Z-VALUE
BTC careful buying opportunity?It is difficult to predict the future and I am not trying to. But statistically I can see some signs that have proven to be good buy opportunities in the past - at least for long-term holding.
With the recent negative outlook for the global industry, exploding inflation, ever increasing interest-rates with no easing in sight and an overall picture of a looming several years-long recession, it is not easy to appear bullish, yet we must not forget that these were the times in the past when equities (and so far Bitcoin too) have created the highest gains in the following few years.
This time might be different of course so all my current idea may prove to be a false hope but anyways, let's see it:
1. even non-crypto media is writing about the end times for crypto (just like they used to write about the exploseive strength of cryptos, especially the metaverse and gaming almost a year ago). This has often been a good sentimental sign that most of the selling has taken place.
2. a historically significant past resistance has been retested: the 2018 Jan (then) All-Time-High. These ATH levels tend to be retested before the price goes to new ATH's. Now it has finally happend.
3. In the past, whenever hitting significant resistance levels was accompanied by significantly larger-than-recent-average volume, a bottom was either in or very close in terms of price level - though it sometimes took months for the price to lift off - one could argue that reently there was a double volume-pike and price still continued lower - I think that was because of point 2: retesting the past resistance. As that was only a one-timeATH in2018 and not an otherwise strong support/resistance, I can still see a bearish case for the proce to retest a true S/R level which has held back price on several occasions over a long accumulation period between 10.5k and 12.5k from March 2018 to October 2020 (2.5 years!). That is an area where I am ready to deploy even more capital than at today's price level.
Timing the market is frequently called an unwise strategy - at least in equities market. Whether you do lump-sum invetsing or DCA'ing I think it is a good time to buy an S&P or world-TOP-stocks index fund or ETF index fund or even some well-diversified REIT or REIT ETF.
BUT BTC still has to prove its intrinsic value (it does not create a real cashflow - at least in my experience and price is mainly moved by speculation on future appreciation). I am happy to debate that but crypto is generally still in its infancy, with 99% of the projects in the space being either "nice tries" or outright scams. Crypto assets still need to prove that they have anunreplacable role in the real economy. Very-very-very few prove it indeed but still this does not mean that any crypto is the future Google or Amazon if compared to the dotcom period.
Stay safe out there.
An Option for ZMZM has been on a steep downward trend since stay at home began to lift last year. Now its nearing the IPO stock price with 10x the revenue. We all know it can go lower but perhaps at these prices your considering a position based on its new lines of business and cash stock pile that is ripe for acquisitions. So let's look at a play that can provide a buffer down to pre the IPO price with a fixed 24% yield ( 30% annualized yield ) unless ZM falls more than 24% to below $65.27 . Where we can only start to lose if ZM falls by more than 29% to below $60.94 as of 06/16/2023.
Required Capital: $8470.94
Order
Buy 4 $55 puts
Sell 5 $65 puts
Exp 6/16/23
Limit price: $16.65
DNAA Chamath IPO play- high targetDNAA is one of Chamath ipo’s play that will moon ~ its a very risky play but it worth it
Looking at Monday opening my target are as below:-
1st target 75$
2nd target is 125$
And my 3rd target is 170$
Trade safe ~
The power of 0.5FIB can pump BTC!?Hi Forks This daily chart is so exciting and juicy to enter a Long position with large Level money and risky Leverage haha
Btw we can be patient to watch the way of BTC in these 8 hours, maybe 1 day close can change the market whales decision!
I think at this time, the behave of companies like GOOGLE in market can Seduce the others to Join Crypto and we can see the rise of Crypto and web3
Im so sure to make my long here with ×13 Leverage to 28100:)
I hope you enjoy this bullish mind!!
Good luck
E-MINI S&P500'S SEARCH FOR VALUE15TH OF AUGUST – 1ST ENTRY (ES Futures Contract)
I started to build my swing position by shorting the market at 4275.00. At the moment I’m risking 0.25%. I’m 25 points away from my entry targets. The reasons for an early entry are:
1. Overall weak Market Structure (last 2 month-rally).
2. Weak liquidity on 4 Consecutive Days. This is suggesting me that we might be experiencing a temporary bullish hype by weak hand traders.
