Why The Fed Lowered Rates - My Opinion Part IIThis is Part II of Why The Fed Lowered Rates - My Opinion
The only reason the Fed lowered rates by 50bp this week is because the global markets are reeling under pressure from a strong US-Dollar and a strong US economy.
Without any relief, the new POTUS would enact new policies and push them through Congress, and the US would start another spending spree—pushing the US-dollar-based assets even higher and driving the capital flow into USD-based assets even further.
That capital flow is harming foreign economies, and global central banks have been trying to fight the tide of a very strong US dollar for more than two years.
If the Fed had not lowered rates, we would likely start to see severe pressure on global central banks and possibly even governments/economies over the next 24-48 months.
This is a way for the US Fed, and thus the US economy, from potentially being dragged into a global contagion event after 24+ months of reducing global money flow/function.
Simply put, the US Fed gave in to global central bank concerns related to a strong US economy/Dollar compared to their weaker currencies/economies and the pressure being exerted by a decoupling global economy.
Even though the lower US rates may provide some relief for the global market, the pressure on global currencies/economies may adapt to this "new normal" and continue to squeeze global central banks.
Time will tell.
Get some.
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