DOW JONES bouncing on the 4H MA200 and 0.5 Fibonacci.Dow Jones (DJI) found Support yesterday exactly on its 4H MA200 (red trend-line), after just a brief break of the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level. The dominant pattern has been a Channel Up since the August 05 Low and within it, every 0.5 Fib test from the previous Low, has been the most effective buy entry as it started the new Bullish Leg.
The technical symmetry within this pattern is astounding as every Bullish Leg hit its 1.236 Fibonacci extension, completing a +8.30% rise. The ROC Higher Lows indicates that a rebound should be expected right now.
We haven't had a 1.236 Fib extension since the elections Low, so naturally take this 4H MA200 / 0.5 Fib bounce to buy if you haven't and target 45000 (also +8.30% rise).
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YM1
DOW JONES: Bottom buy signal. Target 45,600.Dow Jones just turned neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 52.982, MACD = 339.670, ADX = 28.026) as it hit today the 4H MA200 after exactly 2 weeks. This is getting very close to the bottom of the 14 month Channel Up. Technically the last two HLs were formed when the 1D RSI double bottomed on the 30.00 oversold limit. Overall, this is a good enough buy opportunity to target yet another +6.80% bullish wave (TP = 45,600).
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DOW JONES inside a bearish wave. Expect lower prices.Dow Jones is trading inside a Channel Up since August.
However at the moment it is still on a bearish wave.
Three out of four bearish waves of this Channel Up hit the MA50 (1d) before reversing.
With the price rejected now on the MA50 (1h), this is still a sell opportunity.
Trading Plan:
1. Sell on the current market price.
Targets:
1. 43000.
Tips:
1. The RSI (1h) is also declining. Once it turns sideways, it will be the signal to reverse to buying.
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Weekly Forex Forecast Nov. 18 - 22: SP500, NAS, DOW, GOLDThis is the Weekly Forex Forecast for Nov 18 -22nd.
The Big 3 Indexes started to pullback last week from there elections fueled rallies. Patience is required, as we look for confirmations of a market shift from bullish to bearish.
Gold also retraced last week, and may may struggle against a surging USD. Patience here will benefit traders, as we wait until the market tips its hand.
Check the comments section below for updates regarding this analysis throughout the week.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
DOW JONES 4H Golden Cross extending the rally.Dow Jones (DJI) gave us an excellent pre-election buy signal (October 29, see chart below) as it bottomed on the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level and just below the 1D MA50 (red trend-line), in similar fashion as the September 11 Low, which then rallied to the 1.236 Fib extension:
As you can see, we hit our 44000 Target, which was again the 1.236 Fib ext, but a new bullish possibility emerges. The 4H RSI is about to turn bearish (below 45.00) after being overbought (above 70.00) for 7 days. Last time this happened was on August 22, the fractals are virtually identical. During that time, the price made a Higher Low and continued to peak after a +8.30% rise in total.
After another 0.5 Fib correction, the next Bullish Leg if the 3-month Channel Up was also +8.30%, indicating that there is high symmetry between the Legs of this pattern. Notice also the presence of a 4H Golden Cross both on the current as well as on the August Leg.
As a result, since we still have some distance before completing a +8.30% Bullish Leg increase, we go long again as long as the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) holds, targeting 45000.
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DOW JONES Short term signal for fast profit.Dow Jones pulled back from Monday's high but the price action started to reverse today.
As long as the MA50 (4h) holds, we expect a quick rebound (at least) like the ones after the October 16th and September 18th pull backs.
Those rebounds gave rallies of +1.57% and 1.79% respectively.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current market price.
Targets:
1. 44450 (+1.57%).
Tips:
1. The RSI (4h) is also showing a temporary bottom similar to October 16th and September 18th.
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Notes:
Past trading plan:
DOW JONES: Short term target 44,850.Dow Jones is almost overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 69.283, MACD = 438.030, ADX = 26.531) and on top of that, the 4H RSI has been inside overbought territory since November 5th. The price action remains inside the Channel Up that started in August but every time the 4H RSI trades sideways like this on overbought ranges, the price enters a smaller Channel Up and leads to the peak HH. That's what we are aiming for now (TP = 44,850).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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Weekly Forex Forecast Nov. 11th: BUY S&P500, NASDAQ, & DOW!This is the Weekly Forex Forecast for Nov 11th.
