Z-VALUE
Market Meltdown: Wall Street's Shocking Symphony Unveiled!In the heart of financial dynamics, where numbers narrate tales and markets hum a melody, we stand on the cusp of a riveting chapter. The surge in bond yields, the resonance of conflict in Gaza, and the corporate crescendos echo through Wall Street, crafting a narrative that captivates and challenges.
As we step into this unfolding saga, each market movement becomes a note in a symphony—a symphony where every rise in bond yields, every geopolitical tremor, and every corporate revelation plays a crucial role. Join me as we unravel the Overture of Wall Street, decoding the melodies that shape the financial landscape and beckon us into the intriguing world of global finance.
Bond Yields Surge: Unraveling the Threads of Economic Sentiment
The recent surge in the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yield, cresting above 4.9%, serves as a seismic event with far-reaching implications. Traditionally, higher yields spell caution for equity markets, diminishing the allure of stocks in comparison to the safety of fixed-income assets. The market's reaction, characterized by a 1.3% dip in the S&P 500, underscores the anxiety stemming from heightened borrowing costs for both corporations and households.
This surge in bond yields is not merely a statistical blip; it's a harbinger of a delicate dance between the Federal Reserve and the broader economic landscape. The specter of swelling U.S. debt looms large, and as Bloomberg Economics warns, the increase in yields could act as a drag on economic growth, akin to the impact of a Fed rate hike.
Geopolitical Turmoil: A Catalyst for Market Volatility
The geopolitical tableau adds a layer of complexity, with the Gaza conflict acting as a catalyst. The deadly explosion at a Gaza hospital and the subsequent cancellation of a summit with Arab leaders have injected fresh uncertainties into the market psyche. Beyond the tragic human toll, the conflict reverberates through financial markets, notably elevating oil prices.
Oil, the lifeblood of economies, rose nearly 2% to $91.50 a barrel. The Israel-Hamas conflict and optimistic outlooks for Chinese demand became twin engines propelling oil's ascent. Investors, already grappling with bond yield tremors, now face the added challenge of navigating an energy market rife with geopolitical uncertainties.
Corporate Performance: A Tapestry of Triumphs and Tribulations
Against this backdrop, corporate performances play a pivotal role in shaping market trajectories. Morgan Stanley's stock stumbled after reporting a drop in quarterly net income, emblematic of challenges within the financial sector. Simultaneously, Procter & Gamble's shares surged as the company reported a quarterly profit boost, underlining the impact of strategic pricing decisions in an inflationary environment.
The corporate stage is set, with companies wielding the power to either fortify or erode market confidence. In the case of United Airlines, a 7% early decline in shares following a cut in year-end earnings forecasts exemplifies the tightrope walked by companies in a tumultuous market environment.
Market Performance: A Symphony of Red and Green
As the final notes of the market day resonated, the S&P 500, Nasdaq Composite, and Dow Industrials bore the weight of a 1.3%, 1.6%, and 1% decline, respectively. The Russell 2000, reflecting smaller companies, faced a more substantial 2.1% dip. This symphony of red underscores the impact of mixed corporate reports and the tightening grip of rising Treasury yields.
The decline is not confined to domestic shores; the MSCI World index echoes the sentiment, falling in tandem with its U.S. counterparts. The markets, in their collective wisdom, are sending signals of caution, reacting to the interplay of global and domestic variables.
Deciphering the Market's Sonnet
In conclusion, Wall Street's current state is akin to a sonnet, weaving together verses of bond yield surges, geopolitical tumult, and corporate performances. Each stanza contributes to the larger narrative of market sentiment, reflecting the delicate balance between risk and reward. Investors must read between the lines, understanding that every rise in bond yields, every geopolitical tremor, and every corporate report shapes the verses of the market's sonnet.
As we navigate these turbulent waters, an agile and discerning approach is paramount. The future remains unwritten, and while challenges abound, opportunities await those who can decipher the intricate melodies emanating from Wall Street's financial symphony.
#STXRES #JSE - Resources bouncing off Long term levelsResource are very likely the place to be over the medium term. Satrix Resources which is a basket of the biggest resource stocks on the JSE is bouncing off a massive level of previous long term support which has now become support (Change of Polarity). This is a great area to accumulate for the long term in my opinion. Will be happy to review after a few months but for now 3x hold of support shows the bulls mean business.
