Click…Click…Boom : What’s Your Count?Hello Traders and welcome to Crypto Aera.
The inspiration for today’s episode comes from a conversation I had recently.
Someone asked me, "I’m moving up in my position size, and there’s this knot in my stomach. I’m numb to smaller figures, but now I’m stressed." That stayed with me.
A few days later, I stood on a beach, watching the waves lap against a shore covered in endless pebbles.
As I began stacking them, I noticed a pattern. The higher the stack climbed, the more precise I had to be. I spent longer searching for flat, perfectly matched pebbles.
You see, you can’t throw a large pebble on top of a small one, followed by another large one, and expect stability. The tower will hesitate, teeter for a moment, and then collapse under the weight of imbalance.
Trading is no different. It’s physics, it’s art, it’s strategy. Your foundation—your portfolio—can only carry so much unless each decision is deliberate, consistent, aligned.
A misplaced pebble, much like a poorly timed trade, and you’re staring at the rubble of a once-promising stack, left with barely 8%—if you’re fortunate.
Similar-sized, flat pebbles stack because consistency breeds strength. The higher you go, the more thoughtful you must become. The rules of pebble stacking and trading are inseparable.
Now, let’s address that knot in your stomach.
How do you conquer it?
You embrace the crash.
You let the tower burn—not on its own terms, but on yours.
You take control.
Cut the trade, close it yourself.
It may seem like a minor act, but it’s not.
Holding on for hours, days, endlessly hoping, is how you wear yourself down, tumble-dry your psyche into exhaustion.
But here’s the alchemy of transformation: you choose the moment.
Pick the time, pick the place, and sever the cord.
Because waiting for the market to punish you, to bring your tower down, is surrender.
Hope is a subtle assassin, and hesitation will chain you to stagnation.
Don’t allow it.
Let the tower fall, let it crash.
That moment—the collapse—is not an end.
It’s a doorway.
It’s the reset button, the gateway to moving forward.
Guilt?
Leave it behind.
Regret?
That’s weight you can’t afford.
Be nimble, be decisive.
Don’t get swept away by the explosion; walk yourself out of that burning tower with precision and strength.
Scars are avoidable if you leave on your terms.
Every trade is a deliberate action, a piece of a larger construction.
Each choice builds your tower, step by step, click by click.
The market’s tide can shift in an instant, but you can decide whether you stand still, hesitating, or take action to preserve what you can.
So I’ll ask you:
What’s your count?
How many pebbles have you stacked?
How many missteps have you learned from?
Each toppled stack is not failure—it’s a masterclass in rebuilding, stronger and sharper.
Balance risk and reward, ambition and patience.
Understand that every pebble plays a role. Yes, at the bottom of the stack it's not a heavy burden... it's when you see growth... that's where things tend to get wobbly.
And next time you feel that knot in your stomach, remember this: you are the architect of your stack. You are the one who decides when to burn the tower and when to build it higher.
Don’t hesitate.
Act.
Thank you for tuning in to Crypto Aera's Mental Analysis Navigation.
Until next time: keep stacking, keep counting, and keep mastering.
PS: Split your stacks.
Over and Out,
Craft
YOU
The Hot Seat: Adapt or BurnSo, you've found yourself squarely in the hot seat.
Welcome to the Trading Trail, Dorothy—except this isn’t Kansas, and you’re lightyears from home.
This is new terrain, uncharted and merciless. In prior episodes, I barely skimmed over the dark side of trading—the facets of your psyche that stealthily pilot your decisions. Perhaps it left you sighing, unsure of where to begin. Let's change that today.
Consider this a no-frills exposé into the abyss—the countless unseen facets of your being that dictate your behavior on autopilot. As traders, many scream manipulation as markets sway violently against their carefully plotted plans. Yet, all the market truly does is wield a figurative hot pogo stick, jabbing precisely where your weak points lie—not maliciously, but with unerring precision.
Let’s be honest.
