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All or Nothing Versus DCA rule boundThis is for the new trader trying to find what works for them. ((Note.)) It does not have to be your idea to work. I struggled with this in my trading early on and it cost me money, stress, and lots of doubt. I am sure this has been shown in some way or another many times over. If you have never seen this concept before then I hope it helps you win. Concept : You only have $1,000 to start with. Do you shoot for the moon and go all or nothing or do a dollar cost average plan with a few rules. All or nothing .... Pick your entry and cross fingers. As a new trader even a seasoned trader will get Bad Entries when the market does not go according to your plan or your Tech Analysis. DCA .... Buying on a schedule or a set of rules. Dollar cost average gives you a chance to make bad entries as the plan or tech analysis falls apart. This DCA rule bound play is restricted to BTC going down %5 or greater before you can buy a Max of $100 worth at any entry you choose. * for this example i chose the tops of each move up from that down move. After buying in you have to wait until the next move down %5, I try to not have the purchase on the same level as back to back.
BINANCE:BTCUSDEducation
by Sir-Kameleon
DXY in a vital resistanceDXY (US dollar index) is in a vital resistance. if we have good news of inflation this week we can see a good correction in DXY. and this is reason for improvement of risky and parallel markets like crypto and stocks. according to this level i think we have a little correction and after that we should update our analyze. also we can see a three top reversal pattern in this level and its attached to my analyze. be careful these days about your assets. follow news and happenings and make best decisions. dont forget that our first step is: <<< protect our funds >>>
INDEX:DXYShort
by TraderAmin-KZ
1
Total crypto market 1M timeframes - BTC - BTCUSD comparedHi! Apparently, technical analysis does not work, but on its basis we can base many future movements, entries or exits. A self-fulfilling prophecy which is technical analysis over the past few years has estimated a pretty good time to jump in and jump out the train. 1. Today I'll will show you what we can infer from the charts - price action, rsi, stoch & some herd noise. Shortly about indicators - As we all know, these are lagging indicators, but it's pretty good to use them to take wider picture on the market structure. Here is some thoughts about currently market structure played at historical data with few more tools; Currently on the monthly chart frame using Fibonacci retracement price get to the 0.786 point -> same as bitcoin chart. - This level is quite important as price action meet the 200 moving average – last several times it was great opportunity to take some expositions at this point assuming long term moves (from the begging of bitcoin history including 1m time frame candles – bitcoin didn’t fell & close below 200 moving average.). Otherwise in this place total crypto market cap reached “last bubble highs” around 771.5Billion $ of total value. Bitcoin with this total crypto market value (late 2017) was around 19.875 $ price per piece – same as now was (few hours earlier). Based on historical facts on last two cycles - last relative strength index topped ( 3x red circles RSI window/ confirming divergence) - around 01 march 2022 - from this point, we will have approximately 730 days until price rise up significantly which can be around march 2024 – 1 month until next bitcoin halving. 2. From example some thoughts I always keep in mind that in crypto it is all base on multiplying your exposition: -> Since buy at 60k, your path until 100k give you 66,667% gain, -> Since you buy at 20k, gain will be 500%, -> Since you but at 10k your profit will reach 1000% - it’s 10x compared to 1,667% when you buy at 60k. It is very likely that we will see price range 14/ 16k $ for one bitcoin, without excluding deeper dive in short/mid term. -> From 60k to 20k is 67,67% down/ -> From 60k to 10k is 83,33% down/ -> From 20k to 10k is still -50% down/ Don't catch the falling knives should be appropriate definition if you don't calculate your risk -> nice way to avoid risky entries is DCA - which mean dollar cost average - in other words entry price averaging. 