Constituents below:
ibb.co
#TMF >3 month PutsHow sustainable is a 3x leveraged 30+ year us treasury bond fund #TMF when short term borrowing rates ( i.e. "the leverage" ) is higher than the long term rates it invests in ?
SPOT THE DIFFERENCE: Real vs RUG📈📉Hi Traders, Investors and Speculators of Charts📈📉
Hundreds if not thousands of new cryptocurrencies launch monthly. All with big promises of use case, flashing tech and a stock-standard wide mouthed YouTube guy telling you how high it will moon. With these new tokens and coins also comes many initial coin offerings (ICOs) that are often scams. The demand for these have grown, even despite the fact that many people get rugpulled. This mostly unregulated market makes for a perfect place to scam innocent people out of their money, with little consequences to the thieves.
With crypto scams rampant, it's easy to get mixed up in a scam coin whose ultimate goal is a liquidity drain (slow, stair-step bleed down). Here's my top advice to avoid diversifying into bad projects / scams:
- Research the team. Perhaps the single most important success factor for any ICO or cryptocurrency is the developers and administrative team behind the project. The cryptocurrency space is dominated by major names. For that reason, it's increasingly common for scammers to invent fake founders and biographies for their projects.
- Check the whitepaper, twitter account and website. You want to see the background, goals, strategy and timeline for implementation for any blockchain-related project. This can be incredibly revealing: companies that have a flashy website may reveal they lack a fundamentally sound concept. On the other hand, a company with a website containing spelling errors may que that they lack a professional and qualified team and the website was built by someone's cousin's brother.
- It it sounds too good to be true, it probably is. The idea of getting rich quick on an investment in a hot new project sure is tempting. Remember that projects sounding too good to be true , likely are. Spend time scrutinizing every detail, and assume that the absence of a piece of crucial information may be an attempt to hide an unsound model or concept.
- Note the name. I can't stress this enough. Baby Doge, Baby Shib, pizza coin, bulldog etc... These are all coins that are obviously meme coins and you can almost expect to be rugged if you buy into a coin with a weird or funny name.
Final Rule of thumb : Always be CAUTIOUS when investing in projects that have retraced more than 90% from its ATH.
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BINANCE:DOGEUSDT BINANCE:DOGEUSD BYBIT:BABYDOGEUSDT MEXC:BABYDOGEUSDT
A potential case for Dollar depreciation against the Euro Is it possible to see the Dollar depreciate against the Euro in the upcoming future, as a wannabe economist. I propose a few objective data points that may or may not support this thesis. I am interested in gaining feedback to further my ability to apply what I am self-teaching myself.
BITCOIN Bullish OutlookMy bullish outlook on Bitcoin stems not only from it potential as a politically neutral asset, but also due to the recent decision of the SEC to not appeal the Grayscale BTC ETF, thus making it a more attractive means of investment for the average consumer, as well as giving it credibility in the legacy markets.
In terms of price targets, some technical views suggest the following levels:
- $28,296
- $31,800
- In an extremely optimistic scenario, it might even reach $40,000.
1. The recent decision by the SEC not to challenge the approval of the Grayscale Bitcoin ETF suggests a more investor-friendly approach to Bitcoin investment may be on the horizon. This change in stance could make it easier for average joes to enter the Bitcoin market.
2. The rising global tensions are making Bitcoin appear increasingly attractive as it's a non-biased and politically neutral asset. This quality positions Bitcoin for potential success in uncertain times.
3. Notably, prominent figures like SkyBridge CEO Anthony Scaramucci embracing Bitcoin and JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon altering his previously negative stance on cryptocurrencies add credibility to Bitcoin's prospects.
The Semiconductor Industry and Texas Instruments Long TXN
Company Overview: Texas Instruments (TXN) is a prominent and long-established semiconductor company headquartered in Dallas, Texas. Founded in 1930, TXN has evolved into a global leader in the semiconductor industry, with a diverse portfolio of analog and embedded processing products. Here are some key aspects of the company:
Product Range:
TXN specializes in analog and embedded processing semiconductors. Analog chips are designed to process real-world signals such as sound, light, temperature, and motion. They are used in a wide range of applications, from industrial and automotive systems to consumer electronics.
As tensions between Taiwan and China continue to rise, it is a good idea to consider the semiconductor business as an industry to invest in. The largest chip manufacturer in Taiwan by far is Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co (TSMC). Although TSMC focuses on digital semiconductors, the hype alone could lead many investors to add TXN to their portfolio simply because they don't understand the difference. TXN is also in a unique position, where in the event of a China-Taiwan conflict, it could certainly garner increased government funding.
