A perfact high reward GBP/AUD Sell trade The markert has completed an expanding flat correction and therefore wave C is expected. the pound is very bearish and will be for months to come.
Z-VALUE
UEC an energy penny stock pops out of ascending channel LONGUEC is a uranium company somewhat independent of the oil, solar and lithium stocks that
dominate the energy sector. Nuclear is touted as green and not contributory to climate change
with no carbon impact. It pollution or radioactivity is self-contained and isolated with heavy
regulatory safeguards All that said, a few days ago analysts at Eight Capital raised the status
of UEC to "strong buy" with a price target of $13 or about 75% above current valuation. Such
a high upside is uncommon in the energy sector.
The 4H chart shows price broke out from an ascending channel of several months
duration with a corresponding relative volume of 4x the running mean. The price action
is that of a high tight flag patter n invoking the moderately strong probability of more
bullish momentum after a consolidation is completed.
I see this as a great long swing trade with earnings coming in two months or call options
OTM targeting a strike price of $10 for the mid-March expiration. Given the stock price at
present such call options would have about $40 premium per contract.
Lastly, the ETFs URA and URNM appear to track the price action of UEC fairly well. If a trader
prefers diversification or risk moderation of ETFs these two are reasonable alternatives.
Uranium trades do not have geopolitical risk to consider as much as oil and gas yet another
reason to give this a further look.
.
Fair Value Gap Trading StrategyFair Value Gap Trading Strategy
To implementing a fair value gap as a trading strategy you need to understand these three basic components of this trading strategy.
Time
Liquidity Hunt
Market Structure Shift
Fair Value Gap
Let’s begin by discussing the importance of time in trading. According to ICT Trader, time is considered to be fractal, meaning that what happens on higher time frames is reflected in lower time frames if studied in the proper context.
In this context, fractal refers to the idea that patterns and behaviors observed on longer time frames, such as daily or weekly charts, can be seen in shorter time frames, like hourly or minute charts.
By studying price action and market behavior across different time frames, traders can gain a deeper understanding of market dynamics and potentially identify profitable trading opportunities.
Time indeed holds significant importance in the fair value gap trading strategy, particularly when it comes to identifying favorable trading setups. Despite the forex market being open 24 hours a day, not all times present ideal conditions for executing fair value gap trades. That’s where the concept of ICT Kill Zones comes into play.
ICT Kill Zones
ICT Kill Zones refer to specific time periods during the day that have been observed to offer higher probability trading opportunities. These zones are associated with the entry of smart money, which are institutional or banks who have the ability to influence market direction.
In short, ICT Kill Zones correspond to specific time periods during the day that are particularly relevant for trading activities. These zones include the London Open, London Close, New York Open, and New York Close.
Traders using the fair value gap trading strategy often focus on these times as they tend to offer higher probability trading setups. The ICT Kill Zones are associated with the entry of smart money and can provide enhanced opportunities for traders to capitalize on market movements. By aligning their trading activities with these specific time periods, traders aim to improve their chances of success.
Liquidity in FVG Trading Strategy
Liquidity in the market often takes the form of buy stops and sell stops.market makers or smart money intentionally trap retail traders by manipulating prices to trigger their stop losses.
The idea is that they move the market in one direction to hunt for stop losses, causing retail traders to place orders in the false direction and set their stop losses at key levels. After the stop loss hunt, the market reverses in the opposite direction, benefiting the smart money.
Let’s analyze the above chart from a retail trader’s perspective. When we observe the chart, we notice that the price levels between 44240 and 44280 have proven to be strong resistance in the past.
Based on this observation, many retail traders might place their selling pending orders to anticipate of a price reversal at these levels. To manage their risk, they would likely set their stop loss orders just above this resistance area.
What is done by market makers or smart money,they could manipulate the market by initially pushing the price upward, deliberately triggering the stop loss orders placed by retail traders. This action would cause some retail traders to think that a breakout is occurring and prompt them to place buying orders while setting their stop losses at levels below the resistance area.