3. Some thoughts about sentiment. > Positive features: - BTC as know was never hacked, - It gives P2P transactions, - diversifies portfolio - best known digital value, - long term dolar oversupply (btc priced in dollar) – as we know all of FIAT currency is going to zero over the time – knowing it, we can assume that Bitcoin going to infinity compared to USD - (look BTC starting price ~0.10$), - on-chain whale accumulation, - price correction ~75% down – (estimated 75-85% for my attractive range), - negative social media sentiment, “crypto is a scam” & others, - fundamental – bitcoin was created by people for people, and its value its created by unforced faith. >Negative features: - unfavorable regulations for cryptocurrency (especialy PoW consensus) – including green energy, - bitcoin sell pression from institutions – cutting the corners - to take over the market* and attempt to liquidate centralized collateraled holdings like Celsius – adding maximal fear, - uncertain situation on the financial markets, bitcoin will be probably one of the assets to cover other losses, - as allways, black swans. 4. I'm not saying that bitcoin won't hit new lows and break a long-standing trend, but I think it's unlikely. Im still think that bitcoin is very risky asset with high volatile, but its great opportunity to diversify your portfolio into digital and very liquid assets - inversely correlated to FIAT currencies. This market stays here for longer and it looks like it is repetitive itself.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by NightTerm
Eth gbp I've personally put ALL my assets onto cold storage and waiting for price to recover all those big pumped green vector candles that our good friends, the market makers have kindly sold to all those traders that bought using leverage...so their essentially in a loss on those contracts they agreed to. This "pre covid" line , imo, applies to all the coins that were in existence prior to march 2020. I reckon there will be big institutions lookin at these levels too and by then, the filthy hands of the fed and sec will have all their regulations and BS in place so they can get on board and mot likely try and funk up our new financial world for their own benefit. Shame ... but there's no fighting them over this
by steve_taffy
Square (Block) Accumulation TimeThis is retesting lows of March 2020. The bear market wiped out the last Bull market rallys gains on almost all stocks. Check the earnings reports on the growth stocks beaten down, it I'd ridiculous because they are legit and in a normal market environment would never have lead to a major sell off or any sell off for that matter. It's as if the any little excuse was found and used to dump the Stocks during this time of inflation pressure. For those who are here for the long term it would behoove you to acquire shares at these super discounted levels.
NYSE:SQLong
by Sawyer170
1
Bitcoin, please read the White Paper before investingI don't normally use the CME chart to trade crypto; however, family members bought a lot of the neighbors' farms in the 1980's so I thought I'd share this chart for my fellow crypto sod busters. There is 'paper Bitcoin' trading happening. That equates to there being no rational, -easily- predictable top or bottom. The bottom is in when the 'Composite Group' can buy at the lowest price and when the seller is exhausted (Wyckoff, 1931). The composite group can print both the USD and the paper commodity using the CME to force all but the composite group out of the market; in fact, that is the goal. They'll take the farm. The Fed prints to buy, or lend to proxies who buy, and inflate to make the settlement price closer to zero. I do not know where the BTC bottom is for 2022. We can take into account the paper trading and use on-chain metrics to see where people value Bitcoin. I personally see Bitcoin as a valuable buy as marked on the chart, but I've also seen value in pitching 75 pound alfalfa bales for a penny. The Wyckofian composite group will do -anything- to get the 'Lost or HODLed' coins to move. We may be seeing the first real macro-financial attack on Bitcoin which can only be good news in light of the Bitcoin White paper and its' intellectual precursors. The Bitcoin whitepaper: bitcoinwhitepaper.co The intellectual precursor groups.csail.mit.edu Yes, we're playing hardball with centralized currency, tax coercion, state meddling in our pocketbooks, and we're taking Human Action before Atlas Shrugged: www.goodreads.com This is not financial advice, I am not a financial advisor and have no in stake in you success. I bought a $13 video game in 2013 with a Bitcoin I mined in 2011, don't cry to me.