Western Hollywood scripts spoon-feed us formulaic redemption arcs. Fifteen minutes in, the hero lands their mission. Fifteen minutes before the credits roll, the final showdown begins.
Tomato, tomahto—it’s predictable fluff.
But real life doesn’t stick to screenplay rules. It’s jagged, it’s raw, and the narrative rarely ties up neatly. If you’re seeking depth, you won’t find it in blockbuster tropes—you’ll find it by doxxing your own dark side.
That’s right—exposing the facets of yourself you don’t even realize exist. It’s intense, it’s uncomfortable, but it’s transformative.
Here's a quick roll call of scenarios you might recognize:
- You close your trade prematurely due to impatience and wavering conviction.
- You've DCA'd your account into oblivion, clutching blind hope from a TA analysis you were too stubborn to question—aka Disney goggles.
- Revenge trading—you've been there, too. We all have.
Here’s the brutal truth: every “loss” is nothing more than the market holding up a mirror to your imbalances. Every poke, every jab, is a lesson about you.
Your job isn’t to whine about manipulation, but to analyze yourself. Figure out where you are falling short, because the longer you deny your flaws, the deeper that pogo stick sears into your psyche. Embrace the battlefield; don’t cower. The market is your adversary, yes—but it’s also your greatest teacher.
Now, the million-dollar question—where do you begin?
Start by delving into the layers of yourself.
Explore tools like the Myers-Briggs personality test—it’s one type of gateway to understanding your cognitive tendencies.
Answer impulsively, not meticulously, to ensure untainted results.
Once you unearth your MBTI type, dive deeper. YouTube has a treasure trove of creators offering insights, and here’s a quirky trick: pay attention to the memes that resonate with your dark humor—if it makes you laugh, it may hold clues to your personality type.
Go further. Unearth whether you align with alpha, beta, gamma, or sigma archetypes. And don’t cheat—being an alpha isn’t necessary for trading success. Honesty is paramount. The market will sniff out dishonesty like a bloodhound.
Are you a Heyoka empath? Research it thoroughly, as such individuals often absorb and act under external influences. Understanding this facet could shield your portfolio from emotional sway.
Perhaps astrology speaks to you.
If it does, approach it with sophistication—understanding your sun, moon, and ascendant sign is merely scratching the surface.
True mastery lies in uncovering the full depth of your natal chart through the myriad systems that exist.
Trading and astrology, though seemingly worlds apart, share a startling resemblance: both rely heavily on indicators, and both are prone to human inconsistency.
Ultimately, explore yourself as though you’re reconstructing a high-performance machine.
What happens when your rev limiter is in the red, the tires gripping the pavement at 144mph—do you fishtail with control or spin into oblivion?
That’s trading in its essence, but you’re motionless in a chair, adrenaline pumping, palms sweating.
The goal?
Serenity.
No matter whether you rake in gains or cut losses, your micro-expression remains unchanged—
neutral and poised. Not numb or robotic, but wholesome and unshakeable.
When you embrace this awareness, you transform. You shed skin like a serpent, emerging sharp, agile, and complete.
Suddenly, the market loses its fangs.
You dodge the pogo stick like a lethal machine, executing trades with finesse.
You stop being a victim, instead becoming a warrior.
The market ceases to intimidate, recognizing you as an equal contender.
There are countless tools to learn more about yourself. Skip the IQ tests—this isn’t about being book-smart.
Explore psychological tests, data intake styles, and sensory preferences.
What works for others may not work for you, and that’s okay. Clarity is the key.
And before you dive in each day, try the Human Benchmark website—a simple way to check your mental acuity.
If you’re off your game, sleep.
The trade can wait.
Finally, ponder the Dark Triad—a concept that brushes against psychopathy, narcissism, and Machiavellianism. It’s not just a speculative theory—it exists all around us.
Are you one?
Are you dealing with one?
Knowing yourself will sharpen your moral compass and guide your decisions in the battlefield.
Trading isn’t just a skill.