The Big 3 Indexes are strong, trading at ATHs. There is no reason to look for anything other than buys this week.
Check the comments section below for updates regarding this analysis throughout the week.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Chart Idea - Bearish Setup on YM1!E-Mini Dow Jones had been making a bearish divergence on daily TF since July 2024. We also have been seeing it in an upward trend since Aug of this year. It finally it breaking today. It seems that the daily candle will close below the trend line today. If it does, we can look at the beautiful short setup on the retracement.
Entry - 42950-43000
SL - 43600
TP1 - 42000
TP2 - 41000
We hardly see these kind of clean setups. There is a high probabilty that it will play out before elections in November.
Not a financial advice !!
TRUMP is the 47th President! Is this bullish for the markets?Donald Trump is the new (47th) President of the United States, coming into office for his 2nd time. The practical question on the investor's mind is of course how will the stock markets react?
Even though there is no definitive way to approach this, the fact that Trump will resume power for a 2nd term, gives us a historic data set to have grounds for comparison. Fundamentally anything can be discussed on policies and strategies etc but technically the picture is more objective.
As you can see on this Dow Jones (DJI) chart displayed on the 1W time-frame, Trump's 1st Presidential win was on November 08 2016. At that time, the market was trading within a Channel Up that started after a 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) double test on January 19 and February 08 2016. Right before the Elections, the index experienced a natural 'Pre-election volatility' phase.
The picture during the current election period isn't very different from 2016. As you can see, Dow started a Channel Up pattern after a 1W MA200 test and half-way through the year started to experience the usual 'Pre-election volatility' phase. During that time both in 2024 and 2016, the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) was supporting and stayed intact. Notice how even the 1W RSI sequences between the two fractals are similar from the time the Channel Up started until the elections.
So naturally you are asking what does that mean for us moving forward? Well after the November 08 2016 elections and Trump's 1st win, Dow started to rise aggressively immediately and by March 2017 it almost reached the patterns top (Higher Highs trend-line) before the new medium-term relief pull-back. The post-election Bull Phase was concluded in January 2018, upon completing a +71% rise from the Channel's bottom and 7.0 Fibonacci extension from the volatility phase.
So if symmetry acts its part, we may see 47000 by March 2025 and 55000 (+71% from the October 2023 bottom) by the end of 2025. Is this projection definitive? Of course not, nothing is 'absolute' in investing/ trading. But history has shown that the stock market has reacted more than positively after the U.S. elections, particularly in the case of a Trump win.
What do you think? Will Trump's 2nd term be bullish?
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DOW JONES: Important 1H breakout that is targeting 43,000Dow Jones has turned neutral again on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 48.701, MACD = -64.350, ADX = 34.811) as it formed the new bottom on the 3 month Channel Up and that pushed the price into a rally which today crossed over the LH trendline and the 1H MA200 for the first time since October 22nd. The 1H RSI was on a Bullish Divergence (HL) against the LL of the price, so all indicators are bullish and calling for more upside. The 0.786 Fibonacci level is the next short term target (TP = 43,000).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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DOW JONES Quick sell signal before the elections result.Dow Jones is trading inside a Channel Down since October 21st.
Following the rejection on the MA200 (1h), it started the new bearish wave.
Trading Plan:
1. Sell on the current market price.
Targets:
1. 41400 (-2.70% decline like the first bearish wave of the Channel).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1h) is also printing a Rising Support pattern like the one during the previous bearish wave.
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Notes:
Past trading plan:
DreamAnalysis | Dow Jones Focus Key Levels and Strategic Moves✨ Today’s Focus: Dow Jones (US30) – A Major Market Influencer
We’re diving into the latest NASDAQ price action to pinpoint crucial levels, assess potential trends, and uncover strategic trading opportunities.
