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Unilever (ULVR) Intrinsic Value - DCF ModelUnilever DCF Assumptions: Tax Rate = 23.5% Discount Rate = 4.9% Perpetual Growth Rate = 1.5% EV/EBITDA Multiple = 12.5x Transaction Date = 01/04/2022 Fiscal Year-End = 31/12/2022 Current Price = 41.92 Shares Outstanding = 2,610 Debt = 29,672 Cash = 4,495 Capex = 1,340 Base Case Scenario In addition to the above assumptions, the below DCF model is based on our base case scenario, which assumes a revenue growth over the next five years of 5%, 3%, 3%, 3%, 3%. These assumptions are lower than analysts’ forecasts. DCF (5Y) EBITDA EXIT MODEL: Terminal Value Final Forecast EBITDA (m) = €12,873 EV/EBITDA Multiple = 12.5x TERMINAL VALUE (m) = €160,909 Intrinsic Value Enterprise Value = €162,651 Plus: Cash = €4,495 Less: Debt = €29,672 Equity Value = €137,474 EQUITY VALUE / SHARE = €52.68 / £44.25 DCF (5Y) PERPETUAL GROWTH RATE MODEL Terminal Value Final Forecast FCFf (m) = €8,742 Perpetual Growth Rate = 0.5% TERMINAL VALUE (m) = €201,447 Intrinsic Value Enterprise Value = €195,001 Plus: Cash = €4,495 Less: Debt = €29,672 Equity Value = €169,824 EQUITY VALUE / SHARE = $65.08 / £54.66 DISCLAIMER: All information is the author’s views, opinions, and assumptions at the time of writing, and Bull Headed Bear makes no guarantees of the information’s reliability and accuracy. The information is to be used for entertainment and informative purposes only. Bull Headed Bear and its authors reserve the right to change their views, opinions and assumptions due to many influencing factors. Any actions taken based on the information on the website are strictly at your own risk. All investments carry a risk of loss, and you could lose all your money. Consider seeking professional advice from a financial advisor. Bull Headed Bear and its authors will not be liable for any losses or damages from the information on this site. DISCLOSURE: I/we have open long positions in Unilever. We have no immediate intentions of altering this position in the short term but have the right to change this if more information becomes available.
LSE:ULVR
by BULL_HEADED_BEAR
BTC possible scenariosThe second support hit was successful and the orders at 38,500 were swept away by momentum. Waiting for the final with a trip to 36,500. Perhaps it will be through a local rebound, let's see, now there is too little positive in the markets. Judging strictly by the charts, almost all indices except the dollar index now have "problems". For example, the S&P 500 has corrected decently and is trying to show growth, but if there is another wave down with new lows, then the bulls will be cooled down for the next month or even more.
GEMINI:BTCUSDShort
by smokeNplay
1
Fiat or crypto? How Crypto outperforms stocksHave a look at the bond market. Interesting to see bond yields rise. I saw US 30 year treasuries at a bargain of price of 65%. That gives you a yield of 3%. Interesting however even more so the relation of the crypto market to the stock market and wether it is time to worry about Bitcoin or the crypto market as a whole. Just look at the ratio of crypto versus the S&P 500 e.g. Clearly crypto is outperforming the stock market. So as long as nobody is showing me a trend reversal there I am long on crypto.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTALLong
by CarpeMomentum
3
EURGBP CPI Data review!Hey Traders, Having a look back at the previous analysis that I published earlier last week on the EURGBP pair. Looking for a positive data release from the Great British Pound CPI and therefore shorting this pair. I developed a box area where we were trading in a range and I was anticipating a break out of the range following the data. Join me as I review the analysis, how it all planned out, and then also why I believe it moved the way it did. Also why a lot of people would have been caught out by the actual release of the CPI data. I hope you enjoyed this outlook an as always. Have a successful trading week!