CME:BTC1!Short
by ZenoAgropolous
Something Bullish Could Be Happening in ChinaU.S. stocks fell into a “bear market” this week. Meanwhile, a new bull market could be starting across the Pacific. This chart shows the iShares China Large Cap ETF with relative strength compared to the S&P 500. FXI lagged the U.S. benchmark consistently between February 2021 and May 2022. But it’s outperformed in the last month as officials in Beijing lend support to the business community . As many traders know, a bear market starts when an index drops 20 percent from its high. A lesser-known definition from S&P states that a bull market begins with a rebound of 20 percent from the low. By this definition, China exited its bear market earlier in June. Perhaps even more interesting is the strength of China’s burgeoning technology sector – especially with the Nasdaq-100 reeling lower. This second weekly chart features the Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index, which holds major companies like Alibaba and JD.com. Notice how it appears to have broken a falling trendline. Second, HXC’s relative strength histogram is pegged to the Nasdaq-100, home to major names like Apple and Microsoft. Its recent outperformance was the highest in 17 years of history. The divergence is noteworthy because Chinese tech stocks have typically behaved like high-beta versions of their U.S. peers. This time they’re trying to break out at the same time a hawkish Fed hammers Silicon Valley valuations. Traders may want to consider whether a bigger rotation is underway. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options, futures and cryptocurrencies. See our Overview for more. Important Information TradeStation Securities, Inc., TradeStation Crypto, Inc., and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., all operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. You Can Trade, Inc. is also a wholly owned subsidiary of TradeStation Group, Inc., operating under its own brand and trademarks. TradeStation Crypto, Inc. offers to self-directed investors and traders cryptocurrency brokerage services. It is neither licensed with the SEC or the CFTC nor is it a Member of NFA. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products, and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Please click here for further important information explaining what this means. This content is for informational and educational purposes only. This is not a recommendation regarding any investment or investment strategy. Any opinions expressed herein are those of the author and do not represent the views or opinions of TradeStation or any of its affiliates. Investing involves risks. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options, futures, or digital assets); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Before trading any asset class, first read the relevant risk disclosure statements on the Important Documents page, found here: www.tradestation.com .
AMEX:FXI
by TradeStation
Ladies and Gentlemen, welcome the Bear Market!INVESTMENT CONTEXT The worst trading week since January was followed by yet another market meltdown on June 13, with Nasdaq shedding 4.68% after dropping more than 7% in the previous 5 trading days, and S&P 500 finally entering bear territory just 2 years past the last one The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield, regarded as a global benchmark for borrowing costs, hit 3.29% - its maximum since 2011, while the 2-year Treasury yield surged to 3.23% Russia claimed to have taken control of 80% of Severdonetsk, the last major Ukrainian foothold in the country's East Beijing, Shanghai and other cities were put under new COVID-induced restrictions The UK economy contracted 0.3% in April, missing analyst expectations of 0.1% growth BTC collapsed to USD 20k early on June 14, on news that Binance temporarily suspended withdrawals following Celsius pause on all redemptions due to "extreme market conditions" PROFZERO'S TAKE The great bear market of our time has finally begun, with S&P 500 plunging 20% from the 4,714 peak touched on January 11 this year. Predictably, as soon as the technical indicators were breached, droves of short positions triggered, plunging asset prices even further. No corner of the equity market was spared, and the brunt of the sell-off was borne by Growth assets in the tech-intensive Nasdaq index. ProfZero has been repeatedly preaching caution, calling the attention of investors on the combined industrial shocks that are bringing one of the longest bull markets in history to an end. The energy and commodity crisis has unearthed the risks tied to stretched supply chains and concentrated sourcing (ProfOne has also spoken extensively about it - and the looming risk of falling yet into the same trap down the energy transition), functioning basically like a fuse to the inflation time-bomb. All that came after - the equity rout, the reversal of ultra-loose monetary policies, the widening of fixed income market spreads - that is just the natural reaction of financial markets to a collapse in industrial fundamentals. What that tells us? ProfZero sees that the real economy is now in the driving seat - for good. With that, fundamentals come once again into play: inflation tempering prices, supply chains shaping revenue/cost functions, cash flows dictating performance. What a great time to open school books once again. On May 13, ProfZero anticipated that higher interest rates would put stress on weaker and more indebted actors - countries (Italy, Greece), companies and individuals. A heating in the credit market is now at the very core of ProfZero's radar - especially in the Eurozone, where the ECB will put to test the appetite of investors for Italian debt at one of the worst times PROFONE'S TAKE Thinking about the energy of future, today ProfOne’s eyes are set on uranium, whose price is hitting historical highs since the Fukushima catastrophe in 2011 and encouraging old uranium sites in North America, Australia and Africa to reopen. Nuclear energy, recognized by EU as “green” activity, is viewed as a key part of the EU's energy transition plan. Amidst growing uranium demand fuelled by de-carbonisation politics; rush for energy security; and desire to replace deliveries from Russia (which accounts for 6% of the world’s uranium), the supply side is slow to fit into. Yet over and above shortage of qualified labor and supply chain disruptions, ProfOne reminds that 40% of the world uranium is produced by Kazakhstan and mostly shipped via Russia. The energy security equation will thus have to deal with yet another potentially risky supply chain -while in the meantime of course trying to find sustainable ways to dispose of nuclear waste
CME:BTC1!
