Weekly Market Forecast: Short Term Buys, Then Sells! In this video, we will analyze the S&P 500, NASDAQ, AND DOW JONES Futures for the week of April 7 - 11th.
The Stock Market Indices may find support at current levels for a Bear Market Rally. Wait for the market structure shift to the upside before taking any buys. Let the market confirm it's intended direction first, then look for valid buy setups for a short term countertrend play.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
YM1!
How to Identify Double Top Formation - A Long-Haul Bear?How to identify double top formation?
Is the US market still forming this double top formation, or has the pattern already completed, signaling a deeper correction to come?
In this discussion, we will focus on the latter question: whether this bear is going to be a long-haul bear.
3 parts of today tutorial:
1. How to Identify Double Top Formation is completed technically?
2. How to cross reference to its related markets?
3. How do the fundamental developments confirm these technical studies?
E-mini Dow Jones Index Futures & Options
Ticker: YM
Minimum fluctuation:
1.00 index point = $5.00
Micro E-mini Dow Jones Index Futures
Ticker: MYM
Minimum fluctuation:
1.0 index points = $0.50
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
Trading the Micro: www.cmegroup.com
DOW JONES You will regret not taking this buyDow Jones / US30 remains under heavy selling pressure as it has been yet again rejected under the 1week MA50, failing to hold the closings over it of the past 3 candles.
This is the strongest correction of the index since the September 26th 2022 bottom and the start of the Channel Up.
Despite the negatives, the 1week RSI is almost on the 37.50 level, which is where the last higher low of the Channel Up was formed on October 23rd 2023, again under the 1week MA50.
Obviously even though the downside may continue for a few more days, the extent is limited technically, especially since the worst of the tariffs have been priced and only new and more aggressive ones can inflict more non-technical fear on the market.
This is a unique long term buy opportunity, the likes of which saw 2 rallies before of +21.10%.
Even in the event of one more dip, a 48000 target towards the end of the year is very realistic.
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DOW JONES One break away from a rally back to 45000.Dow Jones (DJIA) got stopped on the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) as the market paused ahead of today's tariffs implementation. This is the 2nd technical rejection since the March 13 bottom, the first being n the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) last Wednesday.
This bottom is technically the start of the new Bullish Leg of the 1-year Bullish Megaphone pattern, and is very similar, both in 1D RSI and price terms, to the first one (April 19 - May 20 2024). As you can see, we are currently within the sane 0.5 - 0.786 Fib range, where the price consolidated before the eventual 4H MA200 bullish break-out.
If it continues to replicate the 2024 Bullish Leg, then be ready for a straight Resistance test once the 4H MA200 breaks. Our Target is 45000.
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DOW JONES: 4 week bottom on the 1W MA50. Best time to buy.Dow Jones turned neutral again on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 46.611, MACD = -297.980, ADX = 37.851) as it is recovering today and more importantly keeps its price action above the 1W MA50. This is the 4th straight week that it trades and holds the 1W MA50, which is shaping up to be the natural long term support. That is keeping the 1W RSI neutral (47.224), which technically suggets that it is the most low risk level to buy. The 1W RSI made a double bottom due to this consolidation and the 1W MACD printed the first light red bar, all of which are similar to the October 23rd 2023 bottom.
Both have been bottoms after bearish waves of the 1.5 year Channel Up and as a matter of fact similar in decline rate (-9.50%). The highest probability level for a rebound and start of the new bullish wave is this, and based on the previous, it should aim for the 2.0 Fibonacci extension (TP = 49,000).
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Weekly Market Forecast: SELL THE INDICES!In this video, we will analyze the S&P 500, NASDAQ, AND DOW JONES Futures for the week of March 31st - April 4th.
The equity markets took a bearish turn last week. This is likely to continue for the upcoming week.
Monday is the end of March. Tuesday brings a new week and new opportunities. April 2nd brings... potentially market flipping volatility. The day the Trump tariffs are implemented.
Be careful. Let the market give you direction, and then get involved.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
DOW JONES: Are you ready for what's coming?Dow Jones is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 48.157, MACD = -244.290, ADX = 38.724) as it is attempting to recover the 2 month correction. It appears that the bottom has already been made as not only did the price rebound on the LL trendline but it did so on an oversold 1D RSI. This draws comparisons to the last big such correction of Aug-Oct 2023, which also declined by more than -9.40%. They key there was the formation of a 4H Golden Cross.
Right now the price is stuck inside the 4H MA50 - 4H MA200 range, so if it crosses now over the 4H MA200, it will most likely confirm the start of the new bullish wave as it will form a 4H Golden Cross. Technically it can achieve a similar price rally as then, so our thesis remains bullish aiming at the 2.0 Fibonacci extension (TP = 50,000).