Once the stop loss orders have been hunted and triggered, the market makers or smart money may then reverse the price direction.
Enhancing Trading Success with the Fair Value Gap Entry Strategy
After a liquidity hunt on a higher time frame, you suggest switching to lower time frames such as 15 minutes, 5 minutes, 3 minutes, or even 1 minute to identify certain patterns that may emerge following the stop loss hunt. These patterns include:
1.Sudden or sharp price movements: Following the liquidity hunt, you may observe rapid and significant price fluctuations on the lower time frames.
This sharp movement causing market structure shift and provide an extra confluence.
2. Fair value gap (FVG): Look for gaps between the current price and the fair value of the asset. The fair value represents the equilibrium price based on various factors. Identify instances where the market price deviates significantly from this fair value.
3. Entry position based on the Fair Value Gap strategy: Once you spot a fair value gap pattern after the liquidity hunt, you can consider taking a position in anticipation of the market filling that gap. The expectation is that the market will eventually return to the fair value price.
It’s important to carefully train your eyes to recognize these patterns after a liquidity hunt and patiently wait for the market to come back and fill the identified gap. Once you have identified a suitable entry position, you can place your stop loss order above the first candle to manage your risk.
Please note that implementing such strategies requires careful analysis, experience, and a deep understanding of the specific market you are trading. It’s crucial to conduct thorough research, backtest your strategy, and consider other factors that may influence price movements before making any trading decisions.
Navigating the Growth Trajectory of On Holdings, Cloud or bust?Navigating the Growth Trajectory of On Holdings, a Rising Star in Athletic Footwear
Support Level: $23.86
Current Price: $27.70
Resistance Zone: $28.53 - $31.95
Target 1: $37.56
Resistance Level 1: $43.32
Resistance Level 2:46.27
Target 1 (Long Term): $50.94
Target 2 (Long Term): $71.96
On Holdings has rapidly become a market leader with its revolutionary On-Cloud running shoes, capturing global attention and propelling the company's valuation to an impressive 7.8 billion Swiss francs. The strategic focus on marketing and brand development has positioned On as a force to be reckoned with in the athletic footwear industry.
The company's valuation metrics reveal a steep but justified premium: 6.4 times revenue, 139 times earnings, or 47 times EBITDA. This premium is a testament to On's exceptional growth trajectory. In the last 12 months, the company achieved revenue of 1.2 billion, a net income of 58 million, and an adjusted EBITDA of 165 million.
Technical Analysis and Growth Metrics:
On's exceptional growth is underscored by a staggering 69% increase in revenue from 2021 to 2022, with a further projected growth of 39% in 2023. Positive product reviews and robust Google search data further validate this growth momentum. In comparison to industry giants like Nike and Lululemon, On boasts strong gross margins of 56%, setting it apart as a formidable competitor. (Nike is just 44% and lululemon is 55%
However, rapid expansion comes at a cost, and On's negative cash flow is attributed to its aggressive expansion in China and the opening of new stores. With 371 million in cash on the balance sheet, there's a likelihood that the company may seek additional capital for sustained growth.
Sustainability as a Key Differentiator:
On Holdings not only focuses on growth but also emphasizes sustainability. The latest shoe, incorporating 44% recycled materials, showcases the company's commitment to environmental responsibility. This dual emphasis on growth and sustainability positions On as a forward-thinking brand in tune with modern consumer values.
Investment Outlook:
Despite the steep valuation and potential cash flow challenges, On's growth trajectory remains impressive. Assuming a 40% revenue growth this year, followed by 30% and 20% in subsequent years, On could reach revenues of 11.5 billion by 2033. Applying a conservative 10% net margin and a 20x multiple, the company's estimated worth would be around 24 billion, offering an investment return of approximately 11.9% per year. Although this may not seem great long term, the short-term growth is too good to pass up.
