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YM1

DOW JONES Don't lose sight of the great picture. Still bullish.Last week, while Dow Jones (DJI) was still under its 1D MA50, we called for a major rally, as technically the 5-month Channel Up has just priced its new Higher Low: The index has now almost reached the Target of the first Bullish Leg of this pattern, pointing to a potential relief next. On the larger picture however (1M time-frame), we had posted an article named 'Secret Cycles' on April 12 2024 (see chart below), during Dow Jones' previous pull-back that again inflicted fear in the markets, calling for a strong buy: It is this chart that we revisit and expand up today, as we don't think the long-term trend has changed. We want to maintain a clear long-term perspective and following August's massive recovery 1M candle, we believe that Dow will enter by Q4 2024, the final stage (rally) of its current Cycle. That has historically been 1 year at least, so as long as the index keeps holding and closing the monthly candles above the 1M MA50 (red trend-line), we will continue buying all monthly dips. Our 48850 long-term Target is intact. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:DJILong
by TradingShot
4
DOW JONES New Bullish Leg to beginLast week (August 07, see chart below) we made a long-term case of why Dow Jones (DJI) is poised to technically start a new aggressive rally 'right under our nose' and before that (July 25, see chart below), why at the time the correction wasn't over: As you can see, the index found support on our low tier near the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and as the April 19 Low, it touched the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level of the 2-year Channel Up (chart 2 above). Back to today's analysis, the price has already rebounded at the bottom of April's Channel Up and has found its first Resistance on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). The final confirmation of this Bullish Leg will be when the 1D MACD forms a Bullish Cross as it did on June 18 and April 25. Since the Bearish Legs of this Channel Up have been almost the same percentage wise (-6.84%) we expect the Bullish Legs to be too. With the first Bullish Leg being at +11.13%, our medium-term Target is 42400 (just below a potential +11.13% rise). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US30Long
by TradingShot
Elliott Wave Intraday Analysis: YM_F should Resume the RallyShort Term Elliott Wave View in E-Mini Dow Jones Futures (YM_F) suggests the trend should continue higher within the sequence started from April-2023 low as the part of daily sequence. It favors upside in wave ((5)) while dips remain above 38535 low. Since April-2024 high of (3), it starts to move sideways for almost 3 months to build a triangle structure. This triangle completed wave (4) at 39284 low. The market resumed the rally building an impulse as wave (5) ended at 41672 high and also wave ((3)) in higher degree. YM_F begins a big correction in July 18 high. Down from wave ((3)), the index did an impulse structure to complete a wave (A) at 40053 low. Then, the market did a bounce developing a double correction as wave (B). Up from wave (A), wave W ended at 41051 high. The connector (X) ended at 40606 low and last push higher completed wave (Y) at 41427 and also wave (B). The market resumed to the downside forming another impulse as wave (C) of ((4)). It placed 1 of (C) at 41028 low, 2 at 41305 high, 3 at 39518 low, 4 at 39880 high and finally 5 at 38541 to complete wave (C) and wave ((4)). While price action stays above 38541 low, we are calling for more upside to continue the rally as wave ((5)).
CBOT_MINI:YM1!
