Z-VALUE
LONG CHINA Ok my friends, here is what you are going to do.
Right now, you have the opportunity to get a better price on China than the vast majority of investors since 2006. AMEX:FXI is pure, undisputed value here. Instead of buying America at the top, buy China at the bottom.
Free money at these levels.
Long AMEX:FXI
Bad idea to go long on PFE?Here I am again with another trade.
Pfizer is one of the many stocks I have been following for quite a time waiting for a good setup and I think now it's the time to go long,
Bullish RSI divergence, probable double bottom on a long time strong support area. We know this company has received a lot of heat because of covid, but Pfizer is a strong player in the healthcare industry so I hope it will rise again after all this tech AI mania goes over.
I'm buying PFE for a swing trade, let's see how it goes in a few months.
Tap Double Top or buying opportunity?NYSE:TAP has had a rough time as of late as noted on the weekly chart.
I am torn between the was it a double top or are we entering a buying opportunity here?
If it loses the 53 level it can continue to slide especially if earnings disappoint, on the other hand it could rise if earnings surprise at this low level. The lowest analyst had a target of 53 I am debating entering but concerned on this weekly chart.
GameStop adds $800+ million in fresh capitalAt one point this week, GameStop was up some 265% from Monday to Wednesday. That's 48 hours of trading, up 265%, and on rather large sums of volume at a $10+ billion market cap. This is real money, fast money and that's why it's hard to ignore such price action.
While many traders made and lost money on this hype trade, there is one group that played it brilliantly: GameStop itself.
Once the dust had settled, GameStop announced a new shelf offering to sell some its share to add cash to its balance sheet. How much cash? They now have the right to sell up to 45 million shares and at $20 per share, that's $800,000,000 in new capital to shore up its balance sheet.
$800 million.
If the shares go back on the move, that number could easy go back above $1 billion.
So who won after the frenzy was over? GameStop.
Their balance sheet is about to get that much stronger with the latest cash infusion.
TLRY and its peers jump on high federal news catalyst LONGTLRY on the 2H sharge shows a draamatic trading response to the DOJ recommending the
reclassification of marijuana. No much to the analysis = these will have momentum until it
fades. I suspect good continuation plays here until mid -day on Friday when profit taking
and sell-offs will dominate. Short sellers will take positions at the tops as well. In the
meanwhile long trades are the low lying fruit.. The risk is a bit lessens by the surge from
the news. Others include SNDL, OGI , ACB and the ETF MJ for those who like to spread risk
across a basket of stocks. For the time being these stocks will be truly buzzed but do not be
late. Stay home if you are.
Ashapura Minechem Ltd: Poised for Growth?Ashapura Minechem Ltd has shown a remarkable progression in its quarterly sales figures, escalating from INR 350 crores in December 202 to an impressive INR 713 crores in December 2023. This consistent upward trajectory is indicative of robust sales growth, a positive sign for potential investors.
Despite facing challenges, as evidenced by the volatile operating profit margins (OPM) which even dipped into the negative territory in December 2021, the company has managed to rebound effectively. The resilience is portrayed through the OPM climbing back to 8% by December 2023.
When we scrutinize the Profit & Loss statements over the years, it's apparent that sales have more than doubled from March 2021 to the trailing twelve months (TTM) ending in March 2024. This phenomenal growth is underpinned by a substantial increase in net profit, escalating from INR 87 crores in March 2021 to INR 254 crores in TTM March 2024.
Furthermore, the company has displayed commendable liquidity management, with its net cash flow from operating activities shifting from negative to a positive INR 47 crores in March 2023. Also, the increase in reserves from INR -364 crores in March 2012 to a robust INR 785 crores by September 2023 signals strengthened internal financial health.
The cash conversion cycle and the debt management need to be monitored closely. Nonetheless, a decline in debtor days from March 2021 to March 2023 and a steady ROCE % around 16% by March 2023 affirm efficient operations and profitability on capital employed.
Moreover, the shareholding pattern brings confidence, as increasing promoter stakes signal strong conviction in the company’s future prospects, escalating marginally to 45.39% by March 2024.
Taking our analysis to the technical realm, the current market price of INR 341 near the resistance line of the six-month linear regression channel might suggest a potential price consolidation or retracement.