by ProfZero
Just Tested The Steping stone Demand In general H4 Price is in the Retracement Phase / Correction Period to the H4 demand level before going higher or lower if supply is still in power, but evidence of CHoCH / Sign of Strength can be seen from the candle pattern forming a new Higher High and Ultra High Demand volume. Price projection has objectively violated the last HH price at 1869.72 (May 24th) and OVERSOLD Condition 1824.54 (June 1st) we'll see Monday how Prices React to market sentiment We monitor consolidation and confirmation for for price Rise higher to zone 1880 - 1899 Or down to 1830 -1810 zone Have a great Trade A head ----Bahasa Indonesia---- Secara General H4 Harga dalam Phase Retracement / Masa Koreksi ke level demand H4 sebelum naik lebih tinggi atau lebih rendah jika supply masih berkuasa, namun bukti CHoCH / Sign of Strenght terlihat dari candle pattern membentuk new Higher High dan Demand volume yang ultra High. Price projection secara objective telah melanggar harga HH terkahir di 1869.72 (24 Mei) dan OVERSOLD Condition 1824.54 (1juni) kita lihat senin, bagaimana Harga Bereaksi terhadap sentimen pasar Kita Pantau konsolidasi dan konfirmasi untuk untuk harga Naik lebih tinggi ke zona 1880 - 1899 Atau turun ke 1830 -1810 Salam TraderBarokah
OANDA:XAUUSD
by ferdiidris
S&P will fall to 3400And here is why: - rising FED rates: J.Powell said clearly that they will move rates to "neutral" so it means in the end of the year we'll see 2.5% or even 3% which I think is NOT already reflected in prices; - sale of bonds: Starting June 1, the FED will sell $30bn of Treasury bonds and $17.5bn of mortgage-backed securities. From September, the volume of sales will increase to 60 and 35 respectively; - risk of recession or stagflation: in Q1 2022 economy of US showed "negative growth" for 1.5%. Now wee see all decline in economic activity, rising inflation, rates growth and strong labor market. All of the above points that we are already in late business cycle which easily may transform to recession.