by Elliottwave-Forecast
Dow Jones (US30) Outlook ICT ConceptsDow Jones Industrial Average (US30) Analysis 💰 Welcome to Your Channel! Welcome to our channel where we delve into the intricacies of financial markets. Today, we focus on US30, dissecting its current price action to uncover strategic trading opportunities. Join us as we analyze key levels and market dynamics, aiming to refine our trading strategies and maximize potential gains. 💡 Previous Analysis Review: In the previous analysis, we expected the price to expand lower after the Market Structure Shift (MSS), which occurred as anticipated. 📍 Current Market Overview: The current price is around 38,643.10. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (US30) has swept both the Previous Month Low (PML) and Previous Week Low (PWL), which are significant liquidity levels. The price is currently within a 4H Fair Value Gap (FVG), marked by a line on the chart. 🔍 Identifying Key Levels: • PMH: Previous Month High • PWH: Previous Week High • PWL: Previous Week Low • PML: Previous Month Low • BSL: Buy-Side Liquidity • SSL: Sell-Side Liquidity • 4H FVG: 4-Hour Fair Value Gap • MSS: Market Structure Shift 📊 Key Considerations: • Swept PML & PWL: The price has swept the Previous Month Low and Previous Week Low, indicating the potential for a reversal or at least a short-term expansion higher. • Inside 4H FVG: The price is within the 4H FVG, which could serve as a support zone for a possible expansion higher. • Reaction to Bearish FVGs: The key to the next movement lies in how the price reacts to the two bearish FVGs above. 📈 Bullish Scenario: Given the current price action and key considerations, a bullish scenario is possible if the following conditions are met: • Support from 4H FVG: The 4H FVG provides support, and the price begins to expand higher. • Reaction to Bearish FVGs: Watch the reaction to the bearish FVGs above; if the price can break through these, it would confirm the bullish bias. 📉 Bearish Scenario: A bearish scenario should be considered if the following conditions are met: • Sweep of Lower Time Frame BSL: On lower time frames, we need to see buy-side liquidity levels swept before considering short positions. • Target Lower Objectives: After the sweep of lower time frame BSL, the price could target lower objectives such as the SSL (Sell-Side Liquidity) marked below on the chart. 📊 Chart Analysis Summary: • Bullish Expectation: The price is in a key area after sweeping PML and PWL, and being inside the 4H FVG. We can expect a possible expansion higher from here, especially if the price holds within the 4H FVG and breaks through the bearish FVGs above. • Bearish Expectation: For a bearish scenario, wait for lower time frame buy-side liquidity to be swept, followed by a reversal to target lower levels like the SSL below. Conclusion: The Dow Jones Industrial Average is at a critical juncture after sweeping key liquidity levels and entering a 4H FVG. The next move depends largely on the reaction to the bearish FVGs above. A bullish scenario would see an expansion higher if the 4H FVG holds and the price breaks through the bearish FVGs. A bearish scenario would require a sweep of lower time frame BSL and then a move lower to target SSL and other lower objectives. 🙏 Thank you for joining us! Exploring US30 today highlighted the importance of effective risk management in trading success. Prioritize research, implement robust strategies, and seek guidance for confident market navigation. Stay tuned for more insights on our channel. Here's to profitable trading and continuous learning! ⚠️ Disclaimer The information provided here is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
BLACKBULL:US30
by RealArmin
DOW JONES Is a new rally starting right under our nose again?Consistent with our macro approach to investing (particularly with stocks), we continue to address the recent stock market correction by examining similar behavioural patterns of the past. It was 10 months ago (October 11 2023, see chart below), when Dow Jones (DJI) was under another short-term turmoil phase that turned out to be exactly that, short-term: As you can see on that chart, while most were panic selling, we addressed the idea that Dow was "starting a new Bull rally under our nose". And as you can see, the index did exactly that, as it rebounded at the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the Rising Wedge, starting a new +23% rally. Our basis for this projection was the similar Rising Wedge pattern of September 2015 - November 2016 (almost 1 year), which after a fake-out for the week hands (green circle) on January 2016 (as it was on October 2022), it rebounded in October 2016 at the bottom of the Wedge and posted a +19% rally. You can see that so far the lows are highly symmetrical as the first was priced in the month of October (2016 then and 2023 now) and the next in April (2017 and 2024 respectively). The initial rally that broke above the Rising Wedge in 2017, had a small upward extension that then gave a new pull-back for an August 2017. If symmetry continues to dictate the price action, then the current August Low (2024), may be our new bottom as Aug 2017 was. On the past fractal, the new rally was concluded on a +30.72% rise. As a result, we see it highly possible to get a new long-term peak early next year (January 2025 if symmetry continues) at around 49000. High as this Target may seem at the moment with the current economic slowdown fears, these are the standard conditions that make rallies start "under our nose".. Especially as November's U.S. elections are approaching. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:DJILong
by TradingShot