However, here's why a long position holds promise:
Sales Growth: The company’s sales figures are showing strong momentum which can potentially translate into increased earnings in the coming quarters.
Profitability Increase: The Net Profit and EPS are exhibiting growth, which could lead to upward price movements as the market reassesses the company's valuation.
Robust Reserves: The steady increase in reserves is an indicator of the firm's improving net worth and financial robustness.
Promoter's Faith: The incremental increase in promoters' shareholding suggests a bullish sentiment from those with intimate knowledge of the company.
Given this information, if the price breaks through the resistance, it could be an indicator of strength, backing up the fundamental analysis and providing a solid entry point for a long position.
For investors considering the long game, the conjunction of promising fundamentals and positive technical setups could suggest that Ashapura Minechem Ltd is gearing up for a potent market move. However, this must be balanced with diligence and an understanding of risk, especially given the volatility in operating margins and the reliance on continuous market momentum.
In conclusion , Ashapura Minechem Ltd's ascendancy in financial metrics coupled with a reassuring increase in promoter holding and robust sales growth creates a compelling narrative for investors to consider a long position. The technical analysis, while currently at resistance, will serve as a crucial determinant in timing market entry. The key is to watch for a breakout which would signal undoubted strength and propel the stock into a new bullish phase.
Disclaimer: The above analysis is based on historical and current financial data. I recommend investors perform their due diligence and consult a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
BONDS ARE THE WAYRight now rates have probably peaked or are close to peaking
I strongly believe vehicles like NASDAQ:TLT or AMEX:TMF provide some of the best risk reward for a long swing trade for the next few months. TLT is especially attractive due to its Yield being over 4% at this time.
If any fear of recession comes into play over the next year these trades will fly. Although you could buy calls I think holding the ETF is the trade since the yield is there for those who simply hold long. I also prefer TMF for large percentage gain since it removes the worry of Theta decay and allows you to average into a position over time.
Happy trading!
BB - Joining the #moon club? I like this with our without memesClean chart. Clear tapering and orange algo proven control - looking for green and yellow buying continuation to continue the breakout with controlled selling down yellow and magenta
Careful on this one especially because it's below $5, risky, and all meme stocks can pop at any time.
Happy Trading :)
- TraderDaddyOG
SBUX gets another earnings miss SHORTSBUX on the dialy chart may be another candidate to short while the general market remains
challenging in the face of the loss of anticipated rate cuts and ongoing geopolitical risk.
SBUX has been trending down for nearly six months and the earnings miss add emphaisis to the
trend. At this juncture, there is nothing to suggest a turnaround. I am adding SBUX to
my short list. I will look for pivot highs on a lower time frame and average into an overall
position in pieces.
Price prediction based on financial reports and interest rate
After reviewing Q3 financial report my guess is that YTD net profit -424 MNOK is incorrect.
They added an estimated aquculture tax based on 100% of profit before tax. In the Q3 financial report thet added following statement:
"The government’s proposal on resource rent tax on aquaculture (in the sea) was
adopted by the Storting on 31 May 2023. The estimated tax expense is very uncertain."
My guess is that the new tax is new and unclear how it will be implemented, therefor they purposefully added it higher, which resulted in negative net profit YTD.
Future rate cuts will increase asset value which decreased 710 MNOK in Q3, and decrease future interest expenses.
In short I base my bully view on that purposefully made the financials seems worse until the new aquaculture tax is more clear how it will be implemented.