In conclusion, On Holdings presents a cautiously bullish investment opportunity, given its remarkable growth and market dynamics. However, it's essential to recognize the speculative nature of this assessment, and investors should conduct thorough due diligence before making any investment decisions. As On continues to blend innovation, sustainability, and the Athlete Spirit, it stands poised to redefine the future of athletic footwear and potentially deliver compelling returns to investors.
Value Investing: STOCKS to watch in 2024Hi Traders, Investors and Speculators of Charts📈📉
Welcome to 2024🥂🥳
After great feedback from the altcoin list, I'll be doing a series on top stocks to watch for 2024, all in one post for your convenience!
Stocks I'll focus on include:
📢 Undervalued stocks
📢 Stocks with great upside potential
📢 New stocks to watch
I'll keep adding/updating one by one to the bottom of this post, so make sure you bookmark and follow!
1) AMEX:PSIL
The AdvisorShares Psychedelics ETF (NYSE ticker: PSIL) invests in the emerging psychedelic drugs sector, offering exposure to those biotechnology, pharmaceutical and life sciences companies we see as leading the way in this nascent industry.
SOLUSDT Bullish Flag Pattern LONGExcuse me!
According to my analysis, the Solana exchange rate will make its normal and healthy correction on a daily timeframe. I tried as much as possible to calculate the height of the possible rise and I came to the conclusion that I would set the Fibonacci level at 1 and 1.27. If indeed the shape holds.
Now let's wait and see if it holds or not.
NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE
Always do your own research and don't make a hasty decision when opening a position. This is also just an analysis, not a guaranteed outcome.
R3ncso
Things suggest that gold is poised for a bullish trend in 2024.One of them is he ongoing conflict in Ukraine, tensions between the United States and China, and other geopolitical events create a sense of uncertainty that could drive investors to seek refuge in gold as a safe haven asset.
the second reason is gold will go up no matter what ! its just searching for an excuse to go up. it is built to go while fiat value has to go down. thats how economics work.
Smash the like button if you are a gold bag hodler like me
HSY LONG IDEALong term trade idea on HSY. Support tested multiple times at 200 SMA. Great time to enter now
TWT spotAccording to the comparison of theTWT/USDT chart with the TWT/BTC chart, this currency has the potential to grow by atleast 100%.
Uncertain EURUSD, but These Levels are likely ImportantUncertain EURUSD, but These Levels are likely Important
Dear Esteemed Members,
I know when I say the EUR can go up or down, doesn't seem to be useful, but I believe the outcome depends on resistance or support break and fundamental factors.
As per the latest technical analysis updates, it is widely agreed that the EUR/USD exchange rate is currently experiencing a downtrend. Examination of the four-hour chart reveals that the pair remains below both the 50- and 100-hour exponential moving averages in a downward trajectory. The relative strength index (RSI) is also bearish, dipping below 40, reinforcing the prevailing bearish sentiment. Immediate support is identified at the 1.0920 level (200-hour exponential moving average), followed by the 1.0880 level (lower boundary of the rising regression trend channel) and the 1.0850 level (Fibonacci retracement of the latest rise).
Conversely, potential resistance levels for the EUR/USD are at the 1.0970 level (100-hour exponential moving average), the psychological and static level at 1.1000, and the 1.1050 level (midpoint of the rising channel).
In addition to technical factors, fundamental influences shape the EUR/USD exchange rate in the coming days. Attention focuses on the upcoming United States December labor market report, encompassing non-farm payroll (NFP) changes, average hourly earnings growth, and the unemployment rate. Market expectations project a 170,000 increase in NFP, a decrease from the 199,000 recorded in November. A higher-than-expected NFP could bolster the US dollar, exerting downward pressure on the EUR/USD exchange rate. Conversely, a lower-than-expected NFP may weaken the US dollar and elevate the EUR/USD exchange rate.
Kind Regards,
Ely
A nice AUD/CAD buy setupwith the divergence in the policies of these currency outlooks, there's a nice setup forming.