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Trump's Auto Tariffs Shake Things Up on Wall StreetTrump's tariffs are clearly not going away. In fact, he's upped the ante with a 25% tariff on all non-US cars, vowed to target pharmaceuticals and promised more are to come on April 2nd. Given the dire weakness in consumer sentiment data, I suspect Wall Street indices may have seen a swing high.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
DOW JONES Last chance to buy before it breaks the 1D MA50.Dow Jones (DJIA) has been trading within a 1.5 year Channel Up pattern since the July 2023 High. The market found itself under heavy pressure recently as the Channel unfolded its Bearish Leg which found Support right below the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line).
As the 1D RSI got oversold (<30.00) and rebounded, this is perhaps the last opportunity to buy low, before it breaks above its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) on what is technically the new Bullish Leg.
The previous Bullish Leg (November 2023 - March 2024) hit the 2.0 Fibonacci extension on a +23.94% rise, before it broke below its 1D MA50 again. As a result, it is possible for Dow not to break again below its 1D MA50 once broken, before it reaches the 2.0 Fib which sits at 50000. Our Target is a little lower than that at 49000.
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Weekly Market Forecast SP500 NASDAQ DOW: Short Term BUYS!In this video, we will analyze the S&P 500, NASDAQ, AND DOW JONES Futures for the week of March 24 - 28th. We'll determine the bias for the upcoming week, and look for the best potential setups.
The equity markets have been choppy lately, but this week may be different. The economic calendar shows a smooth week ahead, as there are no NFP, FOMC, or similarly volatile news ahead to potentially reverse a market out of the blue. The indices show potential to break consolidation and move upwards. So we wait until there are definitive market structure shifts to occur, acting as confirmations.
Only then do we pounce!
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
DOW JONES targeting 50000 on this final Bull yearDow Jones / US30 posted the first green weekly candle after hitting last week the 1week MA50.
This is obviously a critical support level as it has been holding since the October 30th 2023 rebound.
As this chart shows, Dow has been repeating the same patterns, Cycle after Cycle.
Right now it has entered the Final Year of Bull, which is the part where it rises aggressively to form the Top before the new Bear begins in the form of a Megaphone pattern.
The previous Bull peaked on the 2.382 Fibonacci extension of the Megaphone.
This means that a 50000 Target for Dow is perfectly plausible by the end of 2025.
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DOW JONES: MA50-100 Bearish Cross says we've bottomed.Dow Jones is almost neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 43.171, MACD = -608.620, ADX = 62.568), rising aggressively since last week. Technically that was the bottom no just on the 8 month Channel Up but also on the LL trendline. We've seen the very same LL bottom on the October 2023 and March 2023 lows, all of which had oversold 1D RSIs. The 1D MA50-100 Bearish Cross marked those bottoms and today we've completed a new one. Technically the index can rise as high as the 2.0 Fibonacci extension (TP = 49,000).
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US30; Heikin Ashi Trade IdeaPEPPERSTONE:US30
In this video, I’ll be sharing my analysis of US30, using my unique Heikin Ashi strategy. I’ll walk you through the reasoning behind my trade setup and highlight key areas where I’m anticipating potential opportunities.
I’m always happy to receive any feedback.
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Thank you for watching my videos! 🙏
DOW JONES: Starting the final stage of 3year Bull Cycle.Dow Jones got oversold on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 29.297, MACD = -550.130, ADX = 76.606) as it is currently testing its 1W MA50. This is a level that has been intact since November 2023 and is of high importance to the trend as it has a key cyclical attribute. The driving growth pattern of Dow since the 2009 bottom is a Channel Up and every time a Bull Cycle starts, the 1W MA50 is the first level of support, with every touch of it being the strongest buy opportunity. When the 3 year Bull Cycle is coming to an end, the 1W MA50 breaks and the index approaches the 1M MA50 during its Bear Cycle correction, which becomes the ultimate buy entry for the new long term 3 year Bull Cycle.
The current Cycle should starts getting completed technically after September 2025, so there is a high chance that the 1W MA50 holds here. The three Bull Cycles we've had so far had a fairly similar growth percentage, rising by +70.38% to +76.64%. If the +70.38% minimum range is followed on the current (4th) Bull Cycle, then we're aiming at 48,000 (TP) towards the end of the year. The 1M CCI seems to be printing the exact same build up to the Bear Cycle as in the past.