Gold Analyse for today Bullish Factors for Gold: ( HIGH JOBLESS CLAIMS Folders ) Negative for dollar news
Decreasing Treasury Yields: If there's deflationary data leading to decreasing Treasury yields, investors may flock to gold as a safe-haven asset amidst economic uncertainty
Increasing Unemployment: Rising unemployment signals a cooling or contracting economy, prompting investors to seek refuge in gold as a hedge against market volatility
When Lower Jobless Claims Occur:
Bearish Factors for Gold:( Lower JOBLESS CLAIMS Folders ) Positive for dollar news
High Treasury Yields: If there's inflationary data leading to high Treasury yields, investors may favor other investments over gold, reducing its attractiveness
Low Unemployment: Low unemployment suggests an overheating economy, prompting investors to move away from safe-haven assets like gold in favor of riskier investments
Off Beat Adjusted Audited Intrinsic Value @ FYE 2023Off Beat Adjusted Audited Intrinsic Value
(logically derived MagicFormula Merits Scores Adjusted Audited ROIC methodology @ka PEROIC 1 methodology)
@ FYE 2023 Audited Financial Report
= 100×(18,345+115−1,898−5−4−90)÷(57,412+115−1,898−5−4−90+388+119+408+107)×(18,345+115−1,898−5−4−90)÷363,229
= RM 1.319
"Mulklen, Most Definitely, Maybe"...one dayPositive catalysts for Mullen Technologies could include breakthrough innovations in electric vehicle (EV) technology, strategic partnerships with major industry players, regulatory approvals, earnings beats, and ambitious expansion plans. A trade strategy for a long hold on Mullen would involve dollar-cost averaging to mitigate market volatility, setting stop-loss orders for downside protection, focusing on strong fundamentals, monitoring catalysts, and maintaining a long-term perspective. By regularly investing fixed amounts over time, protecting against significant losses, prioritizing fundamental analysis, staying informed about industry developments, and exercising patience, investors can position themselves for potential long-term gains in Mullen Technologies stock.
Ditch These ALTCOINS that are UNDER PERFORMING💀Some altcoins have stayed behind during the most recent BTC surge. These include :
👎 DOT
👎 XRP
👎 ADA
👎 UNI
👎 HBAR
👎 CRV
👎 ALGO
Overlay any of these with the BTC chart, and you get something similar to this.
Now compare it to the PREVIOUS BTC all time high.
I'm not saying these coins are done for, or that they do not have a future. But my focus is on coins that can be tradable and profitable in fairly short periods of time. Holding on to an alt that doesn't move for months (only to increase 15%) is a bad strategy.
It would have been more profitable to take the loss and trade another coin with 50%+ increase, such as ETH, SOL, DOGE, NEAR etc. to name a few examples.
Ditch them and focus instead on coins with more volatility - You can't be holding through an entire new BTC high and the alt has barely broken out of accumulation - this simply won't do, because there are many other trading opportunities where you can make bigger gains and better profits just because they actually move.
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BINANCE:BTCUSDT BINANCE:XRPUSDT BINANCE:ADAUSDT BINANCE:DOTUSDT BINANCE:CRVUSDT
AMD move tired of downToo few people want to play the game of UP in NASDAQ:AMD AMD now... but we need participants for to move....
To catch their interest we must go up to collect bulls for further down trip to AMD's true value of 130$ after any 1Q report that will be probably considered as week.
For the moment is my opinion, it looks like this.
Remember: those who don't support Belarusian and Ukrainian freedom fighters will not make it in the stock exchange anyway...
ADA - Time For Concern?🤔❕ADA vs BTC ❕
ADA failed to make a successful retest of the accumulation zone, having tested it yet again after breakout, and forming a nasty M-pattern. This is quite different compared to the previous time BTC made a new ATH and ADA followed.
Furthermore, the ADABTC chart is about to make lower lows, as ADA continuesly fails to increase in value with BTC:
Now, some may argue that this is indeed a good time to BUY - and I cannot argue with that logic. I would, however, just advise to take caution. Reconsider the fundamentals when considering ADA as a diversified part of your portfolio.
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BINANCE:ADAUSDT KUCOIN:BTCUSDT BINANCE:ADABTC
Something Brewing?
NASDAQ:SBUX Has had a tough week (dropping -17.7%), topped with a demand from the former CEO Howard Schultz to shift focus from the current data-driven business model to a customer-centric business.
With the above being said, I believe the coffee giant will recover amid rising competition from Dtchbros $NYSE: BROS and Dunkin Donuts $FINRA: DNKN_SHORT_VOLUME.
This is my strategy:
Using Bollinger Bands and Fibonacci Retracement, we see a large trade volume and volatility increase as the price drops below the SMA and lower band. The price is currently $73.11. We can expect it to reach a price target of $84.68 (test strategy here) before retracement or reversal, as the shares may be near overbought status.
This will give us a nice $11.50 profit per share.
Enter at price targets: $70.31 and $72.92
Hold for the price to cross $87.46 for uptrend confirmation.