Cross-Checking News Trading with Technicals on CARR-USDDear Esteemed Investors,
Everyone asked me to write an analytics on CARR. Although my forecasts achieved some success with this stock, let me remind you it's only a very small percentage of my portfolio. I can measure my exposure in hundreds of thousands, which is relatively small compared to my gold exposure, which I measure in millions. With that, I care about every one of my investments, and I hear your expectation to read analytics about this stock. Here you go.
Chart and Technical Indicators
CARR hit the target level of the last bullish forecast ($59.21 resistance), and technical indicators like MACD and RSI turned bearish. Under the chart, MACD shows bearish progress. Both MACD and RSI have a bearish cross on them. These are typical confirmations of resistance, and CARR hasn't defeated it yet. However, RSI still moves on the more bullish side of its chart, and MACD shows only a slight bearishness. It's not too late for CARR investors to continue the rally. Signs of continuation would be if RSI made a bullish cross again and MACD turned bullish. If they can break the mentioned resistance, a target of $61.12 is possible. With that said, the risk-reward ratio of a long isn't excellent here. So, I've taken profit of my long position from the last forecast. I estimate to open a new long if the price confirms support again around the $51.74 level. Breaking this support would suggest a downward trend rather than a healthy retracement. Downwards, the price can fall to lower trendlines below $48. If I open a new long, I'll use a tight stop loss setting.
News Trading: AI Natural Language Processing
Carrier Global has consistently delivered strong revenue growth in recent quarters, driven by higher demand for HVAC and refrigeration products. The company's recent acquisitions of Viessmann Climate Solutions and Honeywell's Global Access Solutions business expand its market reach and product portfolio. Carrier Global has a healthy balance sheet with a solid financial position. The company has the flexibility to invest in growth initiatives. The global HVAC and refrigeration markets can steadily in the coming years, driven by population growth, urbanization, and rising environmental concerns.
On the other hand, the ongoing supply chain disruptions have impacted Carrier Global's production and delivery of products, potentially affecting sales and profitability. Escalating inflation could put downward pressure on consumer spending on discretionary items such as HVAC and refrigeration products. The HVAC and refrigeration industry is highly competitive, with several players vying for market share. The ongoing geopolitical tensions and potential for global recession could dampen demand for Carrier Global's products.
Despite the potential headwinds, Carrier Global remains a well-positioned company with a strong track record of growth. The company's focus on innovation, strategic acquisitions, and expanding market reach should support its long-term growth prospects. However, investors should carefully monitor the company's ability to manage supply chain disruptions, inflation, and competitive pressures.
Disclaimer:
The success of my historic forecasts don't guarantee your future results. It's not an investment advice. Do your esearch. I wrote the analytics for entertainment purposes.
Kind regards,
Ely
BTC 🐂 STILL BTC In the daily time frame, it should break a triangle, which is not a difficult task and it will easily break 44k, but don't the whales have a plan, anyway, the 100 and 50 averages and Como Cloud are also favorable.
Bitcoin: The Lunar Landing Is NearBitcoin has been on a tear in recent months, and many analysts believe that the cryptocurrency is poised for even more gains in the years to come. There are a number of factors that are driving the bullish sentiment around Bitcoin, including:
The upcoming halving event: Bitcoin's supply is halved every four years, which has historically led to a bull market. The next halving event is scheduled to take place in April 2024, and many investors believe that this will be a major catalyst for Bitcoin's price.
Growing institutional adoption: More and more institutional investors are beginning to invest in Bitcoin, which is seen as a sign of maturity and legitimacy for the cryptocurrency. This trend is likely to continue, as more and more investors realize the potential of Bitcoin as a store of value and a hedge against inflation.
Increased demand: The demand for Bitcoin is also increasing, as more and more people are becoming aware of its benefits. This demand is being driven by a number of factors, including the growing popularity of Bitcoin as a payment method, the increasing number of businesses accepting Bitcoin, and the growing number of people who are investing in Bitcoin as a long-term asset.