by the5erstrading
2
Dear Elon MuskDear @elonmusk : I have heard you are facing a huge tax bill. However, there is an instrument which can help you make money. It is NZD, New Zealand Dollars, as known as Sheep Coin and Kiwi Coin. I know you like to find profit from the trips of coins to the moon. I think nzd is a nice instrument, but it is facing offensive spam from hostile market makers. The news writters gave us two execuses. One is covid19, especially the emerging B.1.1.529 variant. I don't think so because New Zealand is one of countries encountering low impact from covid19. New Zealand is far away from Europe, Asia and America, so people are less willing to travel from and to New Zealand. The other is fear of Fed taper. I don't think so either because nzd is in the progress of increasing interest rate. Although Fed may consider speed up taper, they are still in the qe state. I only believe two reasons. One is New Zealand may spend a lot of money to buy oil. The other one is spam from market makers. It is because a lot of investors know to buy nzd, so market makers try to make us unprofitable. Conclusion Can you help us punishing those market makers and bring the justice back to the nzd investors? Best Regards clocks156t174 and other nzd investors
Long
by clocks156t174
Biggest Mover of March! (13.30%)Hey Traders! Just like that, another month has flown by, end of the quarter this time, so it's a little bit more special. What I want to do is run through and have a look at the biggest movers to the upside and to the downside of the month. One of them really stood out across all pairs an I think you guys already know which one I'm going to talk about, the Japanese yen. Looking at our biggest mover of the month, it was AUDJPY and unsurprisingly given how bullish we are looking at the Aussie dollar at the moment and how bearish we were looking at the Japanese yen. As the data unfolded throughout the month, which I talk about momentarily, I am not shocked about this big move but was no expecting a whopping 13.30%. Which was a fantastic move and good to see these types of moves in the Forex market when the volatility comes through. It's bad news obviously for the Japanese yen. Great news for the Aussie dollar. Be interesting to see how it reacts from here. The Japanese yen was very volatile this month. We have a lot of movement due to the unforeseen circumstances around the world. Looking at the Japanese yen fundamentally, it wasn't a great month. Their unemployment rate increase showing that less people had jobs. The producer price index actually increased too much greater than forecasted, which was good news for the Japanese yen, but that didn't last long with the BSI manufacturing index being a massive shock to the system. While the forecast for it was an 8.2 from its previous of 7.9 (forecasting growth). It came in at a whopping -7.6, which was very bad news. Once we adjusted to that bad news, we were met with the trade balance, which was extremely negative as you can see by the chart put below. You can see where the money started to leave the Japanese yen and flood over to the AUD. From there, the shorting of JPY just carried on and on. We had some news come out, like the Tertiary Industry Activity, it was predicted to be negative, it wasn't as negative as forecasted, but the end of the day it is still slower growth which pushed the price even further down. The unemployment rate increased right at the end of the month. As you can see that the price started to push back in and the news might start flipping to show more strength into the Japanese yen compared to what we had. We did see also the pound take a bit of a hit as well as the euro. The euro was a very interesting one as it's reacted with how the whole Russia and Ukraine, scenario is unfolding. Keep an eye on that as we proceed with peace talks, making progress supposedly. We might see a volatility coming through these currencies, but overall I have a bearish sentiment moving into April, not too sure how well that's going to hold up in the long run. And finally, looking at the Swiss franc paired against the US dollar, didn't really make much progress. It was very weak at the start of the month or maybe the US dollar was just wrong. But you can see it moves quite nicely, then we hit the mid point, it's just pulled back into almost where we've opened leaving a very tall top wick on USDCHF. It'll be interesting to see on where we progress from here. Only losing about 0.63% to the US dollar. Thanks so much for tuning in. I hope you enjoyed this. If there is any questions or anything you would like to ask, please leave a comment and I'll get back to you as soon as possible. Cheers guys. Happy trading.
Education
by the5erstrading
Bitcoin's infinity percentage 📈If you are a Day Trader, you are losing money. It's worse than this, you bought course from influencers and are member from their youtube channel. Maybe you are spending your money in their Patreon too, who knows? Looking for the next gem? Here's the biggest: Bitcoin. Bitcoin is infinity percentage of gains until 2100. What could enrich everyone is DCA, Time & Hold. Enriching intermediaries paying tx doing trades, buying courses and giving your money to another people is pathetic in this point of view.
BNC:BLXLong
by UnknownUnicorn36754815
TSLAFor the following reasons, I am not convinced that TSLA can sustain the price > $1,000: 1. TSLA is starting to real face competition from OEM (VW, Mercedes, BMW, etc). So while it is still miles ahead of its competition (for now), it is not the only "major player" anymore. Honestly, I like Tesla cars, but if I have to choose between a Mercedes and Tesla, I personally would choose the former. 2. Inflation is not like those cute short-lived stories we hear on news networks. Inflation is not a meme stock either. Inflation is real and once it goes up, it sticks around for a long time. Prices of nickel, aluminum, and every other components making an EV are increasing. 3. Biggest question I have been asking myself is this. I already have a car, and $25,000, the car is working fine and it is easy to repair. Cost of gas is volatile, however it is certain that there is still supply. Would I be willing to take up a car loan at x% (no longer near 0%) and lock my self in debt for another 5 years for the sake of a new car? Personal answer is a resounding no. Tesla cars like any other vehicle is a depreciating asset. I understand that there are a lot of people who are Tesla fans. Well, I am not gonna be a sore loser and trash talk here, so I say it before you do. Yes, I have missed the Tesla boat. Am I sore about it? Not so much, but will I be willing to lock my cash at $1000 per share on this stock? Most like not, I can use it for other trades. I am sharing my own thoughts with the community here. You have spent 2 minutes reading it, but it does not give you a right to be a douchebag. So, don't be rude in the comments section.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by Trader_Soheil1986
5
Macro Perspective on QuantStamp ValuationWith all what's happening in the world and in particular the Crypto Space, there is big demand for security and protecting the Blockchain smart contracts from cyber attacks. The elevation of threats are rising with high potential of a strike from hackers around the world. Chaos is something can come without prior alarms. Here they come the blockchain security projects to rise. As you can see in the charts, I remind you that when we go into lower time frame it looks choppy and ugly while the broader perspective and macro look of the chart says it all. QuantStamps looks healthy as far as the chart tells, Plus QuantStamp is really performing great with their projects, from Metaverse to institutional level partnerships and deals to audit to monitoring their blockchains and smart contracts. Although the market still under BTC dominance yet what we are witnessing here is a major move from the Alts in general. This 2nd Quarter and 4th Quarter from this year will be likely a resume to the upside with QuantStamp and similar security projects to rise due to the alarming global Cyber Attacks potential. My Idea that I presented awhile ago still intact and valid. Can't wait for April as it is one volatile month of the year for many AltCoins.
