CGC trade from bounce at fib level LONGCGC fell in a standard Fibonacci retracement of 3 week trend up from Mid-March. News of
an application to issue a new class of shares may as well be considered a dilution of current
shareholders. CGC is 5 days away from National MJ Day of the 20th. I expect a further
pullback into the 0.618 level given the fundamental news but CGC could rally on trader interest
regarding the notable day. My trade plan is to buy a pullback if and whne it finds support at
6.15 and then enter long seeking the target of 7.95 which would be a Fib 0.5 retracement of
the trend down. I will look at other MJ stocks as well.
Z-VALUE
RIVN rises with LCID while FSR fails LONGRIVN popped today while FSR got halted and will be delisted. The 4H chart with BB and a
predictive algo added suggest it has room to 13.25. The indicators are supportive of that
forecast. I will take a long position here with a stop loss under the lower BB line. As to
my FSR put options I will watch them rise until expiration time. No hurry. No worry there.
RIVN's new models and FSR's demise should help for some bullish momentum until RIVN
catches a bit of FSR''s issues.
Biggest micro lender could be hurt by the dollar (short)South Africa's biggest micro lender could be hurt by the dollar and global uncertainty around the world since the banks make profit from people paying back loans and putting in deposits, people deposit less when everything in the economy becomes expensive because savings lags when compared to current state of the value of money and the purchasing power people have. This year financial stocks could also be hurt by the uncertainty that comes with elections also the policies that the new or current leadership of the country could choose to implement.
$MOS at less than tangoble book value is a buyI think the chart tells the story: NYSE:MOS is trading at the lowest price to book multiple (see lower pane) since the pandemic, which was also the low point over the past 20 years. In addition, there's a buy signal from a AB=CD pattern visible on the chart. The symmetric triangle short play has in fact reached its T1 target and may be played out. In addition, the stock looks poised to break through its longer-term down trend. If that should happen, I think it will accelerate the upside.
The reason for MOS' slump are simple enough: Soybean and corn prices are low, and those are primary uses for Mosaic's fertilizers.
On the plus side, though, MOS has been building financial strength over the past years, and its new and ramping Esterhazy (K3) mine in Saskatachewan, Canada isn't just the largest potash mine in the world, it's also one of the lowest cost ones. Meanwhile, the company has curtailed production at its (higher cost) Colonsay mine, also in Saskatchewan.
I think even without a recovery in fertilizer application (which will undoubtedly come), this setup promises higher margins for Mosaic. NYSE:MOS is cheaper than its fertilizer peers NYSE:CF and NYSE:NTR based on price/book or price/sales, and its forward P/E is in single digits -- far below the market. While I think that historically, the discount to peers was justified by MOS' inferior cost position, I would argue that the company has made strides to catch up.
I plan to enter a long tomorrow. This will be a long-term hold, so no target or stop loss.
BCH/USDT Trading ScenarioAfter a successful accumulation phase, BCH experienced significant growth in June 2023, rising from $90.6 to $330.1, representing an increase of over 267%. This was followed by a new accumulation phase, with the subsequent resumption of an upward trend.
BCH has reached the trendline twice, which serves as support. The volume profile confirms the stability of the current upward movement, as market participants continue to move up along the trend.
Currently, the BCH’s price has decreased by more than 40% from its last peak. The POC level could represent an attractive entry point. However, the possibility of continued decline towards the trendline should also be considered, where maintaining the trend may offer even more beneficial entry points for the BCH purchase.
AMC to $2 by JuneIt doesn't look good for AMC or any stock that is showing negative revenue. Fed is keeping the growth stocks and high-value tech sectors up while other struggling companies are dying to inflation and high rates. I think AMC will get the short end of the stick and continue to go down like it always has been in the past 3 years. It will bleed down to $2 by June if this keeps up. Hopefully, that will be the new bottom and the company will stay afloat. They need new/better movies and need to find a way to attract consumers back to their doors. Until then I think AMC could be a dead stock and possibly look for a buyout to avoid bankruptcy as early as 2025.
INDO- an Asian oil company jumps on geopolitical event LONGINDO may have spontaneously did a moonshort buy more likely it was the geopolitical
issues of Iran and a hypothetical reginal conflict impacting Iranian oil exports and the effect
on oil prices and energy companies everywhere including in Indonesia where INDO is based.
The chart shows abrupt volume and volatility out of no where almost instantly.
