Get started

Youcantrade

Forex Trading Key FactorsImportant factors that if well approached, will ensure your long term success. Forex trading is a popular form of investing that involves buying and selling currencies in the foreign exchange market. As with any form of trading, success in forex trading requires a deep understanding of the market and the key factors that impact profitability. In this blog post, we'll discuss some of the most important factors that traders need to keep in mind when trading forex. Liquidity: The Lifeblood of Forex Trading Liquidity refers to the ease with which a trader can buy or sell an asset without affecting its price. In forex trading, liquidity is crucial because it ensures that traders can enter and exit positions quickly and at a fair price. Traders should look for currency pairs that have high trading volumes and low bid-ask spreads to ensure they have access to liquid markets. Void Gaps: Managing Risk and Protecting Profits Void gaps occur when there is a sudden and significant change in the price of a currency pair due to unexpected news or events. These gaps can be dangerous for traders because they can cause losses or missed opportunities. To avoid void gaps, traders should use stop-loss orders and other risk management strategies to protect their positions and profits. Mindset: Discipline and Focus are Key Forex trading requires a disciplined and focused mindset. Traders must be able to control their emotions, avoid impulsive decisions, and stick to their trading plan. Common psychological traps that traders should be aware of include fear, greed, and overconfidence. By developing a disciplined and focused approach to trading, traders can improve their chances of success. Selecting the Right Trading Sessions: Timing is Everything Forex markets are open 24 hours a day, five days a week. However, not all trading sessions are created equal. Traders should select the sessions that align with their trading style and goals. For example, traders who prefer short-term trading strategies may find the London and New York sessions to be the most active and volatile, while those who prefer longer-term strategies may focus on the Asian session. Patience: The Virtue of Successful Traders Patience is a virtue in forex trading. Traders should avoid the temptation to jump into trades too quickly or exit them too soon. Impatience can lead to costly mistakes, such as entering trades that don't meet the trader's criteria or closing profitable positions too early. By exercising patience and waiting for the right opportunities, traders can improve their chances of success. Execution: Putting Theory into Practice Executing trades properly is essential for success in forex trading. Traders should use stop-loss orders, position sizing, and risk management strategies to protect their capital and maximize their profits. They should also be aware of the potential impact of slippage, which occurs when the price at which a trade is executed differs from
Education
by Hartiva
FDX - Hovering near key area of support/resistanceFedEx NYSE:FDX is hovering near a resistance area which it had previously broke prior to the start of the new year. However, in recent weeks, FDX has since fallen below that key level and appears to be retesting it. Just a few days ago, it tested the $255 area but failed to break through it. It appears that FedEx is trying to push past this area again. We will keep our eyes on it as time progresses. Fed EX is currently trading 16% below it's recent highs. REMEMBER: Reference to specific securities should not be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell or hold that security. Specific securities are mentioned for educational and informational purposes only. YouCanTrade is an online media publication service which provides investment educational content, ideas and demonstrations, and does not provide investment or trading advice, research or recommendations.
NYSE:FDXLong
by UnknownUnicorn6775423
CSCO - Unusual option activity10,467 CSCO 47 strike calls expiring Feb 19th 2021 were traded at 0.89 in a single print above open interest of 1,141. Since we don't have visibility to what the bid or ask price was when these calls were traded, we have to look at this from different perspectives. 1.) Call Buying - This could be interpreted as call buying since one could argue that CSCO is trying to fill the gap from back on 8/13/2020. Note that the horizontal line representing the 47 strike calls is near the lows on 8/12/2020 just before it gapped down the next day. 2.) Covered Calls - These calls could also be covered calls. CSCO has had a good run from November through present day. Perhaps these are sold calls to hedge against a correction in the stock price. Let's follow the stock and this option's pricing see what happens. REMEMBER: Reference to specific securities should not be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell or hold that security. Specific securities are mentioned for educational and informational purposes only. YouCanTrade is an online media publication service which provides investment educational content, ideas and demonstrations, and does not provide investment or trading advice, research or recommendations.