We are currently watching three main price points.
1. $156.00
2. $167.00
3. $186.00
We are currently hitting the direct top of our Ichimoku cloud.
If we bounce here i anticipate All targets being hit within 2 months.
Especially if we see geopolitical events continue in their current manner.
Edwards Lifesciences - A Fine Enterprise
How to summarize this business ?
Rising earnings with high profit margins and low debt over long period of time.
***
EPS has grown from 0.3 in 2010 to 2.48 in 2022, with average profit margin of 22% for the past 7 years. Equity has been growing from 1.9 in 2010 to 9.5 in 2022 (book value per share). For the past 7 years highest Debt to Equity was 0.35 in 2017, currently standing at 0.12 ;
Sales per share have been on a steady rise from 2 in 2010 to 8.6 in 2022.
Company handles cash very well with free cash flow being around the level of net income for most years.
At these market levels with current EPS, company has not been valued so low since 2015, making it an attractive offer for this kind of enterprise.
Have A Great Day.
Welcome to the next generation.This is a huge thank you as an ex TradingView employee and platform nerd for releasing this awesome feature.
Until now, I had to painstakingly put it all together myself.
Now it costs only a few clicks.
THANK YOU TRADINGVIEW!
> Greetings go out to every little gear, of this freaky machine. Love you all.
Let's have some fun with this template.
Welcome to the next generation.
Gazprom price retracement to the fair value 7th October 2023
Synopsis:
Despite the conflict in Ukraine, Gazprom revenue is growing and currently on its historical high while price dropped to the 2016 level in US dollars. Price to the assets including oil subsidiary is on very low level. Large buyers started accumulating position according to Accum/Dist indicator.
Entry: 1st- 1.5 USD (160 RUB), 2nd - 1.12 USD* (113 RUB)
Target 3.0 USD (300 RUB) and above
Duration: 180d
* Potential new lower low in USD based on historical rubble price
Forecast White WAVE My forecast white wave is a range of days which travels from the top to bottom. As it moves to the top, candles seem to dip and as the wave moves down, candles move up.
I laid a yellow arrow pointing at the top of the white wave.
Every 2 vertical lines comes with a forecast of what’s likely to happen. The greenish ones shows it’s moving up to price value.
The orange top trend is my value line. Bottom orange moves along the candles.
XDB Accumulation - with XDB/BTC pairing.Accumulating XDB and running it in XDB/BTC pairing bots.. It is my coin for the year that may turn around and is finding it's bottom, if it hasnt already done so.
Current info
- XDB is an active project with updates informed vua Twitter and Medium
- It is a payment system that offers 10-15% in rewards after its used for a purchase at this time.
- They just launched payments in ASRoma, Doppleganger and Nuvolari (50 or so) stores. according the their Twitter handle Digitalbitsorg.
- In ... I believe MEXC AMA, they teased a large 900+ location brand chain that they are working with to launch Digibits for payments and rewards.
- Uses AtraX wallet
- It was primarily traded on Kucoin and Gate.io, but in the past month or two it has been listed on MEXC, CoinDCX, BTCEX, Deepcoin, etc.
- Also according to their Twitter, "#Defi is coming. AMM and liquidity pools are part of the V18 update, which is in testnet."
- Tokenomics roughly 3b/20b circulting. Some have been burned, some donated to Ukraine (address untouched since donation as of now).
- A token release/minting schedule is unknown.
I've been accumulating for a month or two.It has an ATH of 0.84 and is currently trading at ~0.00138. I'll be accumulating 0.0002-0.006. It's All time low is 0.00113147 on Kucoin. Which is down 99.xx%. Given the project being active, payments/rewrds available in a growing list of new stores, and DEFI in testnet the project appears to be undervalued. Weekly volume since October 2022-current is roughly 50x when copared to 2021 when it had it's high of 0.84 which is good news, but the Tokenomics needs to be monitored.
You can plainly see what is happening to the US dollarHistoric value of the US dollar before it collapses to Historic lows
Every step the U.S. Government has taken will strengthen the dollar and put massive pressure
on the economy.
When will people learn that nothing holds an inflated value too long.
The flaw most human beings have is they want the value to keep going up and maintain.
Housing markets, Bonds, commodities, company stocks and even cryptocurrency.
Nothing holds value!!!
Not even gold.
Value goes up and down.
Sometimes a value never increases to the levels you purchased.
