThe Transports do not look good.
Globally - the Baltic Dry Index appears
very poor.
Sentiment for Value?
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Bear MArket rally hats are being put on.
"Technically" it looks good according to the
"Good" or "Positive" for a CT/RT.
Have at it, enjoy the fear of no further
consequences to come... at least short term...
We'll see.
I'm certain that's incorrect.
Ym
Elliott Wave View: Dow Futures ($YM) Extending LowerShort Term View in Dow Futures suggest cycle from 5/5/2022 high is unfolding as a zigzag Elliott Wave structure. Down from 5/5, wave A ended at 31148 and wave B rally ended at 32695. Internal subdivision of wave B unfolded as a zigzag structure in lesser degree. Up from wave A, wave ((a)) ended at 32201, and pullback in wave ((b)) ended at 31778. Final leg higher wave ((c)) ended at 32695 which completed wave B. Index has turned lower in wave C. Potential target for wave C is 100% – 161.8% Fibonacci extension of wave A at 27950 – 29750 area.
Wave C subdivides as a 5 waves impulsive structure. Down from wave B, wave (i) ended at 32238 and rally in wave (ii) ended at 32651. Index then resumes lower and expected to complete wave (iii) soon. Then it should rally in wave (iv) and turn lower 1 more time to end wave (v) and complete wave ((i)). Afterwards, Index should rally in wave ((ii)) to correct cycle from 5/17/2022 high before the decline resumes. Near term, as far as 5/17/2022 pivot at 32695 remains intact, expect rally to fail in 3, 7, or 11 swing for further downside.
US30 NDSThere is no buyers moving in after fake rally against the market direction and I personally confused about the reaction of price to H+ levels but I think this H+ will fail finally and price goes to the end of symmetrical leg 3
Happy trading <3
YM - 2 Hour DOW INDU Not a good Look Longer term.
28.200 is the Gap Fill. 24K as well.
With Financial and Industrial imploding,
the RT will be Weak at best.
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Copper and SIlver will consolidate prior to
giving the YM the kick down the stairs, the
correlations there are solid.
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Short terms, stick save followed by more dumping
ahead.
DX needs to break 107s to put the nail in the
DOW Coffin.
It's been collecting Coffin nails for some time,
S&P500 next move according to Cycle AnalysisAfter reaching the target in the previous analysis and confirming the reverse trend from downtrend to uptrend, according to my new analysis, we should reach a good target in the #S&P500 CURRENCYCOM:US500 around 4400. After that, it will reverse the uptrend to the downtrend again. Based on these trends and according to the Top Down Approach method, a basket of US stocks can be traded, as well as Dow Jones and Nasdaq. In fact, SP500 is used as a Leader for trading other symbols. Given the positive correlation between SP and Bitcoin, I expect Bitcoin to rise to around $ 43,000 and fall below $ 25,000 again.
Happy Trading
DOW / NASDAQBear Market signals persist.
When the DOW begins to outperform on the downside,
we have a clear indication of a lengthy BEAR Market.
It's just beginning.
Counter Trends are a normal course in prolonged Trends.
The ONLY real reversal... QE:
Global Central Banks began withdrawing Liquidity via RRP's since July of 2021.
The contraction made a controlled contraction below 0 into a negative range
well below the Peak Monthly $1.5T down to $300B and on down to 0 in January,
going - $250B during the 3rd week of January - they have maintained the drain
since this time... it is remained between -$180 to -$255B to the present.
Lows into October 2023 imho.
Elliott Wave View: Dow Futures (YM) Corrective Rally in ProgressShort Term Elliott Wave View in Dow Futures (YM) suggests the cycle from April 21, 2022 high is unfolding as a zigzag Elliott Wave structure. Down from April 21 high, wave (A) ended at 33015 and rally in wave (B) ended at 33968. Internal of wave (B) is unfolding as a zigzag in lesser degree. Up from wave (A), wave A ended at 33611, pullback in wave B ended at 33155, and wave C rally ended at 33968.
Wave (C) lower is in progress with internal subdivision as a 5 waves impulse. Down from wave (B), wave ((i)) ended at 33672 and rally in wave ((ii)) ended at 33903. Wave ((iii)) lower ended at 32820, wave ((iv)) ended at 33145, and wave ((v)) of 1 ended at 32358. Index is now correcting the decline from April 29 peak in wave 2 before it resumes lower. Up from wave 1, wave ((a)) ended at 33148 and wave ((b)) dips ended at 32806. Expect wave ((c)) to continue higher with possible target to 33591 – 33776 to end wave 2 before the decline resumes. Near term, as far as pivot at 33968 high stays intact, expect rally to fail in 3, 7, 11 swing for further downside.