It’s an intimate confrontation with your entire self—the good, the bad, and the shadowy. And like any great narrative, the real depth doesn’t come from shortcuts—it comes from the untamed, unvarnished truth.
Craft
USDCHF Short at 0.89099 w Technical analyis;Fundamental,..Trade Idea: Short USD/CHF
Entry: 0.89118
Stop Loss: 0.89293
Take Profit: 0.88528
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 3.25:1
Risk per Trade: 1,8%
Analysis: OANDA:USDCHF
• Technical Setup: Price is rejecting the MR50 and pivot point, showing bearish signals.
Long wicks suggest a potential reversal.
• Indicators: Williams %R shows overbought conditions, supporting the short setup.
• Timeframe: Entering on the 50-minute chart after confirmation of price rejection or
lower highs.
Fundamentals:
• Swiss CPI: 0.6% (actual) vs 0.5% (forecast) indicates a stronger Swiss Franc,
supporting the short trade on USD/CHF.
• COT Data: Positions are bearish on USD and bullish on CHF, aligning with the setup.
Market Sentiment:
• DXY: A bearish USD supports the downside in USD/CHF.
• Overall Sentiment: Bearish sentiment towards USD in March suggests continued
weakness for USD/CHF.
Risk Management:
• Stop Loss at 0.89313 and take profit at 0.88528, offering a 2.97:1 risk-to-reward
ratio.
This is a high-probability short setup with solid technical, fundamental, and sentiment alignment. Always use proper risk management. (70-75% Probability of Winning this Trade)
FTM Full Analysis For Long-TermHey Guys… How are you today? 👋👋
It's a new day and I want to talk about FTM (Fantom)…
✔️ Before that, I want to remember It's not financial advice.
✔️ I'm just sharing my view and opinion of the chart. Please see and think about that. The situation is so complicated.
It's my duty to tell you something honestly.
But, first, I ask you to Like my analysis, follow me, and Share this analysis with your friends.
It will give me more positive energy to publish more analysis.
So, thank you for your support.
Let's go into details.
As you see, we have Three Main support zones. The first one is around 10-11 Cent, the second is between 5-6 Cent and the last one is around 3.5-4.2 Cent.
Buying on Shadow will be very exciting. So, I will put my order on 4 Cent.
I'm sure the first support will be lost soon. If you check this asset's chart in the weekly frame, you see a Head and shoulder pattern that the neckline is breaking.
So, we have to focus on this support and it's very important to us to money management.
By the way, there is good news for FTM, if you can buy FTM at the lowest level, this asset will give you a huge profit of more than 50,000% at the end of the Last Bull Market.
If you need to analyze in another time frame, for example, 4H or 1H, please send me a message
It takes about 4-5 Years. I think you should know the worth of this asset and this huge profit … can you imagine this profit? 🙈 🙈
I want to buy and hold FTM on 3rd support zone and my final target to sell is around 20 USD.
I'm sure you are confused right now. But it's ok and there is no problem. Time proves everything.
If you have any questions, or if you need to know more details please don't hesitate to contact me.
🙏🙏 Please don’t forget to like 👍, follow ✌️, and share 👌 this analysis with your friends. Also write your comments below, Do you agree with me? do you think we are still on a downtrend? and what is the last target of this downtrend?
Thank you so much for your attention and participation 🙏🙏
Wish you the best 🧞♀️
Sincerely Yours
Ho3ein.mnD
YOU : POSITION TRADEClear Secure: Talk About A Bullish Economic Moat
• Clear Secure is capturing strong demand for its identity verification platform as a service to save time at security checkpoints.
• Partnerships with airports, airlines and even the Transportation Security Administration highlight competitive advantages to drive growth.
• An outlook for accelerating earnings can send the stock higher.
• Looking for a helping hand in the market? Members of Conviction Dossier get exclusive ideas and guidance to navigate any climate.