NASDAQ:CSCO
by UnknownUnicorn6775423
DHR - Which way is it going?Danaher corporation NYSE:DHR is looking like it wants to break out but it has been caught between the 8 and 21 EMA for about 5 days. We know that price does not stay in a consolidated area forever, but can take its sweet time before it decides to move. Currently, the price for DHR is $225 per share, which is between the upper and lower Bollinger bands. The upper Bollinger band is near $233 while the lower Bollinger band is near $217. The question remains...which way will it go? Backing out to a weekly timeframe, DHR has been in an uptrend and is pulling back to the 8 EMA on the weekly chart. It has seen good support from pullbacks to this area in the past...however as always, past performance does not indicate future results. We simply use the past to get an idea of what could happen and where to set our stops in case it doesn't play out as expected. So based on the weekly chart, we are seeing a strong uptrend showing a pullback, and on the daily chart pictured above, we see that price is consolidating to break out. My guess is that the stock will try to push higher and will try to break above the upper Bollinger band as we head towards the New Year. REMEMBER: Reference to specific securities should not be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell or hold that security. Specific securities are mentioned for educational and informational purposes only. YouCanTrade is an online media publication service which provides investment educational content, ideas and demonstrations, and does not provide investment or trading advice, research or recommendations.
NYSE:DHRLong
by UnknownUnicorn6775423
TMO - Bullish Price ActionTMO has broken through the 8, 13, and 21 daily exponential moving averages in the past few trading sessions. As a leader in laboratory diagnostics and life science sales distribution, it would seem reasonable that the stock may try to push higher as the coronavirus cases continue to grow. Now that the stock has pushed passed the 21 day EMA, there are no foreseeable areas of resistance for the stock and could make its way back up to recent highs nearing $530 per share. I would anticipate a slight pullback towards the 21 day EMA as stock rarely blast higher without some consolidation, but I would say that I am overall bullish on this stock until we reach previous highs. REMEMBER: Reference to specific securities should not be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell or hold that security. Specific securities are mentioned for educational and informational purposes only. YouCanTrade is an online media publication service which provides investment educational content, ideas and demonstrations, and does not provide investment or trading advice, research or recommendations.
NYSE:TMOLong
by UnknownUnicorn6775423
POOL - Pool Corporation Bullish PivotPool Corp is giving off a bullish pivot signal today as it closed within the Keltner Channel bands. As price action crosses into the Keltner Channel, we'll watch to see if it continues moving across. In this case, the lower Keltner channel was crossed and therefore, could indicate some bullish days ahead. There will be some resistance ahead as POOL will need to plow through the 13 and 21 day EMAs. Let's see what happens. REMEMBER: Reference to specific securities should not be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell or hold that security. Specific securities are mentioned for educational and informational purposes only. YouCanTrade is an online media publication service which provides investment educational content, ideas and demonstrations, and does not provide investment or trading advice, research or recommendations.
NASDAQ:POOLLong
by UnknownUnicorn6775423
Disney - Straddles going into Earnings? Hey Traders! Disney is reporting earnings today after market close. There really isn't much technical analysis can do to determine what outcome the report will have on the stock price. But I will say this... Disney's stock showed decent price appreciation in the last two and a half weeks going from lows of $117.23 per share to highs of $147.68 per share. Although Disney is off it's highs, the current trading price of Disney's stock is $135, which is still above its 8 day exponential moving average. Whether Disney meets, beats, or misses analysts estimates for this quarter's EPS and Revenue, the option prices are a big move for Disney. A look at the "At The Money" straddles (at the 135 Strike, expiring tomorrow) show they are trading for nearly $600 . Which means Disney would need to move up or down by $6.00 per share just to break even. Right? But wait... Keep in mind that option prices are also made up of premium.. which consists of time value and implied volatility. Implied Volatility is considered a measurement of the perceived risk for an individual option contract. That risk is then priced into that option as a premium. Usually, implied volatility is at its highest before anticipated earnings reports or company news announcements. The day after the news is made public, implied volatility usually drops, which can drastically lower options prices. In reality, you would need more than a $6.00 per share move in Disney stock considering. I say this because there is nothing more frustrating than seeing you were right on the expected move, but lost money on the option because you forgot to consider the effects of implied volatility. Now, grab your favorite drink, sit back and watch Disney's stock after the bell as they are expected to report 5 minutes after market close. REMEMBER: Reference to specific securities should not be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell or hold that security. Specific securities are mentioned for educational and informational purposes only. YouCanTrade is an online media publication service which provides investment educational content, ideas and demonstrations, and does not provide investment or trading advice, research or recommendations.
