Clorox (CLX) - Catching the PivotAs mentioned before, Clorox ( NYSE:CLX ) has been one of those steadily rising stocks that appear to be benefiting from the Coronavirus. Logically, it makes sense that a company like Clorox would do well during a time where sanitation is of the utmost importance. It's not surprising to see that CLX is on the rise, however, even rising stocks need to take a breather once in a while, catch their breath, and then continue on their path. Usually, I use the 8, 13, and 21 EMAs to locate potential pullback trades, however, this particular stock seems to gravitate more accurately to the lower Keltner band before pivoting upwards. I have marked other pivot points with white arrows that confirm CLX has bounced in the past in relation to the lower keltner channel band. As always past performance does not indicate future results.
I reduced the opacity on my EMAs so you can see the Keltner channel lines more clearly, putting less strain on the eyes. Nothing like a chart full of lines to put your mind into analysis paralysis. My guess here is CLX might find support as it has done in the past at the lower Keltner channel and continue moving upward with its current trend. Therefore, I will flag this idea as bullish and see what happens.
Youcantrade
Bad Apple - AAPLAccording to the news, Apple ( NASDAQ:AAPL ) shares sold off today as well as other tech stocks and supposedly dragged the S&P 500 down with them. As crazy as that sounds, I have come to accept that the markets are, as always, unpredictable. Banks stocks on the other hand were in the Green. Let's follow AAPL and see if the SPY continues to follow AAPL further down the rabbit hole. I would be interested to see if we pullback to the 21 EMA or if it blows past it. I am leaning long only because I think SPY wants to retest the all time high of 339.08, and more than likely, that will require all of the heavy hitters, APPL included to pull higher to get there.
Starbucks (SBUX) - Hangs Around 21 EMAAs you all know, I regularly post pullback trade ideas as stocks pullback to their 21 day EMA. Today, I am looking at Starbucks NASDAQ:SBUX . What's different about this pullback is that Starbucks usually doesnt hang out at the 21 for more than a day or two. However, its been 4 days... so I wonder if the powers that be are on to us! ... just kidding. But in all seriousness, I like this chart. I think that it really shows that support at the 21 EMA is being tested hard and should SBUX close the day out above the 21 EMA or even the 8 EMA on the daily chart (putting it in the Green), then I think next week we could see SBUX go even higher.
Tesla- Waiting for a pullbackTSLA soared to all time highs this week... and though it would be fun to jump in on the action, it just feels like Iwould be entering no man's land to be bullish on TSLA at such a high price. I am going to be watching for a pull back somewhere between the 13 and 21 EMA over the next 7 to 10 days. What goes up, usually comes down. This is one that I will be waiting for in the days to come.
SPY - Is support beneath the 21 Day EMA?What a wild ride its been for the markets! I am definitely having a beer after this week is over... but before we kick off the weekend, we have to take a look at the SPY.
As you all know, I like to look for trade setups when trending stocks pull back to their 21 daily exponential moving average. Today is no exception. SPY has been trending higher over the last 3 months and with the help of the last two days, the SPY has pulled back near it's 21 day moving average.
However, I am not entirely sure that this is a pull back opportunity that I would trade just yet. There is a previous resistance level resting just below the 21 day EMA, near 295. So, SPY could keep moving lower. Also, today is Friday, so taking and holding positions in SPY (or in anything for that matter) over the weekend is a bit risky given the current environment. Consider that next week could easily gap up or down in either direction by a few hundred points.
I would like to see what happens on Monday first. Have a great weekend everybody!
Raytheon (RTX) - Pull back or breakout?Here at YouCanTrade, we have been keeping watchful eye on defensive stock Raytheon NYSE:RTX , which has been trading below its 8 day EMA over the past 2 weeks of trading. The last two days of positive market activity has helped Raytheon pullback to its 21-day moving average, which could be a signal for taking a position in the direction of the downward trend. However, the option volume tells a slightly different story. The current call volume for RTX is 14,500 calls, largely outweighing the 5000 puts traded today. That is nearly 3 times as much volume on RTX calls than puts.
So, I am going to watch this trade idea and put it to the test.
As of 12 pm ET on May 19th, the RTX 59 strike puts expiring June 19th, 2020 are trading at a mid-price of $2.50. I am simply going to monitor the price change on this put option over the next few days to see who got it right. The bulls? or the bears?
Could Real Estate be the next "Shoe" to drop?AMEX:REK Though it may be a little early to tell, we might just might see a buyer's market emerging in real estate in the next few months to come.
Although, not a popular ETF, this short ProShares ETF seeks a return that is -1x of the Dow Jones U.S. Real Estate Index. I know it's probably not most pleasing though to think the real estate market could go down, but it is possible that the recent 3 million Americans unemployed due to the Coronavirus could be one of the first signs of an economic slowdown. Historically, if you look at how monetary policy plays a role into the economy, lowering the Fed Funds rate helps loosen credit so that banks and business pay less interest. However, this in turn often affects fixed income and mortgage rates.
After the 2008 Financial crisis, the Federal reserve initiated QE, short for quantitative easing, which can be thought of as an injection of money into the heart of our financial system... or as like to say "printing money." We have seen a similar action taken by the Federal Reserve recently. Under "normal" conditions real estate prices move opposite of mortgage rates. You either spend more money for a house or commercial property and pay a lower interest rate, or you wait for real estate prices to fall, but enter a mortgage with a bit of a higher interest rate.
In this situation, we have unemployment on the rise in the U.S. and globally. Businesses around the world are closing... some of which may be permanent, people are not spending money, and may fall in debt. In some states, such as California, major banks have a 90 day waiver on residential mortgage payments to provide time for people to get back to work. However, it is uncertain if many of the unemployed population will have a job to return to in order to meet their obligations to the bank.
Throughout the bull market, shares of REK have been steadily declining as interest rates have been near 0 for most of that time, allowing the economy to strengthen. However, since the initial drop on Feb 28th, 2020, REK has increased by 50% and the average volume has since increased 10-fold. On a daily basis, the average volume of shares traded has been ~24,000 range. In recent days that number has increase to ~240,000.
What are your thoughts? Where do you see Real Estate heading in the next few months to come?
Boeing's wild ride!The aircraft manufacturer has really gone through ups and downs coming into 2020.
Contributing to the recent declines have been the ongoing issues with the 737 Max crashes in 2019 which led to the FAA suspending the aircraft from flying hurting many airlines such as Southwest, United Airlines, and American Airlines. Also adding to the pain is the Coronavirus pandemic which has suspended all non-essential travel nationwide.
Boeing traded at a low of $89 on March 18th, 2020 and today traded (March 25th) at a high of $174.77 due to optimism amid congress passing a stimulus package that would grant passenger and carrier airline $58B in loan or loan guarantees from the federal government. Buyers who took advantage of the recent lows have already made 100% returns on the stock and Boeing pays of $8.22, that’s a 9.23% yield for those who bought when BA was trading at $89/share! NYSE:BA