Clear Secure, Inc. (NYSE:YOU) offers a secure identity verification platform. If you've recently traveled through one of 46 major airports, you'll likely have seen the "Clear" checkpoints as a separate lane in the security process. Clear Pass focuses on the ID verification side of the airport screening process. The other step is the actual security area where travelers and carry-on luggage are checked for contraband.
With the company's history going back more than a decade, the game changer now is a belief that the operation has finally reached a critical mass with enough locations where the service can make sense to a wide range of travelers. This concept is related to the network effect where the value of the service grows as its user base expands.
Furthermore, the platform is being utilized in other applications where security screening is a requirement and there is room to capture efficiencies in the process. Members of Clear Plus also have the option to use the features at entertainment venues and stadiums where a security line often forms.
Clear also offers a Health Pass which gained prominence during the pandemic with validation of COVID testing results and digitization of vaccine status that many types of business in certain areas embrace. Notably, this feature now integrates with Apple Inc.'s (AAPL) "Health App".
YOU Key Metrics
YOU released its Q3 earnings in mid-November with EPS of $0.05, which beat estimates by $0.05 as consensus was looking for a flat result. Revenue of $116 million climbed by 72% year-over-year, with the strength largely driven by the recovery of the airline industry compared to pandemic disruptions at the start of 2021. Management notes success with in-airport and various partner channels driving memberships captured in a climbing number of bookings along with retention of customers.
On the financial side, keep in mind that there was a GAAP loss of -$65.6 million although this mostly reflected share-based compensation and the timing of the vesting from previously issued warrants. More favorably, the underlying shift towards profitability is evidenced by the adjusted EBITDA measure which reached $11.9 million compared to negative -$14.5 million in the period last year. The company also reported a positive free cash flow of $5.3 million.
The expectation is that earnings will maintain this more positive momentum going forward. For Q4, management is guiding for revenue of around $124 million, implying a growth rate of 54% compared to Q4 2021, and up 7% on a quarter-over-quarter basis.
Finally, we can mention Clear Secure maintains a solid balance sheet, ending the quarter with $700 million in cash and cash equivalents against effectively zero long-term financial debt. The position is strong enough that the Board of Directors declared a special $0.25 dividend which was paid in December.
Are There Risks?
The key for the company will be to maintain the pace of signups for new members while finding success in international markets. Longer-term, Clear Secure will need to become the global standard for secure identity verification not just in travel, but also leisure, and other industries with a visible presence in more and more countries as part of the bullish case.
The other side to the discussion would be the risk that growth simply begins to disappoint while the expected earnings fail to materialize. One concern is that the company may have already captured the "low-hanging fruit" of hard-core heavy business travelers where the Clear Pass makes the most sense, at least from the U.S. market. By this measure, doubling the number of cumulative platform users from here will be more difficult.
There is also an argument that if "everyone" is using Clear/TSA PreCheck, it begins to defeat the purpose of a priority security lane membership. It's not there yet but could become a problem at certain airports if the platform is too successful. Going further, a skeptic would also point to the regulatory risks where the service no longer becomes viable based on changing laws in the future or even in a scenario of a headline-making failure in the system that would undermine confidence in the company's security protocol.
Read more on :
seekingalpha.com
Dan Victor, CFA, Seeking Alpha, Jan. 05, 2023 3:19 PM ET
Last Trade of the night Easy 1 gigatrillion pipshonestly i saw this coming, all trades green today as i predicted the bullish news for the dollar. The lower inflation news wasnt that sexy, but market rode off the hype and it always has to correct itself.
so ya boy came through wit the fattest short on all x/usd pairs today and made le bank.
I've linked the two other trades i made today - both profit which you coulda ate had you of seen them.
AUDUSD: BEARISH DESCENDING TRIANGLE 🔻AUDUSD: BEARISH DESCENDING TRIANGLE 🔻
BIAS: BEARISH 🔻
TECHNICAL PROJECTION: BEARISH
On the H4, we have a bearish bias that price will retest "B" & "D" area and to continue further bearish to 0.6665 target to complete its "e wave" from the bearish descending triangle pattern.