NYSE:DIS
by UnknownUnicorn6775423
UNH - United Healthcare Overpriced?United Healthcare is trading between the upper Bollinger bands and upper Keltner channel bands and it couldn't be at a better time. The topic of the affordable care act is now making headlines as Republican-led states and the Trump administration voice their case to the Supreme Courts today, claiming that the Affordable Care Act Mandate is unconstitutional. While the outcome of this case is still pending and may not have an impact on the stock, United Healthcare has been known to react whenever there is a potential change in how Americans receive healthcare. Today, President elect Joe Biden made a speech in favor of keeping and protecting the affordable care act. Let's see if any of these recent events surrounding the affordable care act have an effect on United Healthcare's stock over the next few days. Just looking at the charts, my opinion is that the stock is overpriced. The stock is trading higher relative to the exponential moving average on the chart. So, any news related to the Affordable Care Act supreme court case could encourage a sell off. REMEMBER: Reference to specific securities should not be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell or hold that security. Specific securities are mentioned for educational and informational purposes only. YouCanTrade is an online media publication service which provides investment educational content, ideas and demonstrations, and does not provide investment or trading advice, research or recommendations.
NYSE:UNHShort
by UnknownUnicorn6775423
SPY - Bearish VibesHey Traders, I usually don't like going against the grain... especially when the SPY has gained nearly 30 points this week alone. But my trader's intuition is telling me that it's moving too fast and I am starting to get bearish vibes. Taking a look the chart above, you can see that as of today, the SPY has moved across the Keltner Channelin a matter of 4 trading days. Looking at the past three times the SPY crossed across the Keltner Channel, it took an average of about 14 trading days, or roughly 3 weeks. Based on where SPY is trading today, my opinion is that SPY will attempt to break out above its recent resistance level of 354.00... but I don't think it will. SPY has over extended past its moving averages by so much that I think it will regress towards the 8 EMA. The stock market is pumped due to the election...but once the count is over... I think the bulls will be taking profits and selling the news. Again, this is just my intuition and I could be wrong, but I am going to stick to my guns and flag this idea with a Short bias.