DOW JONES Any pull-back is a short-term buy opportunity.The Dow Jones Industrial Average Index (DJIA) is completing an Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S) pattern following the recovery of its 4H MA50 (blue trend-line). Since the dominant medium-term pattern since the April 19 Low is a Channel Up, any pull-back this short-term IH&S offers, is a technical buy opportunity. The previous Channel Up Higher Low of May 30 offered one final Higher Low pull-back below the 4H MA50 before the new Bullish Leg started towards the Channel's top (Higher Highs trend-line). Check how their 1D RSI fractals are similar among the two sequences. As a result, once today's Fed euphoria recedes, we expect one last buy opportunity to emerge with a short-term Target of 42000 (top of blue Channel Up), if note higher on the Diverging Channel Up. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US30
by TradingShot
3
US30 Outlook ICT ConceptsDow Jones Industrial Average (US30) Analysis 💰 Welcome to Your Channel! Welcome to our channel where we delve into the intricacies of financial markets. Today, we focus on US30, dissecting its current price action to uncover strategic trading opportunities. Join us as we analyze key levels and market dynamics, aiming to refine our trading strategies and maximize potential gains. 💡 Previous Analysis Review: The price has swept the previous month high (PMH) and the buy-side liquidity (BSL) above it, placing it in a deep premium. 📍 Current Market Overview: The current price is around 40,920.69. The price has swept the previous week low (PWL) and tapped into the 4-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG). 🔍 Identifying Key Levels: • PMH: Previous Month High • PWL: Previous Week Low • PWH: Previous Week High • PML: Previous Month Low • BSL: Buy-Side Liquidity • SSL: Sell-Side Liquidity • EQH: Equal Highs • EQL: Equal Lows • FVG: Fair Value Gap, highlighting areas of imbalance 📊 Key Considerations: • Current Price Position: The price is trading around 40,920.69, after sweeping the PMH and BSL, and now in a deep premium. • PWL and 4H FVG Interaction: The price has swept the PWL and tapped into the 4H FVG, also aligning with the Optimal Trade Entry (OTE) levels. • OTE Levels: The current price is within the OTE levels, suggesting a potential lower movement. 📈 Bearish Scenario: Given the current price action and key considerations, a bearish scenario is possible if the following conditions are met: Target SSL and FVG Below: The price can be expected to go lower from here, targeting the SSL and the FVG below it, or even the PWL, which is close to the equilibrium (50%) of the range. 📉 Bullish Scenario: A bullish scenario should be considered if the following conditions are met: Clearing Sell-Side Liquidity: For any bullish scenario and long positions, we need the sell side of the chart to be cleared from liquidity. Once the liquidity is cleared, we can then decide on potential long positions. 📊 Chart Analysis Summary: Bearish Expectation: The expectation is for the price to potentially move lower, targeting the SSL and the FVG below it, or even the PWL, which is close to the equilibrium (50%) of the range. Bullish Expectation: For a bullish scenario, we need the sell side of the chart to be cleared from liquidity. After the liquidity is cleared, we can consider long positions. 🙏 Thank you for joining us! Exploring US30 today highlighted the importance of effective risk management in trading success. Prioritize research, implement robust strategies, and seek guidance for confident market navigation. Stay tuned for more insights on our channel. Here's to profitable trading and continuous learning! ⚠️ Disclaimer The information provided here is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
BLACKBULL:US30
by RealArmin
DOW JONES Correction isn't over yet. See where to buy.The Dow Jones Industrial Average Index (DJIA) made initially a direct hit on our July 05 (see 1st chart below) 41000 Target and following the rejection then, is on its way of hitting the 39200 downside Target (July 17, 2nd chart below) as well: Zooming out to the long-term pattern again after a while, we can still see that the dominant technical structure is a Channel Up that first started on the September 30 2022 inflation crisis bottom. On the more medium-term, we can isolate a (dashed) Channel Up that started on the April 19 2024 Low. It appears that the current correction is technically its new Bearish Leg. Symmetrically, we should be expecting the new Higher Low to make contact with the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). That is our first buy entry. The second is just below the 0.5 Fibonacci Channel level, which can potentially make near contact with the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), a strong long-term Support. That scenario is drawn based on the October 27 2023 bottom which was after a symmetrical correction (-9.25%) with the March 20 2023 bottom. Similarly, the current Bearish Leg could be symmetrical (-6.84%) with the correction that led to the April 18 2024 Low. For both buy entries, our new long-term Target will be 42400 (Higher High on the medium-term Channel Up). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US30
by TradingShot
DOW JONES Top of its Channel. Sell opportunity.The Dow Jones Industrial Average Index (DJIA) hit our 41000 Target as projected on our last analysis (July 10, see chart below) and reached the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the 3-month Channel Up: The Bullish leg competed a rise around the same levels as the previous one (7.87% against 7.65%), so we can assume the symmetry will continue to shape within this pattern and affect the Bearish Legs too. The previous Bearish Leg made a -5.14% decline. Our Target is 39200, marginally above the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US30Short