📊 Market Overview:
Currently, Dow Jones is positioned in a Discount. The price has broken through significant Seel-side liquidity levels, including the Relative Equal Lows Taken and now is having a retracement back higher, setting the stage for a potential move toward the Previous Week High ( PWH ). A Bullish Smart Money Technique (SMT) signal also aligns with the SPX500 (ES), hinting at possible headwinds.
🔴 Short- and Long-Term Outlook:
We’ll explore both bullish and bearish setups, equipping day traders with insights to approach both short-term and long-term trends effectively.
🗣 Short-Term Outlook:
In the short term, two scenarios could play out: either a push into the Buy Side Liquidity targeting the Previous Week High ( PWH ) and after that leading to a lower move. Lower timeframes will be crucial for monitoring these moves—drop down to spot key market movements in real-time.
🗣 Long-Term Outlook:
Looking long term, there’s potential for a pullback into a Premium level. For entries, tracking lower timeframes is essential. The Bullish SMT divergence with SPX500 (ES) reinforces the possibility of a Upward expansion.
🕓 Key Levels to Watch:
These levels will likely shape price movement:
- PMH: Previous Month High
- PML: Previous Month Low
- PWH: Previous Week High
- PWL: Previous Week Low
- BSL: Buy-Side Liquidity
- SSL: Sell-Side Liquidity
Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) serve as pivotal retracement zones, potentially guiding the next price movement.
📈 Bullish Scenario:
In a bullish setup, watch for Low-Resistance Sell-Side Liquidity sweeps on lower timeframes (LTF). Look for entry signals targeting higher levels, including a potential move toward the all-time high (ATH).
📉 Bearish Scenario:
For bearish trades, focus on lower timeframes such as the 15-minute chart. Short entries within the 4-Hour Imbalance or a breakdown of Low-Resistance Buy-Side Liquidity provide further confirmation.
📝 Final Thoughts:
Stay adaptable as market dynamics shift. By monitoring these key levels and setups, you’ll refine your strategy and increase the potential for high-probability trades.
🔮 On the Radar:
We’re also tracking NASDAQ, DXY, EUR/USD, and other major markets for evolving insights and timely updates.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
DOW JONES: Bottom of the Channel Up.Dow Jones turned bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 42.00, MACD = 51.000, ADX = 21.000) as it almost hit the bottom of the Channel Up pattern. It is about to form a Death Cross on the 4H timeframe, which will be the first since August 8th that was technically the bottom of July's correction and start of the current Channel Up. We expect the bottom to be priced either today or tomorrow and the RR is good enough to buy. We aim for the 1.5 Fibonacci level (TP = 44,000), which priced the previous two HH.
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DOW JONES Channel Up near its bottom. Solid buy.Dow Jones / US30 is trading inside a Channel Up since late August.
The price is about to enter the buy zone of the pattern.
The previous bearish leg made a -3.81% correction before it bottomed and initiated the bullish leg to the 1.618 Fibonacci extension.
We expect a strong rebound from the current prices, so buy and target 44100 (just under the 1.618 Fib).
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DOW JONES Bottom is being formed. Buy for 44000 immediate TargetDow Jones (DJI) eventually made a bullish break-out on our last analysis (October 08, see chart below) and hit our 43200 invalidation Target:
The 3-month Channel Up is still holding and the price is now on the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) and near the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the pattern. The 4H RSI has completed a bottoming sequence similar to the September 11 Higher Low.
As long as the 1D MA50 (red trend-line) supports (closes 1D candles above), this will be a buy opportunity. Our Target is 44000, which is the 1.236 Fibonacci extension, similar with the previous Higher High.
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DreamAnalysis | Dow Jones Analysis Key Levels to Watch!✨ Today’s Focus: Dow Jones (US30) – A Key Market Mover
Today, we’re diving into the latest Dow Jones price action, pinpointing critical levels to identify potential trends and strategic trade opportunities.
📊 Market Snapshot:
The price is currently oscillating within the previous week’s range. After capturing some crucial buy-side liquidity, such as the Previous Month’s High (PMH), there’s been a strong shift to the sell side.
🔴 Short- vs. Long-Term Outlook:
We’ll break down scenarios for both bullish and bearish setups, providing insights for day traders on how to approach short-term and long-term trends.