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DOW JONES Can the 1W MA50 hold and spark an end-of-year rally?Dow Jones (DJIA) has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the late July 2023 High. The decline of the last 30 days can be technically seen as the Bearish Leg that will price its new Higher Low bottom.
The price isn't only close to the Channel's bottom but also the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), a level that has been supporting since the October 30 2023 bullish break-out. As a result, a 1W MA50 hit will be a potential double support test, with the 1W RSI also printing a Bearish Leg similar to the one that led to the October 2023 bottom.
On the other hand, the ranged price action since the late November 2024 High, resembles the sideways volatility of the first half of 2024. Both were initiated after Higher High pricings at the top of the Channel Up. The rallies that led to those tops have been +21.00% and +23.72% respectively.
If there is a decreasing rate on each Bullish Leg, then the new one should be +17.30% (i.e. -3.30% less than the previous one), which falls marginally below the 1.5 Fibonacci extension, which is where the November 2024 High was priced.
As a result, as long as Dow is closing its 1W candles above the 1W MA50, the 2-year Channel Up is more likely to push upwards again for its new Bullish Leg, potentially targeting 48900 (+17.30%).
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S&P, NASDAQ, DOW JONES Weekly Market Forecast: Mar 10-14 In this video, we will analyze the S&P 500, NASDAQ, AND DOW JONES Futures. We'll determine the bias for the upcoming week, and look for the best potential setups.
Markets have been bearish due to mixed numbers employment, Fed statements, and uncertainty in US trade policies. Are the markets poised for a bounce back week? Perhaps. Traders will need to exercise patience before jumping in these volatile markets, waiting for the proper confirmations before we determine a bias. Once the markets tip their hand in that way, we can take advantage.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Market Forecast UPDATES! Monday, Mar 3rdIn this video, we will update the forecasts posted last March 2nd for the following markets:
ES \ S&P 500
NQ | NASDAQ 100
YM | Dow Jones 30
GC |Gold
SiI | Silver
PL | Platinum
HG | Copper
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
DOW JONES MA200 (1d) test on the Channel Up bottom. BULLISH.Dow Jones is trading inside a Channel Up but lately finds itself on a pull back.
This pull back is about to test the MA200 (1d) at the bottom of the pattern.
The MA200 (1d) has been holding as Support since November 3rd 2023, so overall that makes it a buy opportunity.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current market price.
Targets:
1. 46400 (the 1.382 Fibonacci extension).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1d) is almost oversold and at 35.00 it has turned sideways. Every time the RSI was on this level or belowsince October 2023, it was the best buy opportunity.
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DOW JONES Massive 1D MA200 reversal for Cup and Handle?Dow Jones (DJIA) has been trading within a Channel Up since the September 2022 market bottom. Throughout this long-term structure, Cup and Handle (C&H) patterns have emerged that were always contained above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and subsequently initiated a rebound to at least the 1.382 Fibonacci extension before the next pull-back.
The 1D MA200 is right below us at the moment and the current C&H seems to be on the verge of completing its Handle. Moreover, the 1D RSI is on its usual Higher Lows trend-line that prompts to a the most optimal buy entry. We're bullish, targeting 46400 (the 1.382 Fibonacci extension).
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Will Dow Jones Extend Its Selloff?I believe Dow Jones still has more downside ahead. I anticipate a break below 42,200 tomorrow morning, potentially taking out more of January’s lows.
If price rises overnight, I’ll be looking for a Short position at the 8:30 CST open. If it doesn’t, I’ll likely go Long toward the dump initiation zone around 43,160 .
Alternatively, we could potentially begin the sell from 2025 Open Price.
Only time will tell—let’s lock in⚡
Weekly Market Forecast Mar 3-7: Stock Indices, Gold, Oil, moreThis is a FUTURES market outlook for the week of Mar 3-7th.
In this video, we will analyze the following futures markets:
ES | S&P 500
NQ | NASDAQ 100
YM | Dow Jones 30
GC | Gold
SIL | Silver
PL | Platinum
HG | Copper
The indices took a bearish turn at the end of last week. Trump announcements, tariffs, Ukraine and Russia injected uncertainty into the markets, and investors moved money into safe havens.
Patience is required to trade in this environment. Wait until there are clear signs of shifts in the market before deciding on a bias. Setup confirmations are always the best course of action.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Where is the Indices going and Bitcoin? This is my opinion of what I think will happen in March after February sell off. I have bullish bias for both indices and Bitcoin as long as 80K Level stays intact in case of BTC.
Also RSI and Volume divergence can be seen for extra confirmation
Disclaimer: Not a financial advice. Do your own analysis