DOWJONES 4 hour : dont fear pick buy above 33000 and hold ittoday nasdaq push index down , mst powerfull place ( next low) can be in 33000 , after buy DONT CLOSE IT SOON , TRY HOLD IT 15-20 DAY minimum to 34400 EMA200 daily will touch soon or late !!!
for safe buy , after 33000 touch , you can wait Pinbar comes on 1hour or 4hour , or daily chart or in 15min chart , dow break last trendline to up
good luck , if you have old buys , dont fear on dow daily chart trend is UP , it will fly up soon
Happy new year but not for dow Dow has a selloff setup. Looking good.
Let's do this! CBOT_MINI:YMH2022
ES - 4 Hour - 4/5 Should & 2C FailToday's reversal on the 10Yr Yield Spike is now problematic for several
reasons:
1. ES .618 LT Failed
2. NQ 50% Failed with a 200 Tick FR of prior highs
3. TNX has begun the Breakout we indicated would send this into 3/5
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Both were large Front Run failures.
The Sell was on at 12:30 and took its time to culminate into the 613s
The Closing 684 stick save did not do nearly enough to repair the damage done.
Sold twice today after the Gap Fill bids from lows.
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Price was simply scalped on small RTs into the closing sell and final Bid at 630
to sell again.
I do not have confirmation 3 has begun, it may well be setting up, we will know more
as the TL is backtested... if it fails, it would be a Confirmed - SELL.
FOMC in 4 days, make them gag for it or.... worse.
YM - Daily / Weakened Structure - LT Channel BreakA great deal of technical damage was done here.
It is remarkable how poorly the "Rotation Trade"
CNBC has been touting for 4 weeks failed.
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"Obliteration Trade" perhaps.
Dow Theory Sell Signal works to perfection.
YM - Daily / StructureThe Bog Dawg finally begins to correlate, it did however lead
along with the RUT.
The DOw has yet to break its Support.
It will in time, I'm closely watching the INDU / DOW
for signs of 2/5 beginning.
It closely follows the Value Line Index I commented on
last week.
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Using the POS the Objective has been met.
It can continue in low to low extensions, the probability is low.
YM - Daily / Cake Rotation Meets BacopnSo much for Hiding from the Mouse Jerome, he keeps hiding the Cheese.
Dip Buyers tried rotation 3 times... and failed.
Ouch.
Now down 1500 from the Highs just a few short weeks ago, all was good
until - it wasn't.
Is not good.
No relief, no Countertrend, no rotation, no safety, no nothing but a big
double oot to the cranium.
33,000 - 31.000 should complete when 4 Primary completes it's 5/5.
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Everything Paper is being beaten with the ugly stick.
YM - 15 Minute / Below Trending Could and the failed Rotation to Value in early 2022.
This has been an interesting week for the follow on Trade into what was
considered safety - Value.
It has not quite worked out as the YM plunged nearly 1000 Points from the
proper Weekly highs.
It sits in a tenuous position in need of conviction that simply isn't taking shape
with further follow on Bids.
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It is meandering ahead of Money Center EPS foR JOM BOA WELLS CITI etal.
JPM Is Friday and tends to act as a Pivot for the DOW.
YM - Daily / The 3 TLsThe DOW caught an early New Year's Bid into traditional Value.
Rotation Failed in 48 Hours giving up nearly 800 off the Highs.
Suggesting, "safety" isn't perhaps here.
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The lower Trend Line from the prior Lows is above the Monthly
Gap Fill @ 28,200.
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The INDU/DOW/YM is an interesting Mix of Components, which are
well balanced among Technology, BioTech, Pharma, Financials, AeroSpace,
Consumer Staples, Consumer Discretionary, Defense, Heavy Equipment,
Materials, Energy, Leisure, Foods, Employment.
The DOW will always catch the initial Saftey Bid, the Issue is far larger
than Pricing Power - but one of retention and a contraction in overall
Global Economic contraction(s).
American Express
Amgen
Apple
Boeing
Caterpillar
Cisco Systems
Chevron
Goldman Sachs
Home Depot
Honeywell
International Business Machines
Intel
Johnson & Johnson
Coca-Cola
JPMorgan Chase
McDonald’s
MMM
Merck
Microsoft
Nike
Procter & Gamble
Travelers Companies Inc
UnitedHealth Group
Salesforce.Com
Verizon Communications Inc
Visa Inc
Walgreens
Walmart Inc
Walt Disney
Dow
YM - Trendline Triple TapLooking overdone presently - with inflows and another attempt to throw over
failing, we're beginning to see signs of a Reversal setting up.
Ideally, they wanted 37100.
Missed more than a few.
Every time it has tagged the UTL it has failed.
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The Structure is very weak,