3. Gradual build up of my trade. A market that trades against me and goes to 4300 and beyond will allow me to add more size and complete the trade, while improving my average price of entry.
NOTES
4100 – 4150 = it is logical for the market to trade in brackets around a high-volume area, which in this case it was also the fairest price of the instrument (VPOC). The most important aspect of monitoring the VPOC (volume point of control) or fairest price level is the ability to visualise the potential change or no change in the fairest price level. On the 10th of August the market breaks away in an attempt to raise the perceived value of the S&P500.
11th of August – Perfect example of how the markets lie and trading what you see can be dangerous. The daily candle closed as a shooting star and trapped many traders into weak positions making them think it was a possible turning point. I was suspicious due to weak liquidity been put into the market and various volume anomalies. On the next day we have the shooting start violation and therefore a market confirming the fact that we didn’t have any real selling pressure that day, but rather a liquidation due to profit taking of weak hands traders.
4300 – 4365 = This is the area of potential entries. The value of the instrument is out of balance once again, the market can now be attracted to this area where we have significant low volume nodes. Low volume nodes represent past aggressive auctions (aggressive sellers here) which take the market out of fair value. They tend to be rebalanced by the market at some point, just like any other weak/inefficient area. At 4300 we also have obvious/weak highs. Any buying that took place above the fairest price level (VPOC) saw buyers buying price above the fairest price. When this is occurring traders are taking above-average risk , when I trade I like to constantly think in terms of odds. Any selling, relative to the fairest price level, would be considered selling short-in-the-hole or selling price below value. In other words, by going out of balance now (breaking away from the VPOC) we are testing the best short locations. This becomes particularly powerful when contextualised in a particular scenario (like this case) and compared with volume in relation to time and price, market structure and other relevant clues.
For more explanations, please view my previous post, "A Dive Into My Swing Trading Approach (+setup)".
BTCUSDTPERPThis is not sure for 80 % and do your search before you enter in this position and you can do with your money whatever you want to do dont forget to follow me. Go with 0X leverage and the stop loss is less than 2% so if this trade loss we will nit less so much but if this trade going right we will take so much
Using BTC Dominance With Current Bitcoin PriceSome people monitor bitcoin price along with bitcoin dominance to help them make trading decisions. Although they are not iron laws, here are some potential outcomes that various combinations of BTC price and dominance may be indicative of.
1. When the price and dominance of BTC are rising, it could signal a potential bitcoin bull market.
2. When the price of BTC is rising but BTC dominance is falling, it could signal a potential altcoin bull market.
3. When the price of BTC is falling but BTC dominance is rising, it could signal a potential altcoin bear market.
4. When the price and dominance of BTC are falling, it could signal a potential bear trend for the entire crypto market.
5. While these two factors do not imply a definite bull or bear market, historical observations suggest a correlation.
A Dive Into My Swing Trading Approach (+setup) This video was a short synthesis of my swing trading approach. For the amount of information I presented, I'm not expecting to successfully being able to convey my means and ways in one short video, but I'm glad if I could at least show a different perspective.
Some important things I forgot to mention:
- The tolerance for identifying a visual weak liquidity pattern is 2 ticks, 3 ticks during highly volatile days (for the ES). This can change from one market to another. Anything more than 2/3 ticks is considered a move of conviction supported by strong liquidity, a market that has the confidence to see what's beyond a certain point to then either sharply reverse or move forward.
- Using this method I CANNOT know what the market makers are exactly doing, there is no way to know, they will always be a step ahead of any brilliant retail trader. However, we can understand their logic and the weak traders' logic, the latter is the type we want to trade against.
SETUP
As I said, I favour a short trade, but as of today I have to remain on the sidelines. During this times is important to be flexible and change ones bias if that's what the market is suggesting. I will post my set up (if any) in due course.
What Is Market Capitalization?
1. Definition
A. For a cryptocurrency like Bitcoin, market capitalization (or market cap) is the total value of all the coins that have been mined.