AMEX:SPYShort
by UnknownUnicorn6775423
Apple - Bullish Trade before earnings?Two indicators that I use show AAPL is giving off bullish signals just before they report earnings today. Let's sit back and see what happens as they are expected to report earnings today at 4:00PM ET. Stochastics are showing Oversold and have begun crossing over, which is a bullish indication that price could be shifting directions. Secondly, my studies show that we have a pivot point which means that price has crossed above the lower Keltner channel after having been between the lower keltner and Bollinger Bands. Let's see how Apple's stock opens up tomorrow.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by UnknownUnicorn6775423
1
Salesforce.com - Potential Bullish PivotHey Traders! Salesforce.com NYSE:CRM has been on my radar today and according to my studies... CRM is giving off a strong bullish signal according to where the price is relative to the Bollinger bands and Keltner channel. I drew a few dots on the chart above to highlight the areas of interest so you can see what I look at. The Cyan dot is just to locate the price when it is between the lower Bollinger bands and Keltner channel, this is the area where I start paying attention for a bullish trade setup. The Magenta dots are for when the price is between the upper Bollinger bands and Keltner Channel bands and is when I start looking for a bearish trade setup. I use the white dot as an entry signal as price has come back within the Keltner channel. White dots following the cyan dots are bullish entry signals, whereas white dots following magenta dots are bearish entry signals. The entry signals are what I consider to be pivot points where the stock may begin to change direction. However, this strategy does generate false positive signals from time to time. As an attempt to avoid false entry signals, I take into account the trend of the stock. The stock has been trending upward the last 90 days with a net change of +33% (based on closing price 06/19/2020). Therefore, based on the indicators and trend, my assumption is that CRM could move higher. Ideally, I would like to see CRM reach $260 per share within the next 14 trading days... but who knows what could happen. Keep in mind: The days surrounding the outcome of the U.S. election, market fluctuations, and unexpected news events can send CRM in an unfavorable direction. This idea is not a call to action, nor should it be considered investment or trading advice. The ideas expressed on our TradingView page are for educational and entertainment purposes only. Leave us a comment below! - Are you bullish or bearish on Salesforce.com?
NYSE:CRMLong
by UnknownUnicorn6775423
Netflix is nearing a pivot pointHey traders, so Netflix NASDAQ:NFLX has been dropping the last 6 sessions and has fallen into one of my favorite areas for catching a pivot trade. Basically, the strategy here is to wait for Netflix to pop above the lower Keltner channel after being in between the lower Keltner and Bollinger bands before taking any long trades. Price still could move towards the lower Bollinger Band, so we need to be patient and not rush into a bullish trade, unless you are ok with having some drawdown, which I am not. I trade options, so I try to wait as long as possible before the pivot happens because theta decay eats up the long call position if I get in too early. If you are buying the stock, the passing of time will not hurt your stock position. On my trading platform, I wrote an indicator that automatically plots cyan dots whenever price is between the lower Bollinger Bands and Keltner channel, and then it plots a white dot once price crosses above the lower Keltner channel. I manually drew an example of what that looks like on the chart above. So now that you know what I am waiting for, I'll tell you a couple of things about this strategy. Sometimes, the move I am waiting for ends up happening in between sessions. For example, if tomorrow NFLX gaps up and opens near the upper Keltner Channel, I wouldn't take the trade because the move I was hoping to capture with the long call already happened. I am looking to ride the long call as the stock steadily moves itself across the Keltner channel until it reaches the upper Keltner or Bollinger band. Another thing that could happen, is price could fall past the lower Bollinger band. If that happens, it invalidates the trade (at least for me it does) and I would wait for the price to come back between the lower Bollinger band and Keltner channel so that I'll be ready to try again it crosses above the lower Keltner channel at that time. Note for Options Traders: I usually try to buy calls with this setup, but I almost always experience a period of sideways movement which end up hurting the long call. To avoid the negative effects of theta decay, you can substitute the long call with a put credit spread since put credit spreads benefit from theta decay making them cheaper to buy back.