🗣 Short-Term Outlook:
In the short term, a potential retracement higher could take out some Buy-Side Liquidity or hit the midpoint (50%) of the range. Following this, the price may continue downward toward sell-side targets, with the Weekly Imbalance as a significant level to watch.
🗣 Long-Term Outlook:
Our long-term perspective remains bearish until the price reaches the Weekly Imbalance at the 50% range mark. From there, we’ll need to observe how the market reacts to assess if further declines are likely.
🕓 Key Levels to Watch:
These levels are likely to shape price movement:
- PMH: Previous Month High
- PML: Previous Month Low
- PWH: Previous Week High
- PWL: Previous Week Low
- BSL: Buy-Side Liquidity
- SSL: Sell-Side Liquidity
- Weekly FVG: Fair Value Gap (Imbalance Zone)
Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) are crucial zones for potential retracement, setting up the next directional move.
📈 Bullish Scenario:
For a bullish setup, monitor lower timeframes (LTF) for a sweep of Low-Resistance Sell-Side Liquidity. Look for entry models targeting higher levels, including a move toward the All-Time High (ATH).
📉 Bearish Scenario:
For bearish opportunities, use lower timeframes like the 15-minute chart. Seek short entry signals within the 4-Hour Imbalance, or wait for a breakdown of Low-Resistance Buy-Side Liquidity for added confirmation.
📝 Final Thoughts:
Stay flexible as market dynamics shift. Monitor these key levels and setups to fine-tune your strategy and capitalize on high-probability trades.
🔮 Coming Up:
We’re also tracking NASDAQ, DXY, EUR/USD, and other major markets, with timely insights as trends evolve.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Weekly Forex Forecast Oct 28th: S&P500, NASDAQ, & DOW This is the Weekly Forex Forecast for Oct 28 - Nov 1st.
The S&P500 and NASDAQ are neutral at the moment, but the trend is bullish. Patience will pay off if we wait for confirmations to bullish orderflow.
The DOW is looking weaker than the other two. It is clear the short term profit targets are to the sell side liquidity.
Check the comments section below for updates regarding this analysis throughout the week.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Average Range Levels + OHLC Statistical Mapping Short SetupMy bias for today was bearish.
My Bearish Model:
Entry: -Manipulation
Stop-Loss: 1/3ADR+
Take-Profit: -Distribution
If you have any questions and eventually wanna learn more about the tool and have chance to receive a discount code. Shoot me a dm.
DOW JONES: testing the 4H MA200 and is expected to rebound.Dow Jones is on a neutral 1D technical outlook (RSI = 48.958, MACD = 306.300, ADX = 31.951) as the Channel Up pulled back to almost test the 4H MA200 for the first time since the September 11th Low. This is basically the top of the support zone of the Channel Up and based on the 1D RSI, a strong buy candidate. We turn bullish, aiming at the 1.5 Fibonacci extension (TP = 43,900).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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DOW JONES ahead of an huge rally based on the 2017 fractal.More than a year ago (September 13 2023, see chart below), we posted a long-term fractal comparison for Dow Jones (DJI) between the 2022 - 2025 and 2015 - 2018 periods:
As you can see the 1W MA50/100 Bullish Cross eventually placed the index on a huge rally (even though it had to go lower for a month) that hit Target 1 at 42000. The 1W RSI and MACD sequences in 2024 however evolved in such a how that we have to re-adjust the patterns in order to fit the 2017 price action.
The charts now display very symmetric fractals and it appears that we are now on a short-term consolidation (circle) after a +50% rise from the September 2022 bottom. In November 2017, that was the final consolidation before the most aggressive rally of the Bull Cycle that made Dow top and then pull back to test its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line).
As a result, we move our final target even higher at 49300, which represents a +71% rise from the 2022 bottom, similar to the rise that priced the January 2018 High.
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DOW JONES 1hour Channel Up on its bottom. Buy.Dow Jones / US30 is trading inside a Channel Up and the price hit its bottom today.
By doing so it almost tested the 1hour MA200, which is holding since October 9th.
Also it completed a decline identical in % terms with the first one of the pattern.
This is a strong buy opportunity. Buy and target 43,450 (top of the Channel Up).
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