B. It’s calculated by multiplying the number of coins in circulation by the current market price of a single coin.
2. How is it measured?
C. Market Cap = Price × Circulating Supply
3. What can you do with market cap?
D. Market cap allows you to compare the total value of one cryptocurrency with another so you can make more informed investment decisions.
E. Cryptocurrencies are classified by their market cap into three categories (Large-cap , Mid-cap , Small-cap)
4. Large-cap cryptocurrencies
F. Including Bitcoin and Ethereum, have a market cap of more than $10 billion.
G. Investors consider them to be lower risk investments because they have a demonstrated track-record of growth and often have higher liquidity.
H. They can withstand a higher volume of people cashing out without the price being dramatically impacted.
5. Mid-cap cryptocurrencies
I. Have market caps between $1 billion and $10 billion.
J. They generally are considered to have more untapped potential upside but also higher risk.
6. Small-cap cryptocurrencies
K. Have a market cap of less than $1 billion and are most susceptible to dramatic swings based on market sentiment.
Caterpillar - Great Stock for 2022 - Bull RunHey all,
CAT Caterpillar, Inc, why does it look like a good stock to buy right now?
NYSE:CAT
Earnings - Highest ever reported revenue / Second highest ever margin percentage and value
Price - Currently 185.81 / 12 month low = 167.08 / 12 month high = 237.90 / Great prospect to rise to near the 12 month high due to record breaking earnings and margin.
Dividend - 2.44% paid annually
A great prospect for holding for 6 months / Warning: keep an eye on the economy regarding the recession and possible job losses, this could drive the stock down rapidly.
Let me know your thoughts.
Many Thanks
Matt
NYSE:CAT
Tesla: Stock Split on August 25, 2022. Hello all. On August 5th, 2022, Tesla announced its already approved, 3 for 1 stock split. Each stockholder who is on record as of August 17, 2022 will receive two additional shares of the tesla stock on August 24, 2022. As of August 25, 2022 every stock holder will begin trading with the new adjusted stock split.
At the time of making this post the stock price is $900 meaning we can expect the price of the stock to go to around $300 after the split.
This will be a 66% drop or in other words 66% cheaper purchasing price. Definitely this will be a more comfortable range for small investors to purchase a pice of the company.
From the technical standpoint, we can picture a bear flag on the weekly timeframe with a potential downwards move pointing towards the $350 range. Weekly RSI is reaching its overbought territory and the volume remains rather bearish than relatively bullish due to the decline in volume.
If the price falls to $300 and then goes back up to at least where it is now, the price per share will increase by 200%.
In the link below find answers to common questions regarding this event.
Thanks for reading, and stay tuned. Enjoy.
www.forbes.com
#ETCUSDT #ETCBUSD #Ethereum #ETCUSDTPERPI think the $23.43-$25.00 range will stop the price going higher.
Of course, I have stated the range of further support below.
Support range 1: 11.47 - 10.75
Support range 2: 8.10 - 7.56
We are likely to have a temporary stop in the range of 13.99 - 12.67.
This is just an opinion and not a buy or sell signal.
Crypto101 - How to spot a scam 👀Hi Traders, Investors and Speculators 📉📈
Ev here. Been trading crypto since 2017 and later got into stocks. I have 3 board exams on financial markets and studied economics from a top tier university for a year.
Hundreds if not thousands of new cryptocurrencies launch monthly. All with big promises of use case, flashing tech and a stock-standard wide mouthed YouTube guy telling you how high it will moon. With these new tokens and coins also comes many initial coin offerings (ICOs) that are often scams. The demand for these have grown, even despite the fact that many people get rugpulled. This mostly unregulated market makes for a perfect place to scam innocent people out of their money, with little consequences to the thieves. When it comes to cryptocurrencies, one of the biggest challenges for investors is not getting caught up in the hype. Digital currencies have quickly risen to prominence in the portfolios of many retail and institutional investors. At the same time, people are still shocked when something like the recent LUNAUSDT / TERRA happens.