by TradingShot
6
US30 Outlook ICT Concepts💰 Welcome to Your Channel! Welcome to our channel where we delve into the intricacies of financial markets. Today, we focus on US30 , dissecting its current price action to uncover strategic trading opportunities. Join us as we analyze key levels and market dynamics, aiming to refine our trading strategies and maximize potential gains. 📰 Headlines CPI News: The actual Consumer Price Index (CPI) numbers came in lower than expected, leading to a weakened U.S. Dollar index. This news has had a significant impact on market sentiment, driving price movements. 🔍 Identifying Key Levels The chart highlights crucial levels and zones influencing the current market behavior: • PMH: Previous Month High, a resistance level where liquidity might accumulate. • PWH: Previous Week High, another resistance level indicative of potential liquidity. • FVG: Fair Value Gap, marking areas of market imbalance. • Daily FVG: Daily Fair Value Gap, acting as a significant support zone. • PWL & PML: Previous Week Low and Previous Month Low, key levels for potential liquidity captures. • BSL: Buy-side Liquidity, indicating where traders have placed their buy orders. • SSL: Sell-side Liquidity, indicating where traders have placed their sell orders. 📊 Key Considerations • PWH and PMH Taken: The market has recently taken out the liquidity resting above the previous week high and previous month high. • BSL: The current price action is approaching areas where buy-side liquidity is likely to be taken out. • Daily FVG: This zone is a significant support area where the market might gather liquidity before a potential reversal. 📉 Current Price Action The market has recently taken out the PWH and PMH, capturing the liquidity above these levels. This suggests a potential for further upward movement, especially with the weakened U.S. Dollar due to lower-than-expected CPI numbers. Additionally, the price action has taken out some low resistance liquidity on its way up, driven by the news. 🔄 Bearish Scenario Although the current sentiment is bullish, it's essential to consider the bearish scenario under certain conditions: • Reversal from Key Levels: If the price fails to hold above the PWH and PMH levels, we could see a reversal targeting the FVG and Daily FVG zones. • Targeting PWL & PML: If the bearish sentiment gains strength, the market could target the previous week low and previous month low to capture additional liquidity before a potential reversal. 📈 Bullish Scenario Considerations The overall bias appears bullish due to several factors: • CPI News Impact: The lower-than-expected CPI numbers have weakened the U.S. Dollar, contributing to a bullish sentiment. • Low Resistance Liquidity Taken: The market has already taken out some low resistance sell-side liquidity, clearing the path for further upward movement. • Targeting BSL: The market is likely to continue higher, aiming to take out the buy-side liquidity. 📊 Chart Analysis Summary The market has shown a strong bullish sentiment by taking out the PWH and PMH, driven by the CPI news and weakened U.S. Dollar. The price is likely to target further buy-side liquidity, with potential for higher movement. However, traders should be cautious of potential reversals from key resistance levels and consider the possibility of a bearish scenario if these levels do not hold. Understanding these key levels and the current market behavior helps in making informed trading decisions. 🙏 Thank you for joining us! Exploring US30 today highlighted the importance of effective risk management in trading success. Prioritize research, implement robust strategies, and seek guidance for confident market navigation. Stay tuned for more insights on our channel. Here's to profitable trading and continuous learning! ⚠️ Disclaimer The information provided here is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
BLACKBULL:US30
by RealArmin
DOW JONES Looking to break above the 3-month Triangle.The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) has been consolidating within an Ascending Triangle since the April 01 High and recently is being supported by the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) since June 17. As long as it continues to hold, there are higher probabilities to finally break above the Triangle's top (Resistance 1). If it does, the pattern will transition into a Channel Up that will aim for a new Higher High. The first Bullish Leg extended to as high as +7.52%. The 1.382 Fibonacci extension is technically the break-out target on these occasions, so our Target is in the middle of those levels at 41000. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US30Long
by TradingShot
2
DOW JONES All patterns pointing to a bullish break-out.We have seen today's pattern on one of our previous analyses (June 14, see chart below) but on the 1W time-frame: Today we make some slight modifications as we view it on the short-term 1D time-frame. Dow Jones (DJI) continues to replicate the sequence of February 14 2023 - May 30 2023 and following the latest 1D MA50/100 Bullish Cross, is ready to break above the (bold dashed) Ascending Triangle. As you can see there is so far high symmetry between the two patterns. The 2023 one made a Higher High following the Triangle break-out on the 1.382 Fibonacci extension from the bottom. It had two identical Bullish Legs since that Low. As a result, we are targeting at least 41000 on the medium-term, which is tightly located within the 1.382 Fib and a symmetrical +7.50% Bullish Leg. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US30Long
by TradingShot