Based on these factors, it is clear that Bitcoin is on a bullish trajectory. While there is no guarantee that Bitcoin will reach the moon, the odds are certainly in its favor. If you are looking for an investment that has the potential to generate significant returns in the years to come, then Bitcoin is a good place to start.
Here are some additional reasons why Bitcoin is likely to go to the moon:
Bitcoin's limited supply: There will only ever be 21 million Bitcoins created, which makes it a scarce asset. This scarcity is one of the things that gives Bitcoin its value.
Bitcoin's decentralized nature: Bitcoin is not controlled by any central authority, which makes it immune to government interference. This makes it an attractive investment for people who are looking for a safe haven from inflation and other economic problems.
Bitcoin's technological innovation: Bitcoin is constantly evolving and improving. For example, the Lightning Network is a new technology that allows for fast and cheap Bitcoin transactions. This innovation is likely to make Bitcoin even more attractive to users and investors.
Of course, there are also some risks associated with investing in Bitcoin. The cryptocurrency market is volatile, and the price of Bitcoin can fluctuate wildly. Additionally, Bitcoin is a new and untested asset, so there is no guarantee that it will continue to grow in value.
However, the potential rewards of investing in Bitcoin are significant. If you are willing to take on some risk, then Bitcoin could be a very rewarding investment.
Ultimately, the decision of whether or not to invest in Bitcoin is a personal one. However, the evidence suggests that Bitcoin is a bullish asset with the potential to go to the moon.
Going Long Silver There are several reasons why investors may choose to go long silver. One reason is that silver has historically acted as a safe haven asset, meaning that its price has tended to rise during periods of economic uncertainty or market volatility. Another reason is that silver is a valuable industrial metal, with applications in a variety of industries, including electronics, healthcare, and solar energy. As demand for these industries grows, so does the demand for silver. Additionally, silver has been shown to have some inflation-hedging properties, meaning that its price may rise as the purchasing power of fiat currencies declines.
However, there are also some risks associated with going long silver. One risk is that silver is a relatively volatile asset, and its price can fluctuate significantly in the short term. Another risk is that silver markets can be less liquid than other asset classes, meaning it may be more difficult to buy or sell silver quickly without affecting the price.
Overall, going long silver can be a good investment strategy for investors who are looking for a way to diversify their portfolios and hedge against inflation. However, it is important to carefully consider the risks involved before making any investment decisions.
Picasso - PICA - Bringing IBC to Solana PICA is both the token of Picasso on Kusama and the Composable Chain on Cosmos. The PICA token exists to unify Polkadot, Kusama, and the Cosmos ecosystems through IBC transfers.
Both the Cosmos and Polkadot ecosystems are rather large, but not in comparison to the Solana or Etherium ecosystems. This is where the true genius of PICA lies. The Picasso chain will facilitate an IBC connection, first with Solana, and then Etherium. This means that the DeFi ecosystems of Solana and Etherium will become interoperable with Polkadot and Cosmos, making the Picasso chain the epicenter of an insane amount of liquidity.
This is why I am incredibly interested in this project.
#MINT. French Net Net stock with big upside.October's Earnings saw #MINT fall into a negative Enterprise Value with the business now valued less than it's cash and assets on a per share basis.
The business is growing with a positive ROE and ROIC and has a huge runway in front of it.
It's unusual to find such a business in net net territory and I like that insiders continue to buy shares in the business.
Buying at around the 3.5 Euro price is a bet I'm willing to take.
The SOLID State Battery Revoloution is upon us - QuantumScapeTarget 1: $15.32
Major Resistance Level: $18.48
Target 2: $26.77
Target 3 / Resistance Level: $36.10
Long Term Target 1: $53.92
Long Term Target 2: $79.65
Major Resistance Level: $95.82
(Disclaimer - After today's massive jump on Volkswagen news, it's likely we will see at least a small pullback. But in the grand scheme of things if this technology is actually what we are hearing, this is just a drop in the grand bucket)
Investing in the Future: QuantumScape Corporation and the Solid-State Battery Revolution
In the fast-evolving landscape of electric vehicles (EVs) and renewable energy, QuantumScape Corporation (NYSE: QS) is emerging as a trailblazer with its groundbreaking solid-state battery technology. Recent developments have sent the company's stock soaring, underlining the potential transformative impact of QuantumScape's innovations on the future of energy storage.