NASDAQ:NFLXLong
by UnknownUnicorn6775423
2
Biogen - Pivot Point - Beware EarningsHey traders, I was searching for potential pivot points for long call opportunities and I came across Biogen NASDAQ:BIIB and thought to myself "Hey! This looks good!"... that is until I saw they're expected to report earnings tomorrow. But otherwise, take a look at the chart above. One thing you will see...is that its been trading within a range. I highlighted this range on the chart using the labels Support and Resistance. The other thing to notice is where the stock price is relative to the Bollinger Bands. If earnings wasn't tomorrow, I would be more inclined to purchase a call here because the stock price is holding at the lower BollingerBand at 2 standard deviations. Stock price has a tendency to move back towards the 8 EMA on the daily chart above, so if we are playing the odds, this trade would be in favor to the upside. But this trade is invalidated since we have a major news event happening tomorrow. So... let's see what happens. In my experience, if a stock breaches the lower Bollinger Band after an earnings report, it's no longer a valid long call trade. In the past, I have made the mistake in thinking with 2 standard deviations... I have a 95% chance that price will fall back within the BollingerBands within the lifespan of the trade. But often what ends up happening is the stock price moves in a "L shaped" pattern where the vertical end of the "L" is the drop after the major news event and the horizontal side of the "L" is the sideways price action the stock experiences for days ( sometimes weeks ) following the news event. In this situation, the stock usually comes back within the 2 standard deviation range... but not until Theta decay has eaten up your call option's premium. So even if you eventually get the direction right, time will not be kind to your long call position. This is where applying the Put Credit Spread strategy comes in handy. With Put Credit Spreads, you are an option seller, rather than an option buyer. Time will erode the premiums of the spread making it cheaper to buy back later. What's even better, is if the stock moves up... then the Delta will negatively affect the puts making them cheaper to buy back. Anyways, let's follow Biogen tomorrow and see if they beat or miss earnings and how the stock price reacts to the news. If it heads lower, we'll follow up in next weeks idea regarding the put credit spread setup.
NASDAQ:BIIB
by UnknownUnicorn6775423
CVX breaks 13 Day EMA and heads for the 21 Day EMAMuch like most stocks, Chevron NYSE:CVX didn't have a good month of September this year, but it looks like things might be turning around. Looking at the daily chart above, CVX, as been trying to break past the 8 EMA average throughout the last month but found little success until yesterday. Today the price broke through the 13 day EMA. As the stock heads towards the 21 day EMA, one of two things can happen. It can pull up to it and continue down or it breaks past the 21 day EMA and continues going up. Rather than trade directionally, option traders should consider selling put credit spreads. Although this way cap the upside, it also limits your downside .
NYSE:CVXLong
by UnknownUnicorn6775423
Home Depot - Potential for break outHome Depot is currently trading near its 21 day EMA. Bulls will need Home Depot will to push through the 21 day EMA resistance level to take the stock up to its recent high. Although we see a double bottom, which is known to be a bullish reversal pattern, please be aware that this chart can also be interpreted as seeing a simple price consolidation pattern, such as a wedge or triangle pattern. We will be monitoring Home Depot this week to see if it breaks above the 21 EMA.
NYSE:HDLong
by UnknownUnicorn6775423
1
TSLA - UP or DOWN?If there's one stock I had to name for being the most unpredictable, it's TESLA ( NASDAQ:TSLA ). This rather volatile stock is expected to have some pretty big moves going into market close today as the company will be holding their annual shareholder meeting at 4:30 p.m. ET. ...But wait...there's more! Once the meeting is over, the company will immediately follow up with their highly anticipated Battery Day event, which will be used to show those in attendance what's new with TSLA batteries and what improvements could be coming to make their batteries more energy efficient. So what does this mean for the stock? Well, for one, TSLA is a volatile stock, so major events like these... only increase implied volatility since everyone is expecting a big move either up or down. Second, The stock is trading dead smack in the middle between its recent highs and lows... the lows being most recent of the two. So, taking advantage of volatility is the way to go. Options traders can benefit from inflated options prices due to higher implied volatility by being option sellers. Strategies like Short Iron Condors, feature both, a capped risk and reward profile. Setting your strike selections near the recent highs and lows could be one way to trade TSLA... but the problem is that the inner strike are so wide making the risk to reward ratio very high. You can also sell credit spreads. To trade directionally, means to either go long calls or puts... Since Volatility is high, these strategies tend to be more expensive near major announcements. If you nail it, good for you. If you dont, then know that you can't lose more than what you paid for. If you still want to trade directionally, but want to minimize the risk, you can do debit spreads. This involves buying an option which will serve as your directional trade, and then selling that same type of option a few strikes further away to bring in some credit. This option might be good if you think that implied volatility will only increase after the announcement. Usually, the day following a major events, as with earnings announcements, options have been known to experience "volatility crush," in which the implied volatility drops after the news announcement. A drop in implied volatility can affect an option's price even more so than the movement of the underlying stock price. Therefore, directional neutral trades such a long straddles, will need to have a large move in the underlying in either direction to outpace the potential drops in implied volatility the next day. Which strategy will you choose? Remember...choosing not to trade can also be a wise trading strategy.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by UnknownUnicorn6775423
2
CLX crosses below 100 day EMAClorox NYSE:CLX has really been selling off this month. The stock has dipped below its 100 day exponential moving average more than twice recently. I am going to see if CLX break below the 200 EMA. If so, then the key levels to watch might be that bearish turning point line, which was drawn using previous support levels. Seeing this chart makes me wonder...Is the Coronovirus trade over? As the economy slowly starts to re-open, and talk about the Coronavirus fades into "yesterday's news," can we expect to see a selloff in other stocks that may have benefited from the pandemic? I certainly think so. As the month of November nears, you can expect to hear less about the Coronavirus and more about the upcoming U.S. Presidential election. Hang on to your shorts folks ... its about to get interesting.