Let's discuss a few ways to navigate this wild west market:
- Research the team. Perhaps the single most important success factor for any ICO or cryptocurrency is the developers and administrative team behind the project. The cryptocurrency space is dominated by major names, with superstar developers like Ethereum ETHUSDT founder Vitalik Buterin capable of making or breaking new projects simply by having their names listed on a development team. For that reason, it's increasingly common for scammers to invent fake founders and biographies for their projects.
- Check the whitepaper. The whitepaper should lay out the background, goals, strategy, concerns, and timeline for implementation for any blockchain-related project. Whitepapers can be incredibly revealing: companies that have a flashy website may reveal they lack a fundamentally sound concept. On the other hand, a company with a website containing spelling errors may have a whitepaper that indicates a rock-solid concept and a carefully conceived implementation plan.
- It it sounds too good to be true, it probably is. The idea of getting rich quick on an investment in a hot new project sure is tempting. Keep an eye out as you look for new investment opportunities in the ICO and cryptocurrency spaces. Remember that projects sounding too good to be true , likely are. Spend time scrutinizing every detail, and assume that the absence of a piece of crucial information may be an attempt to hide an unsound model or concept. Look for outside sources to verify the legitimacy of any project before making an investment. Ask questions that you can't already find the answers to.
Now, the project on the chart - BURGERUSDT . BurgerCities crypto was developed on the BNB Chain ecosystem and is now linked to MetaFi . People compete for rewards on the BurgerCities platform. BurgerCities transitioned from being a DeFi product available on the BNB chain as Burgerswap to integrating DeFi and NFT into a more expansive metaverse space, producing uniform and standardized Web3 behavioral metaverse universe. Being a metaverse-oriented project, BurgerCities supports the NFT concept making it possible for users to earn returns through gameplay.
Don't get me wrong; I am not stating that Burger coin is a scam - I am merely pointing out that you should always do your due diligence research on new coins / projects, and be extra cautious when the coin / token has a funny name.
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US02Y/US10Y bonds signals end to market rally. Bear FlattenerUS02Y up ~6%
US10Y up ~0.12%
Definition of a Bear Flattener = market go down.
Is it a perfect indicator? Of course not. But the tendency is that bear flatteners mean money is coming out of the market and going into short term bonds where it can come out of the quickest if market turns around. So the short term bonds act as a kind of pump/dump for the market. We are getting bear flattener headwinds ahead of CPI print next week.
Next week maybe market flattens out, momentum dies, slow stochastic falls below 80, and price sets up to go below prior "higher lows".
Keep on alert.
GUCCI now accepts APECOIN 🚀Hi Traders, Investors and Speculators📈📉
Ev here. Been trading crypto since 2017 and later got into stocks. I have 3 board exams on financial markets and studied economics from a top tier university for a year.
Great news for the cryptocurrency community, Italian luxury fashion house Gucci announced that it now accepts ApeCoin (APEUSDT) in a Thursday Twitter announcement last week. Gucci customers are able to pay with the help of a QR code that gets sent to them via email. They announced via tweet that they are now accepting ApeCoin payments via BitPay. Select Gucci boutiques in the USA expand the range of cryptocurrencies available for in-store purchases, yet another step in the Gucci House’s exploration of Web3. For the first time ever, holders of this crypto currency will be able to buy physical goods with the coin that was derived from the BAYC economy.
This is bullish news for APEUSD, and for the crypto community as market adaptation and reach will increase. The more participants a market has, the more stable and less volatile it becomes. Think Gold , bonds etc.
While you're here ! Check out this update on Ethereum ETHUSDT :
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US30. This Move Is Big! If you take a look at at the weekly timeframe you'll see US30 has been in a downtrend since February 2022. Stocks began to decrease significantly taking out 2021 higher lows where most people during the Covid began to invest heavily.
Now, in August 2022, if US30 can push past 33,462, the last lower high this could signal a positive opportunity for people who invest in stocks.
However, if price shows a bearish signal here, more downside could be seen.
I'd like to be hopeful in the scenario this index does present bullish opportunities.
If not, it's best to be prepared. I'll be watching this on the daily timeframe.
Thanks for reading.