SP:SPXShort
by DimaYakovlev
2
BTC Short correcting myself using Vix cheat sheetHi In this published idea I'd like to show you the correction to my previous update that said long Bitcoin. With this update you can see a much better picture of the Vix cheat sheet custom script indicator. You can use this by going to the custom script indicator then clicking Vix cheat sheet. As you can see it says for the next weekly candle we could experience another 1% loss. It says that we could experience another 19% loss overall going through 5 more weekly candles. However it also shows going through 10 more weekly candles we could experience a 45% gain. I was hoping for a wick to the upside which we did experience today but I was hoping it would be better than it was. You see the other night I switched my busd for BNB. At the price of 324.44 per BNB. At the time I was heavily impressed by some Bitcoin maximalists who would always say to buy during the fearful period. I made quite a big move into BNB and with the small video wick to the upside today with Bitcoin the price of BNB did go back up to 315. I believe I should of sold my BNB at a loss today but I had just gone for an infusion at the hospital for my Crohn's disease and I missed the chance to sell at a loss. Now BNB is back down to 300 and I am in fear because I do believe this fixed cheat sheet indicator is very good and it does tell we are in store for a 20% drop in bitcoin price. That would mean BNB would drop to $280 or worse and frankly that scares me because I don't have time to wait for 10 more weekly candles to get out of my position in BNB. The reason I made that trade from busd into BNB is because I was hoping for a quick gain that I could sell to have more profit to buy into Rex the new price appreciation plus high APY staking token launching soon on Binance Smart chain. It's been in development for over a year. They are doing a lot of security tests and audits so that they won't be susceptible to flash loan attacks or mev bots or worse. I had made some good gains over the past six months by playing with tokens through pancakeswap. I turned 8k into 30k. For me that was very good for the financial health of my family's savings. However I did make the wrong choice by changing busd for BNB and unfortunately now I do not know when to exit and take a loss or wait for things to get better. I hope over time we would see another small wick or hopefully a larger wick to the upside with Bitcoin. Maybe another upside to 30,500 or higher before going down to 26,000. I would be able to sell the BNB into a stable coin again and NEVER make a mistake with big money again. Frankly I am tired of playing with cryptocurrency. Two years ago I was not looking at charts daily and wasnt so concerned with cryptocurrency. Things were good with Hex coin at the time. I was staying humble and feeling blessed. Thinking I would sell the Hex for good money. Unfortunately I was locked into a stake where I couldn't sell because it wasn't over the sixth month halfway point and I would actually lose the whole thing so there was no way to take it out. I had $850,000 in Hex and I was feeling blessed and happy. Over the years I'd like to say that I am still a fan of cryptocurrency however I definitely know more about how financial markets work and I would love to join trading in the stock market. I am only good at researching and analysling markets at less volatile times. I should have stayed away in this impending bear market and I got over compulsive and made that play into BNB. Well here's hoping for the best. And best wishes to all. Bless you and stay positive. Things will be ok. I've always been a fan of making money on the internet. I would really love to just stay away from cryptocurrency all together and focus my attention on making money on the internet again. I always had a knack for finding ways to make money on the internet. Whether it be affiliate marketing or e-commerce. However in the last 5 to 8 years for me I couldn't get that stranglehold on entrepreneurial money that I once had. Unfortunately in my younger days as I tried to save the money I again got over compulsive and went into some bad trades losing millions of dollars. I just wish I could find good ways to make money on the internet again. I love researching and analyzing new strategies.i just wish they would work. In the meantime I'll be looking for a career where I can be a productive member of society. I yearn for the opportunity to feel productive again and to feel accomplished. I lack that so bad in my life. From now on I will be focusing all of my attention on internet affiliate marketing and entrepreneurial ways to make money aside from cryptocurrency. However I will be looking at ways to become a developer of software or defi. I'm not the type of person who would want to make a cryptocurrency only for it to become unsustainable. I tend to shy away from trying to create scams and things of that nature. That is not the type of person I am. The world has been quite vicious to everyone I might add though. Best wishes to all. If anyone here is a developer or interested in marketing and you would like to work together please contact me. I am very good at marketing when there is an actual product to market. I'm good at making sales through channels of platforms. When I have an actual product or service to sell. And for now I will be looking for services or products to create and sell. Or find and sell. Feel free to contact me if you'd like to work together. Here's hoping for the best in these tough times.
Short
by Henrywaters
TGT: All levels of interestTGT (Target), consumer defensive play crashing on bad earnings and inflation concerns.... Weekly chart. Now oversold. Can we go lower? Here are the levels I'm watching to enter: - 139.30: I'll be buying if we reach that level. If it holds it will be a long term investment for me. If it just bounces and drops, I'll be selling and looking for the next level. - 90-82: is the second zone of interest I'm watching. If we reach this zone I'll buy stocks as a long term investment. Trade safe.
NYSE:TGT
by Elpidaldo