NYSE:CLXShort
by UnknownUnicorn6775423
Target - Pullback tradeThe markets have been selling off over the past few days, leaving most of the sectors in the S&P 500 in the red. A stock that caught my eye today was Target. The discount store's stock prices have been trading near it's 21 day exponential moving average only dipping beneath it temporarily throughout intraday trading sessions. Despite the warning signs of what could be another big sell off, I choose to remain bullish on TGT and consider this to be a pullback trade setup. Of course, we might see price dip below the 21 as it has in the past...but that doesn't seem to be more than a day or two. If it does... then consider the possibility that Target is reversing rather than pulling back. Options speculators should consider the chance of a broad market selloff and at think about using spreads rather than directional plays. If you are trading the stock, plan your trade and trade your plan. Only you know what you can afford.
NYSE:TGTLong
by UnknownUnicorn6775423
Home Depot pulls back to the 13 EMAHome Depot ( NYSE:HD ) is pulling back along with the Dow today and is finding support at the 13 Day EMA as shown on the chart above. Could this be a pullback trade? I would like to think so, but as the SPY soars to new highs, we continue to be in an overextended market. I think Home Depot has the potential to continue higher provided that the SPY or DOW doesn't sell off. Even though SPY is made up of many other companies that have nothing to do with Home Depot, there is still market risk (also known as beta risk, systematic risk, undiversifiable risk) which is the risk that the stock will move along with the broader market. I will continue to monitor Home Depot to see if today's idea was a bullish pullback trade.
NYSE:HDLong
by UnknownUnicorn6775423
5
Applied Materials - Bullish pullback trade ?Applied Materials ( NASDAQ:AMAT ) has an interesting chart in that it tends to pull back below the 21 EMA on the daily chart. I tried to identify a clear area of support for each pullback, but it seems arbitrary. You can see the Keltner Channel falls just short of where the stock reverses the second time and the most recent pullback is actually pulling back to the 34 EMA which I initially did not want to put on my chart to avoid too many lines... but I figured, seeing is believing, so I put a big fat orange line to add to the chart. AMAT is an upward trending stock and has decent volume...approx 5 million shares traded today...I sorted the S&P 500 constituents by volume and AMAT was #19 in volume (#1 being highest volume which was GE). I did see other stocks that were pulling back as well, but something about their charts didn't convince me. OK prediction time... so based on what I see on the charts I think we might see AMAT find support at $62.65 ... from there I think its going to ride back up. It is oversold based on the 60 min time frame, but not quite there on the daily time frame... so keep an eye on it tomorrow. If it comes down to $62.65 or to the lower Keltner channel band I wouldn't be surprised... but be wary if it breaks below that. Those considering to go long now, might be a little early...or could be lucky and end up hitting it right on the nose because it doesn't tend to stray too far below the 21 EMA and today's red candle was a decent size.
NASDAQ:AMATLong
by UnknownUnicorn6775423