FUNDAMENTAL PROJECTION: BEARISH
DXY STRENGTH: Market could be pricing further 75bps hike tightening to come & balance sheet reduction to continue at $60b & $35mbs over the three month timeframe.
As price is currently retracing, look for a retest of 0.6800 before a move lower could be possible.
Chainlink RangesHi,
I've drawn up some ranges in Chainlink... This badboy has been trending very well in these bearish times.
My strategy with this one would be to trade the ranges, especially Longing the Pullbacks, and entering at the bottom of the support lines.
But generally it seems like the crypto coins are really fluctuating up and down in ranges in quite short intervals in these bearish times - and that means there are a lot of opportunities to make some quick gains, long ,short, long.. etc.
Just be careful, and remember your stops. Move the stop loss closer to break even as you get into profit, and take profit when the price seems to weaken again, unless you're more confident..
Check with the BTC-price.. If BTC breaks down, or up, you can be pretty sure the others will follow.
Sorry, I still havent really improved my Tradingview ideas since last time, but I have hopes that I will come back stronger soon.. hehe.
Good luck and God bless! :)
BITCOIN SOON TILL MOONHello budies,unlike other markets predictability and so called bitcoin relation to s&p 500 or others i belive bitcoin is not technically and specially on low tf s predictable but fundamentally.the large market cap of btc almost creates limitations for manipulation of whales but exchanges smart platforms are designed so perfectly that can benefit most of traders s/l ,liquids and so on.the reason that pesuades me to belive that most TA are not reliable is that cryptocurency traders mostly are observing the same price movements on their screens and mostly share the same knowledge of TA.a good strategy considering all probalality and avoiding emotional trading leads owners to have a good plan and benefit most of price movements.
GBPUSD BUY :)My fourth idea here, for now 3 profitable positions in a row. I think GBPUSD is cheap and my reasons are RSI divergences on different timeframes and stochastic oversold and stochastic divergences so many signs to go buy. Tomorrow CPI data report from UK and I play for this scenario, good data and fast reverse to bullish trend. Even if data will be bad and price won't drop much below 1.30000 it will still be bullish sign for ME. Good luck everyone and be smart! :)
US30 SHORT IDEAHello it's my third idea which I am posting here, last 2 ideas were good bet so maybe I am not that bad. :D
Entry: now (34700) or wait till 35000 price level
Take Profit:
#1 34000
#2 33500
#3 32750
Reasons:
- overbought at H1, H4, W1 timeframes
- RSI bearish divergences at M15, H4, D1, W1 timeframes
- near supply level
- possible retest 200SMA at D1 chart
Yeah price can go up a little bit before this bearish move but it shouldnt go above 35500-35870 so maybe set your stop loss somewhere between.
Good luck :)
we selling us100the triple top as started to show in us100cash we are showing a channel that showing a berish trend
long $YOUWeekly candle looks like it's hitting an important level of support. I'm expecting a turnaround.
Potential area's of resistance that will hopefully turn to support are:
50-day MA @ $43.37
.236 Fib @ $44.03
VWAP from ATH @ $46.11
I could easily see it back at $44 in the next two weeks. Maybe even by the end of the week.
With global travel expected to be fully back by 2022, Clear Secure ( YOU ) is a solid 6 month to 1 year hold depending on how things shake out in 2022.
GBPUSD📈Support level ⚡GBP / USD four-hour chart. The currency pair continues to hold below the four-hour supertrend line and remains under pressure. The price tested the level of 1.3611, but we did not see a strong reaction to this level. Today we are waiting for the continuation of the downward movement towards the level of 1.3550.
Trading solutions: sell 1.3685 take profit 1.3550
Have a nice trade!
EQZ | Flash Loans | Green DildØI'd say, wait n profit.
With some token release yesterday, now we're back to business.
Not a financial advice.