Incorporating new technology into an asset depreciates when tech and material used starts dropping in value.
Housing market will be hit hard.
Economy is taking a beating to maintain a level of profits with merchandise.
Less spending causes a wave of layoffs and restructuring to balance the companies financials.
Cheaper alternatives to inflated goods will just inflate the cost and value of cheaper alternatives.
Never ending cycle in global markets to make money
NO investment strategy
This is just an example of what could potentially happen
AAPL Downgraded by KeyBanc: Weak Sales Outlook Raises ConcernsIntroduction:
In a recent development, KeyBanc has downgraded Apple Inc. (AAPL) due to a concerning weak sales outlook. This downgrade has sent shockwaves through the market, prompting traders to reevaluate their positions and consider potential shorting opportunities. In this article, we will delve into the reasons behind the downgrade and discuss why traders should exercise caution when dealing with AAPL.
Understanding the Downgrade:
KeyBanc's downgrade of AAPL stems from their analysis of the company's sales outlook. They have identified certain factors that indicate a potential decline in sales, thereby raising concerns about the stock's future performance. As traders, it is crucial to pay attention to such expert opinions and assess the potential impact on our investment strategies.
Reasons for Weak Sales Outlook:
Several factors contribute to the weak sales outlook for AAPL. KeyBanc highlights the following key concerns:
1. Slowing iPhone Sales: The iPhone has been Apple's flagship product, accounting for a significant portion of its revenue. However, KeyBanc predicts a potential slowdown in iPhone sales due to market saturation and intense competition.
2. Trade Tensions: The ongoing trade tensions between the US and China have the potential to disrupt Apple's supply chain and negatively impact its sales. Any escalation in these tensions could further hamper AAPL's growth prospects.
The Call-to-Action: Consider Shorting AAPL with Caution
Given the weak sales outlook and KeyBanc's downgrade, traders should approach AAPL with caution. While shorting AAPL may present an opportunity for profit, it is essential to consider the following factors:
1. Conduct Thorough Research: Before initiating any short position, conduct comprehensive research to understand the potential risks and rewards associated with shorting AAPL. Analyze the company's financials, market trends, and competitor performance to make informed decisions.
2. Diversify Your Portfolio: Shorting AAPL should be part of a well-diversified investment strategy. Avoid placing all your bets on a single stock, as this can expose you to unnecessary risks. Diversification helps mitigate potential losses in case the market responds differently than anticipated.
3. Monitor Market Sentiment: Keep a close eye on market sentiment and news updates related to AAPL. Any positive developments or changes in the company's outlook can quickly impact stock prices. Be prepared to adjust your trading strategy accordingly.
Conclusion:
KeyBanc's downgrade of AAPL based on the weak sales outlook highlights potential challenges for the company in the near future. While shorting AAPL may offer profit potential, traders should exercise caution and conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions. Diversification and monitoring market sentiment are essential for managing risks effectively. Stay informed and adapt your trading strategy accordingly to navigate the uncertainties surrounding AAPL's future performance.
XRP - Failure as a CryptoCurrency ? Deep Thoughts 💭Hi Traders, Investors and Speculators of Charts📈📉
For those who have been following me here for a while, you'll know that I've always been a notorious fan of XRP.
I used to be a true "believer", #xrparmy and the whole deal. Followed all the XRP pimps (such as BlockchainBacker ) on Twitter back when Twitter was still blue... but recently, I'm starting to develop some serious doubts about the fundamentals of this altcoin. And I'm going to level with you here. These are just my thoughts, and you are still entitled to your own opinions infact we encourage it.
As a trader; I can't help but notice the unusual price action on XRP compared to other coins. Did you know that XRP is one of VERY FEW altcoins / cryptos that has been unable to reclaim it's ATH for years after? Even with the benefit of being one of the first titans in crypto. Other coins have long surpassed their ATH's. But XRP made one high, and never again. This speaks of weakness in terms of value. And that can no longer be ignored.
The unfortunate truth about XRP is that the trading volume is low, and buyers are not keen to buy XRP due to it's ever increasing unpopularity. This directly creates weak support zones and strong resistance zones, as there is little confidence in the coin and bag holders are all waiting for the first best opportunity to sell. Short term traders would rather take losses than hold indefinitely.
XRP has become more and more unpopular over the course of time because of it's "Pump and Dump" price action. The SEC case and the whole controversy about the Taco stand (founders holding millions and dumping on the market) also didn't help.