Milestone Achievement with Volkswagen Collaboration
QuantumScape's recent surge is attributed to a significant milestone achieved in collaboration with Volkswagen. The company successfully tested its anodeless solid-state lithium-metal cells technology, confirming its capabilities through an A-sample test. PowerCo, an independent entity, validated the test results, revealing that QuantumScape's solid-state cell not only met but exceeded the requirements of the test.
Impressively, the solid-state cell completed over 1,000 charging cycles, equivalent to a remarkable half a million kilometers of travel for an electric car with a WLTP range of 500-600 kilometers. Even more compelling is the fact that the cell demonstrated minimal aging, retaining an impressive 95% of its capacity or discharge energy at the end of the test.
PowerCo CEO Frank Blome expressed his optimism, stating, "These are very encouraging results that impressively underpin the potential of the solid-state cell." The successful completion of this test positions QuantumScape as a frontrunner in developing a battery cell that could offer extended ranges, rapid charging capabilities, and minimal degradation over time.
Technical Advancements Driving QuantumScape's Success
QuantumScape's technology addresses critical challenges faced by traditional lithium-ion batteries, which are approaching the limits of their energy density. The company's innovations include an anodeless architecture and a proprietary solid ceramic separator, leading to notable improvements in energy density, charging speeds, and safety.
Key advantages of QuantumScape's solid-state battery technology include:
Energy Density: Significant increase in volumetric and gravimetric energy densities by eliminating graphite/silicon anode host material.
Fast Charge: Enables less than 15-minute fast charging (10-80%) by eliminating the lithium diffusion bottleneck in the anode host material.
Extended Life: Eliminates capacity loss at the anode interface, thereby extending the useful lifetime of the battery.
Enhanced Safety: Replaces the organic separator with a solid-state separator that is nonflammable and noncombustible, significantly improving safety.
Cost Efficiency: Lowers costs by eliminating the anode host material and associated manufacturing costs.
Investment Considerations
QuantumScape's recent success and technological advancements position the company as a key player in the future of energy storage. The collaboration with Volkswagen further strengthens its industry standing, and the positive test results underscore the viability of its solid-state battery technology.
Investors should note that QuantumScape's stock has experienced a notable uptick, reaching its highest level since early August. However, with short interest at 15.6% of the total float, some volatility may be expected.
As QuantumScape continues to perfect and scale its manufacturing processes, investors have the opportunity to align themselves with a company at the forefront of revolutionizing energy storage. The upcoming Q4 earnings report, expected in the middle of February, will be a key indicator of the company's financial health and growth trajectory.
In conclusion, QuantumScape Corporation presents a compelling investment opportunity for those seeking to participate in the transformative shift toward more efficient, safer, and longer-lasting energy storage solutions. As the world increasingly embraces electric vehicles and sustainable energy practices, QuantumScape stands poised to play a pivotal role in shaping the future of the industry.
$KUJI - Kujira // Explore a potential value playI have been looking into CRYPTO:KUJIUSD in the last days, and I found some interesting key points.
I like how the flush yesterday was absorbed and nearly no damage done on the price.
Kujira community is building a suite of integrated DeFi products. It might just misses an outbreak app to capture more attention.
Token emissions are done since November 2023. All investors received their tokens and are free to sell whenever. Network Stakers receive 100% of transaction fees on the network and connected applications.
In comparison undervalued to other projects like BINANCE:INJUSDT or BINANCE:SEIUSDT which have to show less ecosystem projects and only more prominent backers and a lot of narrative.
