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ZAR

Double Bottom forming on NaspersJSE:NPN has formed what could turn into a double bottom pattern. It formed a bottom on the 23rd of August and then again on the 15th of September. If it breaks through the high formed on the 7th of September, the pattern will be confirmed and then I think we could see a move up towards the resistance level at around 300000. A long with the current move, it is also showing signs of upward momentum based on the position of the stochastic and the MACD. I will wait for confirmation before entering, though.
JSE:NPNLong
by RossLarter
2
Double Top forming on NedbankAlthough not confirmed yet, JSE:NED seems to be forming a double top pattern. Here is the definition of a double top from investopedia: A double top is an extremely bearish technical reversal pattern that forms after an asset reaches a high price two consecutive times with a moderate decline between the two highs. It is confirmed once the asset's price falls below a support level equal to the low between the two prior highs. Although it still has quite a distance to go, if it continues down and breaks through the "neckline" I think we could see a nice downward move all the way to the support level at around 15250. I will be waiting for confirmation before entering.
JSE:NEDShort
by RossLarter
BIDVEST - Upward Channel with Upward MomentumJSE:BVT has been trading in a nice upward channel since November last year. It is currently trading just below the middle of the channel and seems to be on its way up. It is also showing some good signs of upward momentum based on the stochastic, MACD and the two EMAs that are crossing based on today's price action so far. If the momentum continues, I think we could see a move up to the top of the channel which also coincides with the strong resistance level at around the 22000 level.
JSE:BVTLong
by RossLarter
What to do with the rand?? for a South African citizen, global assets are essential given the fact that the South African market only constitutes around 1% of the global market whilst the South African economy constitutes 0.4% of the global economy. Simply put, South African need exposure to assets which are susceptible to short term movements in the Rand. The chart shows the ZAR/USD exchange rate in blue and the local financial index in orange. For the most part they tend to have a negative correlation. In other words, if the rand strengthens, South African financials tend to do well and vice versa. We can see that the long-term trend for the rand is towards a weakening bias. In the short to medium term, movements in the rand impact the ability to show South African investors a good return on foreign assets. in other words the currency factor increases volatility for a Rand investor or at least someone who spends their money in Rands (retired investors). South African financial are showing cheap valuations which discount the financial turmoil that South African consumers are facing. Therefore there's a low base effect which needs to be factored in (possible repricing of the shares). On the other hand SA financials are also discounting the fact that there ability to grow their earnings is perhaps less than desirable. Select financials are likely to be better performers based on the merits of their business however, from an overall financial wellness perspective, the index is not all that attractive over a 12-18 month period. The question is, will this help support a bottom range for the Rand at around R14 to the USD? If so, the risk of an extreme strengthening event hitting the rand is probably closer to 20% - 25%. Does this potentially support the fact that the rand should be weaker in the next 12 - 18 months? The clear and obvious unknown to this scenario is that if the commodity cycle continues and indeed accelerates, South Africa's income statement and balance sheet become marginally healthier and therefore could result in a re-rating in the Rand and local financials. Its important to understand that it not about trading the rand but rather trying to quantify its downside risk from a Rand investor looking to offshore assets. If one was able to close their eyes and forget the volatility in the currency, well then problem solved however, investor behaviour doesn't allow for that... Please like and follow. Please also share your views on the trading ideas and whether or not you find them to be of any value to you as a trader. Please note, this idea is shared for educational and discussion purposes only and should not result in speculative investment decisions in any asset class.
by JesseMorgans
4
USDZAR - Long Term Lookout ForexHi Everyone Been a while since I've posted on my account here! I felt like doing something different today (other than crypto) after someone asked me about USDZAR / Forex. Even if you're not into this specific trading pair, watch the video anyway, I mention some really interesting points that you can apply to your other chart pairs like fib time zones etc. The Fractal / Wyckoff Method: The Fractal demonstrating effectiveness of Fibonacci for time zones: The new fractal and accompanying Fibonacci time zone: Watch for 3 price targets before Feb 2022. Let me know your thoughts below, BlockTechEv
by BlockTechEv
4