Don't misunderstand. I will still trade XRP. The big difference in my approach, is the matter of accumulating. I've been accumulating XRP since about forever. And I have decided I will no longer accumulate. Instead, as soon as the price reaches higher than what I bought for, I will be looking to sell my bags. Considering this argument and the fact that I'm probably not alone in this approach, you can see from a trading perspective how dire this outlook is for support and resistance zones.
This is a real pity and hits close to my heart. It's hard to let go of an ideology you've held and defended for years. I really believed in the promise of a coin for institutions, cross border settlements etc. But unfortunately, as a trader, it makes no sense to hold a coin for years, no matter what great promises were made by the creators of Ripple. The truth is, if I bought as much DOGE as I did XRP, my portfolio would have been up x100 compared to now. This is sad, considering that DOGE and many others, like PEPE, are meme coins and hold no real fundamental value. The fact that meme coins do better than a coin " created for banking and large institutions " is a shock. And here's where you have to ask yourself... was it really?
💭So, what's the trading plan from here for XRPUSDT ?
If you must trade it... Buy low, sell high. I'll keep making updates on SHORT and NEAR TERM targets. But LONG term targets are too hard to speculate. Focus on technical indicators and trendlines alone to get price targets. No more fundamental-analysis "value" targets.
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CRYPTOCAP:XRP BINANCE:XRPUSDT BITSTAMP:XRPUSD
MarketAxess - The New GoogleThis is an impeccable company.
Flawless financials. High profit margins. High return on equity. Steady growth. Low debt. Lots of data to back it up.
Exceptional company.
And its price ratios have not been at these levels since 2015. In other words its valuation has not been so low for years.
The opportunity is still on.
Have A Great Day.
SHORT BITCOIN 4HI think that due to the JPEX scandal in the Hong Kong stock market, it will retest the previous low. Unfortunately, I believe that the bullish season of Bitcoin is still ongoing, and it will try to reach 24,000 in the long term.
Upside Reversal is near, WM below Intrinsic ValueWM is trading since mid 2022 in a bullish channel with clear reversals on the outer edges.
The bottom is near and it's likely that the end of year rally could take WM back to old highs.
Buy zone around $150-$135 TP around $170.
If we break the $135 even more losses are possible back to $110 area
Looking at the fundamentals, the intrinsic value for WM is around $170.
So I think it is a good opportunity
Look at the assetsNote the assets value is depreciated. The market value of buildings and equipment may quite differ… What would be the cash equivalent of these assets? What would be the cash per share then?
CYBIN Cybin is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company on a mission to create safe and effective psychedelic-based therapeutics to address the large unmet need for new and innovative treatment options for people who suffer from mental health conditions.
Cybin’s goal of revolutionizing mental healthcare is supported by a network of world-class partners and internationally recognized scientists aimed at progressing proprietary drug discovery platforms, innovative drug delivery systems, and novel formulation approaches and treatment regimens.
Billionaire Steve Cohen Buys 19M Shares Of Cybin Stock For Psychedelics R&D, Blake Mycoskie $100M Pledge.
The considerably large acquisition puts Cybin in the limelight with credibility status in ongoing and future work - see Cybin’s recent acquisition announcement of DMT therapeutics developer Small Pharma DMTTF.
Blake Mycoskie On His $100M Pledge To Psychedelics Research
Following a sound pledge of $100 million for psychedelics research, billionaire Blake Mycoskie has updated on how his funding agenda -representing around 25% of his wealth- will unfold.
Mycoskie says he is planning to “give $5 million a year for the rest of the time, until the $100 million runs out,” a yearly sum that “feels right, because the industry still feels nascent.”
That could change in the presence of “a huge opportunity” or in the need of “a huge campaign push.” Although he understands other donors are waiting for further regulatory and scientific success, his personal standpoint is that those aren’t needed in view of solid works authored by Johns Hopkins and New York University, among others.
USDJPY UP INTO THE CLOUDSTOP DOWN ANALYSIS ON USDJPY: USD/JPY is approaching the psychological barrier at 150, not too far from the 2022 high of 152.00. There is no sign of reversal of the uptrend, while momentum on the weekly charts isn’t showing any signs of fatigue. This suggests the pair could give a shot at 152.00. For the immediate upward pressure to begin easing, USD/JPY would need to fall below the early-September high of 147.75. Above 152.00, the next level to watch would be the 1990 high of 160.35. "Luke 18:31" My entry on the bounce from 15M trendline up intp the 150 clouds