On deeper analysis, INDO started moving about April 1st the same date Israel successfully
targeted Iranian generals directing operations through proxies in the ambassadorship complex
in Damascus. This chart underscores how geopolitics can and does affect certain markets
in real time. The conflict is on pause while both sides and their allies assess strategic options.
I believe that INDO could continue but then again its momentum could fail and it could roll over
and fall Watching oil price will be a tip off here. Penny stocks are like catching a knife flying in
the air and then trying to throw it higher. There is some risk involved in hunting the reward.
BULLLISH ENGULFING 4HR TIME FRAME: POSSIBLE $72kBullish Engulfing on a 4-hour TF. I added a price range blue arrow into my indicator to measure BTC volume trend which reads positive 9.34%. Once it reaches the top wedge trend line threshold, will begin the move to the downside unless there's a breakthrough.
BULLISH BE has a measurement. Engulfing has been decoded to reveal its hidden message.
View previous BE and most recent BE, view price possibility.
RTX a defense contractor large cap LONGRTX has earnings on April 23rd. It has been on a good trend higher since the last earnings. The
Russian war means US defense contractors will be in a growth mode for the intermediate
future. Depleted stores of weapons systems need to be replenished. Pieces and parts are
needed for damaged systems in need of maintenance. I see RTX and others such as GD and
LMT as good long-term trades or investments. Smaller companies in the areas of robotics and
drones may be worth a look. RTX is at its all-time high but it seems much higher is in its future.
IMPP- a volatile penny energy stock LONGIMPP stands to gain market cap if the barrel price of oil moves on the global markets under
the pressure of geopolitics in the Middle East. While it is a domestic producer and not involved
in transoceanic oil tanker transport, the price of oil is a global dynamic in real time. As a small
cap, when the oil price moves and IMPP's fixed expenses remain static, margins can increase
in a curvilinear fashion. IMPP once traded in the 40 share price range. I believe it is well
situated to jump if oil prices escalate in the near term. For another similar penny energy stock
albeit not domestic take a look at INDO. Targets are on the chart 15%, 30%, 30%, 25% partial
closures at each averaging 10-15% overall
Volume Reversal in Process Volume reversal shows a move to the upside. Hanging Man has been winning BULLS territory. 1WK TF almost over, about 2.5 hours left to complete 1WK TF.
I’ve made an agreement between me and another trader.
Before ATH:
FOREXX: BTC will NOT fall below $40k
HoleyProfit: BTC WILL fall below $40k
Although I did mention, BTC should not see below $60k although HM has made a threat to do so.
My alternative signals and graphs still show a move to the upside. I’ve combined smart money and retail traders volume as well.
Post-trade psychology!
In the trading market, being anxious cannot solve the problem.
But be prepared for a long time, don't rush for success, and don't be afraid of being a late bloomer.
Take your time and master the process, don’t rush the results.
Whether it is the trading market or other industries, it all requires a process, and it requires step by step and continuous efforts to achieve it.
Give the process time, and please give yourself time. I think time will definitely give you a better answer.
Accumulation over time will make you gain more and more.
Don't be anxious, just take it step by step.
Although the process is slow, if you keep going, slow and perseverant, you will eventually reach the goal you want.
Usually the more anxious you are in trading, the easier it is to deviate from your original intention, and most of the results are counterproductive.
In nature, you will find that a lot of life is slow.
The sun rises little by little and sets little by little, the flowers bloom one by one and wither petals.
The flowers will not bloom before the season, and the fruits cannot be picked if they are not ripe.
The journey of life is very long, you don’t have to seize the day, persistence is the only way to win in the end.
LYFT rises on news of the MSP dispute potential resolution LONGLYFT was a recent idea upload. The news regarding MSP and the dispute resolution has helped
it rise off the ascending support trendline of the rising wedge pattern. The pattern may predict
decreasing volatility towards price consolidation and then a break out from the wedge.
In the meanwhile, I have added to my position since price is above the support trendline.
The PVT indicator shows a flip out on the pullback and I see this as a good add long entry. On a
low 1minute time frame. price gapped up with an engulfing candle with corresponding volume
at the opening bell today.
Importantly, a high volume spike also occurred in the after-market hours.
My recent previous idea long on LYFT is linked here.
The call option for $ 21.00 for April 19- 8DTE popped 140% today. I picked up a decent number of calls and will close them incrementally as they profit over the next week.
Yes, There's a lot to unpack:Earnings Outlook:
Analysts are projecting earnings of $2.64 per share, a slight dip of 1.5% compared to the previous year and with revenues estimated to be around $21.38 billion, marking a 13.6% decrease year-over-year, there are certainly some intriguing dynamics at play.