Q
by ShadowDNA
1
PUTSTOP LOSS ON MARKET LIMIT CREATE QUOTE TRIGGER Skip to content DOW 34,861.24 ▲ gain 153.3 0.44% NASDAQ 14,169.3 ▼ loss -22.54 -0.16% S&P 500 4,543.06 ▲ gain 22.9 0.51% US Markets Closed Customer Service Log Off ETrade.com Accounts Trading Markets & Ideas US Markets Global Markets News Stocks Options Mutual Funds ETFs Futures Bonds & CDs Planning Tools Thematic Investing Insights What We Offer Transfer 20 notifications alerts person my profile Go Search Symbol lookup Recent Quotes Recent Quotes Portfolios Mar 26, 2022, 3:09 AM ET NASDAQ Get real-time quotes PECO PHILLIPS EDISON & COMPANY INC COMMON STOCK $33.36 +0.54 (+1.65%) Bid x Size $27.82 x 400 Ask x Size $35.00 x 500 Delayed quote: Mar 25, 2022, 4:00 PM ET Earnings Summary P/E Trends Analyst Trends Revenue Cash Flow Earnings Summary Next Earnings Date: 5/5/22 Earnings are probably the most closely followed aspect of a firm's income statement as an indicator of profitability. Also referred to as the net income for a specified period of time, earnings are equal to a company's after-tax income on the income statement. The net income is calculated by taking revenues and adjusting for depreciation, interest, taxes and expenses incurred through business operations. Annual Earnings and Estimates Rollover quarter for more detail. Click on Quarter to Compare. Advanced Controls Display Overlay Indicators Actuals Timeframe Estimates Timeframe Quotes and other information supplied by independent providers identified on the E*TRADE vendor disclosures page Statement of Financial Condition | About Asset Protection | Customer/User Agreement | Privacy Statement | Business Continuity Plan | Online Security | Contact Us | About Us | About Our Ads Securities products and services offered by E*TRADE Securities LLC, Member SIPC. Investment advisory services offered by E*TRADE Capital Management, LLC, a Registered Investment Adviser. Commodity futures and options on futures products and services offered by E*TRADE Futures LLC, Member NFA. Stock plan administration solutions and services offered by E*TRADE Financial Corporate Services, Inc. All are separate but affiliated subsidiaries of Morgan Stanley. System response and account access times may vary due to a variety of factors, including trading volumes, market conditions, system performance, and other factors. © 2022 E*TRADE from Morgan Stanley. All rights reserved.
NASDAQ:PECO
by zachryiixixiiwood
1
Those must be one of the best times to buy Cardano tokens [ADA]It very rarely happens that a coin similar to both BTC (UTXO model/limited supply) and ETH (programmable/smart contracts) has its bearish low lower than the last cycle's highest top. Tech stocks are somehow related to Crypto tech tokens, Therefore BTC likes to correlate to other Alts, but for the longer-term BTC on itself is closer to Gold from the Store of value standpoint and medium of exchange (the lightning network has been developing rapidly recently). The bottom line is sometimes BTC and crypto will correlate to gold and sometimes it will correlate to stocks, it's not one or the other only. The statistics are very clear that crypto is the most uncorrelated asset. Keep in mind the global situation with Russia and Ukraine is somehow dragging the US stock market that was already long overdue to pop bubble sooner than later. The situation with Canadian truckers only confirmed that storing BTC and any crypto on custodian exchange is a bad idea and breaks the purpose of decentralization, do keep your crypto off those central points of failure, and remember, those news are not negative for BTC and other cryptos, they are positive. Truly decentralized ledger blockchain technology cannot be stopped, govs can only block fiat on/off ramps, and even there people are getting smarter and more creative. For the longer timeframes in my opinion any buy below 0.95 cents for ADA is a good buy, make sure not to wait too long, this thought has 5-year time horizon. Do not trade daily, it's a waste of time and money.
KRAKEN:ADAUSDLong
by Teqnkka