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I'm not one to make predictions without the full picture, so I'll be holding off on sharing my analysis until after the earnings report is out. Once I've had a chance to dissect the numbers and assess the implications for Johnson & Johnson's future trajectory, you can expect a detailed breakdown from me.
My post-earnings analysis will be in the updates on this idea, I will explore what the numbers mean for investors and whether Johnson & Johnson is poised for growth or facing challenges ahead.
TLT Treasuries Long breaks down under VWAP SHORTTLT on a 120 minute chart has continued its trend down since early December after a suddent
uptrend in November lasting for a two month until the end of 2023.
Inflation data is kicking the rate cut down the road of time.
Price has now fallen under the VWAP and all of the EMA lines including the EMA20.
Relative strength trending correlates with price . I conclude, TLT continues to be set up
SHORT or alternatively TBT LONG . I will take short trades at weekly highs on a 30-60
minute chart until signs of a reversal are seen on the chart.
NYCB could bounce back from the inflation report LONGNYCB on the 30 minute chart had an abrupt reaction to the inflation report. This is not a
surprise. Many traders and investors know that banks make more money when the prime rate
is lower because they do not need to pay much on savings accounts and deposit certificates.
NYCB has been challenged and is more volatile than the average bank stock being a penny
stock with hard fundamental issues. NYCB has reversed and the relative volume indicator
shows the flip. Price has climbed back into the lower part of the high volume area of the
profile which shows some bullish momentum.
I see this as a risky long trade but still take it for the quick 6-7% upside back to the POC line of
the volume profile. The stop loss will be the low pivot of the prior trading session.
COF - Capital One Drop and Pop LONGCOF is shown on 1 15 minute chart. The trade idea is to play the drop in a bank stock as a
reaction to the sticky inflation report and the idea that a rate cut already baked into stock
price is about to come off the table. This is a risky reversal trade. However, with risk comes
reward. The idea is on the chart. I will take a long trade here anticipating a return of 2%
and about seven times risk. A call option for an expiration of 4/19 will also be in the position,
striking 141. See also
CHF - Futures - Possible tradeCHF - Futures, there is interesting levels of positioning by the commercials are taking place, it has not yet been confirmed from my end, but there is quite bit of long positions are being taken up by larger traders. Will keep an eye out for turning points in the near future in the next few weeks.
Why I think BTC is worth $0Because it is not a company and nobody owns it that can enforce any kind of intellectual property on the millions of coin derivatives that exist today.
Because it is not trust free since you must eventually report your "trust-less" transaction to a tax authority.
It is not trust-less, but a trust-less version may be created and operated by tax authorities to reduce the tax and compliance burden in the public and private sectors.
FCX: Great Run, Take Your Profits, get ready to reloadNYSE:FCX has had a great run following the recent commodity cycle and global volatility run-up across the commodity spectrum: oil, E&P, GOLD, and fuels.
*The Take*
In the dynamic world of international mining, Freeport-McMoRan stands out as a beacon of resilience and growth. Amidst the ebb and flow of commodity cycles and global market volatility, NYSE:FCX has demonstrated remarkable strength, reaching impressive highs that reflect the company's robust strategy and adaptability. The company maintains revenues, works down debt, and maintains profitability.
As we navigate through these turbulent times, it's essential to recognize the opportunities that volatility presents. For those who have been part of NYSE:FCX 's journey, now may be a prudent moment to capitalize on the gains. Taking some profits and selling into strength not only secures your hard-earned returns but also positions you to take advantage of potential future entry points.
Looking ahead, the commodity cycle is expected to maintain its volatile nature. This unpredictability, while challenging, also opens doors for strategic maneuvers. By reducing exposure at peak levels, investors can prepare to reload on positions when the market corrects itself, particularly in the $26 to $38 range, where value meets opportunity.
The global landscape is ever-changing, with factors such as the ongoing Russia/Ukraine conflict, the economic recovery in the Eurozone and Asia-Pacific, and China's anticipated return to the global stage, all playing pivotal roles in shaping market dynamics. As inflationary pressures begin to normalize, albeit at a decelerating rate, it's crucial to stay vigilant and ready to adapt.
Freeport-McMoRan's journey is far from over. The company is well-positioned to continue riding the wave of global recovery, leveraging its strategic insights and operational excellence. By staying informed and agile, investors can look forward to not just weathering the storm but thriving in the sunshine that follows.
#Commodities #Mining #InvestmentStrategy #MarketVolatility #EconomicRecovery #GlobalMarkets #FCX